Owner Scorecard


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DSV · DSV A/S

IFRS
Latest filing: FY2025 annual report · ESEF (Inline XBRL)

This is a quantitative scorecard. The numbers below are read from DSV A/S’s ESEF annual report, in DKK. The narrative — what the business does, its risks, what changed this year — is not machine-read here, so we do not paraphrase it. The filed annual report →

I

The record

What the business has done across the cycle, read straight from the ESEF filing: the multi-year record, and the walk from reported profit to the cash an owner could take out.

The record, 2019–2025

realized figures from each filing · older years to the left
2019’192020’202021’212022’222023’232024’242025’25
Income statement
DKK 94.7BDKK 115.9BDKK 182.3BDKK 235.7BDKK 150.8BDKK 167.1BDKK 247.3BRevenueRevenue
DKK 6.0BDKK 7.6BDKK 15.9BDKK 24.6BDKK 18.1BDKK 15.8BDKK 15.8BOperating incomeOp. inc.
6.3%6.6%8.7%10.4%12.0%9.5%6.4%Operating marginOp. mgn
DKK 3.7BDKK 4.3BDKK 11.2BDKK 17.6BDKK 12.3BDKK 10.1BDKK 8.1BNet incomeNet inc.
26%24%25%24%25%24%31%Effective tax rateTax rate
Cash flow & returns
DKK 6.9BDKK 10.3BDKK 12.2BDKK 26.8BDKK 16.5BDKK 11.7BDKK 21.5BOperating cash flowOp. cash
DKK 3.6BDKK 4.0BDKK 4.2BDKK 5.1BDKK 5.3BDKK 5.7BDKK 8.6BDepreciationDeprec.
(DKK 459M)DKK 2.0B(DKK 3.2B)DKK 4.2B(DKK 1.1B)(DKK 4.2B)DKK 4.8BWorking capital & otherWC & other
DKK 1.0BDKK 1.1BDKK 1.2BDKK 1.5BDKK 2.0BDKK 2.1BDKK 2.1BCapexCapex
1.1%1.0%0.6%0.6%1.3%1.3%0.8%Capex / revenueCapex/rev
DKK 5.9BDKK 9.2BDKK 11.0BDKK 25.3BDKK 14.4BDKK 9.6BDKK 19.4BOwner earningsOwner earn.
6.2%7.9%6.0%10.7%9.6%5.7%7.9%Owner earnings marginOE mgn
DKK 5.9BDKK 9.2BDKK 11.0BDKK 25.3BDKK 14.4BDKK 9.6BDKK 19.4BFree cash flowFCF
6.2%7.9%6.0%10.7%9.6%5.7%7.9%Free cash flow marginFCF mgn
DKK 423MDKK 588MDKK 920MDKK 1.3BDKK 1.4BDKK 1.5BDKK 1.7BDividends paidDiv. paid
8%11%14%22%16%13%6%ROICROIC
8%9%15%24%18%9%7%Return on equityROE
7%8%14%23%16%7%5%Retained to equityRetained/eq
Balance sheet
DKK 2.0BDKK 4.1BDKK 8.3BDKK 10.2BDKK 6.5BDKK 83.6BDKK 13.2BCash & investmentsCash+inv
DKK 18.3BDKK 19.0BDKK 36.4BDKK 32.4BDKK 22.3BDKK 27.2BDKK 45.1BReceivablesReceiv.
DKK 1.3BDKK 1.4BDKK 284MDKK 1.9BDKK 4.3BDKK 5.0BDKK 2.1BInventoryInvent.
DKK 19.6BDKK 20.5BDKK 36.7BDKK 34.3BDKK 26.6BDKK 32.2BDKK 47.2BOperating working capitalOper. WC
DKK 28.2BDKK 30.6BDKK 58.8BDKK 54.4BDKK 42.4BDKK 126.5BDKK 78.2BCurrent assetsCur. assets
DKK 29.3BDKK 29.1BDKK 53.4BDKK 46.8BDKK 38.3BDKK 39.2BDKK 82.3BCurrent liabilitiesCur. liab.
1.0×1.0×1.1×1.2×1.1×3.2×1.0×Current ratioCurr. ratio
DKK 97.6BDKK 96.3BDKK 161.4BDKK 159.0BDKK 147.1BDKK 236.5BDKK 290.4BTotal assetsAssets
DKK 8.0BDKK 8.9BDKK 21.5BDKK 22.2BDKK 22.1BDKK 61.1BDKK 67.0BTotal debtDebt
DKK 5.9BDKK 4.8BDKK 13.2BDKK 12.1BDKK 15.7B(DKK 22.4B)DKK 53.8BNet debt / (cash)Net debt
6.0×3.8×15.2×16.7×10.6×6.4×3.9×Interest coverageInt. cov.
DKK 49.3BDKK 47.3BDKK 74.3BDKK 71.7BDKK 69.0BDKK 114.5BDKK 117.4BShareholders’ equityEquity
Per share
198M227M227M227M213M215M236MShares out (diluted)Shares
DKK 478.62DKK 510.10DKK 802.11DKK 1036.94DKK 706.48DKK 778.58DKK 1047.99Revenue / shareRev/sh
DKK 18.70DKK 18.70DKK 49.30DKK 77.30DKK 57.70DKK 47.10DKK 34.30EPS (diluted)EPS
DKK 29.71DKK 40.28DKK 48.49DKK 111.46DKK 67.60DKK 44.54DKK 82.27Owner earnings / shareOE/sh
DKK 29.71DKK 40.28DKK 48.49DKK 111.46DKK 67.60DKK 44.54DKK 82.27Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh
DKK 2.14DKK 2.59DKK 4.05DKK 5.81DKK 6.67DKK 7.14DKK 7.13Dividends / shareDiv/sh
DKK 5.05DKK 4.93DKK 5.19DKK 6.66DKK 9.51DKK 9.75DKK 8.75Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh
DKK 249.26DKK 208.11DKK 326.81DKK 315.66DKK 323.13DKK 533.49DKK 497.50Book value / shareBVPS
Per-share growththe realized rate an owner's share compounded
6-yr5-yr
Revenue / share+14.0%/yr+15.5%/yr
Owner earnings / share+18.5%/yr+15.4%/yr
EPS+10.6%/yr+12.9%/yr
Dividends / share+22.2%/yr+22.5%/yr
Capital spending / share+9.6%/yr+12.1%/yr
Book value / share+12.2%/yr+19.0%/yr

Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.

In fiscal 2025 the business turned DKK 8.1B of profit into DKK 19.4B of owner earnings: more cash than the profit line showed, after the non-cash charges and the capital it put back in.

Reported net incomeDKK 8.1B
Owner earningsDKK 19.4B · 8% of revenue
FY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022FY2021
Reported net incomeDKK 8.1BDKK 10.1BDKK 12.3BDKK 17.6BDKK 11.2B
Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back+DKK 8.6B+DKK 5.7B+DKK 5.3B+DKK 5.1B+DKK 4.2B
Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items+DKK 4.8B−DKK 4.2B−DKK 1.1B+DKK 4.2B−DKK 3.2B
Cash from operationsDKK 21.5BDKK 11.7BDKK 16.5BDKK 26.8BDKK 12.2B
Capital expenditurecash put back in to keep running and to grow−DKK 2.1B−DKK 2.1B−DKK 2.0B−DKK 1.5B−DKK 1.2B
Owner earningsDKK 19.4BDKK 9.6BDKK 14.4BDKK 25.3BDKK 11.0B
Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue8%6%10%11%6%

Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the capital it must spend to hold its position .

Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.

II

Quality & stewardship

Returns, the balance sheet, and stewardship. The same checks the US pages run, in the reporting currency.

Owner’s Scorecard

FY2025 ESEF (Inline XBRL) · source on SEC EDGAR →

Will it survive?

  • Adequate
    Operating income DKK 15.8B ÷ interest expense DKK 4.0B
    What this means

    Comfortable in a normal year, but below the margin of safety Graham looked for. Worth checking how stable the coverage has been across a full cycle.

  • How heavy is the debt, net of cash? DKK 53.8B · 3.4× operating profit
    Meaningful net debt
    Cash DKK 13.2B − debt DKK 67.0B
    What this means

    Netting DKK 13.2B of cash and short-term investments against DKK 67.0B of debt leaves DKK 53.8B owed, about 3.4× a year's operating profit (4.2× on the gross debt, before the cash). Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.

  • Not enough data
    What this means

    The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.

Is it a good business?

  • Solid through the cycle
    7-yr median, range 6%–22%; 6% latest = NOPAT DKK 10.9B ÷ invested capital DKK 171.2B
    Industry peers: median 9%
    What this means

    The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 7 years (it ran 6% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.

  • Solid through the cycle
    7-yr median margin, range 6%–11%; latest DKK 19.4B = operating cash DKK 21.5B − maintenance capex DKK 2.1B
    Industry peers: median 2%
    What this means

    What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's 8% of revenue this year, a 8% median across 7 years.

  • Cash-backed
    Cash from ops DKK 21.5B ÷ net income DKK 8.1B
    What this means

    How much of reported profit showed up as operating cash. Above 1× is reassuring; well below suggests earnings lean on accruals. One year is noisy, growth and working-capital swings distort it, and this is operating cash, not free cash. Watch the multi-year trend.

How is the cash used?

  • Reinvests most of it
    Dividends + buybacks DKK 1.7B ÷ Owner Earnings DKK 19.4B
    What this means

    Of DKK 19.4B Owner Earnings, DKK 1.7B (9%) went back to shareholders, DKK 1.7B dividends, DKK 0 buybacks. Returning most of it is the mark of a mature business with little left to reinvest at a high return; reinvesting most could mean a long runway, or empire-building. The split doesn't say which; the return earned on it (see ROIC) does.

  • Investing or harvesting? 0.24×
    Harvesting
    Capex DKK 2.1B ÷ depreciation DKK 8.6B
    What this means

    Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.

Graham’s defensive tests · 2 of 5 met

Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.

  • Adequate size
    Revenue ≥ $2B (a dollar floor) · DKK 247.3B
    What this means

    Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's floor is a dollar figure — about $2B of revenue as a conservative modern stand-in. This company reports in its home currency and we carry no exchange rate, so we show the figure and leave the size bar for you to apply rather than convert it with a number we don't have.

  • Strong liquidity Miss
    Current ratio ≥ 2× · 0.95×
    What this means

    Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.

  • Conservative debt Miss
    Debt ≤ working capital · DKK 67.0B vs (DKK 4.1B) WC
    What this means

    Graham's rule that borrowings not exceed net current assets. Capital-heavy and buyback-heavy firms routinely fail it, read it next to interest coverage, not alone.

  • Earnings stability Pass
    A profit every year (7-yr record) · no losses
    What this means

    Graham wanted earnings in each of the past ten years, the stability a defensive owner leans on.

  • Dividend record Miss
    Uninterrupted dividends · 7 of 8 yrs
    What this means

    An unbroken dividend was Graham's mark of durability. He wanted twenty years; the filings show about ten, and a single suspension breaks the streak. Non-payers, many fine modern compounders, fall outside his defensive net by design.

  • Earnings growth Pass
    Earnings +33% over the record · +59%
    What this means

    At least a third more earnings than a decade ago, averaging three years at each end. Net income (not per-share), so stock splits don't distort it, buybacks and dilution show up in the share-count line instead.

  • Moderate price
    P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
    What this means

    Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are DKK 43.10/share (latest year DKK 34.30), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is DKK 497.50/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.

Durability & moat, 2019–2025

Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.

  • Profitable years 7 of 7
    What this means

    Never lost money over the record, the earnings stability Graham insisted on.

  • Return on capital ≥ 15% 2 of 7 yrs
    What this means

    A moat shows up as a high return on invested capital that holds year after year, not one good vintage.

  • Operating margin 7% → 9% (3-yr avg ends)
    What this means

    Through the cycle the operating margin widened — about 7% early to 9% lately, median 9% — pricing power intact or improving.

  • Reinvestment, incremental ROIC 9%
    What this means

    Reinvested capital came back at only a modest incremental return — near the cost of capital, where extra growth adds little per dollar. The record shows whether it is a soft stretch or a thinning moat.

  • Owner earnings growth +12%/yr
    What this means

    Owner earnings grew about 12% a year over the record.

  • Worst year 2019 · 6.3% op. margin
    What this means

    Stayed profitable even in its hardest year, the resilience that survives recessions.

  • Share count +3.0%/yr
    What this means

    The share count is rising, dilution works against you on a per-share basis.

  • Dividend record rising
    What this means

    Paid and raised the dividend across the record, the continuity Graham prized.

Does AI threaten the moat?

Low contestability

The moat is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded, the kind AI cuts costs within but does not contest.

AI is unlikely to contest a moat that is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded; here it reads more as a cost tool than a threat.

Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.

All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.

How the cash was used, 2019–2025

Over the record, the business generated DKK 105.8B of operating cash; how management split it reads as a balanced allocator, splitting cash between the business, owners, and the balance sheet.

  • ReinvestedDKK 11.0B · 10%
  • DividendsDKK 7.9B · 7%
  • Retained (debt / cash)DKK 86.9B · 82%
  • Returned to ownersDKK 7.9B

    8% of the owner earnings the business produced over the span, DKK 7.9B as dividends and DKK 0 as buybacks.

  • Source of fundingOperating cash

    Operating cash covered reinvestment and returns; over the span debt rose DKK 59.0B and cash and short-term investments rose DKK 11.1B.

  • Net change in share count19.3%

    The diluted count rose from 198M to 236M: issuance (stock pay, deals) outran any buybacks, so owners were diluted on net.

  • Dividend recordDKK 7.13/sh

    Paid in 7 of the years on record, the per-share dividend growing about 22% a year. It was never cut over the span.

  • Return on what it retained10%

    Of the earnings it kept rather than paid out (DKK 59.4B over the span), annual owner earnings (first three years vs last three) grew DKK 5.8B, so each retained DKK 1 added about 0.10 of yearly owner earnings. Buffett's test, run on owner earnings instead of market value.

Buybacks are gross of stock issued to staff; the share-count line above is the net of that, the figure that decides whether owners gained. The average price paid blends a year of purchases (and any accelerated repurchase), so it is close, not exact. The record of where the cash went and on what terms.

Inverting the record

Invert: instead of why DSV A/S is a good business, the question is what would make owning it a mistake, and whether those marks are in the record. Disconfirming tests across 2019–2026.

2 of the 4 tests turned up something to look into; the other 2 came back clean.

  • Look hereDid the share count rise anyway?19.3%

    Diluted shares grew 19.3% over 2019–2025. Owners were diluted on net; each share owns less of the business than it did. Read the buyback line beside this one, not on its own.

  • Look hereDid debt outgrow the business?DKK 8.0B → DKK 63.1B

    Debt rose from DKK 8.0B to DKK 63.1B while owner earnings went from about DKK 8.7B to DKK 14.5B — about 0.9 years of owner earnings in debt then, about 4.4 now: measured against what the business earns, the balance sheet carries more debt than it did. Debt raised for buybacks or deals rather than growth is the kind that bites in a downturn.

And these came back clean
  • Is it less profitable than it was?
  • Did reported profit become cash?

Each test is read from the filings and is noisy alone; a flag can mark a cyclical trough or a year of heavy investment as easily as a problem. The filing says which.

III

The price

What a price would have to assume, set against the record above. You bring the price, in the reporting currency.

What the price implies

reverse-DCF

Type today's close and see the owner-earnings growth you'd have to believe to justify it, beside what DSV A/S has delivered.

DKK 

Through the cycle, DSV A/S earns about DKK 19.4B on its 7.9% median owner-earnings margin. This year’s 7.9% margin runs in line with that. Normalize, below, values the price on that through-cycle figure rather than the latest year.

Base

The assumptions

9.0% = the 4.55% 10-year Treasury (Jul 15, 2026) + 4.45 points of equity premium. The rate you require is yours to set.

Enter a price above to run it.

Implied by the price
Owner-earnings growth · ’21→’25−6%/yr
Owner-earnings growth · ’19→’25+12%/yr
Owner-earnings yield
P/E (3-yr earnings ’23–’25)
P/B
Graham’s price gate

Graham capped the multiple at 15×; Buffett and Munger let that rule go: a wonderful business can deserve 50× if the thesis holds. The gate marks the bargain-hunter's floor.

Against a high-grade bond: Graham’s yardstick bond yield%

Prefilled with the 10-year Treasury (4.55%, as of Jul 15, 2026). Edit it for today’s exact figure, or a AAA corporate yield.

Graham measured a stock against the bond you could own instead, the heart of his margin of safety. Enter a price above to weigh the owner-earnings yield against this bond.

Owner earnings DKK 19.4B on 236M diluted shares; net debt DKK 53.8B. The base is the latest year by default; Normalize values it on the through-cycle median owner-earnings margin (to avoid paying on a peak year). Net of stock comp treats option pay as the expense it is. The dials set the multiple a growth belief justifies; the price, and every dollar on this page, is yours.