Owner Scorecard


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AMCR, Amcor

Containers & Packaging capital-intensive

Amcor is the global leader in consumer packaging and dispensing solutions for nutrition, health, beauty and wellness categories.

Our global product innovation and sustainability expertise enables us to solve packaging challenges around the world every day, producing a range of flexible packaging, rigid packaging, cartons and closures that are more sustainable, functional and appealing for our customers and their consumers.

We are guided by our purpose of elevating customers, shaping lives and protecting the future.

Latest annual: FY2025 10-K
AMCR · Amcor
I

The business

What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.

Revenue · FY2025
$15.0B
+10.0% YoY · 4% 5-yr CAGR
Vital signs · TTM, with 5-yr average
Revenue $22.2B 5-yr avg $14.1B
Gross margin 19% 5-yr avg 20%
Operating margin 6.0% 5-yr avg 8.9%
ROIC 5% 5-yr avg 9%
Owner-earnings margin 3% 5-yr avg 6%
Free cash flow margin 3% 5-yr avg 6%

The business in brief

read the 10-K →

What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.

What it is
Revenue is Flexibles (72%) and Rigid Packaging (28%).
What moves the needle
Gross margin has run about 20% and operating margin about 8.9% through the cycle, a thin spread that turns the result on volume and the cost of what it sells far more than on the price it sets. That margin has held in a narrow 6.7%–11% band over the years, so steadiness itself is the evidence — the lever is unit growth and cost discipline, not a moving line. Inventory runs near 15% of sales, so how fast it turns back into cash — and the risk of writing it down when demand softens — sits alongside the margin. On its own account, the filing leans hardest on customer concentration, set against the numbers in what the filing emphasizes, below.
Is it a good business?
Return on capital has sat near the cost of capital (median 10%). By owner earnings: roughly 6% of revenue reaches owners as cash, consistently. This is price-taker territory, where the balance sheet and the cycle matter more than any multiple; the rest is in the 10-K.

Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.

Where the money comes from

read the 10-K →

Flexibles is 72% of revenue, with Rigid Packaging the other meaningful segment at 28%.

Revenue by reportable segment, FY2025
  • Flexibles72%$10.9B
  • Rigid Packaging28%$4.1B
By geographyNorth America48%Europe29%Latin America12%Asia Pacific11%

From the segment footnote of the company's own 10-K. Shares are of total revenue; the profit bar shows each segment's share of segment operating profit, before unallocated corporate costs.

II

The record

Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.

The record, 2017–2025

realized figures from each filing · older years to the left
2017’172018’182019’192020’202021’212022’222023’232024’242025’25TTMTTMMar 2026
Income statement
$9.1B$9.3B$9.5B$12.5B$12.9B$14.5B$14.7B$13.6B$15.0B$22.2BRevenueRevenue
21%20%19%20%21%19%19%20%19%19%Gross marginGross mgn
9%9%11%11%10%9%7%8%8%8%SG&A / revenueSG&A/rev
1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%R&D / revenueR&D/rev
$916M$994M$792M$994M$1.3B$1.2B$1.5B$1.2B$1.0B$1.3BOperating incomeOp. inc.
10.1%10.7%8.4%8.0%10.3%8.5%10.3%8.9%6.7%6.0%Operating marginOp. mgn
$564M$575M$430M$612M$939M$805M$1.0B$730M$511M$678MNet incomeNet inc.
21%17%29%23%22%27%16%18%21%10%Effective tax rateTax rate
Cash flow & returns
$909M$871M$776M$1.4B$1.5B$1.5B$1.3B$1.3B$1.4B$1.7BOperating cash flowOp. cash
$374M$357M$453M$652M$574M$625M$586M$595M$722M$1.4BDepreciationDeprec.
($56M)($82M)($126M)$86M($110M)$33M($427M)($36M)$83M($542M)Working capital & otherWC & other
$379M$365M$332M$400M$468M$527M$526M$492M$580M$907MCapexCapex
4.2%3.9%3.5%3.2%3.6%3.6%3.6%3.6%3.9%4.1%Capex / revenueCapex/rev
$530M$506M$444M$984M$993M$999M$735M$829M$810M$763MOwner earningsOwner earn.
5.8%5.4%4.7%7.9%7.7%6.9%5.0%6.1%5.4%3.4%Owner earnings marginOE mgn
$530M$506M$444M$984M$993M$999M$735M$829M$810M$763MFree cash flowFCF
5.8%5.4%4.7%7.9%7.7%6.9%5.0%6.1%5.4%3.4%Free cash flow marginFCF mgn
$336M$0$0$0$0$121M$20M$1.7B$1.7BAcquisitionsAcquis.
$489M$527M$680M$761M$742M$732M$723M$722M$845M$845MDividends paidDiv. paid
$0$0$537M$351M$601M$432M$30M$0BuybacksBuybacks
18%5%8%10%9%13%10%3%5%ROICROIC
96%92%8%13%20%20%26%19%4%6%Return on equityROE
13%8%−4%−3%4%2%8%0%−3%−1%Retained to equityRetained/eq
Balance sheet
$562M$621M$602M$743M$850M$775M$689M$588M$827M$1.6BCash & investmentsCash+inv
$1.4B$1.9B$1.6B$1.9B$1.9B$1.9B$1.8B$3.4B$3.5BReceivablesReceiv.
$1.4B$2.0B$1.8B$2.0B$2.4B$2.4BInventoryInvent.
$1.9B$2.3B$2.2B$2.6B$3.1B$2.7B$2.6B$3.5B$3.0BAccounts payablePayables
$877M$1.5B$1.3B$1.3B$1.3B($815M)($734M)($64M)$3.0BOperating working capitalOper. WC
$3.6B$5.2B$4.5B$5.3B$5.9B$5.3B$5.0B$8.4B$9.8BCurrent assetsCur. assets
$5.1B$4.5B$4.0B$4.3B$5.1B$4.5B$4.3B$7.0B$6.8BCurrent liabilitiesCur. liab.
0.7×1.1×1.1×1.2×1.1×1.2×1.2×1.2×1.4×Current ratioCurr. ratio
$2.1B$2.1B$5.2B$5.3B$5.4B$5.3B$5.4B$5.3B$11.3B$12.0BGoodwillGoodwill
$9.1B$17.2B$16.4B$17.2B$17.4B$17.0B$16.5B$37.1B$37.6BTotal assetsAssets
$4.7B$5.3B$6.0B$6.2B$6.4B$6.7B$6.6B$14.0B$15.2BTotal debtDebt
$4.0B$4.7B$5.3B$5.3B$5.6B$6.0B$6.0B$13.2B$13.6BNet debt / (cash)Net debt
4.8×4.7×3.8×4.8×8.6×7.8×5.2×3.5×2.5×2.1×Interest coverageInt. cov.
$588M$627M$5.6B$4.6B$4.8B$4.1B$4.0B$3.9B$11.7B$11.7BShareholders’ equityEquity
0.3%0.2%0.2%0.3%0.5%0.4%0.4%0.2%0.5%0.4%Stock comp / revenueSBC/rev
Per share
1.16B1.16B1.18B1.60B1.56B1.52B1.48B1.44B1.59B464MShares out (diluted)Shares
$7.82$8.02$7.99$7.78$8.27$9.59$9.96$9.47$9.42$47.87Revenue / shareRev/sh
$0.48$0.50$0.36$0.38$0.60$0.53$0.71$0.51$0.32$1.46EPS (diluted)EPS
$0.45$0.44$0.37$0.61$0.64$0.66$0.50$0.58$0.51$1.65Owner earnings / shareOE/sh
$0.45$0.44$0.37$0.61$0.64$0.66$0.50$0.58$0.51$1.65Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh
$0.42$0.45$0.57$0.48$0.48$0.48$0.49$0.50$0.53$1.82Dividends / shareDiv/sh
$0.33$0.31$0.28$0.25$0.30$0.35$0.36$0.34$0.36$1.96Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh
$0.50$0.54$4.74$2.89$3.06$2.69$2.73$2.69$7.36$25.14Book value / shareBVPS

The diluted share count moved ×1/3.44 into TTM — shares retired, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.

Per-share growththe realized rate an owner's share compounded
8-yr5-yr
Revenue / share+2.4%/yr+3.9%/yr
Owner earnings / share+1.4%/yr−3.7%/yr
EPS−5.0%/yr−3.4%/yr
Dividends / share+3.0%/yr+2.2%/yr
Capital spending / share+1.4%/yr+7.8%/yr
Book value / share+39.8%/yr+20.6%/yr

The year, in the company's words

the filing →

Verbatim from the 10-K's management discussion. Each sentence is shown only because its subject, direction, and stated figures check out against the filed numbers on this page. The words are the company's; the arithmetic is the record's.

  • Net income-30.0%
    “Net income attributable to Amcor plc decreased by $219 million, or 30%, in fiscal year 2025, compared to fiscal year 2024.”
    ✓ figure matches the filed record

The record, charted

FY2017–2025

Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.

Share count
1.6Bpeak FY2020
ROIC
3%low FY2025
Gross margin
19%low FY2023
Net debt ÷ owner earnings
16.2×peak FY2025

Owner earnings vs. net income

Owner earningsNet income

The accountant's number, and the cash an owner can take; the gap is the tell.

$810Mowner earningsvs.$511Mnet incomelow FY2019

Where the cash went

ReinvestBuybacksDividendsAcquisitionsRetainedBeyond op. cash

Each year's outlays against its operating cash: the mix, and how it drifts. The hatched cap is spending beyond that year's operating cash — financed from the balance sheet or borrowing, not operations.

FY2017FY2025

Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.

In fiscal 2025 the business turned $511M of profit into $810M of owner earnings: more cash than the profit line showed, after the non-cash charges and the capital it put back in.

Reported net income$511M
Owner earnings$810M · 5% of revenue
FY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022FY2021
Reported net income$511M$730M$1.0B$805M$939M
Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back+$722M+$595M+$586M+$625M+$574M
Stock-based compensationreal costnon-cash, but a real cost+$74M+$32M+$54M+$63M+$58M
Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items+$83M−$36M−$427M+$33M−$110M
Cash from operations$1.4B$1.3B$1.3B$1.5B$1.5B
Capital expenditurecash put back in to keep running and to grow−$580M−$492M−$526M−$527M−$468M
Owner earnings$810M$829M$735M$999M$993M
Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue5%6%5%7%8%

Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the capital it must spend to hold its position . The cash-flow statement also adds stock comp back as non-cash, but it is a real cost paid in shares; counted as the expense it is (less $74M), owner earnings is nearer $736M.

Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.

III

Quality & stewardship

Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.

Owner’s Scorecard

FY2025 10-K · source on SEC EDGAR →

Will it survive?

  • Adequate
    Operating income $1.0B ÷ interest expense $396M
    What this means

    Comfortable in a normal year, but below the margin of safety Graham looked for. Worth checking how stable the coverage has been across a full cycle.

  • How heavy is the debt, net of cash? $13.2B · 13.0× operating profit
    Heavy net debt
    Cash $827M − debt $14.0B
    What this means

    Netting $827M of cash and short-term investments against $14.0B of debt leaves $13.2B owed, about 13.0× a year's operating profit (13.9× on the gross debt, before the cash). Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.

  • Tight
    DSO 83 + DIO 73 − DPO 105 days
    What this means

    Days cash is tied up between paying suppliers and collecting from customers. Lower is better; a long cycle means growth itself eats cash.

Is it a good business?

  • Solid through the cycle
    8-yr median, range 3%–18%; 3% latest = NOPAT $798M ÷ invested capital $24.9B
    Industry peers: median 10%
    What this means

    The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 8 years (it ran 3% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.

  • Solid through the cycle
    9-yr median margin, range 5%–8%; latest $810M = operating cash $1.4B − maintenance capex $580M
    Industry peers: median 6%
    What this means

    What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's 5% of revenue this year, a 6% median across 9 years. Treating stock comp as the real expense it is (less $74M of SBC) leaves $736M.

  • Cash-backed
    Cash from ops $1.4B ÷ net income $511M
    What this means

    How much of reported profit showed up as operating cash. Above 1× is reassuring; well below suggests earnings lean on accruals. One year is noisy, growth and working-capital swings distort it, and this is operating cash, not free cash. Watch the multi-year trend.

How is the cash used?

  • Returned more than it generated
    Dividends + buybacks $845M ÷ Owner Earnings $810M
    What this means

    The company returned more than it generated: against $810M of Owner Earnings, $845M (104%) went back to shareholders, $845M dividends, $0 buybacks — the excess came from the balance sheet or borrowing, not the year's operations. Sustained, that pattern draws down cash or adds debt; the net-debt line above shows where it stands.

  • Investing or harvesting? 0.80×
    Maintaining
    Capex $580M ÷ depreciation $722M
    What this means

    Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.

Graham’s defensive tests · 4 of 6 met

Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.

  • Adequate size Pass
    Revenue ≥ $2B · $15.0B
    What this means

    Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.

  • Strong liquidity Miss
    Current ratio ≥ 2× · 1.21×
    What this means

    Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.

  • Conservative debt Miss
    Debt ≤ working capital · $14.0B vs $1.4B WC
    What this means

    Graham's rule that borrowings not exceed net current assets. Capital-heavy and buyback-heavy firms routinely fail it, read it next to interest coverage, not alone.

  • Earnings stability Pass
    A profit every year (9-yr record) · no losses
    What this means

    Graham wanted earnings in each of the past ten years, the stability a defensive owner leans on.

  • Dividend record Pass
    Uninterrupted dividends · paid every year (9)
    What this means

    An unbroken dividend was Graham's mark of durability. He wanted twenty years; the filings show about ten, and a single suspension breaks the streak. Non-payers, many fine modern compounders, fall outside his defensive net by design.

  • Earnings growth Pass
    Earnings +33% over the record · +46%
    What this means

    At least a third more earnings than a decade ago, averaging three years at each end. Net income (not per-share), so stock splits don't distort it, buybacks and dilution show up in the share-count line instead.

  • Moderate price
    P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
    What this means

    Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $1.65/share (latest year $1.11), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $25.37/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.

Durability & moat, 2017–2025

Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.

  • Profitable years 9 of 9
    What this means

    Never lost money over the record, the earnings stability Graham insisted on.

  • Return on capital ≥ 15% 1 of 8 yrs
    What this means

    A moat shows up as a high return on invested capital that holds year after year, not one good vintage.

  • Operating margin 10% → 9% (3-yr avg ends)

    In the filing’s words The filing attributes gains to higher prices, but the margin in the record has not followed — the claim outruns the result here.

    What this means

    Through the cycle the operating margin held roughly steady — about 10% early, 9% lately, median 9%.

  • Reinvestment, incremental ROIC 5%
    What this means

    Reinvested capital came back at only a modest incremental return — near the cost of capital, where extra growth adds little per dollar. The record shows whether it is a soft stretch or a thinning moat.

  • Owner earnings growth +6%/yr
    What this means

    Owner earnings grew about 6% a year over the record.

  • Worst year 2025 · 6.7% op. margin
    What this means

    Stayed profitable even in its hardest year, the resilience that survives recessions.

  • Share count +4.0%/yr
    What this means

    The share count is rising, dilution works against you on a per-share basis.

  • Dividend record rising
    What this means

    Paid and raised the dividend across the record, the continuity Graham prized.

Does AI threaten the moat?

Low contestability

The moat is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded, the kind AI cuts costs within but does not contest.

In its own filing Raised, but not as a competitor

The filing raises AI among its risks, but in other terms (security, regulation, energy or the like), not as a competitor to its product.

AI is unlikely to contest a moat that is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded; here it reads more as a cost tool than a threat.

Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.

All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.

Current Position

as of the latest quarter, Mar 31, 2026

Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.

Current assets$9.8B
  • Cash & short-term investments$1.6B
  • Receivables$3.5B
  • Inventory$2.4B
  • Other current assets$2.3B
Current liabilities$6.8B
  • Debt due within a year$561M
  • Accounts payable$3.0B
  • Other current liabilities$3.3B
Current ratio1.44×all current assets ÷ what's due · Graham looked for 2×
Quick ratio1.08×stricter: inventory excluded
Cash ratio0.23×strictest: cash alone against what's due
Working capital$3.0Bthe cushion left after near-term bills
Debt due this year vs. cash$561M due · $1.6B cash covered by cash on hand, no refinancing forced · both figures from the Mar 31, 2026 balance sheet
Revenue, latest quarter vs. a year ago+77.4%the freshest read on whether the business is still growing
Current ratio, recent quarters1.2× → 1.4×
Deeper floors
Tangible book value($7.0B)equity stripped of goodwill & intangibles
Net current asset value($16.1B)Graham's net-net: current assets less all liabilities
Debt incl. operating leases$7.0B$1.1B of it operating leases

From the company's latest filing.

Not how much it owes, but when it falls due, and against what. The ladder the company files, beside cash on hand and a year's owner earnings.

'26$2.1B
'27$2.5B
'28$1.7B
'29$501M

Bars scaled to the largest single year.

Due in the next 12 months$2.1Bthe first rung: what must be repaid or rolled over within the year
Within two years$4.6Bthe near wall, the part most exposed to today’s credit conditions
Biggest single year$2.5Bin 2027the lumpiest maturity, where a refinancing, if needed, is largest
Due over the next five years$6.8Bthe near slice; the balance sheet carries $14.0B of debt in all

Against what the business has and earns

Cash & short-term investments, Mar 31, 2026$1.6B
One year of owner earnings (FY2025)$810M
Together, against $2.1B due next year1.1×

Cash on hand as of Mar 31, 2026 plus a year’s owner earnings comes to $2.4B against the $2.1B due in the twelve months after the Jun 30, 2025 schedule: 1.1 times it.

Maturity schedule extracted from the company’s Jun 30, 2025 annual report and reconciled to the balance-sheet debt.

How the cash was used, 2017–2025

Over the record, the business generated $10.9B of operating cash; how management split it reads as a cash returner, paying most of what it earns straight back to owners.

  • Reinvested$4.1B · 37%
  • Dividends$6.2B · 57%
  • Buybacks$2.0B · 18%
  • Returned to owners$8.2B

    120% of the owner earnings the business produced over the span, $6.2B as dividends and $2.0B as buybacks.

  • Source of funding−$1.3B

    Reinvestment and shareholder returns ran $1.3B beyond the operating cash the business generated, so the gap was financed off the balance sheet.

  • Average price paid for buybacks

    Buybacks ran $2.0B over the span, but the filings don't tag the share count needed to deduce the average price paid.

  • Net change in share count−60.2%

    The diluted count fell from 1164M to 464M, so the buybacks outran the stock issued to staff.

  • Dividend record$0.53/sh

    Paid in 9 of the years on record, the per-share dividend growing about 3% a year. It was cut at least once along the way.

Buybacks are gross of stock issued to staff; the share-count line above is the net of that, the figure that decides whether owners gained. The average price paid blends a year of purchases (and any accelerated repurchase), so it is close, not exact. The record of where the cash went and on what terms.

Acquisitions & goodwill

from the balance sheet & the 9-year cash-flow record

Goodwill grows only when a company acquires and falls only when it concedes it overpaid. The size of that bet, the cash put into buying rather than building, and how much has already been written off.

Goodwill & intangibles$18.7B50% of all assets; the premium carried on the balance sheet for businesses acquired
Against book equity96%goodwill is this share of book equity; the rest is the company’s own retained and paid-in capital
Cash spent acquiring$2.2Bover 9 years buying other businesses, against $4.1B of capital spent building

None written down over the record; the goodwill is still carried at full cost. That is the deals holding their value on the books so far; whether they keep doing so is the test an owner watches, since the write-down, when it comes, is the admission the price was too high.

Goodwill, acquired intangibles and equity from the latest balance sheet; acquisition spend and write-downs summed across the 9-year record, from the company's own filings.

Management, ownership & pay

read the proxy →

From the proxy: how much of the business the people running it own, and how they are paid, beside what the business earned for its owners in the same years.

Fiscal yearChief executivePay, as filed“Actually paid”Owner earnings
2021Ron Delia$11.0M$11.1M$993M
2022Ron Delia$9.9M$18.6M$999M
2023Ron Delia$7.3M−$1.8M$735M
2024Peter Konieczny$7.5M$7.0M$829M
2024Ron Delia$9.0M$5.1M$829M
2025Peter Konieczny$8.5M$5.1M$810M

Both pay figures are the company’s own, from the pay-versus-performance table its proxy statement files. “As filed” is the Summary Compensation Table total: salary, bonus, and equity awards at their value on the day of grant. “Actually paid” is the SEC’s prescribed recalculation, which re-marks those equity awards to what they became as they vested; it can swing far above or below the filed figure in either direction, and negative years occur. Owner earnings are the whole business's, from the record above, for the same fiscal years.

  • Insider ownership<1%

    The stake all directors and executive officers hold together, per the 2025 proxy: skin in the game, the first thing Munger reads.

  • CEO pay ratio119:1

    What the chief earns for every dollar the median employee makes, per the 2025 proxy. A high ratio alone settles nothing; some businesses are genuinely top-heavy in scarce skill. A runaway figure is where Buffett starts asking whether the board is doing its job.

  • Stock-based compensation$74M

    The slice of the business handed to employees in shares this year, 0% of revenue, equal to 7% of operating profit. Buffett's oldest accounting fight: this is compensation, compensation is an expense, real whether or not the headline earnings admit it. One trap: the cash-flow statement adds SBC back, so the operating cash, and the owner earnings drawn from it, are flattered by exactly this amount; counted as the cost it is, what an owner keeps is lower.

Inverting the record

Invert: instead of why Amcor is a good business, the question is what would make owning it a mistake, and whether those marks are in the record. Disconfirming tests across 2017–2025.

1 of the 4 tests turned up something to look into; the other 3 came back clean.

  • Look hereAre "one-time" charges a yearly habit?6 of 9 years

    Management took an impairment or write-down in 6 of the last 9 years, $177M in all. Taken across the majority of the record, the "one-time" label is wearing thin — ask whether these are past deals coming due rather than genuinely isolated events. Read it beside the goodwill the company still carries.

And these came back clean
  • Is it less profitable than it was?
  • Did the share count rise anyway?
  • Did reported profit become cash?

Each test is read from the filings and is noisy alone; a flag can mark a cyclical trough or a year of heavy investment as easily as a problem. The filing says which.

What an owner would ask, FY2025

read the 10-K →
  • How much of the revenue rides on one buyer?
    ≈$2.2B · 10% of revenue on the largest customer (TTM)
    “We did not have sales to a single customer that exceeded 10% of consolidated net sales in the last three fiscal years.”verify →

The questions the record and the charts do not answer on their own; each carries the figure and the place to look.

Peers, Containers & Packaging

The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.

CompanyRevenueGross marginOp. marginROICOwner earn. margin
AMCRAmcor$15.0B20%8.9%10%6%
HIHillenbrand$2.7B36%46.0%10%10%
DAKTDaktronics Inc.$839M24%2.7%5%3%
ODCOil-Dri Corporation Of America$486M25%7.4%13%6%
Group median24%8.1%10%6%
IV

The price

What a price has to assume.

What the price implies

reverse-DCF

Type today's close and see the owner-earnings growth you'd have to believe to justify it, beside what Amcor has delivered.

$

Through the cycle, Amcor earns about $873M on its 5.8% median owner-earnings margin. This year’s 5.4% margin runs in line with that. Normalize, below, values the price on that through-cycle figure rather than the latest year.

Base

The assumptions

9.0% = the 4.55% 10-year Treasury (Jul 15, 2026) + 4.45 points of equity premium. The rate you require is yours to set.

Enter a price above to run it.

Implied by the price
Owner-earnings growth · ’21→’25−5%/yr
Owner-earnings growth · ’17→’25+6%/yr
Owner-earnings yield
P/E (3-yr earnings ’23–’25)
P/B
Graham’s price gate

Graham capped the multiple at 15×; Buffett and Munger let that rule go: a wonderful business can deserve 50× if the thesis holds. The gate marks the bargain-hunter's floor.

Against a high-grade bond: Graham’s yardstick bond yield%

Prefilled with the 10-year Treasury (4.55%, as of Jul 15, 2026). Edit it for today’s exact figure, or a AAA corporate yield.

Graham measured a stock against the bond you could own instead, the heart of his margin of safety. Enter a price above to weigh the owner-earnings yield against this bond.

Free cash flow $763M on 462M shares outstanding, per the 10-Q cover, as of 2026-05-05; net debt $13.6B. The base is the latest year by default; Normalize values it on the through-cycle median owner-earnings margin (to avoid paying on a peak year). Net of stock comp treats option pay as the expense it is. Capex ($907M) runs well above depreciation ($1.4B), so this is a build-out; Steady-state swaps total capex for maintenance (≈ depreciation), lifting the base to about $1.1B, the cash it would throw off if it stopped expanding. The dials set the multiple a growth belief justifies; the price, and every dollar on this page, is yours.

Cite: Owner Scorecard, "Amcor (AMCR), the owner's record," https://ownerscorecard.com/c/AMCR, data as of 2026-07-09.

Manual order: ← AMC its page in the Manual AMCX →

Industry order: ← AMBP the Containers & Packaging chapter ATR →