Share count
72Mpeak FY2025
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ELVR, Elevra Lithium Limited
Elevra is among the largest hard rock lithium producers in North America based on the combined life-of-the-mine spodumene concentrate capacity, with an advantaged access to U.S. end markets.
Elevra's portfolio of projects spans from exploration and development to production.
A scoping study has been completed that supports an increase of annual nominal SC5.4 production to 315,000 dmt of spodumene concentrate per annum.
The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
Revenue · FY2025
A$223M
+11.2% YoY
Vital signs · TTM
Cash & investments A$72M
Cash burn · annual A$15M
Runway 4.9 yrs
The business in brief
read the 10-K →What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- Situation
- Unprofitable. No sustained operating profit across the record; an earnings multiple has nothing to rest on. What the record does show is revenue, the gross-margin trajectory, and the burn against the cash on hand.
- What moves the needle
- The commodity price and the cost position. What decides it: the price of the metal, which is out of its hands; where the operation sits on the cost curve; and the discipline not to overbuild at the top. On its own account, the filing leans hardest on customer concentration, set against the numbers in what the filing emphasizes, below.
- Is it a good business?
- Return on capital has rarely cleared the cost of capital (median −16%, above 15% in 0 of 3 years). Owner earnings, the cash-based check, have been thin too. This is price-taker territory, where the balance sheet and the cycle matter more than any multiple; the rest is in the 10-K.
Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2023–2025
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2023’23 | 2024’24 | 2025’25 | TTMTTMJun 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||
| A$0 | A$201M | A$223M | A$223M | RevenueRevenue |
| (A$22M) | (A$119M) | (A$384M) | (A$384M) | Operating incomeOp. inc. |
| — | −59.3% | −172.1% | −172.1% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| (A$11M) | (A$101M) | (A$294M) | (A$294M) | Net incomeNet inc. |
| Cash flow & returns | ||||
| (A$46M) | (A$62M) | (A$15M) | (A$15M) | Operating cash flowOp. cash |
| A$6M | A$34M | A$39M | A$39M | DepreciationDeprec. |
| (A$41M) | A$5M | A$241M | A$241M | Working capital & otherWC & other |
| A$127M | A$102M | A$20M | A$20M | CapexCapex |
| — | 51.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | Capex / revenueCapex/rev |
| (A$52M) | (A$96M) | (A$34M) | (A$34M) | Owner earningsOwner earn. |
| — | −47.8% | −15.4% | −15.4% | Owner earnings marginOE mgn |
| (A$173M) | (A$165M) | (A$34M) | (A$34M) | Free cash flowFCF |
| — | −82.0% | −15.4% | −15.4% | Free cash flow marginFCF mgn |
| -3% | -16% | -84% | -84% | ROICROIC |
| -1% | -15% | -70% | -70% | Return on equityROE |
| −1% | −15% | −70% | −70% | Retained to equityRetained/eq |
| Balance sheet | ||||
| A$211M | A$91M | A$72M | A$72M | Cash & investmentsCash+inv |
| — | A$28M | A$33M | A$33M | ReceivablesReceiv. |
| — | A$73M | A$47M | A$47M | InventoryInvent. |
| — | A$61M | A$50M | A$50M | Accounts payablePayables |
| — | A$40M | A$31M | A$31M | Operating working capitalOper. WC |
| — | A$218M | A$163M | A$163M | Current assetsCur. assets |
| — | A$88M | A$118M | A$118M | Current liabilitiesCur. liab. |
| — | 2.5× | 1.4× | 1.4× | Current ratioCurr. ratio |
| A$1.0B | A$945M | A$653M | A$653M | Total assetsAssets |
| — | A$15M | A$15M | A$15M | Total debtDebt |
| — | (A$75M) | (A$58M) | (A$58M) | Net debt / (cash)Net debt |
| -14.3× | -29.4× | -78.7× | -78.7× | Interest coverageInt. cov. |
| A$873M | A$665M | A$420M | A$420M | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| Per share | ||||
| 56.6M | 66.9M | 71.9M | 71.9M | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| A$0.00 | A$3.00 | A$3.11 | A$3.11 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| A$-0.20 | A$-1.52 | A$-4.10 | A$-4.10 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| A$-0.92 | A$-1.44 | A$-0.48 | A$-0.48 | Owner earnings / shareOE/sh |
| A$-3.06 | A$-2.46 | A$-0.48 | A$-0.48 | Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh |
| A$2.25 | A$1.53 | A$0.27 | A$0.27 | Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh |
| A$15.44 | A$9.95 | A$5.85 | A$5.85 | Book value / shareBVPS |
The record, charted
FY2023–2025Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.
ROIC
−84%low FY2025
Owner earnings vs. net income
Owner earningsNet incomeThe accountant's number, and the cash an owner can take; the gap is the tell.
(A$34M)owner earningsvs.(A$294M)net incomelow FY2024
Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.
In fiscal 2025 the business turned a A$294M loss into (A$34M) of owner earnings: more cash than the profit line showed, after the non-cash charges and the capital it put back in.
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reported net income | (A$294M) | (A$101M) | (A$11M) |
| Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back | +A$39M | +A$34M | +A$6M |
| Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items | +A$241M | +A$5M | −A$41M |
| Cash from operations | (A$15M) | (A$62M) | (A$46M) |
| Maintenance capital expenditurethe spending needed just to hold position and volume | −A$20M | −A$34M | −A$6M |
| Owner earnings | (A$34M) | (A$96M) | (A$52M) |
| Growth capital expenditurediscretionary; spent to get bigger, not to stand still | — | −A$69M | −A$121M |
| Free cash flow | (A$34M) | (A$165M) | (A$173M) |
| Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue | -15% | -48% | — |
Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the capital it must spend to hold its position .
Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
FY2025 20-F · source on SEC EDGAR →
Will it survive?
- Can it pay its interest? -78.7×Does not cover its interestOperating income (A$384M) ÷ interest expense A$5M
What this means
A full year of operating profit didn't cover the interest bill. This is the zombie zone: the business depends on refinancing, asset sales, or forbearance to service its debt.
- Net cashCash A$72M − debt A$15M
What this means
Cash and short-term investments exceed every dollar of debt by A$58M, on net the company owes nothing, and can act from strength when others can't. Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.
- Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
Is it a good business?
- Below average through the cycle3-yr median, range -84%–-3%; -84% latest = NOPAT (A$304M) ÷ invested capital A$363MIndustry peers: median 2%
What this means
The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 3 years (it ran -84% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.
- Consumes cashOwner earnings (A$34M) = operating cash (A$15M) − maintenance capex A$20MIndustry peers: median 2%
What this means
What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's -15% of revenue this year.
- Are earnings backed by cash? (A$15M)Loss, and burning cashNet income (A$294M) · cash from operations (A$15M)
What this means
The company reported a net loss, so a conversion ratio isn't meaningful. What matters then is whether operations still threw off cash, here, they did not.
How is the cash used?
- Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
- Investing or harvesting? 0.51×HarvestingCapex A$20M ÷ depreciation A$39M
What this means
Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.
Graham’s defensive tests · 1 of 2 met
Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.
- Adequate size —Revenue ≥ $2B (a dollar floor) · A$223M
What this means
Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's floor is a dollar figure — about $2B of revenue as a conservative modern stand-in. This company reports in its home currency and we carry no exchange rate, so we show the figure and leave the size bar for you to apply rather than convert it with a number we don't have.
- Strong liquidity MissCurrent ratio ≥ 2× · 1.38×
What this means
Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.
- Conservative debt PassDebt ≤ working capital · A$15M vs A$45M WC
What this means
Graham's rule that borrowings not exceed net current assets. Capital-heavy and buyback-heavy firms routinely fail it, read it next to interest coverage, not alone.
- Moderate price —P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
What this means
Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are A$-1.89/share (latest year A$-4.10), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is A$5.85/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.
Does AI threaten the moat?
Low contestabilityThe moat is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded, the kind AI cuts costs within but does not contest.
AI is unlikely to contest a moat that is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded; here it reads more as a cost tool than a threat.
Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
Current Position
as of fiscal year-end, Jun 30, 2025Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.
Current assetsA$163M
- Cash & short-term investmentsA$72M
- ReceivablesA$33M
- InventoryA$47M
- Other current assetsA$10M
Current liabilitiesA$118M
- Accounts payableA$50M
- Other current liabilitiesA$69M
Current ratio1.38×all current assets ÷ what's due · Graham looked for 2×
Quick ratio0.98×stricter: inventory excluded
Cash ratio0.61×strictest: cash alone against what's due
Working capitalA$45Mthe cushion left after near-term bills
Cash runway2.1 yrsthe business is consuming cash; this is how long the cash on hand lasts at that rate
Deeper floors
Tangible book valueA$420Mequity stripped of goodwill & intangibles
Net current asset value(A$14M)Graham's net-net: current assets less all liabilities
Debt incl. operating leasesA$17MA$3M of it operating leases
From the company's latest filing.
Peers, Metals & Mining
The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.
| Company | Revenue | Gross margin | Op. margin | ROIC | Owner earn. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDUMDU Resources Group, Inc. | $1.9B | — | 9.9% | 5% | -0% |
| HLHecla Mining Company | $1.4B | 22% | 10.0% | -0% | 2% |
| CMPCompass Minerals Intl Inc | $1.2B | — | 8.3% | 4% | 4% |
| LEUCentrus Energy Corp. | $449M | 26% | 11.0% | — | 7% |
| USLMUnited States Lime & Minerals Inc. | $373M | 30% | 22.1% | 21% | 18% |
| IPIIntrepid Potash Inc | $298M | — | -2.1% | -1% | -3% |
| ELVRElevra Lithium Limited | A$223M | — | -172.1% | -16% | -15% |
| UUUUEnergy Fuels Inc. | $66M | 37% | -122.6% | -16% | -102% |
| Group median | — | — | 9.1% | -0% | 1% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFEnter the US price, in dollars: the NYSE/Nasdaq quote you hold. Per the filing's own cover, “American Depositary Shares (“ADS”), each representing 10 ordinary”; Elevra Lithium Limited reports in AUD, so every figure in this tool is stated per ADS and translated at AUD 1 = $0.700 (2026-07-17, reference rate) so your dollar quote reconciles exactly. The record tables elsewhere on this page remain as filed, in AUD.
Elevra Lithium Limited is profitable, but owner earnings are negative this year because capital spending currently outruns operating cash, a build-out, so the owner-earnings reverse-DCF has no positive base to grow. We read the price from both ends instead: type a price to see the steady-state profitability it demands, then set the mature margin you would believe and weigh the two against each other. Nothing leaves your browser unless you enter it in your notebook.
$
The assumptions
Enter a price to run it.
Owner earnings it must reach—
Margin the price demands—
Owner-earnings margin today−15%
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Two reads of one future. From your price: the owner earnings the company must reach, valued at a mature multiple and discounted back at your rate, expressed as the margin it implies on revenue grown at your rate. From your belief: the mature margin you would credit, set on the dial above. When the margin the price demands runs above the one you would believe, you are paying for a future taken on faith. For a deep cyclical at a trough, normalized through-cycle earnings are the better lens; this mode is for the genuinely unprofitable, and for the profitable business whose capital spending currently outruns its cash.
Cite: Owner Scorecard, "Elevra Lithium Limited (ELVR), the owner's record," https://ownerscorecard.com/c/ELVR, data as of 2026-07-09.
Manual order: ← ELTK its page in the Manual EMA →
Industry order: ← CSTM the Metals & Mining chapter ERO →