Share count
76Mpeak FY2025
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NATL, NCR Atleos Corporation
Technology Hardware consumer brand
Consumers benefit from increased convenience and connectivity through proximity to our network of approximately 78,000 self-service banking terminal locations is the largest retail surcharge-free independent network of ATMs in the U.S.
General Development of the Business NCR Atleos Corporation ("Atleos," the "Company," "we," "us," and "our") is an industry-leading financial technology company providing self-directed banking solutions to a global customer base including financial institutions, merchants, manufacturers, retailers and consumers.
Self-directed banking is a rapidly growing, secular trend that allows banking customers to transact seamlessly between various channels all for the same transaction.
The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
Revenue · FY2025
$4.4B
+1.1% YoY · 5% 4-yr CAGR
Vital signs · TTM, with 5-yr average
Revenue $4.4B 5-yr avg $4.1B
Revenue $1.0B +6.5% vs yr-ago qtr
Operating margin 8.1% yr-ago 9.5%
Net income $22M yr-ago $13M
Net margin 2.1% yr-ago 1.3%
The business in brief
read the 10-K →What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- What moves the needle
- Operating margin has run about 7.0% through the cycle, a thin margin, where volume, cost discipline and the price it gets all bear on the result. On its own account, the filing leans hardest on pricing power & competition, set against the numbers in what the filing emphasizes, below.
- Is it a good business?
- Return on capital has sat near the cost of capital (median 10%). By owner earnings: roughly 6% of revenue reaches owners as cash, consistently. This is price-taker territory, where the balance sheet and the cycle matter more than any multiple; the rest is in the 10-K.
Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.
Where the money comes from
read the 10-K →55% of revenue comes from outside the United States.
Revenue by geography, FY2025
- United States45%$2.0B
- EMEA31%$1.4B
- Americas (excluding United States)12%$541M
- APJ11%$488M
From the segment footnote of the company's own 10-K. Shares are of total revenue; the profit bar shows each segment's share of segment operating profit, before unallocated corporate costs.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2021–2025
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2021’21 | 2022’22 | 2023’23 | 2024’24 | 2025’25 | TTMTTMMar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| $3.5B | $4.1B | $4.2B | $4.3B | $4.4B | $4.4B | RevenueRevenue |
| 15% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 12% | SG&A / revenueSG&A/rev |
| 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | R&D / revenueR&D/rev |
| $248M | $258M | $263M | $437M | $478M | $469M | Operating incomeOp. inc. |
| 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| $186M | $99M | ($150M) | $80M | $162M | $170M | Net incomeNet inc. |
| 26% | 33% | — | 35% | 14% | 15% | Effective tax rateTax rate |
| Cash flow & returns | ||||||
| $449M | $274M | $355M | $344M | $356M | $224M | Operating cash flowOp. cash |
| $72M | $127M | $254M | $287M | $277M | $278M | DepreciationDeprec. |
| $109M | ($18M) | $183M | ($61M) | ($117M) | ($256M) | Working capital & otherWC & other |
| $80M | $58M | $108M | $87M | $117M | $115M | CapexCapex |
| 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | Capex / revenueCapex/rev |
| $369M | $216M | $247M | $257M | $239M | $109M | Owner earningsOwner earn. |
| 10.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% | Owner earnings marginOE mgn |
| $369M | $216M | $247M | $257M | $239M | $109M | Free cash flowFCF |
| 10.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% | Free cash flow marginFCF mgn |
| $2.3B | $78M | $1M | $0 | $17M | $17M | AcquisitionsAcquis. |
| — | — | $0 | $0 | $28M | — | BuybacksBuybacks |
| 9% | — | — | 10% | 15% | 15% | ROICROIC |
| 8% | 3% | -68% | 37% | 40% | 43% | Return on equityROE |
| 8% | 3% | −68% | 37% | 40% | 43% | Retained to equityRetained/eq |
| Balance sheet | ||||||
| $238M | $293M | $339M | $419M | $456M | $433M | Cash & investmentsCash+inv |
| — | $455M | $707M | $581M | $550M | $575M | ReceivablesReceiv. |
| — | $419M | $333M | $307M | $342M | $366M | InventoryInvent. |
| — | — | $505M | $564M | $617M | $597M | Accounts payablePayables |
| — | $874M | $535M | $324M | $275M | $344M | Operating working capitalOper. WC |
| — | $1.6B | $1.9B | $1.7B | $1.8B | $1.8B | Current assetsCur. assets |
| — | $1.4B | $1.8B | $1.7B | $1.9B | $1.9B | Current liabilitiesCur. liab. |
| — | 1.2× | 1.0× | 1.0× | 1.0× | 1.0× | Current ratioCurr. ratio |
| $1.9B | $1.9B | $2.0B | $1.9B | $2.0B | $2.0B | GoodwillGoodwill |
| — | $5.8B | $5.7B | $5.5B | $5.7B | $5.6B | Total assetsAssets |
| — | — | $3.0B | $2.9B | $2.8B | $2.8B | Total debtDebt |
| — | — | $2.7B | $2.5B | $2.3B | $2.4B | Net debt / (cash)Net debt |
| — | 8.3× | 2.9× | 1.4× | 1.8× | 1.8× | Interest coverageInt. cov. |
| $2.3B | $3.3B | $219M | $219M | $403M | $396M | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | Stock comp / revenueSBC/rev |
| Per share | ||||||
| 70.6M | 70.6M | 70.6M | 74.2M | 75.6M | 75.6M | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| $50.27 | $58.39 | $59.29 | $58.02 | $57.59 | $58.44 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| $2.63 | $1.40 | $-2.12 | $1.08 | $2.14 | $2.25 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| $5.23 | $3.06 | $3.50 | $3.46 | $3.16 | $1.44 | Owner earnings / shareOE/sh |
| $5.23 | $3.06 | $3.50 | $3.46 | $3.16 | $1.44 | Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh |
| $1.13 | $0.82 | $1.53 | $1.17 | $1.55 | $1.52 | Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh |
| $33.05 | $46.22 | $3.10 | $2.95 | $5.33 | $5.24 | Book value / shareBVPS |
Per-share growththe realized rate an owner's share compounded
| 4-yr | 5-yr | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue / share | +3.5%/yr | +3.5%/yr (4-yr) |
| Owner earnings / share | −11.8%/yr | −11.8%/yr (4-yr) |
| EPS | −5.0%/yr | −5.0%/yr (4-yr) |
| Capital spending / share | +8.1%/yr | +8.1%/yr (4-yr) |
| Book value / share | −36.6%/yr | −36.6%/yr (4-yr) |
The year, in the company's words
the filing →Verbatim from the 10-K's management discussion. Each sentence is shown only because its subject, direction, and stated figures check out against the filed numbers on this page. The words are the company's; the arithmetic is the record's.
- Revenue+1.1%
“Consolidated revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025 increased 1% compared to the year ended December 31, 2024, primarily driven by $151 million, or 4%, increase in core business segment revenues.”
✓ figure matches the filed record
The record, charted
FY2021–2025Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.
ROIC
15%low FY2021
Net debt ÷ owner earnings
9.6×peak FY2023
Owner earnings vs. net income
Owner earningsNet incomeThe accountant's number, and the cash an owner can take; the gap is the tell.
$239Mowner earningsvs.$162Mnet incomelow FY2022
Where the cash went
ReinvestBuybacksDividendsAcquisitionsRetainedBeyond op. cashEach year's outlays against its operating cash: the mix, and how it drifts. The hatched cap is spending beyond that year's operating cash — financed from the balance sheet or borrowing, not operations.
FY2021FY2025
Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.
In fiscal 2025 the business turned $162M of profit into $239M of owner earnings: more cash than the profit line showed, after the non-cash charges and the capital it put back in.
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported net income | $162M | $80M | ($150M) | $99M | $186M |
| Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back | +$277M | +$287M | +$254M | +$127M | +$72M |
| Stock-based compensationreal costnon-cash, but a real cost | +$34M | +$38M | +$68M | +$66M | +$82M |
| Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items | −$117M | −$61M | +$183M | −$18M | +$109M |
| Cash from operations | $356M | $344M | $355M | $274M | $449M |
| Capital expenditurecash put back in to keep running and to grow | −$117M | −$87M | −$108M | −$58M | −$80M |
| Owner earnings | $239M | $257M | $247M | $216M | $369M |
| Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% |
Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the capital it must spend to hold its position . The cash-flow statement also adds stock comp back as non-cash, but it is a real cost paid in shares; counted as the expense it is (less $34M), owner earnings is nearer $205M.
Much of fiscal 2025's profit didn't arrive as operating cash; it sits in “working capital & other” above. That can be a real inventory or timing swing, or profit that doesn't run through operating cash at all: a heavy tax year, equity-method earnings, or investment income booked through investing. For a year like this, owner earnings understates the cash earned; the full cash-flow statement carries the rest.
Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
FY2025 10-K · source on SEC EDGAR →
Will it survive?
- ThinOperating income $478M ÷ interest expense $270M
What this means
Operating profit covers interest, but with little room. A bad year, a refinancing at higher rates, or a revenue wobble closes the gap fast.
- How heavy is the debt, net of cash? $2.3B · 4.8× operating profitHeavy net debtCash $456M − debt $2.8B
What this means
Netting $456M of cash and short-term investments against $2.8B of debt leaves $2.3B owed, about 4.8× a year's operating profit (5.8× on the gross debt, before the cash). Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.
- Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
Is it a good business?
- Solid through the cycle3-yr median, range 9%–15%; 15% latest = NOPAT $410M ÷ invested capital $2.7BIndustry peers: median 9%
What this means
The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 3 years (it ran 15% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.
- Solid through the cycle5-yr median margin, range 5%–10%; latest $239M = operating cash $356M − maintenance capex $117MIndustry peers: median 12%
What this means
What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's 5% of revenue this year, a 6% median across 5 years. Treating stock comp as the real expense it is (less $34M of SBC) leaves $205M.
- Cash-backedCash from ops $356M ÷ net income $162M
In the filing’s words The filing leans on adjusted, non-GAAP earnings, but the GAAP profit is itself cash-backed — the adjustments are not papering over a cash shortfall here.
What this means
How much of reported profit showed up as operating cash. Above 1× is reassuring; well below suggests earnings lean on accruals. One year is noisy, growth and working-capital swings distort it, and this is operating cash, not free cash. Watch the multi-year trend.
How is the cash used?
- Reinvests most of itDividends + buybacks $28M ÷ Owner Earnings $239M
What this means
Of $239M Owner Earnings, $28M (12%) went back to shareholders, $0 dividends, $28M buybacks. But the buybacks barely exceed stock issued to employees ($34M SBC), net of dilution, little was truly returned. Returning most of it is the mark of a mature business with little left to reinvest at a high return; reinvesting most could mean a long runway, or empire-building. The split doesn't say which; the return earned on it (see ROIC) does.
- Investing or harvesting? 0.42×HarvestingCapex $117M ÷ depreciation $277M
What this means
Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.
Graham’s defensive tests · 1 of 5 met
Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.
- Adequate size PassRevenue ≥ $2B · $4.4B
What this means
Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.
- Strong liquidity MissCurrent ratio ≥ 2× · 0.96×
What this means
Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.
- Conservative debt MissDebt ≤ working capital · $2.8B vs ($75M) WC
What this means
Graham's rule that borrowings not exceed net current assets. Capital-heavy and buyback-heavy firms routinely fail it, read it next to interest coverage, not alone.
- Earnings stability NearA profit every year (5-yr record) · 1 loss year
What this means
Graham wanted earnings in each of the past ten years, the stability a defensive owner leans on.
- Dividend record MissUninterrupted dividends · none paid
What this means
An unbroken dividend was Graham's mark of durability. He wanted twenty years; the filings show about ten, and a single suspension breaks the streak. Non-payers, many fine modern compounders, fall outside his defensive net by design.
- Moderate price —P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
What this means
Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $0.42/share (latest year $2.20), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $5.46/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.
Durability & moat, 2021–2025
Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.
- Profitable years 4 of 5
What this means
Lost money in 1 year(s), look at what happened there before trusting the average.
- Return on capital ≥ 15% 1 of 3 yrs
What this means
A moat shows up as a high return on invested capital that holds year after year, not one good vintage.
- Operating margin 7% → 11% (2-yr avg ends)
What this means
Through the cycle the operating margin widened — about 7% early to 11% lately, median 7% — pricing power intact or improving.
- Reinvestment, incremental ROIC returns capital
What this means
The capital base barely grew: this business returns cash through dividends and buybacks rather than reinvesting. Judge it on the cash returned, not on compounding.
- Owner earnings growth −4%/yr
What this means
Owner earnings shrank about 4% a year over the record.
- Worst year 2022 · 6.3% op. margin
What this means
Stayed profitable even in its hardest year, the resilience that survives recessions.
- Share count +1.7%/yr
What this means
The share count is rising, dilution works against you on a per-share basis.
Does AI threaten the moat?
Low contestabilityThe moat is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded, the kind AI cuts costs within but does not contest.
In its own filing Raised, but not as a competitor
The filing raises AI among its risks, but in other terms (security, regulation, energy or the like), not as a competitor to its product; it frames AI mainly as a capability.
AI is unlikely to contest a moat that is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded; here it reads more as a cost tool than a threat, and the company is using it that way.
Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
Current Position
as of the latest quarter, Mar 31, 2026Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.
Current assets$1.8B
- Cash & short-term investments$433M
- Receivables$575M
- Inventory$366M
- Other current assets$441M
Current liabilities$1.9B
- Debt due within a year$80M
- Accounts payable$597M
- Other current liabilities$1.2B
Current ratio0.98×all current assets ÷ what's due · Graham looked for 2×
Quick ratio0.78×stricter: inventory excluded
Cash ratio0.23×strictest: cash alone against what's due
Working capital($36M)the cushion left after near-term bills
Its current ratio is below 1, which usually reads as strain; here it is likely structural strength. What it owes in the near term is money to suppliers and customers (payables and deferred revenue), not to lenders, so the balance sheet is funded by operating float, the way Costco's and Amazon's are. The low ratio can be the edge, not the risk; the cash-conversion cycle and the debt due above say which.
Debt due this year vs. cash$80M due · $433M cash
covered by cash on hand, no refinancing forced · both figures from the Mar 31, 2026 balance sheet
Revenue, latest quarter vs. a year ago+6.5%the freshest read on whether the business is still growing
Current ratio, recent quarters1.1× → 1.0×
Deeper floors
Tangible book value($2.0B)equity stripped of goodwill & intangibles
Net current asset value($3.4B)Graham's net-net: current assets less all liabilities
Debt incl. operating leases$3.0B$183M of it operating leases
Deferred revenue$474Mcustomer cash collected before delivery; operating float
From the company's latest filing.
How the cash was used, 2021–2025
Over the record, the business generated $1.8B of operating cash; how management split it reads as a balanced allocator, splitting cash between the business, owners, and the balance sheet.
- Reinvested$450M · 25%
- Buybacks$28M · 2%
- Retained (debt / cash)$1.3B · 73%
- Returned to owners$28M
2% of the owner earnings the business produced over the span, $0 as dividends and $28M as buybacks.
- Average price paid for buybacks—
Buybacks ran $28M over the span, but the filings don't tag the share count needed to deduce the average price paid.
- Net change in share count7.1%
The diluted count rose from 71M to 76M: issuance (stock pay, deals) outran any buybacks, so owners were diluted on net.
- Dividend record—
No dividend line was reported in the filing data over the span; the record here neither confirms nor rules out a payout.
- Return on what it retained−9%
Of the earnings it kept rather than paid out ($349M over the span), annual owner earnings (first three years vs last three) fell $30M, so each retained $1 gave back about 0.09 of yearly owner earnings. Buffett's test, run on owner earnings instead of market value.
Buybacks are gross of stock issued to staff; the share-count line above is the net of that, the figure that decides whether owners gained. The average price paid blends a year of purchases (and any accelerated repurchase), so it is close, not exact. The record of where the cash went and on what terms.
Acquisitions & goodwill
from the balance sheet & the 5-year cash-flow recordGoodwill grows only when a company acquires and falls only when it concedes it overpaid. The size of that bet, the cash put into buying rather than building, and how much has already been written off.
Goodwill & intangibles$2.5B43% of all assets; the premium carried on the balance sheet for businesses acquired
Against book equityexceeds itgoodwill alone is larger than the company’s entire book equity; stripped of the acquisition premium, there is no net book worth
Cash spent acquiring$2.4Bover 5 years buying other businesses, against $450M of capital spent building
None written down over the record; the goodwill is still carried at full cost. That is the deals holding their value on the books so far; whether they keep doing so is the test an owner watches, since the write-down, when it comes, is the admission the price was too high.
Goodwill, acquired intangibles and equity from the latest balance sheet; acquisition spend and write-downs summed across the 5-year record, from the company's own filings.
Management, ownership & pay
read the proxy →From the proxy: how much of the business the people running it own, and how they are paid, beside what the business earned for its owners in the same years.
| Fiscal year | Chief executive | Pay, as filed | “Actually paid” | Owner earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Timothy C. Oliver | $9.0M | $10.8M | $247M |
| 2024 | Timothy C. Oliver | $8.7M | $14.4M | $257M |
| 2025 | Timothy C. Oliver | $10.3M | $12.6M | $239M |
Both pay figures are the company’s own, from the pay-versus-performance table its proxy statement files. “As filed” is the Summary Compensation Table total: salary, bonus, and equity awards at their value on the day of grant. “Actually paid” is the SEC’s prescribed recalculation, which re-marks those equity awards to what they became as they vested; it can swing far above or below the filed figure in either direction, and negative years occur. Owner earnings are the whole business's, from the record above, for the same fiscal years.
- Insider ownership<1%
The stake all directors and executive officers hold together, per the 2026 proxy: skin in the game, the first thing Munger reads.
- CEO pay ratio206:1
What the chief earns for every dollar the median employee makes, per the 2026 proxy. A high ratio alone settles nothing; some businesses are genuinely top-heavy in scarce skill. A runaway figure is where Buffett starts asking whether the board is doing its job.
- Stock-based compensation$34M
The slice of the business handed to employees in shares this year, 1% of revenue, equal to 7% of operating profit. Buffett's oldest accounting fight: this is compensation, compensation is an expense, real whether or not the headline earnings admit it. One trap: the cash-flow statement adds SBC back, so the operating cash, and the owner earnings drawn from it, are flattered by exactly this amount; counted as the cost it is, what an owner keeps is lower.
Inverting the record
Invert: instead of why NCR Atleos Corporation is a good business, the question is what would make owning it a mistake, and whether those marks are in the record. Disconfirming tests across 2021–2025.
2 of the 3 tests turned up something to look into; the other 1 came back clean.
- Look hereIs it less profitable than it was?5.7% vs 7.8%
The owner-earnings margin averaged 7.8% early in the record and 5.7% across the last three years, and the latest year has not recovered. Ask the filing whether that is a structural drift or a cyclical trough — price, mix, cost, or a competitor — and whether it is permanent.
- Look hereDid the share count rise anyway?7.1%
Diluted shares grew 7.1% over 2021–2025, even as the company spent $28M on buybacks. The repurchases were outrun by issuance — to staff, in a raise, or in a deal — and the filing says which; owners' slice still shrank. Read the buyback line beside this one, not on its own.
And these came back clean
- Did reported profit become cash?
Each test is read from the filings and is noisy alone; a flag can mark a cyclical trough or a year of heavy investment as easily as a problem. The filing says which.
What an owner would ask, FY2025
read the 10-K →- Which reported numbers are a judgment call?Management names Revenue recognition, Pension & retirement, Income taxes, Inventory as critical estimates
each rests partly on management's judgment; the filing's note sets out the assumptionsverify →
The questions the record and the charts do not answer on their own; each carries the figure and the place to look.
Peers, Technology Hardware
The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.
| Company | Revenue | Gross margin | Op. margin | ROIC | Owner earn. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NTAPNetApp Inc. | $6.9B | 67% | 18.8% | 70% | 20% |
| JNPRJuniper Networks | $5.1B | 59% | 9.8% | 9% | 13% |
| LOGILogitech International S.A. | $4.8B | 71% | 11.9% | 63% | 12% |
| NATLNCR Atleos Corporation | $4.4B | — | 7.0% | 10% | 6% |
| DBDDiebold Nixdorf Incorporated | $3.8B | 24% | -0.6% | -4% | 7% |
| PEverpure Inc. | $3.7B | 69% | -8.1% | -12% | 12% |
| FFIVF5 Inc. | $3.1B | 81% | 23.1% | 26% | 27% |
| VYXNCR Voyix Corporation | $2.7B | 25% | 2.0% | 1% | 10% |
| Group median | — | — | 8.4% | 9% | 12% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFType today's close and see the owner-earnings growth you'd have to believe to justify it, beside what NCR Atleos Corporation has delivered.
$
Through the cycle, NCR Atleos Corporation earns about $257M on its 5.9% median owner-earnings margin. This year’s 5.5% margin runs in line with that. Normalize, below, values the price on that through-cycle figure rather than the latest year.
Base
—
The assumptions
9.0% = the 4.55% 10-year Treasury (Jul 15, 2026) + 4.45 points of equity premium. The rate you require is yours to set.
Enter a price above to run it.
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Implied by the price—
Owner-earnings growth · ’21→’25−4%/yr
Owner-earnings growth · ’21→’25−4%/yr
Owner-earnings yield—
What a growth belief costs, in multiples
The growth each return requires, at your price
P/E (3-yr earnings ’23–’25)—
P/B—
Graham’s price gate—
Graham capped the multiple at 15×; Buffett and Munger let that rule go: a wonderful business can deserve 50× if the thesis holds. The gate marks the bargain-hunter's floor.
Against a high-grade bond: Graham’s yardstick bond yield%
Prefilled with the 10-year Treasury (4.55%, as of Jul 15, 2026). Edit it for today’s exact figure, or a AAA corporate yield.
Graham measured a stock against the bond you could own instead, the heart of his margin of safety. Enter a price above to weigh the owner-earnings yield against this bond.
Owner-earnings yield—
High-grade bond yield—
Margin over the bond—
Owner earnings $109M on 74M shares outstanding, per the 10-Q cover, as of 2026-05-01; net debt $2.4B. The base is the latest year by default; Normalize values it on the through-cycle median owner-earnings margin (to avoid paying on a peak year). Net of stock comp treats option pay as the expense it is. The dials set the multiple a growth belief justifies; the price, and every dollar on this page, is yours.
Cite: Owner Scorecard, "NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL), the owner's record," https://ownerscorecard.com/c/NATL, data as of 2026-07-09.
Manual order: ← NATH its page in the Manual NATR →
Industry order: ← MITK the Technology Hardware chapter NTAP →