← All companies ← ZUMZ Manual ZWS → ← ZTS Pharmaceuticals ZYBT →
ZVRA, Zevra Therapeutics Inc.
Revenue is MIPLYFFA (82%) and OLPRUVA (1%).
The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
The business in brief
read the 10-K →What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- What it is
- A pharmaceutical business, where patents grant a temporary monopoly the pipeline must keep refilling.
- Situation
- Distress / turnaround. Thin interest coverage, or operating cash burned against real debt, across the record. The balance sheet carries this situation; the debt schedule sets the clock.
- What moves the needle
- Operating margin has reached 27% at its best but run negative through the cycle (median −158%) on a 89% gross margin — so the question is which reading is truer: whether the median was pulled below zero by one-off charges, by the cycle, or by spending it is still growing into, and whether it settles back at a profit. Stock-based pay runs about 22% of sales, a real and recurring claim on owners that the GAAP margin understates. Read this kind of business on the pipeline against the patent cliff, and pricing. On its own account, the filing leans hardest on pricing power & competition, set against the numbers in what the filing emphasizes, below.
- Is it a good business?
- Return on capital has rarely cleared the cost of capital (median −127%, above 15% in 0 of 4 years). Owner earnings, the cash-based check, have been thin too. This is price-taker territory, where the balance sheet and the cycle matter more than any multiple; the rest is in the 10-K.
Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.
Where the money comes from
read the 10-K →MIPLYFFA is 82% of revenue, so this is largely a single-line business.
- MIPLYFFA82%$87M
- OLPRUVA1%$800K
From the segment footnote of the company's own 10-K. Shares are of total revenue; the profit bar shows each segment's share of segment operating profit, before unallocated corporate costs.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2018–2025
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2018’18 | 2019’19 | 2020’20 | 2021’21 | 2022’22 | 2023’23 | 2024’24 | 2025’25 | TTMTTMMar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | |||||||||
| $0 | $13M | $13M | $29M | $10M | $27M | $24M | $106M | $122M | RevenueRevenue |
| — | 84% | 60% | 30% | 148% | 125% | 232% | 73% | 64% | SG&A / revenueSG&A/rev |
| — | 151% | 67% | 35% | 195% | 145% | 178% | 12% | 11% | R&D / revenueR&D/rev |
| ($56M) | ($20M) | ($6M) | $8M | ($43M) | ($50M) | ($87M) | ($63M) | ($5M) | Operating incomeOp. inc. |
| — | −158.4% | −42.2% | 27.0% | −418.9% | −180.6% | −368.5% | −59.1% | −4.4% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| ($56M) | ($25M) | ($13M) | ($9M) | ($27M) | ($46M) | ($106M) | $83M | $124M | Net incomeNet inc. |
| Cash flow & returns | |||||||||
| ($54M) | ($24M) | ($2M) | $10M | ($19M) | ($34M) | ($70M) | ($2M) | $13M | Operating cash flowOp. cash |
| $324K | $304K | $273K | $257K | $944K | $1M | $6M | $4M | $3M | DepreciationDeprec. |
| ($5M) | ($4M) | $8M | $16M | $3M | $6M | $15M | ($102M) | ($127M) | Working capital & otherWC & other |
| $21K | $26K | $33K | $102K | $93K | $296K | $0 | $835K | $771K | CapexCapex |
| — | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | Capex / revenueCapex/rev |
| ($54M) | ($24M) | ($2M) | $10M | ($19M) | ($34M) | ($70M) | ($2M) | $12M | Owner earningsOwner earn. |
| — | −185.1% | −14.8% | 36.1% | −185.1% | −123.2% | −295.0% | −2.3% | 9.8% | Owner earnings marginOE mgn |
| ($54M) | ($24M) | ($2M) | $10M | ($19M) | ($34M) | ($70M) | ($2M) | $12M | Free cash flowFCF |
| — | −185.1% | −14.8% | 36.1% | −185.1% | −123.2% | −295.0% | −2.3% | 9.8% | Free cash flow marginFCF mgn |
| — | — | — | $0 | $14M | $30M | $0 | — | $0 | AcquisitionsAcquis. |
| — | — | $0 | $3M | $5M | $3M | $0 | — | — | BuybacksBuybacks |
| — | — | — | — | -150% | -164% | -105% | -39% | -3% | ROICROIC |
| — | — | — | -8% | -36% | -74% | -266% | 54% | 60% | Return on equityROE |
| — | — | — | −8% | −36% | −74% | −266% | 54% | 60% | Retained to equityRetained/eq |
| Balance sheet | |||||||||
| $22M | $3M | $4M | $112M | $66M | $43M | $34M | $62M | $96M | Cash & investmentsCash+inv |
| $0 | $2M | $2M | $1M | $7M | $16M | $10M | — | $10M | ReceivablesReceiv. |
| — | — | — | — | $671K | $0 | $2M | $2M | $2M | InventoryInvent. |
| $4M | $1M | $1M | $516K | $4M | $14M | $13M | $2M | $12M | Accounts payablePayables |
| ($4M) | $541K | $1M | $905K | $4M | $2M | ($929K) | ($738K) | $798K | Operating working capitalOper. WC |
| $24M | $7M | $8M | $115M | $93M | $87M | $86M | $223M | $230M | Current assetsCur. assets |
| $12M | $5M | $8M | $4M | $12M | $74M | $34M | $39M | $47M | Current liabilitiesCur. liab. |
| 2.0× | 1.3× | 1.1× | 27.2× | 7.7× | 1.2× | 2.5× | 5.7× | 4.9× | Current ratioCurr. ratio |
| — | — | — | — | $0 | $5M | $5M | $5M | $5M | GoodwillGoodwill |
| $27M | $11M | $11M | $133M | $115M | $172M | $178M | $285M | $279M | Total assetsAssets |
| $81M | $77M | $68M | $0 | $13M | $5M | $60M | $62M | $60M | Total debtDebt |
| $60M | $74M | $63M | ($112M) | ($53M) | ($38M) | $26M | ($478K) | ($36M) | Net debt / (cash)Net debt |
| -10.2× | -4.2× | -1.2× | 34.2× | -127.1× | -33.0× | -11.8× | -7.9× | -0.7× | Interest coverageInt. cov. |
| ($67M) | ($74M) | ($66M) | $102M | $75M | $62M | $40M | $155M | $206M | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| — | 34.3% | 18.7% | 8.5% | 42.3% | 21.7% | 63.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | Stock comp / revenueSBC/rev |
| Per share | |||||||||
| 17.9M | 1.9M | 4.0M | 29.8M | 34.5M | 35.5M | 46.3M | 57.3M | 60.2M | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| $0.00 | $6.93 | $3.34 | $0.96 | $0.29 | $0.77 | $0.51 | $1.86 | $2.03 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| $-3.15 | $-13.23 | $-3.21 | $-0.29 | $-0.78 | $-1.30 | $-2.28 | $1.45 | $2.06 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| $-3.02 | $-12.82 | $-0.50 | $0.35 | $-0.55 | $-0.95 | $-1.51 | $-0.04 | $0.20 | Owner earnings / shareOE/sh |
| $-3.02 | $-12.82 | $-0.50 | $0.35 | $-0.55 | $-0.95 | $-1.51 | $-0.04 | $0.20 | Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh |
| $0.00 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0.01 | Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh |
| $-3.71 | $-40.17 | $-16.68 | $3.42 | $2.18 | $1.74 | $0.86 | $2.70 | $3.42 | Book value / shareBVPS |
The diluted share count moved ×1/9.67 into 2019 — shares retired, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
The diluted share count moved ×2.15 into 2020 — shares issued, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
The diluted share count moved ×7.48 into 2021 — shares issued, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
| 7-yr | 5-yr | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue / share | — | −11.0%/yr |
| Capital spending / share | +43.4%/yr | +12.0%/yr |
The year, in the company's words
the filing →Verbatim from the 10-K's management discussion. Each sentence is shown only because its subject, direction, and stated figures check out against the filed numbers on this page. The words are the company's; the arithmetic is the record's.
- Revenue+350.9%
“Revenue, net Revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025, was $106.5 million, compared to revenue of $23.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, an increase of approximately $82.9 million. The increase was primarily attributable to an increase in product sales of MIPLYFFA of $77.3 million and an increase in revenues under the global EAP of $3.9 million.”
✓ figure matches the filed record
The record, charted
FY2018–2025Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.
Owner earnings vs. net income
Owner earningsNet incomeThe accountant's number, and the cash an owner can take; the gap is the tell.
Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.
In fiscal 2025 the business reported $83M of profit but ($2M) of owner earnings: $86M less than the profit line, taken out by capital spending and the timing of cash.
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported net income | $83M | ($106M) | ($46M) | ($27M) | ($9M) |
| Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back | +$4M | +$6M | +$1M | +$944K | +$257K |
| Stock-based compensationreal costnon-cash, but a real cost | +$13M | +$15M | +$6M | +$4M | +$2M |
| Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items | −$102M | +$15M | +$6M | +$3M | +$16M |
| Cash from operations | ($2M) | ($70M) | ($34M) | ($19M) | $10M |
| Capital expenditurecash put back in to keep running and to grow | −$835K | — | −$296K | −$93K | −$102K |
| Owner earnings | ($2M) | ($70M) | ($34M) | ($19M) | $10M |
| Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue | -2% | -295% | -123% | -185% | 36% |
Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the capital it must spend to hold its position . The cash-flow statement also adds stock comp back as non-cash, but it is a real cost paid in shares; counted as the expense it is (less $13M), owner earnings is nearer ($15M).
Much of fiscal 2025's profit didn't arrive as operating cash; it sits in “working capital & other” above. That can be a real inventory or timing swing, or profit that doesn't run through operating cash at all: a heavy tax year, equity-method earnings, or investment income booked through investing. For a year like this, owner earnings understates the cash earned; the full cash-flow statement carries the rest.
Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
Will it survive?
- Can it pay its interest? -7.9×Does not cover its interestOperating income ($63M) ÷ interest expense $8M
What this means
A full year of operating profit didn't cover the interest bill. This is the zombie zone: the business depends on refinancing, asset sales, or forbearance to service its debt.
- Net cashCash $62M − debt $62M
What this means
Cash and short-term investments exceed every dollar of debt by $478K, on net the company owes nothing, and can act from strength when others can't. Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.
- Negative, funded by othersDSO 35 + DIO 216 − DPO 307 days
What this means
Days cash is tied up between paying suppliers and collecting from customers. A negative cycle is a quiet moat: suppliers and customers fund the operation (Buffett's “float”), the company grows on other people's money.
Is it a good business?
- Below average through the cycle4-yr median, range -164%–-39%; -39% latest = NOPAT ($60M) ÷ invested capital $154MIndustry peers: median -38%
What this means
The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 4 years (it ran -39% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.
- Owner-earnings margin -123%Consumes cash through the cycle7-yr median margin, range -295%–36%; latest ($2M) = operating cash ($2M) − maintenance capex $835KIndustry peers: median -153%
What this means
What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's -2% of revenue this year, a -123% median across 7 years. Treating stock comp as the real expense it is (less $13M of SBC) leaves ($15M).
- Are earnings backed by cash? -0.02×Thinly cash-backedCash from ops ($2M) ÷ net income $83M
What this means
How much of reported profit showed up as operating cash. Above 1× is reassuring; well below suggests earnings lean on accruals. One year is noisy, growth and working-capital swings distort it, and this is operating cash, not free cash. Watch the multi-year trend.
How is the cash used?
- No surplus to allocate
What this means
The business didn't generate positive Owner Earnings this year, so any distributions came from the balance sheet or borrowing, not from operations.
- Investing or harvesting? 0.21×HarvestingCapex $835K ÷ depreciation $4M
What this means
Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.
Graham’s defensive tests · 2 of 5 met
Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.
- Adequate size MissRevenue ≥ $2B · $106M
What this means
Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.
- Strong liquidity PassCurrent ratio ≥ 2× · 5.68×
What this means
Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.
- Conservative debt PassDebt ≤ working capital · $62M vs $184M WC
What this means
Graham's rule that borrowings not exceed net current assets. Capital-heavy and buyback-heavy firms routinely fail it, read it next to interest coverage, not alone.
- Earnings stability MissA profit every year (8-yr record) · 7 loss years
What this means
Graham wanted earnings in each of the past ten years, the stability a defensive owner leans on.
- Dividend record MissUninterrupted dividends · none paid
What this means
An unbroken dividend was Graham's mark of durability. He wanted twenty years; the filings show about ten, and a single suspension breaks the streak. Non-payers, many fine modern compounders, fall outside his defensive net by design.
- Earnings growth —Earnings +33% over the record · —
What this means
Earnings were negative early in the record, a growth rate isn't meaningful.
- Moderate price —P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
What this means
Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $-0.39/share (latest year $1.41), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $2.62/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.
Durability & moat, 2018–2025
Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.
- Profitable years 1 of 8
What this means
Lost money in 7 year(s), look at what happened there before trusting the average.
- Return on capital ≥ 15% 0 of 4 yrs
What this means
A moat shows up as a high return on invested capital that holds year after year, not one good vintage.
- Operating margin −58% → −203% (3-yr avg ends)
What this means
The recent-years average (−203%) sits below the early years (−58%), but the latest year (−59%) is back near the early level: a cyclical trough dragging the window down, not a one-way slide. The through-cycle median is −158% — read it across the cycle, not on the dip.
- Reinvestment, incremental ROIC —
What this means
The reinvested base moved too little against the change in profit to read a reliable return on it here — the figure would be a small-denominator artifact, not a moat. Judge this one on the owner-earnings record and the cash it returns instead.
- Worst year 2022 · −418.9% op. margin
What this means
Operations went underwater in 2022, understand why before trusting the good years.
Does AI threaten the moat?
Low contestabilityThe moat is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded, the kind AI cuts costs within but does not contest.
The filing raises AI among its risks, but in other terms (security, regulation, energy or the like), not as a competitor to its product.
AI is unlikely to contest a moat that is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded; here it reads more as a cost tool than a threat.
Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
Current Position
as of the latest quarter, Mar 31, 2026Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.
- Cash & short-term investments$96M
- Receivables$10M
- Inventory$2M
- Other current assets$122M
- Accounts payable$12M
- Other current liabilities$35M
From the company's latest filing.
Acquisitions & goodwill
from the balance sheet & the 8-year cash-flow recordGoodwill grows only when a company acquires and falls only when it concedes it overpaid. The size of that bet, the cash put into buying rather than building, and how much has already been written off.
None written down over the record; the goodwill is still carried at full cost. That is the deals holding their value on the books so far; whether they keep doing so is the test an owner watches, since the write-down, when it comes, is the admission the price was too high.
Goodwill, acquired intangibles and equity from the latest balance sheet; acquisition spend and write-downs summed across the 8-year record, from the company's own filings.
Management, ownership & pay
read the proxy →From the proxy: how much of the business the people running it own, and how they are paid.
- Insider ownership3.7%
The stake all directors and executive officers hold together, per the 2026 proxy: skin in the game, the first thing Munger reads.
- Stock-based compensation$13M
The slice of the business handed to employees in shares this year, 12% of revenue. Buffett's oldest accounting fight: this is compensation, compensation is an expense, real whether or not the headline earnings admit it. One trap: the cash-flow statement adds SBC back, so the operating cash, and the owner earnings drawn from it, are flattered by exactly this amount; counted as the cost it is, what an owner keeps is lower.
What an owner would ask, FY2025
read the 10-K →- Which reported numbers are a judgment call?Management names Revenue recognition, Stock compensation as critical estimates
each rests partly on management's judgment; the filing's note sets out the assumptionsverify →
The questions the record and the charts do not answer on their own; each carries the figure and the place to look.
Peers, Pharmaceuticals
The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.
| Company | Revenue | Gross margin | Op. margin | ROIC | Owner earn. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XNCRXencor Inc. | $126M | — | -69.2% | -12% | -30% |
| GYREGyre Therapeutics Inc. | $117M | 96% | -276.4% | -9% | -1120% |
| URGNUroGen Pharma Ltd. | $110M | — | -157.5% | -58% | -142% |
| TBPHTheravance Biopharma Inc. | $107M | 94% | -357.1% | -73% | -268% |
| ZVRAZevra Therapeutics Inc. | $106M | — | -158.4% | -127% | -123% |
| ZYMEZymeworks Inc. | $106M | — | -180.7% | -38% | -153% |
| GRCEGrace Therapeutics Inc. | $100M | 100% | -11.1% | -19% | -9% |
| SPRYARS Pharmaceuticals Inc. | $84M | — | -353.3% | -39% | -320% |
| Group median | — | — | -169.5% | -38% | -148% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFType today's close and see the owner-earnings growth you'd have to believe to justify it, beside what Zevra Therapeutics Inc. has delivered.
—
9.0% = the 4.55% 10-year Treasury (Jul 15, 2026) + 4.45 points of equity premium. The rate you require is yours to set.
Enter a price above to run it.
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Graham capped the multiple at 15×; Buffett and Munger let that rule go: a wonderful business can deserve 50× if the thesis holds. The gate marks the bargain-hunter's floor.
Prefilled with the 10-year Treasury (4.55%, as of Jul 15, 2026). Edit it for today’s exact figure, or a AAA corporate yield.
Graham measured a stock against the bond you could own instead, the heart of his margin of safety. Enter a price above to weigh the owner-earnings yield against this bond.
Owner earnings $12M on 59M shares outstanding, per the 10-Q cover, as of 2026-05-01; net cash $36M. The base is the latest year by default; Normalize values it on the through-cycle median owner-earnings margin (to avoid paying on a peak year). Net of stock comp treats option pay as the expense it is. The dials set the multiple a growth belief justifies; the price, and every dollar on this page, is yours.
Manual order: ← ZUMZ its page in the Manual ZWS →
Industry order: ← ZTS the Pharmaceuticals chapter ZYBT →