Owner Scorecard


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ZYBT, Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited

Pharmaceuticals consumer brand

A pharmaceutical business, where patents grant a temporary monopoly the pipeline must keep refilling.

Latest annual: FY2025 20-F · figures as filed, in CNY
ZYBT · Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited
I

The business

What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.

Revenue · FY2025
CN¥116M
−37.6% YoY · −24% 3-yr CAGR
Vital signs · TTM, with 4-yr average
Revenue CN¥116M 4-yr avg CN¥194M
Gross margin 21% 4-yr avg 45%
Operating margin −60.6% 4-yr avg −1.3%
ROIC −24% 4-yr avg −0%
Owner-earnings margin 11% 4-yr avg 10%
Free cash flow margin 11% 4-yr avg 10%

The business in brief

read the 10-K →

What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.

What moves the needle
Gross margin has run about 49% and operating margin about 8.8% through the cycle, a solid spread between what it charges and what the product costs to make. The operating margin has swung widely — from −61% to 25% over the years — so the through-cycle figure carries more than any single year, and the worst year more than the best. Inventory runs near 31% of sales, so how fast it turns back into cash — and the risk of writing it down when demand softens — sits alongside the margin. Read this kind of business on the pipeline against the patent cliff, and pricing. On its own account, the filing leans hardest on customer concentration, set against the numbers in what the filing emphasizes, below.
Is it a good business?
Return on capital has rarely cleared the cost of capital (median 6%, above 15% in 0 of 3 years). By owner earnings: roughly 13% of revenue reaches owners as cash, consistently. This is price-taker territory, where the balance sheet and the cycle matter more than any multiple; the rest is in the 10-K.

Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.

II

The record

Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.

The record, 2022–2025

realized figures from each filing · older years to the left
2022’222023’232024’242025’25TTMTTMDec 2025
Income statement
CN¥260MCN¥212MCN¥186MCN¥116MCN¥116MRevenueRevenue
57%56%49%21%21%Gross marginGross mgn
CN¥66MCN¥45MCN¥16M(CN¥71M)(CN¥71M)Operating incomeOp. inc.
25.3%21.3%8.8%−60.6%−60.6%Operating marginOp. mgn
CN¥56MCN¥38MCN¥13M(CN¥83M)(CN¥83M)Net incomeNet inc.
13%14%6%Effective tax rateTax rate
Cash flow & returns
CN¥17MCN¥48MCN¥41MCN¥13MCN¥13MOperating cash flowOp. cash
CN¥19MCN¥24MCN¥24MCN¥26MCN¥26MDepreciationDeprec.
(CN¥57M)(CN¥13M)CN¥3MCN¥70MCN¥70MWorking capital & otherWC & other
CN¥27MCN¥7MCN¥14MCN¥1MCN¥1MCapexCapex
10.5%3.5%7.3%0.9%0.9%Capex / revenueCapex/rev
(CN¥10M)CN¥41MCN¥27MCN¥12MCN¥12MOwner earningsOwner earn.
−3.8%19.3%14.7%10.6%10.6%Owner earnings marginOE mgn
(CN¥10M)CN¥41MCN¥27MCN¥12MCN¥12MFree cash flowFCF
−3.8%19.3%14.7%10.6%10.6%Free cash flow marginFCF mgn
CN¥21MCN¥39MCN¥16MCN¥16MDividends paidDiv. paid
14%6%-21%-24%ROICROIC
14%5%-33%-33%Return on equityROE
−1%−1%−40%Retained to equityRetained/eq
Balance sheet
CN¥16MCN¥20MCN¥2MCN¥20MCash & investmentsCash+inv
CN¥74MCN¥60MCN¥18MCN¥18MReceivablesReceiv.
CN¥58MCN¥58MCN¥39MCN¥39MInventoryInvent.
CN¥46MCN¥43MCN¥44MCN¥44MAccounts payablePayables
CN¥87MCN¥75MCN¥14MCN¥14MOperating working capitalOper. WC
CN¥189MCN¥178MCN¥137MCN¥137MCurrent assetsCur. assets
CN¥150MCN¥136MCN¥120MCN¥120MCurrent liabilitiesCur. liab.
1.3×1.3×1.1×1.1×Current ratioCurr. ratio
CN¥500MCN¥493MCN¥436MCN¥436MTotal assetsAssets
CN¥10MCN¥12MCN¥10MCN¥6MTotal debtDebt
(CN¥6M)(CN¥8M)CN¥9M(CN¥15M)Net debt / (cash)Net debt
23.2×10.2×4.1×-20.7×-20.7×Interest coverageInt. cov.
CN¥273MCN¥284MCN¥250MCN¥250MShareholders’ equityEquity
Per share
45.7M45.7M45.7M47.3M45.7MShares out (diluted)Shares
CN¥5.70CN¥4.63CN¥4.08CN¥2.46CN¥2.55Revenue / shareRev/sh
CN¥1.22CN¥0.82CN¥0.29CN¥-1.75CN¥-1.82EPS (diluted)EPS
CN¥-0.22CN¥0.89CN¥0.60CN¥0.26CN¥0.27Owner earnings / shareOE/sh
CN¥-0.22CN¥0.89CN¥0.60CN¥0.26CN¥0.27Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh
CN¥0.47CN¥0.86CN¥0.35CN¥0.35Dividends / shareDiv/sh
CN¥0.60CN¥0.16CN¥0.30CN¥0.02CN¥0.02Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh
CN¥5.97CN¥6.22CN¥5.28CN¥5.47Book value / shareBVPS
Per-share growththe realized rate an owner's share compounded
3-yr5-yr
Revenue / share−24.5%/yr−24.5%/yr (3-yr)
Dividends / share−13.5%/yr (2-yr)−13.5%/yr (2-yr)
Capital spending / share−67.1%/yr−67.1%/yr (3-yr)
Book value / share−6.0%/yr (2-yr)−6.0%/yr (2-yr)

The record, charted

FY2022–2025

Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.

Share count
47Mpeak FY2025
ROIC
−21%low FY2025
Gross margin
21%low FY2025

Owner earnings vs. net income

Owner earningsNet income

The accountant's number, and the cash an owner can take; the gap is the tell.

CN¥12Mowner earningsvs.(CN¥83M)net incomelow FY2022

Where the cash went

ReinvestBuybacksDividendsAcquisitionsRetained

Each year's operating cash, by what management did with it: the mix, and how it drifts.

FY2022FY2025

Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.

In fiscal 2025 the business turned a CN¥83M loss into CN¥12M of owner earnings: more cash than the profit line showed, after the non-cash charges and the capital it put back in.

FY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Reported net income(CN¥83M)CN¥13MCN¥38MCN¥56M
Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back+CN¥26M+CN¥24M+CN¥24M+CN¥19M
Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items+CN¥70M+CN¥3M−CN¥13M−CN¥57M
Cash from operationsCN¥13MCN¥41MCN¥48MCN¥17M
Capital expenditurecash put back in to keep running and to grow−CN¥1M−CN¥14M−CN¥7M−CN¥27M
Owner earningsCN¥12MCN¥27MCN¥41M(CN¥10M)
Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue11%15%19%-4%

Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the capital it must spend to hold its position .

Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.

III

Quality & stewardship

Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.

Owner’s Scorecard

FY2025 20-F · source on SEC EDGAR →

Will it survive?

  • Does not cover its interest
    Operating income (CN¥71M) ÷ interest expense CN¥3M
    What this means

    A full year of operating profit didn't cover the interest bill. This is the zombie zone: the business depends on refinancing, asset sales, or forbearance to service its debt.

  • Net cash
    Cash CN¥19M + ST investments CN¥2M − debt CN¥6M
    What this means

    Cash and short-term investments exceed every dollar of debt by CN¥15M, on net the company owes nothing, and can act from strength when others can't. Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.

  • Tight
    DSO 58 + DIO 155 − DPO 174 days
    What this means

    Days cash is tied up between paying suppliers and collecting from customers. Lower is better; a long cycle means growth itself eats cash.

Is it a good business?

  • Below average through the cycle
    3-yr median, range -21%–14%; -24% latest = NOPAT (CN¥56M) ÷ invested capital CN¥237M
    Industry peers: median -38%
    What this means

    The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 3 years (it ran -24% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.

  • Solid through the cycle
    4-yr median margin, range -4%–19%; latest CN¥12M = operating cash CN¥13M − maintenance capex CN¥1M
    Industry peers: median -142%
    What this means

    What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's 11% of revenue this year, a 11% median across 4 years.

  • Loss, but cash-generative
    Net income (CN¥83M) · cash from operations CN¥13M
    What this means

    The company reported a net loss, so a conversion ratio isn't meaningful. What matters then is whether operations still threw off cash, here, they did.

How is the cash used?

  • Returned more than it generated
    Dividends + buybacks CN¥16M ÷ Owner Earnings CN¥12M
    What this means

    The company returned more than it generated: against CN¥12M of Owner Earnings, CN¥16M (130%) went back to shareholders, CN¥16M dividends, CN¥0 buybacks — the excess came from the balance sheet or borrowing, not the year's operations. Sustained, that pattern draws down cash or adds debt; the net-debt line above shows where it stands.

  • Investing or harvesting? 0.04×
    Harvesting
    Capex CN¥1M ÷ depreciation CN¥26M
    What this means

    Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.

Graham’s defensive tests · 1 of 2 met

Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.

  • Adequate size
    Revenue ≥ $2B (a dollar floor) · CN¥116M
    What this means

    Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's floor is a dollar figure — about $2B of revenue as a conservative modern stand-in. This company reports in its home currency and we carry no exchange rate, so we show the figure and leave the size bar for you to apply rather than convert it with a number we don't have.

  • Strong liquidity Miss
    Current ratio ≥ 2× · 1.14×
    What this means

    Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.

  • Conservative debt Pass
    Debt ≤ working capital · CN¥6M vs CN¥17M WC
    What this means

    Graham's rule that borrowings not exceed net current assets. Capital-heavy and buyback-heavy firms routinely fail it, read it next to interest coverage, not alone.

  • Moderate price
    P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
    What this means

    Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are CN¥-0.22/share (latest year CN¥-1.75), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is CN¥5.27/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.

Durability & moat, 2022–2025

Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.

  • Profitable years 3 of 4
    What this means

    Lost money in 1 year(s), look at what happened there before trusting the average.

  • Return on capital ≥ 15% 0 of 3 yrs
    What this means

    A moat shows up as a high return on invested capital that holds year after year, not one good vintage.

  • Operating margin 23% → −26% (2-yr avg ends)
    What this means

    Through the cycle the operating margin slipped — about 23% early to −26% lately, median 9% — competition or costs are biting in.

  • Reinvestment, incremental ROIC returns capital
    What this means

    The capital base barely grew: this business returns cash through dividends and buybacks rather than reinvesting. Judge it on the cash returned, not on compounding.

  • Owner earnings growth +9%/yr
    What this means

    Owner earnings grew about 9% a year over the record.

  • Worst year 2025 · −60.6% op. margin
    What this means

    Operations went underwater in 2025, understand why before trusting the good years.

  • Share count +1.2%/yr
    What this means

    The share count is rising, dilution works against you on a per-share basis.

  • Dividend record paid
    What this means

    Paid a dividend in 3 of the years on record.

Does AI threaten the moat?

Low contestability

The moat is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded, the kind AI cuts costs within but does not contest.

AI is unlikely to contest a moat that is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded; here it reads more as a cost tool than a threat.

Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.

All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.

Current Position

as of fiscal year-end, Dec 31, 2025

Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.

Current assetsCN¥137M
  • Cash & short-term investmentsCN¥20M
  • ReceivablesCN¥18M
  • InventoryCN¥39M
  • Other current assetsCN¥60M
Current liabilitiesCN¥120M
  • Debt due within a yearCN¥700K
  • Accounts payableCN¥44M
  • Other current liabilitiesCN¥76M
Current ratio1.14×all current assets ÷ what's due · Graham looked for 2×
Quick ratio0.82×stricter: inventory excluded
Cash ratio0.17×strictest: cash alone against what's due
Working capitalCN¥17Mthe cushion left after near-term bills
Debt due this year vs. cashCN¥700K due · CN¥20M cash covered by cash on hand, no refinancing forced · both figures from the Dec 31, 2025 balance sheet
Deeper floors
Tangible book valueCN¥250Mequity stripped of goodwill & intangibles
Net current asset valueCN¥8MGraham's net-net: current assets less all liabilities
Debt incl. operating leasesCN¥6MCN¥106K of it operating leases
Deferred revenueCN¥5Mcustomer cash collected before delivery; operating float

From the company's latest filing.

How the cash was used, 2022–2025

Over the record, the business generated CN¥120M of operating cash; how management split it reads as a cash returner, paying most of what it earns straight back to owners.

  • ReinvestedCN¥49M · 41%
  • DividendsCN¥77M · 64%
  • Returned to ownersCN¥77M

    109% of the owner earnings the business produced over the span, CN¥77M as dividends and CN¥0 as buybacks.

  • Source of funding−CN¥6M

    Reinvestment and shareholder returns ran CN¥6M beyond the operating cash the business generated, so the gap was financed off the balance sheet.

  • Net change in share count0.0%

    The diluted count barely moved (46M to 46M): buybacks roughly offset the stock issued to staff.

  • Dividend recordCN¥0.35/sh

    Paid in 3 of the years on record, the per-share dividend shrinking about 14% a year. It was cut at least once along the way.

Buybacks are gross of stock issued to staff; the share-count line above is the net of that, the figure that decides whether owners gained. The average price paid blends a year of purchases (and any accelerated repurchase), so it is close, not exact. The record of where the cash went and on what terms.

Inverting the record

Invert: instead of why Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited is a good business, the question is what would make owning it a mistake, and whether those marks are in the record. Disconfirming tests across 2022–2025.

None of the 3 tests turned up a mark; each came back clean. A clean panel says only that these particular ways of being wrong are not written into the record.

Each test came back clean
  • Is it less profitable than it was?
  • Did the share count rise anyway?
  • Did reported profit become cash?

Each test is read from the filings and is noisy alone; a flag can mark a cyclical trough or a year of heavy investment as easily as a problem. The filing says which.

Peers, Pharmaceuticals

The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.

CompanyRevenueGross marginOp. marginROICOwner earn. margin
XNCRXencor Inc.$126M-69.2%-12%-30%
GYREGyre Therapeutics Inc.$117M96%-276.4%-9%-1120%
ZYBTZhengye Biotechnology Holding LimitedCN¥116M52%15.0%6%13%
URGNUroGen Pharma Ltd.$110M-157.5%-58%-142%
TBPHTheravance Biopharma Inc.$107M94%-357.1%-73%-268%
ZVRAZevra Therapeutics Inc.$106M-158.4%-127%-123%
ZYMEZymeworks Inc.$106M-180.7%-38%-153%
GRCEGrace Therapeutics Inc.$100M100%-11.1%-19%-9%
Group median95%-157.9%-28%-133%
IV

The price

What a price has to assume.

What the price implies

reverse-DCF

Enter the home-market price, not the US ADR quote. Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited reports in CNY, and every figure here (owner earnings, book value, the share count) is on that CNY, ordinary-share basis. Enter the price on the same basis: the local-exchange quote per ordinary share in CNY. A US ADR price in dollars bundles the ADR-to-ordinary ratio and the exchange rate, so it will not reconcile with these figures and would throw the multiple off.

Type today's close and see the owner-earnings growth you'd have to believe to justify it, beside what Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited has delivered.

CN¥
Base

The assumptions

9.0% = the 4.55% 10-year Treasury (Jul 15, 2026) + 4.45 points of equity premium. The rate you require is yours to set.

Enter a price above to run it.

Implied by the price
Owner-earnings growth · ’22→’25+9%/yr
Owner-earnings yield
P/E (3-yr earnings ’23–’25)
P/B
Graham’s price gate

Graham capped the multiple at 15×; Buffett and Munger let that rule go: a wonderful business can deserve 50× if the thesis holds. The gate marks the bargain-hunter's floor.

Against a high-grade bond: Graham’s yardstick bond yield%

Prefilled with the 10-year Treasury (4.55%, as of Jul 15, 2026). Edit it for today’s exact figure, or a AAA corporate yield.

Graham measured a stock against the bond you could own instead, the heart of his margin of safety. Enter a price above to weigh the owner-earnings yield against this bond.

Owner earnings CN¥12M on 47M shares outstanding, per the 20-F cover, as of 2025-12-31; net cash CN¥15M. The base is the latest year by default; Normalize values it on the through-cycle median owner-earnings margin (to avoid paying on a peak year). Net of stock comp treats option pay as the expense it is. The dials set the multiple a growth belief justifies; the price, and every dollar on this page, is yours.

Cite: Owner Scorecard, "Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (ZYBT), the owner's record," https://ownerscorecard.com/c/ZYBT, data as of 2026-07-09.

Manual order: ← ZTO its page in the Manual

Industry order: ← ZVRA the Pharmaceuticals chapter ZYME →