2432 · DeNA

Will it survive?

• Can it pay its interest? 5.0×
  Adequate
  Operating income ¥18.7B ÷ interest expense ¥3.8B
  What this means

  Comfortable in a normal year, but below the margin of safety Graham looked for. Worth checking how stable the coverage has been across a full cycle.

• How heavy is the debt, net of cash? +¥90.1B
  Net cash
  Cash ¥103.0B − debt ¥12.9B
  What this means

  Cash and short-term investments exceed every dollar of debt by ¥90.1B, on net the company owes nothing, and can act from strength when others can't. Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.

• How long is cash tied up? —
  Not enough data
  What this means

  The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.

Is it a good business?

• Return on invested capital 10%
  Solid through the cycle
  9-yr median, range -31%–22%; 10% latest = NOPAT ¥14.8B ÷ invested capital ¥142.5B
  Industry peers: median 21%
  What this means

  The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 9 years (it ran 10% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.

• Owner-earnings margin —
  Not enough data
  Industry peers: median 36%
  What this means

  The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.

• Are earnings backed by cash? 1.76×
  Cash-backed
  Cash from ops ¥33.4B ÷ net income ¥19.0B
  What this means

  How much of reported profit showed up as operating cash. Above 1× is reassuring; well below suggests earnings lean on accruals. One year is noisy, growth and working-capital swings distort it, and this is operating cash, not free cash. Watch the multi-year trend.

How is the cash used?

• Where do the earnings go? —
  Not enough data
  What this means

  The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.

• Investing or harvesting? —
  Not enough data
  What this means

  The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.

Durability & moat, 2017–2026

Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.

• Profitable years 8 of 10
  What this means

  Lost money in 2 year(s), look at what happened there before trusting the average.

• Return on capital ≥ 15% 0 of 7 yrs
  What this means

  A moat shows up as a high return on invested capital that holds year after year, not one good vintage.

• Operating margin 15% → 3% (3-yr avg ends)
  What this means

  Through the cycle the operating margin slipped — about 15% early to 3% lately, median 11% — competition or costs are biting in.

• Reinvestment, incremental ROIC returns capital
  What this means

  The capital base barely grew: this business returns cash through dividends and buybacks rather than reinvesting. Judge it on the cash returned, not on compounding.

• Owner earnings growth −13%/yr
  What this means

  Owner earnings shrank about 13% a year over the record.

• Worst year 2020 · −37.6% op. margin
  What this means

  Operations went underwater in 2020, understand why before trusting the good years.

• Share count −2.3%/yr
  What this means

  The share count is shrinking, buybacks are quietly growing your slice of the business.

• Dividend record rising
  What this means

  Paid and raised the dividend across the record, the continuity Graham prized.