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CI, The Cigna Group
Cigna is a health company that sells insurance and health-benefit administration to employers, government programs, and individuals, and that also runs a pharmacy-benefit operation. On the insurance side it collects premiums and pays medical claims; for a large share of its employer customers it bears no insurance risk at all but is paid a fee to administer the employer's own self-funded plan. The pharmacy-benefit side negotiates drug prices with manufacturers and processes prescriptions, and much of the company's reported revenue is simply the drugs that pass through it.
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The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
The business in brief
read the 10-K →What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- What it is
- Revenue is Products (79%), Services (6%) and Service, Fees and Other Revenues (6%).
- What moves the needle
- The test is whether scale buys a real cost edge — in negotiating drugs, in paying claims, in administration — or whether this is a thin-margin business of moving other people's money, where the premium can fall short of the medical cost it must cover. The filing flags that directly: price competition that can compress the spread, a book leaning on fee-based employer accounts that are free to leave, a debt load to refinance, and the steady legal exposure of a firm seated between drug makers, payers, and patients, including whistleblower suits under the False Claims Act. The levers to watch are medical cost trend against pricing, and how many cents of each premium dollar survive after claims. The figures are in the record below.
- Is it a good business?
- It pays out about 80% of premiums as medical care across the record (the medical loss ratio), keeping the rest to cover administration and profit against a regulated floor. That leaves a thin operating margin, a median of about 4.9%, the sign of a volume-and-cost-control business rather than a high-margin one, though turns that sliver over fast enough to earn roughly 13% on equity. Whether membership keeps growing and medical costs stay below premiums, especially as the Medicare Advantage and Medicaid mix shifts, is what the 10-K decides, not an earnings multiple.
Drafted from the company's filings and reviewed by hand; every number is shown in full in the sections below.
Where the money comes from
read the 10-K →Products is 79% of revenue, so this is largely a single-line business.
- Products79%$216.7B
- Services6%$16.9B
- Service, Fees And Other Revenues6%$16.9B
- Other revenue0%$696M
From the segment footnote of the company's own 10-K. Shares are of total revenue; the profit bar shows each segment's share of segment operating profit, before unallocated corporate costs.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2016–2025
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2016’16 | 2017’17 | 2018’18 | 2019’19 | 2020’20 | 2021’21 | 2022’22 | 2023’23 | 2024’24 | 2025’25 | TTMTTMMar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | |||||||||||
| $39.8B | $41.8B | $48.6B | $153.6B | $160.4B | $174.1B | $180.5B | $195.3B | $247.1B | $274.9B | $277.9B | RevenueRevenue |
| $30.8B | $32.5B | $36.1B | $39.7B | $42.6B | $41.2B | $39.9B | $44.2B | $46.0B | $40.3B | $37.3B | Premiums earnedPremiums |
| 79% | 78% | 76% | 78% | 77% | 82% | 81% | 82% | 84% | 85% | 85% | Medical loss ratioMLR |
| 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| $1.9B | $2.2B | $2.6B | $5.1B | $8.5B | $5.4B | $6.7B | $5.2B | $3.4B | $6.0B | $6.3B | Net incomeNet inc. |
| 38% | 38% | 26% | 22% | 22% | 20% | 19% | 3% | 30% | 20% | 21% | Effective tax rateTax rate |
| Cash flow & returns | |||||||||||
| 14% | 16% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 11% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 14% | 15% | Return on equityROE |
| — | — | — | 11% | 17% | 9% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 11% | Retained to equityRetained/eq |
| Balance sheet | |||||||||||
| — | $61.8B | $153.2B | $155.8B | $155.5B | $154.9B | $143.9B | $152.8B | $155.9B | $157.9B | $153.3B | Total assetsAssets |
| $13.7B | $13.7B | $41.0B | $45.3B | $50.3B | $47.1B | $44.7B | $46.2B | $41.0B | $41.7B | $42.2B | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| Per share | |||||||||||
| 260M | 255M | 250M | 380M | 368M | 341M | 313M | 297M | 283M | 269M | 264M | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| $153.43 | $163.90 | $194.43 | $404.32 | $435.41 | $510.52 | $576.62 | $657.72 | $872.55 | $1023.60 | $1052.55 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| $7.19 | $8.77 | $10.54 | $13.44 | $22.96 | $15.75 | $21.41 | $17.39 | $12.12 | $22.18 | $23.82 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| — | — | — | $0.04 | $0.04 | $3.93 | $4.42 | $4.88 | $5.53 | $6.00 | $6.12 | Dividends / shareDiv/sh |
| $52.78 | $53.75 | $163.96 | $119.37 | $136.60 | $138.17 | $142.70 | $155.69 | $144.88 | $155.32 | $159.88 | Book value / shareBVPS |
The diluted share count moved ×1.52 into 2019 — shares issued, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
| 9-yr | 5-yr | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue / share | +23.5%/yr | +18.6%/yr |
| Owner earnings / share | +17.4%/yr (3-yr) | +17.4%/yr (3-yr) |
| EPS | +13.3%/yr | −0.7%/yr |
| Dividends / share | +131.0%/yr (6-yr) | +171.4%/yr |
| Capital spending / share | +15.9%/yr (3-yr) | +15.9%/yr (3-yr) |
| Book value / share | +12.7%/yr | +2.6%/yr |
The record, charted
FY2016–2025Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
Is it a good business?
- Medical loss ratio 85.3%Profitable bandMedical costs $34.3B ÷ premiums earned $40.3BIndustry peers: median 86%
What this means
The number that runs a health plan: cents of every premium dollar paid back out as medical care. A regulated floor (about 80-85% under the ACA, or rebates are owed) means the plan keeps only a thin sliver, so the discipline is in pricing premiums ahead of medical cost trend. Read it across years, because a single bad cost trend, like the recent Medicare Advantage squeeze, shows up here first.
- Operating margin 3.3%Thin, as the model runsOperating income $9.2B ÷ revenue $274.9BIndustry peers: median 4%
What this means
Health plans earn a sliver on enormous revenue, so a few points of margin is the norm and the business is really a volume-and-cost-control game. Because the margin is so thin, a small miss on medical costs swings profit hard, which is why membership scale and cost management matter more than price.
- Return on equity 14%SolidNet income $6.0B ÷ equity $41.7BIndustry peers: median 14%
What this means
The thin margin turns over fast on a modest capital base, so a plan earning its keep still shows a good return on equity. Durably above the ~10% cost of equity is what compounds value; a year below it usually means medical costs outran premiums.
Does AI threaten the moat?
Low contestabilityThe moat is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded, the kind AI cuts costs within but does not contest.
Its FY2025 10-K names artificial intelligence as a competitive threat, in language that was not in the prior year's filing.
“The use of generative AI, a relatively new and emerging technology still in the early stages of commercial use, potentially exposes us to additional risks, such as damage to our reputation, competitive position, and business, legal and regulatory risks and additional costs.”
AI is unlikely to contest a moat that is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded; here it reads more as a cost tool than a threat, and the company is using it that way.
Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
Current Position
as of the latest quarter, Mar 31, 2026Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.
- Cash & short-term investments$7.9B
- Receivables$26.6B
- Inventory$5.8B
- Other current assets$2.7B
- Debt due within a year$1.5B
- Accounts payable$9.9B
- Other current liabilities$41.2B
From the company's latest filing.
Debt maturity
the debt note, SEC EDGAR →Not how much it owes, but when it falls due, and against what. The ladder the company files, beside cash on hand and a year's owner earnings.
Bars scaled to the largest single year.
Against what the business has and earns
Cash on hand as of Mar 31, 2026 plus a year’s owner earnings comes to $16.4B against the $550M due in the twelve months after the Dec 31, 2025 schedule: 30 times it.
Maturity schedule extracted from the company’s Dec 31, 2025 annual report and reconciled to the balance-sheet debt.
Acquisitions & goodwill
from the balance sheet & the 10-year cash-flow recordGoodwill grows only when a company acquires and falls only when it concedes it overpaid. The size of that bet, the cash put into buying rather than building, and how much has already been written off.
None written down over the record; the goodwill is still carried at full cost. That is the deals holding their value on the books so far; whether they keep doing so is the test an owner watches, since the write-down, when it comes, is the admission the price was too high.
Goodwill, acquired intangibles and equity from the latest balance sheet; acquisition spend and write-downs summed across the 10-year record, from the company's own filings.
Management, ownership & pay
read the proxy →From the proxy: how much of the business the people running it own, and how they are paid, beside what the business earned for its owners in the same years.
| Fiscal year | Chief executive | Pay, as filed | “Actually paid” | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | David M. Cordani | $19.9M | $15.4M | $5.4B |
| 2022 | David M. Cordani | $21.0M | $57.4M | $6.7B |
| 2023 | David M. Cordani | $21.0M | $8.1M | $5.2B |
| 2024 | David M. Cordani | $23.3M | $18.9M | $3.4B |
| 2025 | David M. Cordani | $22.9M | $14.6M | $6.0B |
Both pay figures are the company’s own, from the pay-versus-performance table its proxy statement files. “As filed” is the Summary Compensation Table total: salary, bonus, and equity awards at their value on the day of grant. “Actually paid” is the SEC’s prescribed recalculation, which re-marks those equity awards to what they became as they vested; it can swing far above or below the filed figure in either direction, and negative years occur. Net income is the whole business's, as filed, for the same fiscal years.
- Insider ownership0.6%
The stake all directors and executive officers hold together, per the 2026 proxy: skin in the game, the first thing Munger reads.
- CEO pay ratio310:1
What the chief earns for every dollar the median employee makes, per the 2026 proxy. A high ratio alone settles nothing; some businesses are genuinely top-heavy in scarce skill. A runaway figure is where Buffett starts asking whether the board is doing its job.
What an owner would ask, FY2025
read the 10-K →- Which reported numbers are a judgment call?Management names Credit & receivables as critical estimates
each rests partly on management's judgment; the filing's note sets out the assumptionsverify →
The questions the record and the charts do not answer on their own; each carries the figure and the place to look.
Peers, Managed Care
The same industry, side by side on the medical-loss-ratio lens. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.
| Company | Revenue | Medical loss ratio | Op. margin | ROE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNHUnitedhealth Group Incorporated | $447.6B | 84% | 8.1% | 22% |
| CIThe Cigna Group | $274.9B | 80% | 4.9% | 13% |
| ELVElevance Health Inc. | $199.1B | 87% | 5.3% | 14% |
| CNCCentene Corporation | $194.8B | — | 2.2% | 9% |
| HUMHumana Inc. | $129.7B | 89% | 3.9% | 17% |
| MOHMolina Healthcare | $45.4B | — | 3.9% | 26% |
| OSCROscar Health | $11.7B | 85% | -14.9% | -41% |
| ALHCAlignment Healthcare | $3.9B | — | -3.9% | -69% |
| Group median | — | 85% | 3.9% | 13% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFType today's close and see the owner-earnings growth you'd have to believe to justify it, beside what The Cigna Group has delivered.
Through the cycle, The Cigna Group earns about $18.3B on its 6.7% median owner-earnings margin. This year’s 3.1% margin runs below that; the reported figure may understate a lean year. Normalize, below, values the price on that through-cycle figure rather than the latest year.
—
9.0% = the 4.55% 10-year Treasury (Jul 15, 2026) + 4.45 points of equity premium. The rate you require is yours to set.
Enter a price above to run it.
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Graham capped the multiple at 15×; Buffett and Munger let that rule go: a wonderful business can deserve 50× if the thesis holds. The gate marks the bargain-hunter's floor.
Prefilled with the 10-year Treasury (4.55%, as of Jul 15, 2026). Edit it for today’s exact figure, or a AAA corporate yield.
Graham measured a stock against the bond you could own instead, the heart of his margin of safety. Enter a price above to weigh the owner-earnings yield against this bond.
Owner earnings $7.8B on 265M shares outstanding, per the 10-Q cover, as of 2026-04-24; net debt $33.2B. The base is the latest year by default; Normalize values it on the through-cycle median owner-earnings margin (to avoid paying on a peak year). Net of stock comp treats option pay as the expense it is. The dials set the multiple a growth belief justifies; the price, and every dollar on this page, is yours.
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