Share count
63Mpeak FY2025
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ORBS, Eightco Holdings Inc.
Eightco Holdings Inc. is the largest public market participant in the Worldcoin ecosystem, holding approximately 10% of WLD's circulating supply as of December 31, 2025.
Through a first-of-its-kind Worldcoin digital asset treasury strategy and a portfolio of strategic investments in frontier technology companies, the Company is establishing a universal foundation for digital identity and Proof of Human (PoH) verification.
Forever 8 Forever 8 provides funding solutions and inventory management services for e-commerce businesses, enabling sellers to maintain optimal stock levels without tying up their own capital.
The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
Revenue · FY2025
$33M
−16.8% YoY · 43% 4-yr CAGR
Vital signs · TTM
The business in brief
read the 10-K →What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- Situation
- Unprofitable. No meaningful revenue yet; the record is the cash on hand against the burn. Net current asset value. Current assets alone exceed every liability combined, and the surplus is most of the balance sheet: the shape Graham called a net-net.
- What moves the needle
- Operating margin has run around −21% through the cycle on a 9.3% gross margin, the operating line deeply negative — so the lever is the path to a margin at all: revenue growth against the cost curve and the cash runway, not the level of a margin that isn't there yet. Inventory runs near 14% of sales, so how fast it turns back into cash — and the risk of writing it down when demand softens — sits alongside the margin. On its own account, the filing leans hardest on customer concentration, set against the numbers in what the filing emphasizes, below.
- Is it a good business?
- Return on capital has rarely cleared the cost of capital (median −39%, above 15% in 0 of 5 years). Owner earnings, the cash-based check, have been thin too. This is price-taker territory, where the balance sheet and the cycle matter more than any multiple; the rest is in the 10-K.
Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2021–2025
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2021’21 | 2022’22 | 2023’23 | 2024’24 | 2025’25 | TTMTTMMar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| $8M | $32M | $68M | $40M | $33M | $31M | RevenueRevenue |
| 28% | 7% | 9% | 15% | 2% | −0% | Gross marginGross mgn |
| 33% | 52% | 22% | 32% | 72% | 106% | SG&A / revenueSG&A/rev |
| ($431K) | ($16M) | ($11M) | ($8M) | ($57M) | ($66M) | Operating incomeOp. inc. |
| −5.5% | −48.7% | −15.8% | −20.7% | −173.5% | −216.5% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| $29K | ($47M) | ($68M) | $709K | ($262M) | ($336M) | Net incomeNet inc. |
| Cash flow & returns | ||||||
| ($197K) | ($17M) | ($6M) | ($7M) | ($11M) | ($17M) | Operating cash flowOp. cash |
| $98K | $270K | $199K | $174K | $40K | $7K | DepreciationDeprec. |
| ($324K) | $29M | $62M | ($8M) | $241M | $309M | Working capital & otherWC & other |
| — | — | — | $826 | $2K | $2K | CapexCapex |
| — | — | — | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Capex / revenueCapex/rev |
| — | — | — | ($7M) | ($11M) | ($17M) | Owner earningsOwner earn. |
| — | — | — | −16.8% | −33.3% | −54.4% | Owner earnings marginOE mgn |
| — | — | — | ($7M) | ($11M) | ($17M) | Free cash flowFCF |
| — | — | — | −16.8% | −33.3% | −54.4% | Free cash flow marginFCF mgn |
| -15% | -48% | -170% | -39% | -26% | -16% | ROICROIC |
| 1% | -771% | — | 6% | -113% | -104% | Return on equityROE |
| 1% | −771% | — | 6% | −113% | −104% | Retained to equityRetained/eq |
| Balance sheet | ||||||
| $911K | $6M | $5M | $239K | $59M | $40M | Cash & investmentsCash+inv |
| $867K | $1M | $1M | $2M | $434K | $468K | ReceivablesReceiv. |
| $111K | $5M | $6M | $8M | $8M | $7M | InventoryInvent. |
| $171K | $2M | — | — | — | $3M | Accounts payablePayables |
| $807K | $4M | $7M | $9M | $8M | $5M | Operating working capitalOper. WC |
| $9M | $14M | $15M | $12M | $245M | $225M | Current assetsCur. assets |
| $8M | $14M | $40M | $30M | $18M | $18M | Current liabilitiesCur. liab. |
| 1.2× | 1.0× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 13.6× | 12.3× | Current ratioCurr. ratio |
| — | $22M | $22M | $22M | — | $22M | GoodwillGoodwill |
| $14M | $59M | $55M | $51M | $250M | $341M | Total assetsAssets |
| $28K | $25M | $14M | $10M | — | $12M | Total debtDebt |
| ($884K) | $19M | $9M | $9M | — | ($29M) | Net debt / (cash)Net debt |
| — | -223.5× | — | -1.5× | -14.0× | -16.2× | Interest coverageInt. cov. |
| $2M | $6M | ($4M) | $12M | $233M | $323M | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| — | 4.7% | −0.5% | 0.1% | 31.1% | 33.5% | Stock comp / revenueSBC/rev |
| Per share | ||||||
| 0K | 313K | 2.9M | 2.0M | 63.2M | 241M | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| $39371.43 | $101.64 | $23.37 | $20.00 | $0.52 | $0.13 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| $143.90 | $-150.95 | $-23.63 | $0.36 | $-4.14 | $-1.39 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| — | — | — | $-3.35 | $-0.17 | $-0.07 | Owner earnings / shareOE/sh |
| — | — | — | $-3.35 | $-0.17 | $-0.07 | Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh |
| — | — | — | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh |
| $11501.06 | $19.57 | $-1.36 | $6.02 | $3.68 | $1.34 | Book value / shareBVPS |
The diluted share count moved ×1565.36 into 2022 — shares issued, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
The diluted share count moved ×9.23 into 2023 — shares issued, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
The diluted share count moved ×1/1.46 into 2024 — shares retired, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
The diluted share count moved ×31.92 into 2025 — shares issued, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
The diluted share count moved ×3.8 into TTM — shares issued, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
Per-share growththe realized rate an owner's share compounded
| 4-yr | 5-yr | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue / share | −94.0%/yr | −94.0%/yr (4-yr) |
| Capital spending / share | −91.6%/yr (1-yr) | −91.6%/yr (1-yr) |
| Book value / share | −86.6%/yr | −86.6%/yr (4-yr) |
The record, charted
FY2021–2025Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.
ROIC
−26%low FY2023
Gross margin
2%low FY2025
Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.
In fiscal 2025 the business turned a $262M loss into ($11M) of owner earnings: more cash than the profit line showed, after the non-cash charges and the capital it put back in.
| FY2025 | FY2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Reported net income | ($262M) | $709K |
| Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back | +$40K | +$174K |
| Stock-based compensationreal costnon-cash, but a real cost | +$10M | +$40K |
| Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items | +$241M | −$8M |
| Cash from operations | ($11M) | ($7M) |
| Capital expenditurecash put back in to keep running and to grow | −$2K | −$826 |
| Owner earnings | ($11M) | ($7M) |
| Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue | -33% | -17% |
Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the capital it must spend to hold its position . The cash-flow statement also adds stock comp back as non-cash, but it is a real cost paid in shares; counted as the expense it is (less $10M), owner earnings is nearer ($21M).
Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
FY2025 10-K · source on SEC EDGAR →
Will it survive?
- Can it pay its interest? -14.0×Does not cover its interestOperating income ($57M) ÷ interest expense $4M
What this means
A full year of operating profit didn't cover the interest bill. This is the zombie zone: the business depends on refinancing, asset sales, or forbearance to service its debt.
- Net cashCash $59M − debt $10M
What this means
Cash and short-term investments exceed every dollar of debt by $49M, on net the company owes nothing, and can act from strength when others can't. Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.
- Long (60+ days)DSO 5 + DIO 88 − DPO 24 days
What this means
Days cash is tied up between paying suppliers and collecting from customers. Lower is better; a long cycle means growth itself eats cash.
Is it a good business?
- Below average through the cycle5-yr median, range -170%–-15%; -25% latest = NOPAT ($45M) ÷ invested capital $184MIndustry peers: median -6%
What this means
The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 5 years (it ran -25% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.
- Consumes cashOwner earnings ($11M) = operating cash ($11M) − maintenance capex $2KIndustry peers: median -73%
What this means
What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's -33% of revenue this year. Treating stock comp as the real expense it is (less $10M of SBC) leaves ($21M).
- Are earnings backed by cash? ($11M)Loss, and burning cashNet income ($262M) · cash from operations ($11M)
What this means
The company reported a net loss, so a conversion ratio isn't meaningful. What matters then is whether operations still threw off cash, here, they did not.
How is the cash used?
- No surplus to allocate
What this means
The business didn't generate positive Owner Earnings this year, so any distributions came from the balance sheet or borrowing, not from operations.
- Investing or harvesting? 0.05×HarvestingCapex $2K ÷ depreciation $40K
What this means
Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.
Graham’s defensive tests · 2 of 5 met
Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.
- Adequate size MissRevenue ≥ $2B · $33M
What this means
Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.
- Strong liquidity PassCurrent ratio ≥ 2× · 13.61×
What this means
Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.
- Conservative debt PassDebt ≤ working capital · $10M vs $227M WC
What this means
Graham's rule that borrowings not exceed net current assets. Capital-heavy and buyback-heavy firms routinely fail it, read it next to interest coverage, not alone.
- Earnings stability MissA profit every year (5-yr record) · 3 loss years
What this means
Graham wanted earnings in each of the past ten years, the stability a defensive owner leans on.
- Dividend record MissUninterrupted dividends · none paid
What this means
An unbroken dividend was Graham's mark of durability. He wanted twenty years; the filings show about ten, and a single suspension breaks the streak. Non-payers, many fine modern compounders, fall outside his defensive net by design.
- Moderate price —P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
What this means
Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $-0.28/share (latest year $-0.68), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $0.60/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.
Durability & moat, 2021–2025
Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.
- Profitable years 2 of 5
What this means
Lost money in 3 year(s), look at what happened there before trusting the average.
- Return on capital ≥ 15% 0 of 4 yrs
What this means
A moat shows up as a high return on invested capital that holds year after year, not one good vintage.
- Operating margin −27% → −97% (2-yr avg ends)
What this means
Through the cycle the operating margin slipped — about −27% early to −97% lately, median −21% — competition or costs are biting in.
- Reinvestment, incremental ROIC —
What this means
The reinvested base moved too little against the change in profit to read a reliable return on it here — the figure would be a small-denominator artifact, not a moat. Judge this one on the owner-earnings record and the cash it returns instead.
- Worst year 2025 · −173.5% op. margin
What this means
Operations went underwater in 2025, understand why before trusting the good years.
Does AI threaten the moat?
Low contestabilityThe moat is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded, the kind AI cuts costs within but does not contest.
In its own filing A competitive risk, new this year
Its FY2025 10-K names artificial intelligence as a competitive threat, in language that was not in the prior year's filing.
“Worldcoin could be subject to technological obsolescence, including competition from emerging blockchain and artificial intelligence protocols.”
AI is unlikely to contest a moat that is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded; here it reads more as a cost tool than a threat, and the company is using it that way.
Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
Current Position
as of the latest quarter, Mar 31, 2026Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.
Current assets$225M
- Cash & short-term investments$40M
- Receivables$468K
- Inventory$7M
- Other current assets$177M
Current liabilities$18M
- Debt due within a year$12M
- Accounts payable$3M
- Other current liabilities$4M
Current ratio12.27×all current assets ÷ what's due · Graham looked for 2×
Quick ratio11.87×stricter: inventory excluded
Cash ratio2.19×strictest: cash alone against what's due
Working capital$206Mthe cushion left after near-term bills
Debt due this year vs. cash$12M due · $40M cash
covered by cash on hand, no refinancing forced · both figures from the Mar 31, 2026 balance sheet
Cash runway2.4 yrsthe business is consuming cash; this is how long the cash on hand lasts at that rate
Revenue, latest quarter vs. a year ago−23.7%the freshest read on whether the business is still growing
Current ratio, recent quarters0.3× → 12.3×
Deeper floors
Tangible book value$278Mequity stripped of goodwill & intangibles
Net current asset value$206MGraham's net-net: current assets less all liabilities
Debt incl. operating leases$12M$42K of it operating leases
From the company's latest filing.
Management, ownership & pay
read the proxy →From the proxy: how much of the business the people running it own, and how they are paid.
- Insider ownership3.4%
The stake all directors and executive officers hold together, per the 2025 proxy: skin in the game, the first thing Munger reads.
- Stock-based compensation$10M
The slice of the business handed to employees in shares this year, 31% of revenue. Buffett's oldest accounting fight: this is compensation, compensation is an expense, real whether or not the headline earnings admit it. One trap: the cash-flow statement adds SBC back, so the operating cash, and the owner earnings drawn from it, are flattered by exactly this amount; counted as the cost it is, what an owner keeps is lower.
Inverting the record
Invert: instead of why Eightco Holdings Inc. is a good business, the question is what would make owning it a mistake, and whether those marks are in the record. Disconfirming tests across 2021–2025.
2 of the 4 tests turned up something to look into; the other 2 came back clean.
- Look hereDid debt outgrow the business?$28K → $12M
Debt rose from $28K to $12M while owner earnings went from about ($9M) to ($9M): the borrowing grew and the earnings that would carry it are not there now. Debt raised for buybacks or deals rather than growth is the kind that bites in a downturn.
- Look hereDid receivables and inventory outpace sales?12% → 26% of sales
Receivables and inventory grew from $978K to $8M while revenue grew 289%: working capital is climbing faster than sales (12% of revenue then, 26% now). That can mean customers paying slower, stock building up, or revenue pulled forward. The filing's cash-flow and receivables notes say which.
And these came back clean
- Is it less profitable than it was?
- Are "one-time" charges a yearly habit?
Each test is read from the filings and is noisy alone; a flag can mark a cyclical trough or a year of heavy investment as easily as a problem. The filing says which.
What an owner would ask, FY2025
read the 10-K →- How much of the revenue rides on one buyer?≈$27M · 89% of revenue on the largest customer (TTM)
“Forever 8's revenue base is highly concentrated, with one customer representing approximately 89% and 75% of total revenues for the fiscal years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.”verify →
- Which reported numbers are a judgment call?Management names Revenue recognition, Income taxes, Stock compensation as critical estimates
each rests partly on management's judgment; the filing's note sets out the assumptionsverify →
The questions the record and the charts do not answer on their own; each carries the figure and the place to look.
Peers, Consumer Finance
The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.
| Company | Revenue | Gross margin | Op. margin | ROIC | Owner earn. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HIVEHIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. | $298M | — | 1.8% | 0% | -42% |
| HUTHut 8 Corp. | $235M | 54% | -55.2% | -8% | -73% |
| CRCLCircle Internet Group Inc. | $110M | — | 1102.0% | -4% | 699% |
| DGXXDigi Power X Inc. | $34M | — | — | — | -95% |
| ORBSEightco Holdings Inc. | $33M | 9% | -20.7% | -39% | -33% |
| SLNHPSoluna Holdings, Inc. | $30M | 23% | -113.3% | -33% | -55% |
| PFSIPennyMac Financial Services Inc. | $20M | — | 6967.8% | 12% | -14347% |
| BMNPBitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. | $6M | — | -224.0% | -32% | -139% |
| Group median | — | 23% | -20.7% | -8% | -64% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFEightco Holdings Inc. is profitable, but owner earnings are negative this year because capital spending currently outruns operating cash, a build-out, so the owner-earnings reverse-DCF has no positive base to grow. We read the price from both ends instead: type a price to see the steady-state profitability it demands, then set the mature margin you would believe and weigh the two against each other. Nothing leaves your browser unless you enter it in your notebook.
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The assumptions
Revenue, delivered36%/yr’21→’25
Enter a price to run it.
Owner earnings it must reach—
Margin the price demands—
Owner-earnings margin today−54%
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Two reads of one future. From your price: the owner earnings the company must reach, valued at a mature multiple and discounted back at your rate, expressed as the margin it implies on revenue grown at your rate. From your belief: the mature margin you would credit, set on the dial above. When the margin the price demands runs above the one you would believe, you are paying for a future taken on faith. For a deep cyclical at a trough, normalized through-cycle earnings are the better lens; this mode is for the genuinely unprofitable, and for the profitable business whose capital spending currently outruns its cash.
Cite: Owner Scorecard, "Eightco Holdings Inc. (ORBS), the owner's record," https://ownerscorecard.com/c/ORBS, data as of 2026-07-09.
Manual order: ← ORA its page in the Manual ORC →
Industry order: ← OMF the Consumer Finance chapter PRAA →