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ASC, Ardmore Shipping Corporation
A capital-intensive business, run on heavy physical assets that must be kept working and earn a return above what they cost to maintain.
The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
The business in brief
What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- Situation
- Distress / turnaround. Thin interest coverage, or operating cash burned against real debt, across the record. The balance sheet carries this situation; the debt schedule sets the clock. Cyclical. Margins collapse and recover repeatedly across the record; a single year, good or bad, misstates the through-cycle earning power.
- What moves the needle
- Operating margin has run about 5.6% through the cycle, a thin margin, where volume, cost discipline and the price it gets all bear on the result. The margin is cyclical, swinging between −11% and 35% over the years, so the through-cycle figure carries more than any single year — and the balance sheet at the trough more than the peak.
- Is it a good business?
- Return on capital has run in the teens (median 14%, above 15% in 3 of 6 years). Owner earnings agree: roughly 9% of revenue reaches owners as cash, consistently. Returns like these are solid but short of clear franchise economics; whether they hold is what the 10-K settles, not the multiple.
Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2016–2025
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2016’16 | 2017’17 | 2018’18 | 2019’19 | 2020’20 | 2021’21 | 2022’22 | 2023’23 | 2024’24 | 2025’25 | TTMTTMMar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | |||||||||||
| $164M | $196M | $210M | $230M | $220M | $192M | $446M | $396M | $406M | $310M | $324M | RevenueRevenue |
| $24M | $9M | ($10M) | $4M | $12M | ($20M) | $154M | $129M | $140M | $47M | ($6M) | Operating incomeOp. inc. |
| 14.6% | 4.3% | −4.6% | 1.7% | 5.6% | −10.6% | 34.6% | 32.5% | 34.5% | 15.3% | −1.8% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| $4M | ($12M) | ($43M) | ($23M) | ($6M) | ($37M) | $138M | $117M | $133M | $41M | $58M | Net incomeNet inc. |
| 2% | — | — | — | — | — | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | Effective tax rateTax rate |
| Cash flow & returns | |||||||||||
| $43M | $18M | $9M | $20M | $46M | ($3M) | $124M | $160M | $160M | $82M | $85M | Operating cash flowOp. cash |
| $30M | $34M | $35M | $32M | $32M | $32M | $29M | $28M | $30M | $34M | $36M | DepreciationDeprec. |
| $9M | ($3M) | $17M | $11M | $20M | $2M | ($44M) | $15M | ($3M) | $7M | ($9M) | Working capital & otherWC & other |
| $531K | $12K | $52K | $3M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | CapexCapex |
| 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Capex / revenueCapex/rev |
| $42M | $18M | $9M | $18M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Owner earningsOwner earn. |
| 25.6% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 7.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Owner earnings marginOE mgn |
| $42M | $18M | $9M | $18M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Free cash flowFCF |
| 25.6% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 7.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Free cash flow marginFCF mgn |
| $9M | $0 | $0 | $0 | $2M | — | — | $47M | $45M | $12M | $13M | Dividends paidDiv. paid |
| $3M | $11M | $0 | $0 | $287K | — | — | — | $18M | — | — | BuybacksBuybacks |
| — | — | -1% | — | — | -4% | 26% | 22% | 22% | 6% | -1% | ROICROIC |
| 1% | -3% | -12% | -7% | -2% | -13% | 29% | 22% | 22% | 6% | 9% | Return on equityROE |
| −1% | −3% | −12% | −7% | −2% | — | — | 13% | 14% | 5% | 7% | Retained to equityRetained/eq |
| Balance sheet | |||||||||||
| $56M | $39M | $57M | $52M | $58M | $54M | — | — | — | — | $54M | Cash & investmentsCash+inv |
| $23M | $27M | $27M | $30M | $18M | $20M | $80M | $56M | $61M | $48M | $53M | ReceivablesReceiv. |
| $7M | $10M | $13M | $10M | $10M | $11M | $16M | $13M | $11M | $9M | $13M | InventoryInvent. |
| $30M | $37M | $40M | $40M | $28M | $31M | $96M | $69M | $72M | $56M | $66M | Operating working capitalOper. WC |
| $94M | $84M | $109M | $98M | $103M | $94M | $158M | $127M | $127M | $112M | $146M | Current assetsCur. assets |
| $59M | $58M | $76M | $60M | $63M | $59M | $53M | $34M | $30M | $26M | $30M | Current liabilitiesCur. liab. |
| 1.6× | 1.4× | 1.4× | 1.6× | 1.6× | 1.6× | 3.0× | 3.7× | 4.2× | 4.3× | 4.9× | Current ratioCurr. ratio |
| $884M | $846M | $845M | $772M | $752M | $725M | $724M | $691M | $705M | $789M | $790M | Total assetsAssets |
| $453M | $404M | $228M | $207M | $211M | $145M | $129M | $46M | $39M | $127M | $103M | Total debtDebt |
| $397M | $365M | $171M | $156M | $152M | $91M | $129M | $46M | $39M | $127M | $49M | Net debt / (cash)Net debt |
| 1.4× | 0.4× | -0.4× | 0.1× | 0.7× | -1.3× | 9.9× | 11.3× | 20.7× | 7.7× | -0.8× | Interest coverageInt. cov. |
| $404M | $381M | $347M | $326M | $320M | $292M | $469M | $537M | $608M | $634M | $655M | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| Per share | |||||||||||
| 30.1M | 33.4M | 32.8M | 33.1M | 33.2M | 33.9M | 38.4M | 41.8M | 42.0M | 40.8M | 40.7M | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| $5.45 | $5.86 | $6.40 | $6.95 | $6.62 | $5.68 | $11.62 | $9.47 | $9.65 | $7.60 | $7.96 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| $0.12 | $-0.37 | $-1.31 | $-0.69 | $-0.18 | $-1.09 | $3.61 | $2.79 | $3.16 | $1.00 | $1.43 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| $1.40 | $0.55 | $0.29 | $0.54 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Owner earnings / shareOE/sh |
| $1.40 | $0.55 | $0.29 | $0.54 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh |
| $0.31 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.05 | — | — | $1.13 | $1.07 | $0.30 | $0.31 | Dividends / shareDiv/sh |
| $0.02 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.08 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh |
| $13.41 | $11.39 | $10.55 | $9.85 | $9.64 | $8.62 | $12.24 | $12.85 | $14.45 | $15.54 | $16.08 | Book value / shareBVPS |
| 9-yr | 5-yr | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue / share | +3.8%/yr | +2.8%/yr |
| Owner earnings / share | −27.2%/yr (3-yr) | −27.2%/yr (3-yr) |
| EPS | +26.1%/yr | — |
| Dividends / share | −0.4%/yr | +43.0%/yr |
| Capital spending / share | +64.6%/yr (3-yr) | +64.6%/yr (3-yr) |
| Book value / share | +1.7%/yr | +10.0%/yr |
The record, charted
FY2016–2025Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.
Owner earnings vs. net income
Owner earningsNet incomeThe accountant's number, and the cash an owner can take; the gap is the tell.
Where the cash went
ReinvestBuybacksDividendsAcquisitionsRetainedEach year's operating cash, by what management did with it: the mix, and how it drifts.
Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.
In fiscal 2019 the business turned a $23M loss into $18M of owner earnings: more cash than the profit line showed, after the non-cash charges and the capital it put back in.
| FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported net income | ($23M) | ($43M) | ($12M) | $4M |
| Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back | +$32M | +$35M | +$34M | +$30M |
| Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items | +$11M | +$17M | −$3M | +$9M |
| Cash from operations | $20M | $9M | $18M | $43M |
| Capital expenditurecash put back in to keep running and to grow | −$3M | −$52K | −$12K | −$531K |
| Owner earnings | $18M | $9M | $18M | $42M |
| Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue | 8% | 4% | 9% | 26% |
Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the capital it must spend to hold its position .
Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
Will it survive?
- Can it pay its interest? -0.8×Does not cover its interestOperating income ($6M) ÷ interest expense $7M
What this means
A full year of operating profit didn't cover the interest bill. This is the zombie zone: the business depends on refinancing, asset sales, or forbearance to service its debt.
- Net debt against an operating lossCash $54M − debt $103M
What this means
Netting $54M of cash and short-term investments against $103M of debt leaves $49M owed, with no operating profit this year to measure it against — understand that combination before anything else about the company. Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.
- Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
Is it a good business?
- Below average through the cycle6-yr median, range -4%–26%; -1% latest = NOPAT ($6M) ÷ invested capital $704MIndustry peers: median 4%
What this means
The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 6 years (it ran -1% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.
- Not enough dataIndustry peers: median 12%
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
- Cash-backedCash from ops $85M ÷ net income $58M
What this means
How much of reported profit showed up as operating cash. Above 1× is reassuring; well below suggests earnings lean on accruals. One year is noisy, growth and working-capital swings distort it, and this is operating cash, not free cash. Watch the multi-year trend.
How is the cash used?
- Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
- Investing or harvesting? —Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
Graham’s defensive tests · 2 of 5 met
Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.
- Adequate size MissRevenue ≥ $2B · $324M
What this means
Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.
- Strong liquidity PassCurrent ratio ≥ 2× · 4.87×
What this means
Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.
- Conservative debt PassDebt ≤ working capital · $103M vs $116M WC
What this means
Graham's rule that borrowings not exceed net current assets. Capital-heavy and buyback-heavy firms routinely fail it, read it next to interest coverage, not alone.
- Earnings stability MissA profit every year (10-yr record) · 5 loss years
What this means
Graham wanted earnings in each of the past ten years, the stability a defensive owner leans on.
- Dividend record MissUninterrupted dividends · 5 of 10 yrs
What this means
An unbroken dividend was Graham's mark of durability. He wanted twenty years; the filings show about ten, and a single suspension breaks the streak. Non-payers, many fine modern compounders, fall outside his defensive net by design.
- Earnings growth —Earnings +33% over the record · —
What this means
Earnings were negative early in the record, a growth rate isn't meaningful.
- Moderate price —P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
What this means
Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $2.38/share (latest year $1.43), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $16.08/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.
Durability & moat, 2016–2025
Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.
- Profitable years 5 of 10
What this means
Lost money in 5 year(s), look at what happened there before trusting the average.
- Return on capital ≥ 15% 3 of 10 yrs
What this means
A moat shows up as a high return on invested capital that holds year after year, not one good vintage.
- Operating margin 5% → 27% (3-yr avg ends)
What this means
Through the cycle the operating margin widened — about 5% early to 27% lately, median 6% — pricing power intact or improving.
- Reinvestment, incremental ROIC returns capital
What this means
The capital base barely grew: this business returns cash through dividends and buybacks rather than reinvesting. Judge it on the cash returned, not on compounding.
- Owner earnings growth −23%/yr
What this means
Owner earnings shrank about 23% a year over the record.
- Worst year 2021 · −10.6% op. margin
What this means
Operations went underwater in 2021, understand why before trusting the good years.
- Share count +3.4%/yr
What this means
The share count is rising, dilution works against you on a per-share basis.
- Dividend record rising
What this means
Paid and raised the dividend across the record, the continuity Graham prized.
Does AI threaten the moat?
Low contestabilityThe moat is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded, the kind AI cuts costs within but does not contest.
AI is unlikely to contest a moat that is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded; here it reads more as a cost tool than a threat.
Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
Current Position
as of fiscal year-end, Mar 31, 2026Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.
- Cash & short-term investments$54M
- Receivables$53M
- Inventory$13M
- Other current assets$26M
- Other current liabilities$30M
From the company's latest filing.
How the cash was used, 2016–2019
Over the record, the business generated $91M of operating cash; how management split it reads as a deleverager, a meaningful share of cash went to paying down debt.
- Reinvested$3M · 4%
- Dividends$9M · 10%
- Buybacks$14M · 16%
- Retained (debt / cash)$64M · 71%
- Returned to owners$24M
27% of the owner earnings the business produced over the span, $9M as dividends and $14M as buybacks.
- Source of fundingOperating cash
Operating cash covered reinvestment and returns; over the span debt fell $350M and cash and short-term investments fell $1M.
- Average price paid for buybacks—
Buybacks ran $14M over the span, but the filings don't tag the share count needed to deduce the average price paid.
- Net change in share count35.1%
The diluted count rose from 30M to 41M: issuance (stock pay, deals) outran any buybacks, so owners were diluted on net.
- Dividend record$0.00/sh
Paid in 1 of the years on record. It was cut at least once along the way.
Buybacks are gross of stock issued to staff; the share-count line above is the net of that, the figure that decides whether owners gained. The average price paid blends a year of purchases (and any accelerated repurchase), so it is close, not exact. The record of where the cash went and on what terms.
Inverting the record
Invert: instead of why Ardmore Shipping Corporation is a good business, the question is what would make owning it a mistake, and whether those marks are in the record. Disconfirming tests across 2016–2025.
2 of the 5 tests turned up something to look into; the other 3 came back clean.
- Look hereIs it less profitable than it was?6.1% vs 17.5%
The owner-earnings margin averaged 17.5% early in the record and 6.1% across the last three years, and the latest year has not recovered. Ask the filing whether that is a structural drift or a cyclical trough — price, mix, cost, or a competitor — and whether it is permanent.
- Look hereDid the share count rise anyway?35.1%
Diluted shares grew 35.1% over 2016–2019, even as the company spent $14M on buybacks. The repurchases were outrun by issuance — to staff, in a raise, or in a deal — and the filing says which; owners' slice still shrank. Read the buyback line beside this one, not on its own.
- Did debt outgrow the business?
- Did reported profit become cash?
- Did receivables and inventory outpace sales?
Each test is read from the filings and is noisy alone; a flag can mark a cyclical trough or a year of heavy investment as easily as a problem. The filing says which.
Peers, Marine Shipping
The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.
| Company | Revenue | Gross margin | Op. margin | ROIC | Owner earn. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KEXKirby | $3.4B | — | 7.7% | 4% | 10% |
| MATXMatson | $3.3B | 96% | 11.4% | 11% | 12% |
| TDWTidewater Inc. | $1.4B | — | -12.5% | -6% | 3% |
| INSWInternational Seaways Inc. Common Stock | $843M | — | 12.3% | 3% | 33% |
| PANLPangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd. | $632M | — | 7.7% | 10% | 10% |
| LPGDorian LPG Ltd. | $482M | — | 35.2% | 7% | 38% |
| GNKGenco Shipping & Trading Limited | $342M | — | -1.1% | -0% | 31% |
| ASCArdmore Shipping Corporation | $324M | — | 10.1% | 14% | 9% |
| Group median | — | — | 8.9% | 5% | 11% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFEnter the home-market price, not the US ADR quote. Ardmore Shipping Corporation reports in USD, and every figure here (owner earnings, book value, the share count) is on that ordinary-share basis. Enter the price on the same basis: the local-exchange quote per ordinary share. A US ADR price in dollars bundles the ADR-to-ordinary ratio, so it will not reconcile with these figures and would throw the multiple off.
Type today's close and see the owner-earnings growth you'd have to believe to justify it, beside what Ardmore Shipping Corporation has delivered.
Ardmore Shipping Corporation’s latest year runs above its own through-cycle margin — the reported figure may flatter a peak. So the tool opens on the through-cycle base, Graham’s averaging cutting both ways; clear the toggle below to read the latest year exactly as reported.
—
9.0% = the 4.55% 10-year Treasury (Jul 15, 2026) + 4.45 points of equity premium. The rate you require is yours to set.
Enter a price above to run it.
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Graham capped the multiple at 15×; Buffett and Munger let that rule go: a wonderful business can deserve 50× if the thesis holds. The gate marks the bargain-hunter's floor.
Prefilled with the 10-year Treasury (4.55%, as of Jul 15, 2026). Edit it for today’s exact figure, or a AAA corporate yield.
Graham measured a stock against the bond you could own instead, the heart of his margin of safety. Enter a price above to weigh the owner-earnings yield against this bond.
Owner earnings — on 41M shares outstanding, per the 20-F cover, as of 2025-12-31; net debt $49M. The base opens on the through-cycle figure (the latest year sits off the record’s own median, and Graham’s averaging cuts both ways); clear Normalize to use the year as filed. Net of stock comp treats option pay as the expense it is. The dials set the multiple a growth belief justifies; the price, and every dollar on this page, is yours.
Manual order: ← AS its page in the Manual ASM →
Industry order: ← 9107 the Marine Shipping chapter BIP →