Owner Scorecard


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MOB, Mobilicom Limited

Aerospace & Defense capital-intensive Unprofitable

We are a provider of software and cybersecurity solutions and hardware products that we design, develop and manufacture and that are embedded into small-sized drones or small-sized unmanned aerial vehicles, or SUAVs, and into robotic systems, or robotics.

By "design win" we are referring to the large-scale and adoption of our products by our OEM customers on an-ongoing basis.

An "end-to-end" provider is one that provides all of the key components its customers need for their products. 25 We aim to penetrate and expand in the commercial segment of our markets by leveraging the experience we have gained in the defense segment of our markets.

Latest annual: FY2025 20-F
MOB · Mobilicom Limited
I

The business

What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.

Revenue · FY2025
$3M
+5.8% YoY · 28% 3-yr CAGR
Vital signs · TTM
Cash & investments $19M
Cash burn · annual $2M
Runway 10+ yrs

The business in brief

read the 10-K →

What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.

Situation
Unprofitable. No meaningful revenue yet; the record is the cash on hand against the burn.
What moves the needle
Operating margin has run around −246% through the cycle on a 58% gross margin, the operating line in the red even at its best — so the lever is whether the spending below the gross line can come down enough to clear a profit: revenue growth against the cost curve, and the cash runway until it does. The cash cycle has run negative through the cycle (a median of −186 days): the operation is paid before it pays, so working capital releases cash as the business grows rather than tying it up. Read this kind of business on the backlog and program execution. On its own account, the filing leans hardest on pricing power & competition, set against the numbers in what the filing emphasizes, below.

Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.

II

The record

Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.

The record, 2022–2025

realized figures from each filing · older years to the left
2022’222023’232024’242025’25TTMTTMDec 2025
Income statement
$2M$2M$3M$3M$3MRevenueRevenue
62%59%58%53%53%Gross marginGross mgn
($212K)($4M)($8M)($24M)($24M)Operating incomeOp. inc.
−13.1%−203.8%−245.9%−707.3%−707.3%Operating marginOp. mgn
($232K)($5M)($8M)($24M)($24M)Net incomeNet inc.
Cash flow & returns
($3M)($4M)($3M)($2M)($2M)Operating cash flowOp. cash
$226K$212K$221K$219K$219KDepreciationDeprec.
($3M)$191K$5M$22M$22MWorking capital & otherWC & other
$3K$13K$27K$37K$37KCapexCapex
0.2%0.6%0.8%1.1%1.1%Capex / revenueCapex/rev
($3M)($4M)($3M)($2M)($2M)Owner earningsOwner earn.
−206.3%−190.3%−101.7%−57.7%−57.7%Owner earnings marginOE mgn
($3M)($4M)($3M)($2M)($2M)Free cash flowFCF
−206.3%−190.3%−101.7%−57.7%−57.7%Free cash flow marginFCF mgn
-2%-59%-199%-269%-269%Return on equityROE
−2%−59%−199%−269%−269%Retained to equityRetained/eq
Balance sheet
$13M$8M$9M$19M$19MCash & investmentsCash+inv
$563K$978K$949K$348K$348KReceivablesReceiv.
$570K$935K$893K$740K$740KInventoryInvent.
$1M$1M$1M$2M$2MAccounts payablePayables
$40K$492K$608K($1M)($1M)Operating working capitalOper. WC
$14M$10M$11M$20M$20MCurrent assetsCur. assets
$2M$2M$1M$2M$2MCurrent liabilitiesCur. liab.
6.8×6.3×7.3×8.5×8.5×Current ratioCurr. ratio
$14M$11M$11M$21M$21MTotal assetsAssets
($13M)($8M)($9M)($19M)($19M)Net debt / (cash)Net debt
-20.8×-303.4×-289.2×-2559.2×-2559.2×Interest coverageInt. cov.
$12M$8M$4M$9M$9MShareholders’ equityEquity
Per share
664M4.8M6.1M8.9M8.9MShares out (diluted)Shares
$0.00$0.45$0.52$0.38$0.38Revenue / shareRev/sh
$-0.00$-0.95$-1.32$-2.68$-2.68EPS (diluted)EPS
$-0.01$-0.86$-0.53$-0.22$-0.22Owner earnings / shareOE/sh
$-0.01$-0.86$-0.53$-0.22$-0.22Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh
$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh
$0.02$1.60$0.66$1.00$1.00Book value / shareBVPS

The diluted share count moved ×1/137.52 into 2023 — shares retired, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.

The diluted share count moved ×1.46 into 2025 — shares issued, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.

Per-share growththe realized rate an owner's share compounded
3-yr5-yr
Revenue / share+438.5%/yr+438.5%/yr (3-yr)
Capital spending / share+855.2%/yr+855.2%/yr (3-yr)
Book value / share+279.3%/yr+279.3%/yr (3-yr)

The record, charted

FY2022–2025

Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.

Share count
9Mpeak FY2022
Gross margin
53%low FY2025

Owner earnings vs. net income

Owner earningsNet income

The accountant's number, and the cash an owner can take; the gap is the tell.

($2M)owner earningsvs.($24M)net incomelow FY2023

Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.

In fiscal 2025 the business turned a $24M loss into ($2M) of owner earnings: more cash than the profit line showed, after the non-cash charges and the capital it put back in.

FY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Reported net income($24M)($8M)($5M)($232K)
Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back+$219K+$221K+$212K+$226K
Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items+$22M+$5M+$191K−$3M
Cash from operations($2M)($3M)($4M)($3M)
Capital expenditurecash put back in to keep running and to grow−$37K−$27K−$13K−$3K
Owner earnings($2M)($3M)($4M)($3M)
Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue-58%-102%-190%-206%

Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the capital it must spend to hold its position .

Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.

III

Quality & stewardship

Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.

Owner’s Scorecard

FY2025 20-F · source on SEC EDGAR →

Will it survive?

  • Does not cover its interest
    Operating income ($24M) ÷ interest expense $9K
    What this means

    A full year of operating profit didn't cover the interest bill. This is the zombie zone: the business depends on refinancing, asset sales, or forbearance to service its debt.

  • Net cash, debt-free
    Cash $19M − debt $0
    What this means

    Cash and short-term investments exceed every dollar of debt by $19M, on net the company owes nothing, and can act from strength when others can't. Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.

  • Negative, funded by others
    DSO 38 + DIO 171 − DPO 500 days
    What this means

    Days cash is tied up between paying suppliers and collecting from customers. A negative cycle is a quiet moat: suppliers and customers fund the operation (Buffett's “float”), the company grows on other people's money.

Is it a good business?

  • Not enough data
    Industry peers: median -30%
    What this means

    The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.

  • Consumes cash through the cycle
    4-yr median margin, range -206%–-58%; latest ($2M) = operating cash ($2M) − maintenance capex $37K
    Industry peers: median -178%
    What this means

    What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's -58% of revenue this year, a -190% median across 4 years.

  • Loss, and burning cash
    Net income ($24M) · cash from operations ($2M)
    What this means

    The company reported a net loss, so a conversion ratio isn't meaningful. What matters then is whether operations still threw off cash, here, they did not.

How is the cash used?

  • Not enough data
    What this means

    The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.

  • Investing or harvesting? 0.17×
    Harvesting
    Capex $37K ÷ depreciation $219K
    What this means

    Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.

Graham’s defensive tests · 1 of 2 met

Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.

  • Adequate size Miss
    Revenue ≥ $2B · $3M
    What this means

    Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.

  • Strong liquidity Pass
    Current ratio ≥ 2× · 8.51×
    What this means

    Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.

  • Moderate price
    P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
    What this means

    Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $-0.99/share (latest year $-1.94), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $0.72/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.

Durability & moat, 2022–2025

Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.

  • Profitable years 0 of 4
    What this means

    Lost money in 4 year(s), look at what happened there before trusting the average.

  • Operating margin −108% → −477% (2-yr avg ends)
    What this means

    Through the cycle the operating margin slipped — about −108% early to −477% lately, median −246% — competition or costs are biting in.

  • Worst year 2025 · −707.3% op. margin
    What this means

    Operations went underwater in 2025, understand why before trusting the good years.

Does AI threaten the moat?

Low contestability

The moat is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded, the kind AI cuts costs within but does not contest.

In its own filing Framed as a capability

The filing positions AI as something the company uses, not something it fears.

“Designed to operate on NVIDIA AI computing for drones and robotics, OS3 Edge fortifies each autonomous vehicle mission locally on the system itself, while OS3 Cloud remotely monitors and protects the entire fleet's operations.”

AI is unlikely to contest a moat that is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded; here it reads more as a cost tool than a threat, and the company is using it that way.

Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.

All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.

Current Position

as of fiscal year-end, Dec 31, 2025

Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.

Current assets$20M
  • Cash & short-term investments$19M
  • Receivables$348K
  • Inventory$740K
Current liabilities$2M
  • Accounts payable$2M
  • Other current liabilities$213K
Current ratio8.51×all current assets ÷ what's due · Graham looked for 2×
Quick ratio8.20×stricter: inventory excluded
Cash ratio8.06×strictest: cash alone against what's due
Working capital$18Mthe cushion left after near-term bills
Cash runway9.9 yrsthe business is consuming cash; this is how long the cash on hand lasts at that rate
Deeper floors
Tangible book value$9Mequity stripped of goodwill & intangibles
Net current asset value$8MGraham's net-net: current assets less all liabilities
Debt incl. operating leases$437K$437K of it operating leases

From the company's latest filing.

Peers, Aerospace & Defense

The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.

CompanyRevenueGross marginOp. marginROICOwner earn. margin
KRMNKarman Holdings Inc.$472M38%16.4%10%-4%
MCFTMasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc.$284M26%14.7%37%10%
FLYFirefly Aerospace Inc.$160M19%-238.8%-30%-178%
PKEPark Aerospace Corp.$73M31%15.1%6%8%
JOBYJoby Aviation Inc.$53M-45745.5%-49%-33375%
BETABeta Technologies Inc.$36M72%-1214.9%-100%-1085%
AEVAAeva Technologies Inc.$18M37%-1451.8%-177%-1214%
MOBMobilicom Limited$3M58%-224.9%-146%
Group median37%-231.8%-162%
IV

The price

What a price has to assume.

What the price implies

reverse-DCF

Enter the home-market price, not the US ADR quote. Mobilicom Limited reports in USD, and every figure here (owner earnings, book value, the share count) is on that ordinary-share basis. Enter the price on the same basis: the local-exchange quote per ordinary share. A US ADR price in dollars bundles the ADR-to-ordinary ratio, so it will not reconcile with these figures and would throw the multiple off.

Mobilicom Limited is profitable, but owner earnings are negative this year because capital spending currently outruns operating cash, a build-out, so the owner-earnings reverse-DCF has no positive base to grow. We read the price from both ends instead: type a price to see the steady-state profitability it demands, then set the mature margin you would believe and weigh the two against each other. Nothing leaves your browser unless you enter it in your notebook.

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The assumptions

Revenue, delivered29%/yr’22→’25

Enter a price to run it.

Owner earnings it must reach
Margin the price demands
Owner-earnings margin today−58%

Two reads of one future. From your price: the owner earnings the company must reach, valued at a mature multiple and discounted back at your rate, expressed as the margin it implies on revenue grown at your rate. From your belief: the mature margin you would credit, set on the dial above. When the margin the price demands runs above the one you would believe, you are paying for a future taken on faith. For a deep cyclical at a trough, normalized through-cycle earnings are the better lens; this mode is for the genuinely unprofitable, and for the profitable business whose capital spending currently outruns its cash.

Cite: Owner Scorecard, "Mobilicom Limited (MOB), the owner's record," https://ownerscorecard.com/c/MOB, data as of 2026-07-09.

Manual order: ← MNY its page in the Manual MOBBW →

Industry order: ← MCFT the Aerospace & Defense chapter MOBBW →