Owner Scorecard


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SATL, Satellogic Inc.

Communications Equipment capital-intensive UnprofitableDistress / turnaround

Satellogic is a vertically integrated Earth observation company that designs, manufactures, and operates satellite systems, delivering decision-grade insights at scale to government and commercial customers.

Using its patented Earth imaging technology, Satellogic seeks to unlock the power of EO to deliver high-quality, planetary insights at unparalleled value.

With more than a decade of experience in space and over 150 years of flight heritage, Satellogic has proven technology and a strong track record of delivering satellites to orbit and high-resolution data to customers at the right price point.

Latest annual: FY2025 10-K
SATL · Satellogic Inc.
I

The business

What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.

Revenue · FY2025
$18M
+37.6% YoY
Vital signs · TTM
Cash & investments $122M
Cash burn · annual $22M
Runway 5.5 yrs

The business in brief

read the 10-K →

What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.

Situation
Unprofitable. No meaningful revenue yet; the record is the cash on hand against the burn. Distress / turnaround. Thin interest coverage, or operating cash burned against real debt, across the record. The balance sheet carries this situation; the debt schedule sets the clock.
What moves the needle
Operating margin has run around −406% through the cycle, the operating line deeply negative — so the lever is the path to a margin at all: revenue growth against the cost curve and the cash runway, not the level of a margin that isn't there yet. Capital spending runs about 42% of sales, so the return earned on what it sinks into that plant weighs as much as the margin. On its own account, the filing leans hardest on customer concentration, set against the numbers in what the filing emphasizes, below.
Is it a good business?
Return on capital has rarely cleared the cost of capital (median −194%, above 15% in 0 of 3 years). Owner earnings, the cash-based check, have been thin too. This is price-taker territory, where the balance sheet and the cycle matter more than any multiple; the rest is in the 10-K.

Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.

II

The record

Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.

The record, 2023–2025

realized figures from each filing · older years to the left
2023’232024’242025’25TTMTTMMar 2026
Income statement
$10M$13M$18M$20MRevenueRevenue
347%256%145%126%SG&A / revenueSG&A/rev
106%58%28%24%R&D / revenueR&D/rev
($69M)($52M)($31M)($28M)Operating incomeOp. inc.
−688.9%−405.6%−175.2%−136.4%Operating marginOp. mgn
($61M)($116M)($5M)($91M)Net incomeNet inc.
Cash flow & returns
($50M)($36M)($27M)($22M)Operating cash flowOp. cash
$17M$13M$8M$6MDepreciationDeprec.
($12M)$65M($34M)$58MWorking capital & otherWC & other
$15M$5M$7M$11MCapexCapex
147.8%39.1%41.7%53.9%Capex / revenueCapex/rev
($64M)($41M)($34M)($28M)Owner earningsOwner earn.
−639.8%−318.0%−193.5%−139.3%Owner earnings marginOE mgn
($64M)($41M)($34M)($33M)Free cash flowFCF
−639.8%−318.0%−193.5%−161.6%Free cash flow marginFCF mgn
-194%-1163%-110%ROICROIC
-118%-8%Return on equityROE
−118%−8%Retained to equityRetained/eq
Balance sheet
$23M$22M$94M$122MCash & investmentsCash+inv
$901K$1M$9M$10MReceivablesReceiv.
$0$2M$2MInventoryInvent.
$8M$4M$2M$4MAccounts payablePayables
($7M)($2M)$8M$9MOperating working capitalOper. WC
$27M$28M$115M$145MCurrent assetsCur. assets
$21M$35M$23M$59MCurrent liabilitiesCur. liab.
1.2×0.8×5.1×2.4×Current ratioCurr. ratio
$76M$62M$151M$188MTotal assetsAssets
$0$79M$56M$143MTotal debtDebt
($23M)$57M($38M)$21MNet debt / (cash)Net debt
$52M($53M)$61M($26M)Shareholders’ equityEquity
62.5%18.1%24.1%21.5%Stock comp / revenueSBC/rev
Per share
89.5M91.2M134M141MShares out (diluted)Shares
$0.11$0.14$0.13$0.14Revenue / shareRev/sh
$-0.68$-1.28$-0.04$-0.64EPS (diluted)EPS
$-0.72$-0.45$-0.26$-0.20Owner earnings / shareOE/sh
$-0.72$-0.45$-0.26$-0.23Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh
$0.17$0.06$0.05$0.08Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh
$0.58$-0.58$0.45$-0.18Book value / shareBVPS

The diluted share count moved ×1.47 into 2025 — shares issued, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.

The record, charted

FY2023–2025

Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.

Share count
134Mpeak FY2025
ROIC
−110%low FY2024

Owner earnings vs. net income

Owner earningsNet income

The accountant's number, and the cash an owner can take; the gap is the tell.

($34M)owner earningsvs.($5M)net incomelow FY2023

Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.

In fiscal 2025 the business reported a $5M loss but ($34M) of owner earnings: $29M less than the profit line, taken out by capital spending and the timing of cash.

FY2025FY2024FY2023
Reported net income($5M)($116M)($61M)
Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back+$8M+$13M+$17M
Stock-based compensationreal costnon-cash, but a real cost+$4M+$2M+$6M
Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items−$34M+$65M−$12M
Cash from operations($27M)($36M)($50M)
Capital expenditurecash put back in to keep running and to grow−$7M−$5M−$15M
Owner earnings($34M)($41M)($64M)
Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue-193%-318%-640%

Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the capital it must spend to hold its position . The cash-flow statement also adds stock comp back as non-cash, but it is a real cost paid in shares; counted as the expense it is (less $4M), owner earnings is nearer ($39M).

Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.

III

Quality & stewardship

Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.

Owner’s Scorecard

FY2025 10-K · source on SEC EDGAR →

Will it survive?

  • No meaningful interest burden
    Little or no interest expense reported
    What this means

    Little or no interest expense reported, the business isn't leaning on lenders to operate.

  • Net cash
    Cash $94M − debt $56M
    What this means

    Cash and short-term investments exceed every dollar of debt by $38M, on net the company owes nothing, and can act from strength when others can't. Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.

  • Not enough data
    What this means

    The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.

Is it a good business?

  • Below average through the cycle
    3-yr median, range -1163%–-110%; -110% latest = NOPAT ($25M) ÷ invested capital $22M
    Industry peers: median -113%
    What this means

    The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 3 years (it ran -110% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.

  • Consumes cash through the cycle
    3-yr median margin, range -640%–-193%; latest ($34M) = operating cash ($27M) − maintenance capex $7M
    Industry peers: median -292%
    What this means

    What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's -193% of revenue this year, a -318% median across 3 years. Treating stock comp as the real expense it is (less $4M of SBC) leaves ($39M).

  • Loss, and burning cash
    Net income ($5M) · cash from operations ($27M)
    What this means

    The company reported a net loss, so a conversion ratio isn't meaningful. What matters then is whether operations still threw off cash, here, they did not.

How is the cash used?

  • Not enough data
    What this means

    The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.

  • Investing or harvesting? 0.95×
    Maintaining
    Capex $7M ÷ depreciation $8M
    What this means

    Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.

Graham’s defensive tests · 2 of 3 met

Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.

  • Adequate size Miss
    Revenue ≥ $2B · $18M
    What this means

    Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.

  • Strong liquidity Pass
    Current ratio ≥ 2× · 5.12×
    What this means

    Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.

  • Conservative debt Pass
    Debt ≤ working capital · $56M vs $93M WC
    What this means

    Graham's rule that borrowings not exceed net current assets. Capital-heavy and buyback-heavy firms routinely fail it, read it next to interest coverage, not alone.

  • Moderate price
    P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
    What this means

    Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $-0.43/share (latest year $-0.03), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $0.43/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.

Does AI threaten the moat?

Low contestability

The moat is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded, the kind AI cuts costs within but does not contest.

In its own filing A competitive risk, new this year

Its FY2025 10-K names artificial intelligence as a competitive threat, in language that was not in the prior year's filing.

“Flaws in AI algorithms or datasets or the failure to implement adequate safeguards may lead to unintended consequences, such as operational disruptions, data loss or erroneous decision-making, which could adversely impact our business relationships, reputation, or business operations.…”

AI is unlikely to contest a moat that is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded; here it reads more as a cost tool than a threat, and the company is using it that way.

Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.

All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.

Current Position

as of the latest quarter, Mar 31, 2026

Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.

Current assets$145M
  • Cash & short-term investments$122M
  • Receivables$10M
  • Inventory$2M
  • Other current assets$10M
Current liabilities$59M
  • Accounts payable$4M
  • Other current liabilities$55M
Current ratio2.44×all current assets ÷ what's due · Graham looked for 2×
Quick ratio2.41×stricter: inventory excluded
Cash ratio2.06×strictest: cash alone against what's due
Working capital$85Mthe cushion left after near-term bills
Cash runway3.7 yrsthe business is consuming cash; this is how long the cash on hand lasts at that rate
Revenue, latest quarter vs. a year ago+80.3%the freshest read on whether the business is still growing
Current ratio, recent quarters0.8× → 2.4×
Deeper floors
Tangible book value($26M)equity stripped of goodwill & intangibles
Net current asset value($69M)Graham's net-net: current assets less all liabilities
Debt incl. operating leases$7M$7M of it operating leases
Deferred revenue$21Mcustomer cash collected before delivery; operating float

From the company's latest filing.

Management, ownership & pay

From the proxy: how much of the business the people running it own, and how they are paid.

  • Stock-based compensation$4M

    The slice of the business handed to employees in shares this year, 24% of revenue. Buffett's oldest accounting fight: this is compensation, compensation is an expense, real whether or not the headline earnings admit it. One trap: the cash-flow statement adds SBC back, so the operating cash, and the owner earnings drawn from it, are flattered by exactly this amount; counted as the cost it is, what an owner keeps is lower.

What an owner would ask, FY2025

read the 10-K →
  • How much of the revenue rides on one buyer?
    ≈$2M · 10% of revenue on the largest customers (TTM)
    “In 2025, we had three customers that each accounted for more than 10% of our total revenue and in 2024, we had two customers that accounted for 10% of our total revenue.”verify →
  • Which reported numbers are a judgment call?
    Management names Revenue recognition, Income taxes, Stock compensation as critical estimates

    each rests partly on management's judgment; the filing's note sets out the assumptionsverify →

The questions the record and the charts do not answer on their own; each carries the figure and the place to look.

Peers, Communications Equipment

The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.

CompanyRevenueGross marginOp. marginROICOwner earn. margin
BKSYBlackSky Technology Inc.$107M-95.8%-36%-64%
ONDSOndas Inc.$51M43%-618.3%-139%-543%
ENVXEnovix Corporation$32M19%-1051.7%-113%-666%
SESSES AI Corporation$21M54%-393.4%-35%-292%
SLDPSolid Power Inc.$18M-537.1%-21%-435%
SATLSatellogic Inc.$18M-405.6%-194%-318%
QUIKQuickLogic Corporation$14M52%-97.1%-156%-64%
UMACUnusual Machines Inc.$11M-224.6%-242%-190%
Group median-399.5%-126%-305%
IV

The price

What a price has to assume.

What the price implies

reverse-DCF

Satellogic Inc. is profitable, but owner earnings are negative this year because capital spending currently outruns operating cash, a build-out, so the owner-earnings reverse-DCF has no positive base to grow. We read the price from both ends instead: type a price to see the steady-state profitability it demands, then set the mature margin you would believe and weigh the two against each other. Nothing leaves your browser unless you enter it in your notebook.

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The assumptions

Enter a price to run it.

Owner earnings it must reach
Margin the price demands
Owner-earnings margin today−162%

Two reads of one future. From your price: the owner earnings the company must reach, valued at a mature multiple and discounted back at your rate, expressed as the margin it implies on revenue grown at your rate. From your belief: the mature margin you would credit, set on the dial above. When the margin the price demands runs above the one you would believe, you are paying for a future taken on faith. For a deep cyclical at a trough, normalized through-cycle earnings are the better lens; this mode is for the genuinely unprofitable, and for the profitable business whose capital spending currently outruns its cash.

Cite: Owner Scorecard, "Satellogic Inc. (SATL), the owner's record," https://ownerscorecard.com/c/SATL, data as of 2026-07-09.

Manual order: ← SATA its page in the Manual SATLW →

Industry order: ← QCOM the Communications Equipment chapter SATLW →