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VRTX, Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated
Vertex is a drug company. It discovers, makes, and sells prescription medicines, and the heart of the business is a set of treatments for cystic fibrosis, an inherited disease, sold to the patients who carry it through their doctors and paid for largely by the insurers and health plans that cover them. It earns its money the way a branded drugmaker does: a medicine costs a great deal to invent and prove out, then very little to manufacture once approved, so nearly all the revenue from each prescription drops toward profit while the patent holds.
We use the brand name for our products when we refer to the product that has been approved and with respect to the indications on the approved label.
Otherwise, we refer to our product candidates by their scientific (or generic) name or VX developmental designation.
The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
The business in brief
read the 10-K →What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- Situation
- Cyclical. Margins collapse and recover repeatedly across the record; a single year, good or bad, misstates the through-cycle earning power.
- What moves the needle
- The first test is whether the cystic fibrosis franchise is a true franchise or a lease on patents: Vertex treats a disease defined by genetics where it has stood largely alone, so watch whether physicians and the payors who foot the bill keep accepting the medicines and the price — the filing names exactly that physician, patient, and payor acceptance as a risk, and a single-source supplier as another. The second is the reinvestment runway: the business leans on one therapeutic area, and management says plainly that its success depends on its ability to develop and commercialize additional medicines, so the question is whether heavy research spending produces the next franchise before the current patents lapse. The bad case is a narrow company whose moat is a clock, with payors pressing on the price and the pipeline failing to replace what time takes away. The record below holds the margins, the returns on capital, and the balance sheet.
- Is it a good business?
- Return on capital has run high across the record (median 36%, above 15% in 8 of 9 years), though buybacks and expensed R&D and brands shrink the capital base, so the figure overstates the underlying economics. The steadier read is owner earnings: roughly 34% of revenue reaches owners as cash, consistently. Whether these returns reflect real pricing power or an accounting artifact is the judgment the 10-K is for.
Drafted from the company's filings and reviewed by hand; every number is shown in full in the sections below.
Where the money comes from
read the 10-K →37% of revenue comes from outside the United States.
- United States63%$7.5B
- Europe29%$3.5B
- Other8%$992M
From the segment footnote of the company's own 10-K. Shares are of total revenue; the profit bar shows each segment's share of segment operating profit, before unallocated corporate costs.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2016–2025
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2016’16 | 2017’17 | 2018’18 | 2019’19 | 2020’20 | 2021’21 | 2022’22 | 2023’23 | 2024’24 | 2025’25 | TTMTTMMar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | |||||||||||
| $1.7B | $2.5B | $3.0B | $4.2B | $6.2B | $7.6B | $8.9B | $9.9B | $11.0B | $12.0B | $12.2B | RevenueRevenue |
| 88% | 89% | 87% | 87% | 88% | 88% | 88% | 87% | 86% | 86% | 86% | Gross marginGross mgn |
| 25% | 20% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 15% | SG&A / revenueSG&A/rev |
| 62% | 53% | 46% | 42% | 29% | 40% | 28% | 32% | 33% | 33% | 32% | R&D / revenueR&D/rev |
| $10M | $123M | $635M | $1.2B | $2.9B | $2.8B | $4.3B | $3.8B | ($233M) | $4.2B | $4.7B | Operating incomeOp. inc. |
| 0.6% | 5.0% | 20.8% | 28.8% | 46.0% | 36.7% | 48.2% | 38.8% | −2.1% | 34.8% | 38.3% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| ($112M) | $263M | $2.1B | $1.2B | $2.7B | $2.3B | $3.3B | $3.6B | ($536M) | $4.0B | $4.3B | Net incomeNet inc. |
| — | — | — | 16% | 13% | 14% | 22% | 17% | — | 15% | 16% | Effective tax rateTax rate |
| Cash flow & returns | |||||||||||
| $236M | $845M | $1.3B | $1.6B | $3.3B | $2.6B | $4.1B | $3.5B | ($493M) | $3.6B | $4.2B | Operating cash flowOp. cash |
| $61M | $61M | $72M | $107M | $110M | $126M | $148M | $181M | $207M | $210M | $217M | DepreciationDeprec. |
| $46M | $227M | ($1.2B) | ($75M) | $3M | ($266M) | $168M | ($845M) | ($863M) | ($1.2B) | ($1.0B) | Working capital & otherWC & other |
| $57M | $99M | $95M | $75M | $260M | $235M | $205M | $200M | $298M | $438M | $530M | CapexCapex |
| 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | Capex / revenueCapex/rev |
| $180M | $784M | $1.2B | $1.5B | $3.1B | $2.5B | $4.0B | $3.3B | ($700M) | $3.4B | $4.0B | Owner earningsOwner earn. |
| 10.5% | 31.5% | 39.3% | 35.9% | 50.7% | 33.2% | 44.6% | 33.8% | −6.4% | 28.5% | 32.9% | Owner earnings marginOE mgn |
| $180M | $746M | $1.2B | $1.5B | $3.0B | $2.4B | $3.9B | $3.3B | ($790M) | $3.2B | $3.7B | Free cash flowFCF |
| 10.5% | 30.0% | 38.5% | 35.9% | 48.2% | 31.8% | 44.0% | 33.8% | −7.2% | 26.6% | 30.4% | Free cash flow marginFCF mgn |
| — | $0 | $0 | $1.2B | $0 | $0 | $296M | $0 | $0 | — | $0 | AcquisitionsAcquis. |
| $0 | $0 | $350M | $186M | $539M | $1.4B | $0 | $428M | $1.2B | $2.0B | — | BuybacksBuybacks |
| — | 34% | 36% | 34% | 92% | 72% | 99% | 44% | -1% | 26% | 28% | ROICROIC |
| -10% | 13% | 47% | 19% | 31% | 23% | 24% | 21% | -3% | 21% | 22% | Return on equityROE |
| −10% | 13% | 47% | 19% | 31% | 23% | 24% | 21% | −3% | 21% | 22% | Retained to equityRetained/eq |
| Balance sheet | |||||||||||
| $1.4B | $2.1B | $3.2B | $3.8B | $6.7B | $7.5B | $10.9B | $13.7B | $11.2B | $12.3B | $13.0B | Cash & investmentsCash+inv |
| $200M | $281M | $410M | $634M | $885M | $1.1B | $1.4B | $1.6B | $1.6B | $2.1B | $2.0B | ReceivablesReceiv. |
| $78M | $112M | $124M | $168M | $281M | $353M | $461M | $739M | $1.2B | $1.7B | $1.8B | InventoryInvent. |
| $61M | $74M | $111M | $88M | $155M | $195M | $304M | $365M | $413M | $462M | $489M | Accounts payablePayables |
| $217M | $319M | $423M | $713M | $1.0B | $1.3B | $1.6B | $1.9B | $2.4B | $3.3B | $3.3B | Operating working capitalOper. WC |
| $1.8B | $2.6B | $3.8B | $4.8B | $8.1B | $9.6B | $13.2B | $14.1B | $9.6B | $11.2B | $11.7B | Current assetsCur. assets |
| $793M | $807M | $1.1B | $1.3B | $1.9B | $2.1B | $2.7B | $3.5B | $3.6B | $3.9B | $3.9B | Current liabilitiesCur. liab. |
| 2.3× | 3.3× | 3.4× | 3.6× | 4.3× | 4.5× | 4.8× | 4.0× | 2.7× | 2.9× | 3.0× | Current ratioCurr. ratio |
| $50M | $50M | $50M | $1.0B | $1.0B | $1.0B | $1.1B | $1.1B | $1.1B | $1.1B | $1.1B | GoodwillGoodwill |
| $2.9B | $3.5B | $6.2B | $8.3B | $11.8B | $13.4B | $18.2B | $22.7B | $22.5B | $25.6B | $26.5B | Total assetsAssets |
| — | 1.8× | 8.8× | 20.5× | 49.1× | — | 78.6× | 86.9× | -7.6× | 313.8× | 352.0× | Interest coverageInt. cov. |
| $1.2B | $2.0B | $4.4B | $6.1B | $8.7B | $10.1B | $13.9B | $17.6B | $16.4B | $18.7B | $19.4B | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | Stock comp / revenueSBC/rev |
| Per share | |||||||||||
| 245M | 253M | 259M | 261M | 263M | 260M | 259M | 261M | 258M | 258M | 256M | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| $6.96 | $9.83 | $11.76 | $15.97 | $23.56 | $29.14 | $34.47 | $37.89 | $42.73 | $46.52 | $47.67 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| $-0.46 | $1.04 | $8.09 | $4.51 | $10.29 | $9.01 | $12.82 | $13.89 | $-2.08 | $15.32 | $16.93 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| $0.73 | $3.09 | $4.62 | $5.73 | $11.94 | $9.69 | $15.37 | $12.81 | $-2.71 | $13.26 | $15.70 | Owner earnings / shareOE/sh |
| $0.73 | $2.94 | $4.53 | $5.73 | $11.37 | $9.27 | $15.15 | $12.81 | $-3.06 | $12.38 | $14.48 | Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh |
| $0.23 | $0.39 | $0.37 | $0.29 | $0.99 | $0.90 | $0.79 | $0.77 | $1.15 | $1.70 | $2.07 | Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh |
| $4.73 | $8.01 | $17.11 | $23.34 | $32.98 | $38.86 | $53.70 | $67.49 | $63.63 | $72.35 | $75.54 | Book value / shareBVPS |
| 9-yr | 5-yr | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue / share | +23.5%/yr | +14.6%/yr |
| Owner earnings / share | +37.9%/yr | +2.1%/yr |
| EPS | — | +8.3%/yr |
| Capital spending / share | +24.8%/yr | +11.5%/yr |
| Book value / share | +35.4%/yr | +17.0%/yr |
The record, charted
FY2016–2025Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.
Owner earnings vs. net income
Owner earningsNet incomeThe accountant's number, and the cash an owner can take; the gap is the tell.
Where the cash went
ReinvestBuybacksDividendsAcquisitionsRetainedEach year's operating cash, by what management did with it: the mix, and how it drifts.
Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.
In fiscal 2025 the business earned $3.4B of owner earnings, the operating cash left after the $210M it takes just to hold its position. It put $228M more into growth; free cash flow, after that spending, was $3.2B.
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported net income | $4.0B | ($536M) | $3.6B | $3.3B | $2.3B |
| Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back | +$210M | +$207M | +$181M | +$148M | +$126M |
| Stock-based compensationreal costnon-cash, but a real cost | +$686M | +$699M | +$581M | +$491M | +$441M |
| Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items | −$1.2B | −$863M | −$845M | +$168M | −$266M |
| Cash from operations | $3.6B | ($493M) | $3.5B | $4.1B | $2.6B |
| Maintenance capital expenditurethe spending needed just to hold position and volume | −$210M | −$207M | −$200M | −$148M | −$126M |
| Owner earnings | $3.4B | ($700M) | $3.3B | $4.0B | $2.5B |
| Growth capital expenditurediscretionary; spent to get bigger, not to stand still | −$228M | −$91M | — | −$56M | −$109M |
| Free cash flow | $3.2B | ($790M) | $3.3B | $3.9B | $2.4B |
| Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue | 29% | -6% | 34% | 45% | 33% |
Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position (here about $210M, roughly its depreciation, the rate its assets wear out). The other $228M of its capital spending is growth it chose, not upkeep it owed; charged only with the maintenance it must do, the business earns well more than the year's free cash flow shows. The cash-flow statement also adds stock comp back as non-cash, but it is a real cost paid in shares; counted as the expense it is (less $686M), owner earnings is nearer $2.7B.
Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
Will it survive?
- Can it pay its interest? 313.8×ComfortableOperating income $4.2B ÷ interest expense $13M
What this means
Operating profit covers interest with the kind of margin Graham wanted for a defensive holding. Necessary, not sufficient, it says solvent, not cheap.
- Net cashCash $5.1B + ST investments $1.5B − debt $125M
What this means
Cash and short-term investments exceed every dollar of debt by $6.5B, on net the company owes nothing, and can act from strength when others can't. It also holds $5.7B in longer-dated marketable securities; counting those, it sits at net cash of $12.2B. Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.
- Long (60+ days)DSO 62 + DIO 373 − DPO 102 days
What this means
Days cash is tied up between paying suppliers and collecting from customers. Lower is better; a long cycle means growth itself eats cash.
Is it a good business?
- Very high (≥25%) through the cycle9-yr median, range -1%–99%; 26% latest = NOPAT $3.6B ÷ invested capital $13.7BIndustry peers: median 2%
What this means
The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 9 years (it ran 26% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.
- High through the cycle10-yr median margin, range -6%–51%; latest $3.4B = operating cash $3.6B − maintenance capex $210MIndustry peers: median 13%
What this means
What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's 29% of revenue this year, a 33% median across 10 years. Treating stock comp as the real expense it is (less $686M of SBC) leaves $2.7B.
- Mostly cash-backedCash from ops $3.6B ÷ net income $4.0B
What this means
How much of reported profit showed up as operating cash. Above 1× is reassuring; well below suggests earnings lean on accruals. One year is noisy, growth and working-capital swings distort it, and this is operating cash, not free cash. Watch the multi-year trend.
How is the cash used?
- Returns about halfDividends + buybacks $2.0B ÷ Owner Earnings $3.4B
What this means
Of $3.4B Owner Earnings, $2.0B (59%) went back to shareholders, $0 dividends, $2.0B buybacks. Net of $686M stock comp, the real buyback was about $1.3B. Returning most of it is the mark of a mature business with little left to reinvest at a high return; reinvesting most could mean a long runway, or empire-building. The split doesn't say which; the return earned on it (see ROIC) does.
- Investing or harvesting? 2.09×ExpandingCapex $438M ÷ depreciation $210M
What this means
Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.
Graham’s defensive tests · 4 of 6 met
Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.
- Adequate size PassRevenue ≥ $2B · $12.0B
What this means
Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.
- Strong liquidity PassCurrent ratio ≥ 2× · 2.90×
What this means
Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.
- Conservative debt PassDebt ≤ working capital · $125M vs $7.3B WC
What this means
Graham's rule that borrowings not exceed net current assets. Capital-heavy and buyback-heavy firms routinely fail it, read it next to interest coverage, not alone.
- Earnings stability MissA profit every year (10-yr record) · 2 loss years
What this means
Graham wanted earnings in each of the past ten years, the stability a defensive owner leans on.
- Dividend record MissUninterrupted dividends · none paid
What this means
An unbroken dividend was Graham's mark of durability. He wanted twenty years; the filings show about ten, and a single suspension breaks the streak. Non-payers, many fine modern compounders, fall outside his defensive net by design.
- Earnings growth PassEarnings +33% over the record · +213%
What this means
At least a third more earnings than a decade ago, averaging three years at each end. Net income (not per-share), so stock splits don't distort it, buybacks and dilution show up in the share-count line instead.
- Moderate price —P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
What this means
Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $9.24/share (latest year $15.58), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $73.54/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.
Durability & moat, 2016–2025
Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.
- Profitable years 8 of 10
What this means
Lost money in 2 year(s), look at what happened there before trusting the average.
- Operating margin 9% → 24% (3-yr avg ends)
What this means
Through the cycle the operating margin widened — about 9% early to 24% lately, median 29% — pricing power intact or improving.
- Owner earnings growth +12%/yr
What this means
Owner earnings grew about 12% a year over the record.
- Worst year 2024 · −2.1% op. margin
What this means
Operations went underwater in 2024, understand why before trusting the good years.
- Share count +0.6%/yr
What this means
Roughly flat share count, little dilution, little buyback.
Does AI threaten the moat?
Low contestabilityThe moat is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded, the kind AI cuts costs within but does not contest.
Its FY2025 10-K names artificial intelligence as a competitive threat, in language that was not in the prior year's filing.
“We also face competitive risks if we do not implement artificial intelligence or other machine learning technologies in a timely fashion. 35 Our operations may be disrupted by the occurrence of a natural disaster, catastrophic event, or by other serious accidents occurring at our facilities.…”
AI is unlikely to contest a moat that is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded; here it reads more as a cost tool than a threat.
Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
Current Position
as of the latest quarter, Mar 31, 2026Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.
- Cash & short-term investments$7.2B
- Receivables$2.0B
- Inventory$1.8B
- Other current assets$721M
- Accounts payable$489M
- Other current liabilities$3.4B
From the company's latest filing.
Lease obligations
the lease note, SEC EDGAR →Debt by another name. What the business owes on the property, aircraft, stores and equipment it rents rather than owns is a fixed claim due on a schedule; added back to the debt, it is the true leverage. That ladder, operating and finance leases together, and what it adds to the debt on the page above.
Lease payments by year, scaled to the largest; “later” is everything beyond year five, shown apart. These are the contractual cash payments, before the interest the filing imputes back out to the balance-sheet liability.
True leverage: debt plus leases
Counting the leases the way Buffett does, the fixed claims on this business come to $2.2B, of which the leases are 94%, more than the debt itself. The lease wall above and the debt schedule together are the calendar of what must be paid, and when.
Lease ladder read from the ASC 842 tags in the company’s Dec 31, 2025 annual report and reconciled: the yearly buckets sum to the undiscounted total, which less the imputed interest equals the balance-sheet liability; a ladder that doesn’t tie out is withheld.
How the cash was used, 2016–2025
Over the record, the business generated $20.6B of operating cash; how management split it reads as a cash builder, a large share of cash simply built up on the balance sheet.
- Reinvested$2.0B · 10%
- Buybacks$6.1B · 30%
- Retained (debt / cash)$12.5B · 61%
- Returned to owners$6.1B
32% of the owner earnings the business produced over the span, $0 as dividends and $6.1B as buybacks.
- Source of fundingOperating cash
Operating cash covered reinvestment and returns; over the span debt rose $118M and cash and short-term investments rose $5.8B.
- Average price paid for buybacks$364.62
Across the years where the filing reports a share count, 11M shares were bought for $4.0B, about $364.62 each. Year to year the price paid ranged from $167.17 (2018) to $435.96 (2024); its heaviest year, 2025, paid $420.29 ($2.0B).
- Net change in share count4.7%
The diluted count rose from 245M to 256M: issuance (stock pay, deals) outran any buybacks, so owners were diluted on net.
- Dividend record—
No dividend line was reported in the filing data over the span; the record here neither confirms nor rules out a payout.
- Return on what it retained10%
Of the earnings it kept rather than paid out ($12.7B over the span), annual owner earnings (first three years vs last three) grew $1.3B, so each retained $1 added about 0.10 of yearly owner earnings. Buffett's test, run on owner earnings instead of market value.
Buybacks are gross of stock issued to staff; the share-count line above is the net of that, the figure that decides whether owners gained. The average price paid blends a year of purchases (and any accelerated repurchase), so it is close, not exact. The record of where the cash went and on what terms.
Management, ownership & pay
read the proxy →From the proxy: how much of the business the people running it own, and how they are paid, beside what the business earned for its owners in the same years.
| Fiscal year | Chief executive | Pay, as filed | “Actually paid” | Owner earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Reshma Kewalramani | $15.2M | $18.3M | $2.5B |
| 2022 | Reshma Kewalramani | $15.9M | $29.5M | $4.0B |
| 2023 | Reshma Kewalramani | $20.6M | $44.2M | $3.3B |
| 2024 | Reshma Kewalramani | $21.5M | $43.6M | ($700M) |
| 2025 | Reshma Kewalramani | $21.1M | $38.2M | $3.4B |
Both pay figures are the company’s own, from the pay-versus-performance table its proxy statement files. “As filed” is the Summary Compensation Table total: salary, bonus, and equity awards at their value on the day of grant. “Actually paid” is the SEC’s prescribed recalculation, which re-marks those equity awards to what they became as they vested; it can swing far above or below the filed figure in either direction, and negative years occur. Owner earnings are the whole business's, from the record above, for the same fiscal years.
- Insider ownership0.2%
The stake all directors and executive officers hold together, per the 2026 proxy: skin in the game, the first thing Munger reads.
- CEO pay ratio80:1
What the chief earns for every dollar the median employee makes, per the 2026 proxy. A high ratio alone settles nothing; some businesses are genuinely top-heavy in scarce skill. A runaway figure is where Buffett starts asking whether the board is doing its job.
- Stock-based compensation$686M
The slice of the business handed to employees in shares this year, 6% of revenue, equal to 16% of operating profit. Buffett's oldest accounting fight: this is compensation, compensation is an expense, real whether or not the headline earnings admit it. One trap: the cash-flow statement adds SBC back, so the operating cash, and the owner earnings drawn from it, are flattered by exactly this amount; counted as the cost it is, what an owner keeps is lower.
Inverting the record
Invert: instead of why Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated is a good business, the question is what would make owning it a mistake, and whether those marks are in the record. Disconfirming tests across 2016–2025.
2 of the 6 tests turned up something to look into; the other 4 came back clean.
- Look hereDid the share count rise anyway?4.7%
Diluted shares grew 4.7% over 2016–2025, even as the company spent $6.1B on buybacks. The repurchases were a treadmill: stock issued to staff outran them, so owners' slice still shrank. Read the buyback line beside this one, not on its own.
- Look hereDid receivables and inventory outpace sales?16% → 31% of sales
Receivables and inventory grew from $278M to $3.8B while revenue grew 618%: working capital is climbing faster than sales (16% of revenue then, 31% now). That can mean customers paying slower, stock building up, or revenue pulled forward. The filing's cash-flow and receivables notes say which.
- Is it less profitable than it was?
- Did debt outgrow the business?
- Did reported profit become cash?
- Are "one-time" charges a yearly habit?
Each test is read from the filings and is noisy alone; a flag can mark a cyclical trough or a year of heavy investment as easily as a problem. The filing says which.
What an owner would ask, FY2025
read the 10-K →- Which reported numbers are a judgment call?Management names Revenue recognition, Income taxes, Acquisitions, Contingencies as critical estimates
each rests partly on management's judgment; the filing's note sets out the assumptionsverify →
The questions the record and the charts do not answer on their own; each carries the figure and the place to look.
Peers, Pharmaceuticals
The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.
| Company | Revenue | Gross margin | Op. margin | ROIC | Owner earn. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEVATeva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited | $17.3B | 48% | -2.2% | -2% | 6% |
| REGNRegeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. | $14.3B | — | 34.6% | 21% | 31% |
| VTRSViatris | $14.3B | 34% | 2.5% | 0% | 14% |
| VRTXVertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated | $12.0B | 87% | 31.8% | 36% | 34% |
| BHCBausch Health Companies Inc. | $10.3B | 76% | 5.5% | 2% | 13% |
| ZTSZoetis Inc. | $9.5B | 69% | 34.2% | 26% | 22% |
| OGNOrganon | $6.2B | 62% | 25.0% | 17% | 12% |
| ONCBeOne Medicines Ltd. | $5.3B | 86% | -124.4% | -46% | -112% |
| Group median | — | 69% | 15.2% | 10% | 14% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFType today's close and see the owner-earnings growth you'd have to believe to justify it, beside what Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated has delivered.
Through the cycle, Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated earns about $4.0B on its 33.5% median owner-earnings margin. This year’s 28.5% margin runs in line with that. Normalize, below, values the price on that through-cycle figure rather than the latest year.
—
9.0% = the 4.55% 10-year Treasury (Jul 15, 2026) + 4.45 points of equity premium. The rate you require is yours to set.
Enter a price above to run it.
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Graham capped the multiple at 15×; Buffett and Munger let that rule go: a wonderful business can deserve 50× if the thesis holds. The gate marks the bargain-hunter's floor.
Prefilled with the 10-year Treasury (4.55%, as of Jul 15, 2026). Edit it for today’s exact figure, or a AAA corporate yield.
Graham measured a stock against the bond you could own instead, the heart of his margin of safety. Enter a price above to weigh the owner-earnings yield against this bond.
Free cash flow $3.7B on 254M shares outstanding, per the 10-Q cover, as of 2026-04-30; net cash $12.9B. The base is the latest year by default; Normalize values it on the through-cycle median owner-earnings margin (to avoid paying on a peak year). Net of stock comp treats option pay as the expense it is. Capex ($530M) runs well above depreciation ($217M), so this is a build-out; Steady-state swaps total capex for maintenance (≈ depreciation), lifting the base to about $4.0B, the cash it would throw off if it stopped expanding. The dials set the multiple a growth belief justifies; the price, and every dollar on this page, is yours.
Manual order: ← VRTS its page in the Manual VSAT →
Industry order: ← VRDN the Pharmaceuticals chapter VSTM →