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HES, Hess Corporation
An oil and gas business, whose fortunes rise and fall with a price it does not set.
The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
The business in brief
What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- Situation
- Cyclical. Margins collapse and recover repeatedly across the record; a single year, good or bad, misstates the through-cycle earning power.
- What moves the needle
- Operating margin has run about 2.6% through the cycle, a thin margin, where volume, cost discipline and the price it gets all bear on the result. The margin is cyclical, swinging between −107% and 33% over the years, so the through-cycle figure carries more than any single year — and the balance sheet at the trough more than the peak. Capital spending runs about 36% of sales, so the return earned on what it sinks into that plant weighs as much as the margin. Read this kind of business on the commodity price, and the cost to lift a barrel.
- Is it a good business?
- Return on capital has rarely cleared the cost of capital (median 1%, above 15% in 2 of 10 years). Owner earnings, the cash-based check, have been thin too. The cycle and the balance sheet decide this one; the worst year tells more than the median, and the rest is in the 10-K.
Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2015–2024
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2015’15 | 2016’16 | 2017’17 | 2018’18 | 2019’19 | 2020’20 | 2021’21 | 2022’22 | 2023’23 | 2024’24 | TTMTTMMar 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | |||||||||||
| $6.6B | $4.8B | $5.4B | $6.5B | $6.5B | $4.1B | $7.7B | $11.9B | $10.5B | $12.9B | $12.5B | RevenueRevenue |
| 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | SG&A / revenueSG&A/rev |
| ($4.3B) | ($3.9B) | ($5.8B) | $212M | $167M | ($3.6B) | $1.6B | $3.8B | $2.3B | $4.2B | $3.6B | Operating incomeOp. inc. |
| −64.9% | −79.6% | −107.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | −87.0% | 20.7% | 32.4% | 22.2% | 32.8% | 28.8% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| ($3.1B) | ($6.1B) | ($4.1B) | ($282M) | ($408M) | ($3.1B) | $559M | $2.1B | $1.4B | $2.8B | $2.2B | Net incomeNet inc. |
| — | — | — | — | — | — | 52% | 34% | 35% | 30% | 33% | Effective tax rateTax rate |
| Cash flow & returns | |||||||||||
| $2.0B | $795M | $945M | $1.9B | $1.6B | $1.3B | $2.9B | $3.9B | $3.9B | $5.6B | $6.1B | Operating cash flowOp. cash |
| $4.0B | $3.2B | $2.9B | $1.9B | $2.1B | $2.1B | $1.5B | $1.7B | $2.0B | $2.5B | $2.5B | DepreciationDeprec. |
| $985M | $3.6B | $2.0B | $266M | ($157M) | $2.3B | $726M | $62M | $427M | $244M | $1.2B | Working capital & otherWC & other |
| $4.0B | $2.0B | $1.8B | $1.9B | $2.4B | $1.9B | $1.6B | $2.5B | $3.9B | $4.6B | $4.7B | CapexCapex |
| 60.2% | 40.8% | 33.2% | 28.7% | 37.7% | 46.3% | 20.6% | 21.0% | 37.0% | 36.0% | 37.6% | Capex / revenueCapex/rev |
| ($2.0B) | ($1.2B) | ($843M) | $85M | ($791M) | ($563M) | $1.3B | $2.2B | $1.9B | $3.1B | $3.6B | Owner earningsOwner earn. |
| −30.0% | −24.4% | −15.6% | 1.3% | −12.3% | −13.8% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 24.1% | 28.5% | Owner earnings marginOE mgn |
| ($2.0B) | ($1.2B) | ($843M) | $85M | ($791M) | ($563M) | $1.3B | $1.5B | $58M | $960M | $1.4B | Free cash flowFCF |
| −30.0% | −24.4% | −15.6% | 1.3% | −12.3% | −13.8% | 17.0% | 12.3% | 0.6% | 7.4% | 11.3% | Free cash flow marginFCF mgn |
| $287M | $350M | $363M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | $363M | Dividends paidDiv. paid |
| $142M | $0 | $110M | $1.4B | $25M | $0 | $0 | $630M | $20M | $0 | — | BuybacksBuybacks |
| -14% | -16% | -35% | 1% | 1% | -24% | 7% | 18% | 10% | 16% | 13% | ROICROIC |
| -16% | -42% | -37% | -3% | -5% | -58% | 9% | 27% | 15% | 25% | 19% | Return on equityROE |
| −17% | −45% | −40% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16% | Retained to equityRetained/eq |
| Balance sheet | |||||||||||
| $2.7B | $2.7B | $4.8B | $2.7B | $1.5B | $1.7B | $2.7B | $2.5B | $1.7B | $1.2B | $1.3B | Cash & investmentsCash+inv |
| $847M | $940M | $957M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | $784M | ReceivablesReceiv. |
| $399M | $323M | $232M | $245M | $261M | $378M | $223M | $217M | $304M | $419M | $472M | InventoryInvent. |
| $457M | $433M | $435M | $495M | $411M | $200M | $220M | $285M | $402M | $417M | $437M | Accounts payablePayables |
| $789M | $830M | $754M | ($250M) | ($150M) | $178M | $3M | ($68M) | ($98M) | $2M | $819M | Operating working capitalOper. WC |
| $4.4B | $4.3B | $6.2B | $4.5B | $3.2B | $3.1B | $4.3B | $3.9B | $3.4B | $3.2B | $3.1B | Current assetsCur. assets |
| $2.6B | $2.3B | $2.4B | $2.2B | $2.5B | $1.6B | $3.1B | $2.4B | $3.3B | $2.8B | $2.9B | Current liabilitiesCur. liab. |
| 1.7× | 1.9× | 2.5× | 2.0× | 1.3× | 1.9× | 1.4× | 1.6× | 1.0× | 1.1× | 1.1× | Current ratioCurr. ratio |
| $375M | $375M | $360M | $360M | $360M | $360M | $360M | $360M | $360M | $360M | $360M | GoodwillGoodwill |
| $34.2B | $28.6B | $23.1B | $21.4B | $21.8B | $18.8B | $20.5B | $21.7B | $24.0B | $26.6B | $27.1B | Total assetsAssets |
| $6.6B | $6.8B | $7.0B | $6.7B | $7.1B | $8.3B | $8.5B | $8.3B | $8.6B | $8.6B | $8.7B | Total debtDebt |
| $3.9B | $4.1B | $2.1B | $4.0B | $5.6B | $6.6B | $5.7B | $5.8B | $6.9B | $7.4B | $7.4B | Net debt / (cash)Net debt |
| -12.5× | -11.4× | -17.8× | 0.5× | 0.4× | -7.6× | 3.3× | 7.8× | 4.9× | 10.3× | 9.2× | Interest coverageInt. cov. |
| $19.4B | $14.5B | $11.1B | $9.6B | $8.7B | $5.4B | $6.3B | $7.9B | $9.0B | $11.2B | $11.5B | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | Stock comp / revenueSBC/rev |
| Per share | |||||||||||
| 284M | 310M | 314M | 298M | 301M | 305M | 309M | 310M | 308M | 308M | 309M | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| $23.13 | $15.61 | $17.16 | $21.66 | $21.43 | $13.43 | $24.84 | $38.32 | $34.17 | $41.83 | $40.50 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| $-10.78 | $-19.79 | $-12.97 | $-0.95 | $-1.35 | $-10.15 | $1.81 | $6.77 | $4.49 | $8.98 | $7.22 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| $-6.95 | $-3.80 | $-2.68 | $0.29 | $-2.63 | $-1.85 | $4.22 | $7.24 | $6.16 | $10.10 | $11.56 | Owner earnings / shareOE/sh |
| $-6.95 | $-3.80 | $-2.68 | $0.29 | $-2.63 | $-1.85 | $4.22 | $4.71 | $0.19 | $3.11 | $4.58 | Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh |
| $1.01 | $1.13 | $1.16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | $1.18 | Dividends / shareDiv/sh |
| $13.94 | $6.37 | $5.69 | $6.22 | $8.08 | $6.22 | $5.12 | $8.03 | $12.63 | $15.05 | $15.24 | Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh |
| $68.36 | $46.90 | $35.18 | $32.29 | $28.99 | $17.60 | $20.37 | $25.37 | $29.21 | $36.38 | $37.33 | Book value / shareBVPS |
| 9-yr | 5-yr | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue / share | +6.8%/yr | +14.3%/yr |
| Dividends / share | +6.9%/yr (2-yr) | +6.9%/yr (2-yr) |
| Capital spending / share | +0.9%/yr | +13.3%/yr |
| Book value / share | −6.8%/yr | +4.6%/yr |
The record, charted
FY2015–2024Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.
Owner earnings vs. net income
Owner earningsNet incomeThe accountant's number, and the cash an owner can take; the gap is the tell.
Where the cash went
ReinvestBuybacksDividendsAcquisitionsRetainedEach year's operating cash, by what management did with it: the mix, and how it drifts.
Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.
In fiscal 2024 the business earned $3.1B of owner earnings, the operating cash left after the $2.5B it takes just to hold its position. It put $2.2B more into growth; free cash flow, after that spending, was $960M.
| FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported net income | $2.8B | $1.4B | $2.1B | $559M | ($3.1B) |
| Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back | +$2.5B | +$2.0B | +$1.7B | +$1.5B | +$2.1B |
| Stock-based compensationreal costnon-cash, but a real cost | +$100M | +$87M | +$83M | +$77M | +$79M |
| Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items | +$244M | +$427M | +$62M | +$726M | +$2.3B |
| Cash from operations | $5.6B | $3.9B | $3.9B | $2.9B | $1.3B |
| Maintenance capital expenditurethe spending needed just to hold position and volume | −$2.5B | −$2.0B | −$1.7B | −$1.6B | −$1.9B |
| Owner earnings | $3.1B | $1.9B | $2.2B | $1.3B | ($563M) |
| Growth capital expenditurediscretionary; spent to get bigger, not to stand still | −$2.2B | −$1.8B | −$784M | — | — |
| Free cash flow | $960M | $58M | $1.5B | $1.3B | ($563M) |
| Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue | 24% | 18% | 19% | 17% | -14% |
Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position (here about $2.5B, roughly its depreciation, the rate its assets wear out). The other $2.2B of its capital spending is growth it chose, not upkeep it owed; charged only with the maintenance it must do, the business earns well more than the year's free cash flow shows. The cash-flow statement also adds stock comp back as non-cash, but it is a real cost paid in shares; counted as the expense it is (less $100M), owner earnings is nearer $3.0B.
Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
Will it survive?
- Can it pay its interest? 10.3×ComfortableOperating income $4.2B ÷ interest expense $412M
What this means
Operating profit covers interest with the kind of margin Graham wanted for a defensive holding. Necessary, not sufficient, it says solvent, not cheap.
- How heavy is the debt, net of cash? $7.4B · 1.8× operating profitModest net debtCash $1.2B − debt $8.6B
What this means
Netting $1.2B of cash and short-term investments against $8.6B of debt leaves $7.4B owed, about 1.8× a year's operating profit (2.0× on the gross debt, before the cash). Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.
- Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
Is it a good business?
- Below average through the cycle10-yr median, range -35%–18%; 16% latest = NOPAT $3.0B ÷ invested capital $18.6BIndustry peers: median 9%
What this means
The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 10 years (it ran 16% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.
- High, recently turned positivelatest $3.1B = operating cash $5.6B − maintenance capex $2.5B; positive each of the last 3 years, after an earlier loss stretch (10-yr median -12%)Industry peers: median 2%
What this means
What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's 24% of revenue this year, a -12% median across 10 years. It chose to put $2.2B more into growth, so free cash flow this year was $960M — the gap is investment, not weakness. Treating stock comp as the real expense it is (less $100M of SBC) leaves $3.0B.
- Cash-backedCash from ops $5.6B ÷ net income $2.8B
What this means
How much of reported profit showed up as operating cash. Above 1× is reassuring; well below suggests earnings lean on accruals. One year is noisy, growth and working-capital swings distort it, and this is operating cash, not free cash. Watch the multi-year trend.
How is the cash used?
- Reinvests most of itDividends + buybacks $363M ÷ Owner Earnings $3.1B
What this means
Of $3.1B Owner Earnings, $363M (12%) went back to shareholders, $363M dividends, $0 buybacks. Returning most of it is the mark of a mature business with little left to reinvest at a high return; reinvesting most could mean a long runway, or empire-building. The split doesn't say which; the return earned on it (see ROIC) does.
- Investing or harvesting? 1.87×ExpandingCapex $4.6B ÷ depreciation $2.5B
What this means
Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.
Graham’s defensive tests · 1 of 5 met
Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.
- Adequate size PassRevenue ≥ $2B · $12.9B
What this means
Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.
- Strong liquidity MissCurrent ratio ≥ 2× · 1.12×
What this means
Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.
- Conservative debt MissDebt ≤ working capital · $8.6B vs $347M WC
What this means
Graham's rule that borrowings not exceed net current assets. Capital-heavy and buyback-heavy firms routinely fail it, read it next to interest coverage, not alone.
- Earnings stability MissA profit every year (10-yr record) · 6 loss years
What this means
Graham wanted earnings in each of the past ten years, the stability a defensive owner leans on.
- Dividend record MissUninterrupted dividends · 3 of 10 yrs
What this means
An unbroken dividend was Graham's mark of durability. He wanted twenty years; the filings show about ten, and a single suspension breaks the streak. Non-payers, many fine modern compounders, fall outside his defensive net by design.
- Earnings growth —Earnings +33% over the record · —
What this means
Earnings were negative early in the record, a growth rate isn't meaningful.
- Moderate price —P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
What this means
Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $6.73/share (latest year $8.95), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $36.27/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.
Durability & moat, 2015–2024
Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.
- Profitable years 4 of 10
What this means
Lost money in 6 year(s), look at what happened there before trusting the average.
- Return on capital ≥ 15% 2 of 10 yrs
What this means
A moat shows up as a high return on invested capital that holds year after year, not one good vintage.
- Operating margin −84% → 29% (3-yr avg ends)
What this means
Through the cycle the operating margin widened — about −84% early to 29% lately, median 3% — pricing power intact or improving.
- Reinvestment, incremental ROIC returns capital
What this means
The capital base barely grew: this business returns cash through dividends and buybacks rather than reinvesting. Judge it on the cash returned, not on compounding.
- Worst year 2017 · −107.2% op. margin
What this means
Operations went underwater in 2017, understand why before trusting the good years.
- Share count +0.9%/yr
What this means
Roughly flat share count, little dilution, little buyback.
- Dividend record rising
What this means
Paid and raised the dividend across the record, the continuity Graham prized.
Does AI threaten the moat?
Low contestabilityThe moat is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded, the kind AI cuts costs within but does not contest.
AI is unlikely to contest a moat that is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded; here it reads more as a cost tool than a threat.
Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
Current Position
as of the latest quarter, Mar 31, 2025Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.
- Cash & short-term investments$1.3B
- Receivables$784M
- Inventory$472M
- Other current assets$496M
- Debt due within a year$25M
- Accounts payable$437M
- Other current liabilities$2.4B
From the company's latest filing.
How the cash was used, 2015–2024
Over the record, the business generated $25.0B of operating cash; how management split it reads as a reinvestor, most operating cash is plowed back into the business.
- Reinvested$26.5B · 106%
- Dividends$1.0B · 4%
- Buybacks$2.3B · 9%
- Returned to owners$3.3B
100% of the owner earnings the business produced over the span, $1.0B as dividends and $2.3B as buybacks.
- Source of funding−$4.8B
Reinvestment and shareholder returns ran $4.8B beyond the operating cash the business generated, so the gap was financed off the balance sheet: debt rose from $6.6B to $8.7B, and cash and short-term investments drew down $1.4B.
- Average price paid for buybacks$64.85
Across the years where the filing reports a share count, 35M shares were bought for $2.2B, about $64.85 each. Year to year the price paid ranged from $42.31 (2017) to $116.67 (2022); its heaviest year, 2018, paid $54.17 ($1.4B).
- Net change in share count8.8%
The diluted count rose from 284M to 309M: issuance (stock pay, deals) outran any buybacks, so owners were diluted on net.
- Dividend record$1.16/sh
Paid in 3 of the years on record, the per-share dividend growing about 7% a year. It was never cut over the span.
Buybacks are gross of stock issued to staff; the share-count line above is the net of that, the figure that decides whether owners gained. The average price paid blends a year of purchases (and any accelerated repurchase), so it is close, not exact. The record of where the cash went and on what terms.
Acquisitions & goodwill
from the balance sheet & the 10-year cash-flow recordGoodwill grows only when a company acquires and falls only when it concedes it overpaid. The size of that bet, the cash put into buying rather than building, and how much has already been written off.
$1.5B written down across 1 year (2015): goodwill the company has already conceded it overpaid for, charged against earnings. A write-down costs no cash (the cash went out when the deal was signed), but it is management marking its own past judgment to market.
Goodwill, acquired intangibles and equity from the latest balance sheet; acquisition spend and write-downs summed across the 10-year record, from the company's own filings.
Management, ownership & pay
read the proxy →From the proxy: how much of the business the people running it own, and how they are paid, beside what the business earned for its owners in the same years.
| Fiscal year | Chief executive | Pay, as filed | “Actually paid” | Owner earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | John Hess | $11.1M | $4.9M | ($563M) |
| 2021 | John Hess | $12.4M | $19.4M | $1.3B |
| 2022 | John Hess | $14.0M | $53.3M | $2.2B |
| 2023 | John Hess | $16.8M | $17.1M | $1.9B |
| 2024 | John Hess | $18.0M | $15.3M | $3.1B |
Both pay figures are the company’s own, from the pay-versus-performance table its proxy statement files. “As filed” is the Summary Compensation Table total: salary, bonus, and equity awards at their value on the day of grant. “Actually paid” is the SEC’s prescribed recalculation, which re-marks those equity awards to what they became as they vested; it can swing far above or below the filed figure in either direction, and negative years occur. Owner earnings are the whole business's, from the record above, for the same fiscal years.
- Stock-based compensation$100M
The slice of the business handed to employees in shares this year, 1% of revenue, equal to 2% of operating profit. Buffett's oldest accounting fight: this is compensation, compensation is an expense, real whether or not the headline earnings admit it. One trap: the cash-flow statement adds SBC back, so the operating cash, and the owner earnings drawn from it, are flattered by exactly this amount; counted as the cost it is, what an owner keeps is lower.
Inverting the record
Invert: instead of why Hess Corporation is a good business, the question is what would make owning it a mistake, and whether those marks are in the record. Disconfirming tests across 2015–2024.
2 of the 5 tests turned up something to look into; the other 3 came back clean.
- Look hereDid the share count rise anyway?8.8%
Diluted shares grew 8.8% over 2015–2024, even as the company spent $2.3B on buybacks. The repurchases were a treadmill: stock issued to staff outran them, so owners' slice still shrank. Read the buyback line beside this one, not on its own.
- Look hereDid debt outgrow the business?$6.6B → $8.7B
Debt rose from $6.6B to $8.7B while owner earnings went from about ($1.3B) to $2.4B: measured against what the business earns, the balance sheet carries more debt than it did. Debt raised for buybacks or deals rather than growth is the kind that bites in a downturn.
- Is it less profitable than it was?
- Did receivables and inventory outpace sales?
- Are "one-time" charges a yearly habit?
Each test is read from the filings and is noisy alone; a flag can mark a cyclical trough or a year of heavy investment as easily as a problem. The filing says which.
Peers, Refining & Marketing
The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.
| Company | Revenue | Gross margin | Op. margin | ROIC | Owner earn. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COPConocoPhillips | $51.8B | 57% | 29.3% | 13% | 14% |
| PBFPBF Energy | $29.3B | 4% | 2.4% | 9% | 2% |
| SUNSunoco LP Common | $25.2B | 8% | 2.8% | — | 2% |
| SUNCSunocoCorp LLC Common | $25.2B | 9% | 3.5% | — | 2% |
| HESHess Corporation | $12.9B | — | 2.9% | 1% | -5% |
| DKDelek US Holdings | $10.7B | 4% | 1.9% | 7% | 2% |
| IEPIcahn Enterprises L.P. | $9.7B | — | -5.4% | 2% | 3% |
| CVICVR Energy Inc. | $7.2B | 5% | 2.5% | 9% | 3% |
| Group median | — | — | 2.6% | 8% | 2% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFType today's close and see the owner-earnings growth you'd have to believe to justify it, beside what Hess Corporation has delivered.
—
9.0% = the 4.55% 10-year Treasury (Jul 15, 2026) + 4.45 points of equity premium. The rate you require is yours to set.
Enter a price above to run it.
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Graham capped the multiple at 15×; Buffett and Munger let that rule go: a wonderful business can deserve 50× if the thesis holds. The gate marks the bargain-hunter's floor.
Prefilled with the 10-year Treasury (4.55%, as of Jul 15, 2026). Edit it for today’s exact figure, or a AAA corporate yield.
Graham measured a stock against the bond you could own instead, the heart of his margin of safety. Enter a price above to weigh the owner-earnings yield against this bond.
Free cash flow $1.4B on 309M shares outstanding, per the 10-Q cover, as of 2025-03-31; net debt $7.4B. The base is the latest year by default; Normalize values it on the through-cycle median owner-earnings margin (to avoid paying on a peak year). Net of stock comp treats option pay as the expense it is. Capex ($4.7B) runs well above depreciation ($2.5B), so this is a build-out; Steady-state swaps total capex for maintenance (≈ depreciation), lifting the base to about $3.6B, the cash it would throw off if it stopped expanding. The dials set the multiple a growth belief justifies; the price, and every dollar on this page, is yours.
Manual order: ← HELE its page in the Manual HESM →
Industry order: ← GLP the Refining & Marketing chapter IEP →