Share count
45Mpeak FY2024
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RCT, RedCloud Holdings plc
We have developed and operate the RedAI infrastructure and associated products, facilitating the trading of everyday consumer supplies of FMCG products across business supply chains in Nigeria, South Africa, Argentina, Brazil and through joint ventures in T rkiye and Saudi Arabia.
Cumulative trades across RedAI reached $6.9 billion between January 2023 and December 2025, creating a proprietary data foundation that delivers market-level insights beyond what individual company datasets or publicly available data can provide.
We have directed increasing research and development ("R&D") and product investment toward user applications and agentic AI, monetising the dataset through AI-powered recommendations and predictions that support FMCG and supply chain professionals in planning, operations and sales.
The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
Revenue · FY2025
$49M
+4.4% YoY
Vital signs · TTM, with 3-yr average
Revenue $49M 3-yr avg $38M
The business in brief
read the 10-K →What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- Situation
- Unprofitable. No meaningful revenue yet; the record is the cash on hand against the burn.
- What moves the needle
- Operating margin has run around −90% through the cycle, the operating line deeply negative — so the lever is the path to a margin at all: revenue growth against the cost curve and the cash runway, not the level of a margin that isn't there yet. On its own account, the filing leans hardest on supplier & input dependence, set against the numbers in what the filing emphasizes, below.
Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2023–2025
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2023’23 | 2024’24 | 2025’25 | TTMTTMDec 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||
| $20M | $46M | $49M | $49M | RevenueRevenue |
| ($26M) | ($39M) | ($44M) | ($44M) | Operating incomeOp. inc. |
| −129.5% | −83.1% | −89.8% | −89.8% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| ($32M) | ($51M) | ($46M) | ($46M) | Net incomeNet inc. |
| Cash flow & returns | ||||
| ($22M) | ($35M) | ($37M) | ($37M) | Operating cash flowOp. cash |
| $1M | $296K | $296K | $296K | DepreciationDeprec. |
| $9M | $16M | $9M | $9M | Working capital & otherWC & other |
| $101K | $630K | $147K | $147K | CapexCapex |
| 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | Capex / revenueCapex/rev |
| ($22M) | ($35M) | ($37M) | ($37M) | Owner earningsOwner earn. |
| −111.8% | −75.2% | −76.5% | −76.5% | Owner earnings marginOE mgn |
| ($22M) | ($35M) | ($37M) | ($37M) | Free cash flowFCF |
| −111.8% | −75.9% | −76.5% | −76.5% | Free cash flow marginFCF mgn |
| Balance sheet | ||||
| $555K | $801K | $479K | $479K | Cash & investmentsCash+inv |
| $2M | $6M | $3M | $3M | ReceivablesReceiv. |
| $1M | $3M | $2M | $2M | Accounts payablePayables |
| $606K | $2M | $407K | $407K | Operating working capitalOper. WC |
| $3M | $11M | $5M | $5M | Current assetsCur. assets |
| $21M | $64M | $20M | $20M | Current liabilitiesCur. liab. |
| 0.1× | 0.2× | 0.3× | 0.3× | Current ratioCurr. ratio |
| $7M | $18M | $13M | $13M | Total assetsAssets |
| ($555K) | ($801K) | ($479K) | ($479K) | Net debt / (cash)Net debt |
| ($23M) | ($69M) | ($7M) | ($7M) | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| Per share | ||||
| 38.3M | 48.6M | 45.0M | 55.3M | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| $0.52 | $0.96 | $1.08 | $0.88 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| $-0.84 | $-1.04 | $-1.03 | $-0.84 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| $-0.58 | $-0.72 | $-0.82 | $-0.67 | Owner earnings / shareOE/sh |
| $-0.58 | $-0.73 | $-0.82 | $-0.67 | Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh |
| $0.00 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $0.00 | Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh |
| $-0.59 | $-1.42 | $-0.15 | $-0.13 | Book value / shareBVPS |
Share counts before 2025 are restated ×2 for a stock split, so per-share figures sit on one basis.
The record, charted
FY2023–2025Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked. Share counts on the current split basis.
Owner earnings vs. net income
Owner earningsNet incomeThe accountant's number, and the cash an owner can take; the gap is the tell.
($37M)owner earningsvs.($46M)net incomelow FY2025
Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.
In fiscal 2025 the business turned a $46M loss into ($37M) of owner earnings: more cash than the profit line showed, after the non-cash charges and the capital it put back in.
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reported net income | ($46M) | ($51M) | ($32M) |
| Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back | +$296K | +$296K | +$1M |
| Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items | +$9M | +$16M | +$9M |
| Cash from operations | ($37M) | ($35M) | ($22M) |
| Maintenance capital expenditurethe spending needed just to hold position and volume | −$147K | −$296K | −$101K |
| Owner earnings | ($37M) | ($35M) | ($22M) |
| Growth capital expenditurediscretionary; spent to get bigger, not to stand still | — | −$334K | — |
| Free cash flow | ($37M) | ($35M) | ($22M) |
| Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue | -76% | -75% | -112% |
Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the capital it must spend to hold its position .
Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
FY2025 20-F · source on SEC EDGAR →
Will it survive?
- No meaningful interest burdenLittle or no interest expense reported
What this means
Little or no interest expense reported, the business isn't leaning on lenders to operate.
- Net cash, debt-freeCash $479K − debt $0
What this means
Cash and short-term investments exceed every dollar of debt by $479K, on net the company owes nothing, and can act from strength when others can't. Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.
- Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
Is it a good business?
- Not enough dataIndustry peers: median 29%
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
- Consumes cash through the cycle3-yr median margin, range -112%–-75%; latest ($37M) = operating cash ($37M) − maintenance capex $147KIndustry peers: median 3%
What this means
What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's -76% of revenue this year, a -76% median across 3 years.
- Are earnings backed by cash? ($37M)Loss, and burning cashNet income ($46M) · cash from operations ($37M)
What this means
The company reported a net loss, so a conversion ratio isn't meaningful. What matters then is whether operations still threw off cash, here, they did not.
How is the cash used?
- Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
- Investing or harvesting? 0.50×HarvestingCapex $147K ÷ depreciation $296K
What this means
Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.
Graham’s defensive tests · 0 of 2 met
Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.
- Adequate size MissRevenue ≥ $2B · $49M
What this means
Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.
- Strong liquidity MissCurrent ratio ≥ 2× · 0.27×
What this means
Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.
- Moderate price —P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
What this means
Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $-0.73/share (latest year $-0.78), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $-0.12/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.
Does AI threaten the moat?
Moderate contestabilityAI is likely to reshape costs and some products here without clearly contesting or sparing the core moat; how the company itself frames it is the tell.
In its own filing A competitive risk, new this year
Its FY2025 10-K names artificial intelligence as a competitive threat, in language that was not in the prior year's filing.
“While we believe these arrangements will support the long-term expansion and commercialization of our AI trading infrastructure, there can be no assurance regarding the timing or scale of AI trading revenue, profitability or market adoption associated with such initiatives. 8 Our industry is highly competitive, with we…”
The question is whether a moat the record shows as durable outlasts a technology that lowers the cost of part of what the firm sells. The durability is read in the record above, the filing's own framing of AI beside it; the industry label decides nothing on its own.
Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
Current Position
as of fiscal year-end, Dec 31, 2025Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.
Current assets$5M
- Cash & short-term investments$479K
- Receivables$3M
- Other current assets$2M
Current liabilities$20M
- Accounts payable$2M
- Other current liabilities$17M
Current ratio0.27×all current assets ÷ what's due · Graham looked for 2×
Quick ratio—inventory untagged this quarter, so withheld rather than shown equal to the current ratio
Cash ratio0.02×strictest: cash alone against what's due
Working capital($14M)the cushion left after near-term bills
Cash runway0.0 yrsthe business is consuming cash; this is how long the cash on hand lasts at that rate
Deeper floors
Tangible book value($14M)equity stripped of goodwill & intangibles
Net current asset value($14M)Graham's net-net: current assets less all liabilities
From the company's latest filing.
Peers, Specialty Retail
The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.
| Company | Revenue | Gross margin | Op. margin | ROIC | Owner earn. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGUStar Group L.P. | $1.8B | 62% | 4.1% | — | 4% |
| LESLLeslie's | $1.2B | 41% | 13.1% | 38% | 3% |
| BBWBuild-A-Bear Workshop Inc. | $530M | 53% | 8.5% | 34% | 4% |
| HNSTThe Honest Company Inc. | $371M | 33% | -11.3% | -23% | -4% |
| TDUPThredUp Inc. | $311M | 71% | -22.5% | -54% | -13% |
| ELAEnvela Corporation | $241M | 22% | 5.1% | 24% | 1% |
| WINAWinmark Corporation | $86M | 96% | 62.2% | 255% | 52% |
| RCTRedCloud Holdings plc | $49M | — | -89.8% | — | -76% |
| Group median | — | — | 4.6% | — | 2% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFEnter the US price, in dollars: the NYSE/Nasdaq quote you hold. RedCloud Holdings plc's US listing is the ordinary share itself. The record tables elsewhere on this page remain as filed.
RedCloud Holdings plc is profitable, but owner earnings are negative this year because capital spending currently outruns operating cash, a build-out, so the owner-earnings reverse-DCF has no positive base to grow. We read the price from both ends instead: type a price to see the steady-state profitability it demands, then set the mature margin you would believe and weigh the two against each other. Nothing leaves your browser unless you enter it in your notebook.
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The assumptions
Enter a price to run it.
Owner earnings it must reach—
Margin the price demands—
Owner-earnings margin today−76%
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Two reads of one future. From your price: the owner earnings the company must reach, valued at a mature multiple and discounted back at your rate, expressed as the margin it implies on revenue grown at your rate. From your belief: the mature margin you would credit, set on the dial above. When the margin the price demands runs above the one you would believe, you are paying for a future taken on faith. For a deep cyclical at a trough, normalized through-cycle earnings are the better lens; this mode is for the genuinely unprofitable, and for the profitable business whose capital spending currently outruns its cash.
Cite: Owner Scorecard, "RedCloud Holdings plc (RCT), the owner's record," https://ownerscorecard.com/c/RCT, data as of 2026-07-09.
Manual order: ← RCI its page in the Manual RDCM →
Industry order: ← NEGG the Specialty Retail chapter RERE →