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SKYT, SkyWater Technology Inc.
SkyWater Technology, Inc. is a U.S.-based, independent, pure-play semiconductor foundry providing foundational-node manufacturing, advanced technology development, and advanced packaging services through an integrated, multi-site operating model.
Our operations are designed to support customers that require secure, domestic manufacturing, long product life cycles, high reliability, and close engineering collaboration.
Model integrates production-scale manufacturing with advanced technology development, enabling customers to transition specialized semiconductor technologies efficiently from development to volume production.
The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
The business in brief
read the 10-K →What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- What it is
- Revenue is Legacy SkyWater (60%) and SkyWater Texas (40%).
- Situation
- Distress / turnaround. Thin interest coverage, or operating cash burned against real debt, across the record. The balance sheet carries this situation; the debt schedule sets the clock.
- What moves the needle
- Operating margin has run around −6.2% through the cycle on a 16% gross margin, the operating line deeply negative — so the lever is the path to a margin at all: revenue growth against the cost curve and the cash runway, not the level of a margin that isn't there yet. Capital spending runs about 8.0% of sales, below what it charges for depreciation, so the return earned on what it sinks into that plant weighs as much as the margin. Read this kind of business on process leadership and the capex cycle. On its own account, the filing leans hardest on customer concentration, set against the numbers in what the filing emphasizes, below.
- Is it a good business?
- Return on capital has rarely cleared the cost of capital (median −14%, above 15% in 0 of 4 years). Owner earnings, the cash-based check, have been thin too. This is price-taker territory, where the balance sheet and the cycle matter more than any multiple; the rest is in the 10-K.
Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.
Where the money comes from
read the 10-K →Legacy SkyWater is 60% of revenue, with SkyWater Texas the other meaningful segment at 40%.
- Legacy SkyWater60%$267M
- SkyWater Texas40%$175M
From the segment footnote of the company's own 10-K. Shares are of total revenue; the profit bar shows each segment's share of segment operating profit, before unallocated corporate costs.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2021–2025
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2021’21 | 2022’22 | 2023’23 | 2024’24 | 2025’25 | TTMTTMMar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| $140M | $163M | $213M | $342M | $442M | $542M | RevenueRevenue |
| 16% | −5% | 12% | 20% | 20% | 19% | Gross marginGross mgn |
| 18% | 27% | 22% | 14% | 17% | 17% | SG&A / revenueSG&A/rev |
| 3% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | R&D / revenueR&D/rev |
| ($9M) | ($57M) | ($30M) | $7M | ($3M) | ($4M) | Operating incomeOp. inc. |
| −6.2% | −35.1% | −14.0% | 1.9% | −0.6% | −0.7% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| ($21M) | ($51M) | ($40M) | ($7M) | $119M | $114M | Net incomeNet inc. |
| Cash flow & returns | ||||||
| $96M | ($56M) | ($14M) | $18M | ($29M) | ($57M) | Operating cash flowOp. cash |
| $19M | $27M | $28M | $19M | $36M | $45M | DepreciationDeprec. |
| $95M | ($45M) | ($12M) | ($2M) | ($193M) | ($226M) | Working capital & otherWC & other |
| $86M | $31M | $17M | $8M | $24M | $19M | CapexCapex |
| 61.1% | 18.9% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | Capex / revenueCapex/rev |
| $77M | ($86M) | ($31M) | $11M | ($53M) | ($76M) | Owner earningsOwner earn. |
| 55.1% | −53.1% | −14.7% | 3.1% | −12.1% | −14.0% | Owner earnings marginOE mgn |
| $10M | ($86M) | ($31M) | $11M | ($53M) | ($76M) | Free cash flowFCF |
| 7.4% | −53.1% | −14.7% | 3.1% | −12.1% | −14.0% | Free cash flow marginFCF mgn |
| — | — | — | $0 | $86M | $86M | AcquisitionsAcquis. |
| $4M | $0 | $0 | — | — | — | BuybacksBuybacks |
| -10% | -42% | -18% | — | -1% | -2% | ROICROIC |
| — | -83% | -74% | -12% | 63% | 63% | Return on equityROE |
| — | −83% | −74% | −12% | 63% | 63% | Retained to equityRetained/eq |
| Balance sheet | ||||||
| $7M | $13M | $18M | $19M | $23M | $22M | Cash & investmentsCash+inv |
| $30M | $39M | $66M | $52M | $100M | $89M | ReceivablesReceiv. |
| $27M | $18M | $15M | $15M | $25M | $26M | InventoryInvent. |
| $17M | $8M | $20M | $30M | $35M | $60M | Accounts payablePayables |
| $40M | $49M | $62M | $37M | $90M | $55M | Operating working capitalOper. WC |
| $77M | $74M | $146M | $130M | $193M | $182M | Current assetsCur. assets |
| $86M | $48M | $144M | $154M | $324M | $354M | Current liabilitiesCur. liab. |
| 0.9× | 1.6× | 1.0× | 0.8× | 0.6× | 0.5× | Current ratioCurr. ratio |
| $263M | $264M | $317M | $312M | $734M | $733M | Total assetsAssets |
| $73M | $59M | $93M | $40M | $39M | $91M | Total debtDebt |
| $65M | $47M | $74M | $21M | $16M | $69M | Net debt / (cash)Net debt |
| -1.6× | -16.1× | -5.7× | 0.7× | -0.2× | -0.2× | Interest coverageInt. cov. |
| ($16K) | $61M | $54M | $56M | $188M | $180M | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| 1.9% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | Stock comp / revenueSBC/rev |
| Per share | ||||||
| 0K | 29.0M | 40.8M | 47.4M | 48.7M | 48.8M | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| — | $5.61 | $5.21 | $7.22 | $9.08 | $11.10 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| — | $-1.75 | $-0.97 | $-0.14 | $2.44 | $2.34 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| — | $-2.98 | $-0.77 | $0.22 | $-1.09 | $-1.55 | Owner earnings / shareOE/sh |
| — | $-2.98 | $-0.77 | $0.22 | $-1.09 | $-1.55 | Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh |
| — | $1.06 | $0.42 | $0.17 | $0.50 | $0.38 | Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh |
| — | $2.11 | $1.32 | $1.17 | $3.86 | $3.69 | Book value / shareBVPS |
The diluted share count moved ×1.41 into 2023 — shares issued, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
| 4-yr | 5-yr | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue / share | +17.4%/yr (3-yr) | +17.4%/yr (3-yr) |
| Capital spending / share | −22.2%/yr (3-yr) | −22.2%/yr (3-yr) |
| Book value / share | +22.4%/yr (3-yr) | +22.4%/yr (3-yr) |
The year, in the company's words
the filing →Verbatim from the 10-K's management discussion. Each sentence is shown only because its subject, direction, and stated figures check out against the filed numbers on this page. The words are the company's; the arithmetic is the record's.
- Net income+1850.5%
“Net income attributable to SkyWater Technology increased $125.7 million from $(6.8) million for fiscal year 2024 to $118.9 million for fiscal year 2025.”
✓ figure matches the filed record - Legacy SkyWater-22.0%
“Legacy SkyWater Wafer services revenue decreased by $1.4 million, primarily due to a $6.4 million reduction in sales to our key automotive customer, reflecting lower demand caused by oversupply issues in our customer’s product channels.”
✓ direction matches the filed record
The record, charted
FY2021–2025Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.
Owner earnings vs. net income
Owner earningsNet incomeThe accountant's number, and the cash an owner can take; the gap is the tell.
Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.
In fiscal 2025 the business reported $119M of profit but ($53M) of owner earnings: $172M less than the profit line, taken out by capital spending and the timing of cash.
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported net income | $119M | ($7M) | ($40M) | ($51M) | ($21M) |
| Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back | +$36M | +$19M | +$28M | +$27M | +$19M |
| Stock-based compensationreal costnon-cash, but a real cost | +$9M | +$8M | +$9M | +$13M | +$3M |
| Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items | −$193M | −$2M | −$12M | −$45M | +$95M |
| Cash from operations | ($29M) | $18M | ($14M) | ($56M) | $96M |
| Maintenance capital expenditurethe spending needed just to hold position and volume | −$24M | −$8M | −$17M | −$31M | −$19M |
| Owner earnings | ($53M) | $11M | ($31M) | ($86M) | $77M |
| Growth capital expenditurediscretionary; spent to get bigger, not to stand still | — | — | — | — | −$67M |
| Free cash flow | ($53M) | $11M | ($31M) | ($86M) | $10M |
| Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue | -12% | 3% | -15% | -53% | 55% |
Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the capital it must spend to hold its position . The cash-flow statement also adds stock comp back as non-cash, but it is a real cost paid in shares; counted as the expense it is (less $9M), owner earnings is nearer ($63M).
Much of fiscal 2025's profit didn't arrive as operating cash; it sits in “working capital & other” above. That can be a real inventory or timing swing, or profit that doesn't run through operating cash at all: a heavy tax year, equity-method earnings, or investment income booked through investing. For a year like this, owner earnings understates the cash earned; the full cash-flow statement carries the rest.
Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
Will it survive?
- Can it pay its interest? -0.2×Does not cover its interestOperating income ($3M) ÷ interest expense $14M
What this means
A full year of operating profit didn't cover the interest bill. This is the zombie zone: the business depends on refinancing, asset sales, or forbearance to service its debt.
- Net debt against an operating lossCash $23M − debt $93M
What this means
Netting $23M of cash and short-term investments against $93M of debt leaves $70M owed, with no operating profit this year to measure it against — understand that combination before anything else about the company. Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.
- Long (60+ days)DSO 83 + DIO 25 − DPO 36 days
What this means
Days cash is tied up between paying suppliers and collecting from customers. Lower is better; a long cycle means growth itself eats cash.
Is it a good business?
- Below average through the cycle4-yr median, range -42%–-1%; -1% latest = NOPAT ($3M) ÷ invested capital $257MIndustry peers: median 8%
What this means
The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 4 years (it ran -1% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.
- Consumes cash through the cycle5-yr median margin, range -53%–55%; latest ($53M) = operating cash ($29M) − maintenance capex $24MIndustry peers: median 15%
What this means
What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's -12% of revenue this year, a -12% median across 5 years. Treating stock comp as the real expense it is (less $9M of SBC) leaves ($63M).
- Are earnings backed by cash? -0.24×Thinly cash-backedCash from ops ($29M) ÷ net income $119M
What this means
How much of reported profit showed up as operating cash. Above 1× is reassuring; well below suggests earnings lean on accruals. One year is noisy, growth and working-capital swings distort it, and this is operating cash, not free cash. Watch the multi-year trend.
How is the cash used?
- No surplus to allocate
What this means
The business didn't generate positive Owner Earnings this year, so any distributions came from the balance sheet or borrowing, not from operations.
- Investing or harvesting? 0.68×HarvestingCapex $24M ÷ depreciation $36M
What this means
Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.
Graham’s defensive tests · 0 of 5 met
Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.
- Adequate size MissRevenue ≥ $2B · $442M
What this means
Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.
- Strong liquidity MissCurrent ratio ≥ 2× · 0.60×
What this means
Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.
- Conservative debt MissDebt ≤ working capital · $93M vs ($131M) WC
What this means
Graham's rule that borrowings not exceed net current assets. Capital-heavy and buyback-heavy firms routinely fail it, read it next to interest coverage, not alone.
- Earnings stability MissA profit every year (5-yr record) · 4 loss years
What this means
Graham wanted earnings in each of the past ten years, the stability a defensive owner leans on.
- Dividend record MissUninterrupted dividends · none paid
What this means
An unbroken dividend was Graham's mark of durability. He wanted twenty years; the filings show about ten, and a single suspension breaks the streak. Non-payers, many fine modern compounders, fall outside his defensive net by design.
- Moderate price —P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
What this means
Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $0.49/share (latest year $2.42), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $3.82/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.
Durability & moat, 2021–2025
Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.
- Profitable years 1 of 5
What this means
Lost money in 4 year(s), look at what happened there before trusting the average.
- Return on capital ≥ 15% 0 of 5 yrs
What this means
A moat shows up as a high return on invested capital that holds year after year, not one good vintage.
- Operating margin −21% → 1% (2-yr avg ends)
What this means
Through the cycle the operating margin widened — about −21% early to 1% lately, median −6% — pricing power intact or improving.
- Reinvestment, incremental ROIC 51%
What this means
Every extra dollar the business reinvested came back at a high incremental return — the lens GBM read for a moat that reinvests rather than merely harvests. The record and the 10-K are where you check whether the rate holds.
- Worst year 2022 · −35.1% op. margin
What this means
Operations went underwater in 2022, understand why before trusting the good years.
Does AI threaten the moat?
Low contestabilityThe moat is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded, the kind AI cuts costs within but does not contest.
Its FY2025 10-K names artificial intelligence as a competitive threat.
“We also face risks of competitive disadvantage if our competitors more effectively use artificial intelligence to drive internal efficiencies or create new or enhanced products or services.”
AI is unlikely to contest a moat that is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded; here it reads more as a cost tool than a threat.
Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
Current Position
as of the latest quarter, Mar 29, 2026Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.
- Cash & short-term investments$22M
- Receivables$89M
- Inventory$26M
- Other current assets$45M
- Debt due within a year$5M
- Accounts payable$60M
- Other current liabilities$289M
From the company's latest filing.
How the cash was used, 2021–2025
Over the record, the business generated $16M of operating cash; how management split it reads as a reinvestor, most operating cash is plowed back into the business.
- Reinvested$166M · 1056%
- Buybacks$4M · 26%
- Returned to owners$4M
$0 as dividends and $4M as buybacks.
- Source of funding−$154M
Reinvestment and shareholder returns ran $154M beyond the operating cash the business generated, so the gap was financed off the balance sheet.
- Average price paid for buybacks—
Buybacks ran $4M over the span, but the filings don't tag the share count needed to deduce the average price paid.
- Net change in share count68.0%
The diluted count rose from 29M to 49M: issuance (stock pay, deals) outran any buybacks, so owners were diluted on net.
- Dividend record—
No dividend line was reported in the filing data over the span; the record here neither confirms nor rules out a payout.
Buybacks are gross of stock issued to staff; the share-count line above is the net of that, the figure that decides whether owners gained. The average price paid blends a year of purchases (and any accelerated repurchase), so it is close, not exact. The record of where the cash went and on what terms.
Management, ownership & pay
read the proxy →From the proxy: how much of the business the people running it own, and how they are paid.
- Insider ownership22.6%
The stake all directors and executive officers hold together, per the 2026 proxy: skin in the game, the first thing Munger reads.
- Stock-based compensation$9M
The slice of the business handed to employees in shares this year, 2% of revenue. Buffett's oldest accounting fight: this is compensation, compensation is an expense, real whether or not the headline earnings admit it. One trap: the cash-flow statement adds SBC back, so the operating cash, and the owner earnings drawn from it, are flattered by exactly this amount; counted as the cost it is, what an owner keeps is lower.
Inverting the record
Invert: instead of why SkyWater Technology Inc. is a good business, the question is what would make owning it a mistake, and whether those marks are in the record. Disconfirming tests across 2021–2025.
3 of the 5 tests turned up something to look into; the other 2 came back clean.
- Look hereIs it less profitable than it was?−4.5% vs 1.0%
The owner-earnings margin averaged 1.0% early in the record and −4.5% across the last three years, and the latest year has not recovered. Ask the filing whether that is a structural drift or a cyclical trough — price, mix, cost, or a competitor — and whether it is permanent.
- Look hereDid the share count rise anyway?68.0%
Diluted shares grew 68.0% over 2021–2025, even as the company spent $4M on buybacks. The repurchases were outrun by issuance — to staff, in a raise, or in a deal — and the filing says which; owners' slice still shrank. Read the buyback line beside this one, not on its own.
- Look hereDid debt outgrow the business?$73M → $91M
Debt rose from $73M to $91M while owner earnings went from about ($13M) to ($25M): the borrowing grew and the earnings that would carry it are not there now. Debt raised for buybacks or deals rather than growth is the kind that bites in a downturn.
- Did reported profit become cash?
- Did receivables and inventory outpace sales?
Each test is read from the filings and is noisy alone; a flag can mark a cyclical trough or a year of heavy investment as easily as a problem. The filing says which.
What an owner would ask, FY2025
read the 10-K →- How much of the revenue rides on one buyer?≈$114M · 21% of revenue on the largest customers (TTM)
“Two customers, other than Infineon, represented 21% and 10% of our revenue for the fiscal year ended December 28, 2025.”verify →
- Which reported numbers are a judgment call?Management names Revenue recognition, Income taxes, Acquisitions, Stock compensation as critical estimates
each rests partly on management's judgment; the filing's note sets out the assumptionsverify →
The questions the record and the charts do not answer on their own; each carries the figure and the place to look.
Peers, Semiconductors
The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.
| Company | Revenue | Gross margin | Op. margin | ROIC | Owner earn. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AOSLAlpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited | $696M | 26% | 2.6% | 3% | 2% |
| KLICKulicke and Soffa Industries Inc. | $654M | 47% | 9.4% | 8% | 14% |
| LSCCLattice Semiconductor | $523M | 60% | 9.1% | 9% | 22% |
| SHLSShoals Technologies Group Inc. | $475M | 36% | 17.0% | 10% | 17% |
| MXLMaxLinear Inc. | $468M | 55% | -5.3% | -3% | 15% |
| POWIPower Integrations | $444M | 51% | 13.4% | 11% | 17% |
| SKYTSkyWater Technology Inc. | $442M | 16% | -6.2% | -14% | -12% |
| AMBAAmbarella | $391M | 61% | -21.4% | -15% | 11% |
| Group median | — | 49% | 5.8% | 6% | 14% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFSkyWater Technology Inc. is profitable, but owner earnings are negative this year because capital spending currently outruns operating cash, a build-out, so the owner-earnings reverse-DCF has no positive base to grow. We read the price from both ends instead: type a price to see the steady-state profitability it demands, then set the mature margin you would believe and weigh the two against each other. Nothing leaves your browser unless you enter it in your notebook.
Revenue, delivered35%/yr’21→’25
Enter a price to run it.
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Two reads of one future. From your price: the owner earnings the company must reach, valued at a mature multiple and discounted back at your rate, expressed as the margin it implies on revenue grown at your rate. From your belief: the mature margin you would credit, set on the dial above. When the margin the price demands runs above the one you would believe, you are paying for a future taken on faith. For a deep cyclical at a trough, normalized through-cycle earnings are the better lens; this mode is for the genuinely unprofitable, and for the profitable business whose capital spending currently outruns its cash.
Manual order: ← SKYH its page in the Manual SKYW →
Industry order: ← SITM the Semiconductors chapter SLAB →