Share count
7Bpeak FY2025
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CAN, Canaan Inc.
Revenue is Products (78%) and Mining (21%).
The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
Revenue · FY2025
$530M
+96.7% YoY · 50% 5-yr CAGR
Vital signs · TTM, with 5-yr average
Revenue $530M 5-yr avg $487M
The business in brief
read the 10-K →What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- What it is
- A capital-intensive business, run on heavy physical assets that must be kept working and earn a return above what they cost to maintain.
- Situation
- Unprofitable. No sustained operating profit across the record; an earnings multiple has nothing to rest on. What the record does show is revenue, the gross-margin trajectory, and the burn against the cash on hand. Distress / turnaround. Thin interest coverage, or operating cash burned against real debt, across the record. The balance sheet carries this situation; the debt schedule sets the clock.
- What moves the needle
- Operating margin has reached 37% at its best but run negative through the cycle (median −57%) on a 7.8% gross margin — so the question is which reading is truer: whether the median was pulled below zero by one-off charges, by the cycle, or by spending it is still growing into, and whether it settles back at a profit. Inventory runs near 34% of sales, so how fast it turns back into cash — and the risk of writing it down when demand softens — sits alongside the margin. On its own account, the filing leans hardest on customer concentration, set against the numbers in what the filing emphasizes, below.
- Is it a good business?
- Return on capital has rarely cleared the cost of capital (median −57%, above 15% in 1 of 6 years). Owner earnings, the cash-based check, have been thin too. This is price-taker territory, where the balance sheet and the cycle matter more than any multiple; the rest is in the 10-K.
Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.
Where the money comes from
read the 20-F →Products is 78% of revenue, with Mining the other meaningful line at 21%.
Revenue by product line, FY2025
- Products78%$414M
- Mining21%$113M
By geographyUnited States42%China32%Ethiopia14%Hong Kong SAR China4%Canada3%Singapore2%Other3%
From the segment footnote of the company's own 20-F. Shares are of total revenue; the profit bar shows each segment's share of segment operating profit, before unallocated corporate costs.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2019–2025
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2019’19 | 2020’20 | 2021’21 | 2022’22 | 2023’23 | 2024’24 | 2025’25 | TTMTTMDec 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||||
| $204M | $69M | $773M | $652M | $211M | $269M | $530M | $530M | RevenueRevenue |
| −36% | 8% | — | — | — | −31% | 8% | 8% | Gross marginGross mgn |
| — | ($39M) | $283M | $43M | ($411M) | ($227M) | ($112M) | ($112M) | Operating incomeOp. inc. |
| — | −56.7% | 36.6% | 6.6% | −194.3% | −84.3% | −21.2% | −21.2% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| ($149M) | ($33M) | $309M | $70M | ($414M) | ($250M) | ($210M) | ($210M) | Net incomeNet inc. |
| Cash flow & returns | ||||||||
| ($40M) | $6M | $202M | ($183M) | ($124M) | ($199M) | ($271M) | ($271M) | Operating cash flowOp. cash |
| $108M | $39M | ($107M) | ($252M) | $291M | $50M | ($61M) | ($61M) | Working capital & otherWC & other |
| $1M | $333K | $6M | $18M | $3M | $19M | $25M | $25M | CapexCapex |
| 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | Capex / revenueCapex/rev |
| ($41M) | $6M | $197M | ($200M) | ($127M) | ($219M) | ($296M) | ($296M) | Owner earningsOwner earn. |
| −20.3% | 9.0% | 25.4% | −30.8% | −60.0% | −81.2% | −55.8% | −55.8% | Owner earnings marginOE mgn |
| ($41M) | $6M | $197M | ($200M) | ($127M) | ($219M) | ($296M) | ($296M) | Free cash flowFCF |
| −20.3% | 9.0% | 25.4% | −30.8% | −60.0% | −81.2% | −55.8% | −55.8% | Free cash flow marginFCF mgn |
| — | $4M | $16M | $37M | — | — | $5M | — | BuybacksBuybacks |
| — | -486% | 228% | 6% | -129% | -93% | -22% | -22% | ROICROIC |
| -149% | -50% | 57% | 12% | -119% | -94% | -48% | -48% | Return on equityROE |
| −149% | −50% | 57% | 12% | −119% | −94% | −48% | −48% | Retained to equityRetained/eq |
| Balance sheet | ||||||||
| $76M | $70M | $421M | — | $96M | $96M | $81M | $90M | Cash & investmentsCash+inv |
| $413K | $1M | $58K | — | $3M | $2M | $19M | $19M | ReceivablesReceiv. |
| $28M | $35M | $127M | $212M | $142M | $95M | $181M | $181M | InventoryInvent. |
| $14M | $6M | $23M | $17M | $6M | $14M | $26M | $26M | Accounts payablePayables |
| $14M | $30M | $105M | $195M | $139M | $82M | $175M | $175M | Operating working capitalOper. WC |
| $135M | $154M | $828M | $556M | $364M | $334M | $433M | $433M | Current assetsCur. assets |
| $41M | $91M | $327M | $75M | $135M | $179M | $131M | $131M | Current liabilitiesCur. liab. |
| 3.3× | 1.7× | 2.5× | 7.4× | 2.7× | 1.9× | 3.3× | 3.3× | Current ratioCurr. ratio |
| $142M | $159M | $884M | $685M | $493M | $463M | $603M | $603M | Total assetsAssets |
| — | — | — | — | — | $24M | $52M | $52M | Total debtDebt |
| — | — | — | — | — | ($73M) | ($29M) | ($38M) | Net debt / (cash)Net debt |
| — | -70.7× | — | — | — | -436.0× | -57.1× | -204.1× | Interest coverageInt. cov. |
| $100M | $66M | $542M | $608M | $348M | $266M | $437M | $437M | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| Per share | ||||||||
| 2.15B | 2.35B | 2.58B | 2.58B | 2.58B | 4.07B | 7.04B | 4.61B | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| $0.09 | $0.03 | $0.30 | $0.25 | $0.08 | $0.07 | $0.08 | $0.11 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| $-0.07 | $-0.01 | $0.12 | $0.03 | $-0.16 | $-0.06 | $-0.03 | $-0.05 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| $-0.02 | $0.00 | $0.08 | $-0.08 | $-0.05 | $-0.05 | $-0.04 | $-0.06 | Owner earnings / shareOE/sh |
| $-0.02 | $0.00 | $0.08 | $-0.08 | $-0.05 | $-0.05 | $-0.04 | $-0.06 | Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh |
| $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.01 | Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh |
| $0.05 | $0.03 | $0.21 | $0.24 | $0.13 | $0.07 | $0.06 | $0.09 | Book value / shareBVPS |
The diluted share count moved ×1.58 into 2024 — shares issued, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
The diluted share count moved ×1.73 into 2025 — shares issued, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
The diluted share count moved ×1/1.53 into TTM — shares retired, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
Per-share growththe realized rate an owner's share compounded
| 6-yr | 5-yr | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue / share | −3.8%/yr | +20.8%/yr |
| Capital spending / share | +35.7%/yr | +89.8%/yr |
| Book value / share | +5.0%/yr | +17.1%/yr |
The record, charted
FY2019–2025Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.
ROIC
−22%low FY2020
Gross margin
8%low FY2019
Owner earnings vs. net income
Owner earningsNet incomeThe accountant's number, and the cash an owner can take; the gap is the tell.
($296M)owner earningsvs.($210M)net incomelow FY2025
Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.
In fiscal 2025 the business reported a $210M loss but ($296M) of owner earnings: $86M less than the profit line, taken out by capital spending and the timing of cash.
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported net income | ($210M) | ($250M) | ($414M) | $70M | $309M |
| Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items | −$61M | +$50M | +$291M | −$252M | −$107M |
| Cash from operations | ($271M) | ($199M) | ($124M) | ($183M) | $202M |
| Capital expenditurecash put back in to keep running and to grow | −$25M | −$19M | −$3M | −$18M | −$6M |
| Owner earnings | ($296M) | ($219M) | ($127M) | ($200M) | $197M |
| Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue | -56% | -81% | -60% | -31% | 25% |
Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the capital it must spend to hold its position .
Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
FY2025 20-F · source on SEC EDGAR →
Will it survive?
- Can it pay its interest? -204.1×Does not cover its interestOperating income ($112M) ÷ interest expense $550K
What this means
A full year of operating profit didn't cover the interest bill. This is the zombie zone: the business depends on refinancing, asset sales, or forbearance to service its debt.
- Net cashCash $81M + ST investments $10M − debt $52M
What this means
Cash and short-term investments exceed every dollar of debt by $38M, on net the company owes nothing, and can act from strength when others can't. Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.
- Long (60+ days)DSO 13 + DIO 135 − DPO 19 days
What this means
Days cash is tied up between paying suppliers and collecting from customers. Lower is better; a long cycle means growth itself eats cash.
Is it a good business?
- Below average through the cycle6-yr median, range -486%–228%; -22% latest = NOPAT ($89M) ÷ invested capital $409MIndustry peers: median -8%
What this means
The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 6 years (it ran -22% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.
- Consumes cash through the cycle7-yr median margin, range -81%–25%; latest ($296M) = operating cash ($271M) − maintenance capex $25MIndustry peers: median -42%
What this means
What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's -56% of revenue this year, a -31% median across 7 years.
- Are earnings backed by cash? ($271M)Loss, and burning cashNet income ($210M) · cash from operations ($271M)
What this means
The company reported a net loss, so a conversion ratio isn't meaningful. What matters then is whether operations still threw off cash, here, they did not.
How is the cash used?
- No surplus to allocate
What this means
The business didn't generate positive Owner Earnings this year, so any distributions came from the balance sheet or borrowing, not from operations.
- Investing or harvesting? —Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
Graham’s defensive tests · 2 of 6 met
Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.
- Adequate size MissRevenue ≥ $2B · $530M
What this means
Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.
- Strong liquidity PassCurrent ratio ≥ 2× · 3.31×
What this means
Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.
- Conservative debt PassDebt ≤ working capital · $52M vs $302M WC
What this means
Graham's rule that borrowings not exceed net current assets. Capital-heavy and buyback-heavy firms routinely fail it, read it next to interest coverage, not alone.
- Earnings stability MissA profit every year (7-yr record) · 5 loss years
What this means
Graham wanted earnings in each of the past ten years, the stability a defensive owner leans on.
- Dividend record MissUninterrupted dividends · none paid
What this means
An unbroken dividend was Graham's mark of durability. He wanted twenty years; the filings show about ten, and a single suspension breaks the streak. Non-payers, many fine modern compounders, fall outside his defensive net by design.
- Earnings growth MissEarnings +33% over the record · −785%
What this means
At least a third more earnings than a decade ago, averaging three years at each end. Net income (not per-share), so stock splits don't distort it, buybacks and dilution show up in the share-count line instead.
- Moderate price —P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
What this means
Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $-0.04/share (latest year $-0.03), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $0.06/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.
Durability & moat, 2019–2025
Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.
- Profitable years 2 of 7
What this means
Lost money in 5 year(s), look at what happened there before trusting the average.
- Operating margin −4% → −100% (3-yr avg ends)
What this means
Through the cycle the operating margin slipped — about −4% early to −100% lately, median −57% — competition or costs are biting in.
- Reinvestment, incremental ROIC returns capital
What this means
The capital base barely grew: this business returns cash through dividends and buybacks rather than reinvesting. Judge it on the cash returned, not on compounding.
- Worst year 2023 · −194.3% op. margin
What this means
Operations went underwater in 2023, understand why before trusting the good years.
Does AI threaten the moat?
Low contestabilityThe moat is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded, the kind AI cuts costs within but does not contest.
AI is unlikely to contest a moat that is physical, regulated or balance-sheet-funded; here it reads more as a cost tool than a threat.
Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
Current Position
as of fiscal year-end, Dec 31, 2025Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.
Current assets$433M
- Cash & short-term investments$90M
- Receivables$19M
- Inventory$181M
- Other current assets$143M
Current liabilities$131M
- Debt due within a year$29M
- Accounts payable$26M
- Other current liabilities$77M
Current ratio3.31×all current assets ÷ what's due · Graham looked for 2×
Quick ratio1.93×stricter: inventory excluded
Cash ratio0.69×strictest: cash alone against what's due
Working capital$302Mthe cushion left after near-term bills
Debt due this year vs. cash$29M due · $90M cash
covered by cash on hand, no refinancing forced · both figures from the Dec 31, 2025 balance sheet
Cash runway0.3 yrsthe business is consuming cash; this is how long the cash on hand lasts at that rate
Deeper floors
Tangible book value$437Mequity stripped of goodwill & intangibles
Net current asset value$268MGraham's net-net: current assets less all liabilities
Debt incl. operating leases$54M$2M of it operating leases
Deferred revenue$9Mcustomer cash collected before delivery; operating float
From the company's latest filing.
Peers, Capital Markets & Asset Management
The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.
| Company | Revenue | Gross margin | Op. margin | ROIC | Owner earn. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFRMAffirm Holdings | $1.1B | — | -89.3% | -13% | -29% |
| CLSKCleanSpark Inc. | $766M | 44% | -114.4% | -12% | -82% |
| RIOTRiot Platforms Inc. Common Stock | $647M | 26% | -128.7% | -24% | -105% |
| CANCanaan Inc. | $530M | -12% | -38.9% | -57% | -31% |
| IRENIREN Limited | $501M | 53% | -14.5% | -3% | 1% |
| HIVEHIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. | $298M | — | 1.8% | 0% | -42% |
| HUTHut 8 Corp. | $235M | 54% | -55.2% | -8% | -73% |
| CRCLCircle Internet Group Inc. | $110M | — | 1102.0% | -4% | 699% |
| Group median | — | 44% | -47.1% | -10% | -36% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFEnter the US price, in dollars: the NYSE/Nasdaq quote you hold. Per the filing's own cover, “American Depositary Shares, each representing 15 Class”; Canaan Inc. reports in USD, so every figure in this tool is stated per ADS so your dollar quote reconciles exactly. The record tables elsewhere on this page remain as filed.
Canaan Inc. is profitable, but owner earnings are negative this year because capital spending currently outruns operating cash, a build-out, so the owner-earnings reverse-DCF has no positive base to grow. We read the price from both ends instead: type a price to see the steady-state profitability it demands, then set the mature margin you would believe and weigh the two against each other. Nothing leaves your browser unless you enter it in your notebook.
$
The assumptions
Revenue, delivered18%/yr’20→’25
Enter a price to run it.
Owner earnings it must reach—
Margin the price demands—
Owner-earnings margin today−56%
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Two reads of one future. From your price: the owner earnings the company must reach, valued at a mature multiple and discounted back at your rate, expressed as the margin it implies on revenue grown at your rate. From your belief: the mature margin you would credit, set on the dial above. When the margin the price demands runs above the one you would believe, you are paying for a future taken on faith. For a deep cyclical at a trough, normalized through-cycle earnings are the better lens; this mode is for the genuinely unprofitable, and for the profitable business whose capital spending currently outruns its cash.
Cite: Owner Scorecard, "Canaan Inc. (CAN), the owner's record," https://ownerscorecard.com/c/CAN, data as of 2026-07-09.
Manual order: ← CAMT its page in the Manual CANG →
Industry order: ← BX the Capital Markets & Asset Management chapter CANG →