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FBYD, Falcon's Beyond Global Inc.
Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. is a visionary entertainment and technology enterprise at the forefront of the global experience economy.
We design, develop, engineer, deliver, and commercialize immersive physical and digital experiences for leading brands, developers, and destination operators worldwide, as well as for our own portfolio of entertainment and technology concepts.
Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. is built on an integrated experience platform that brings together creative development, proprietary technologies, advanced engineering, IP, and operational execution to enable the repeatable creation, deployment, and scaling of entertainment experiences across multiple formats and locations globally.
The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
The business in brief
read the 10-K →What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- What it is
- Revenue is Services (81%) and Products (19%).
- Situation
- Distress / turnaround. Thin interest coverage, or operating cash burned against real debt, across the record. The balance sheet carries this situation; the debt schedule sets the clock.
- What moves the needle
- Operating margin has run around −235% through the cycle, the operating line deeply negative — so the lever is the path to a margin at all: revenue growth against the cost curve and the cash runway, not the level of a margin that isn't there yet. Stock-based pay runs about 11% of sales, a real and recurring claim on owners that the GAAP margin understates. On its own account, the filing leans hardest on going-concern doubt, set against the numbers in what the filing emphasizes, below.
- Is it a good business?
- Return on capital has rarely cleared the cost of capital (median −55%, above 15% in 0 of 3 years). Owner earnings, the cash-based check, have been thin too. This is price-taker territory, where the balance sheet and the cycle matter more than any multiple; the rest is in the 10-K.
Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.
Where the money comes from
read the 10-K →Services is 81% of revenue, with Products the other meaningful line at 19%.
- Services81%$12M
- Products19%$3M
From the segment footnote of the company's own 10-K. Shares are of total revenue; the profit bar shows each segment's share of segment operating profit, before unallocated corporate costs.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2022–2025
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2022’22 | 2023’23 | 2024’24 | 2025’25 | TTMTTMMar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | |||||
| $16M | $18M | $7M | $15M | $19M | RevenueRevenue |
| 116% | 154% | 332% | 171% | 145% | SG&A / revenueSG&A/rev |
| 17% | 7% | 3% | — | 1% | R&D / revenueR&D/rev |
| ($17M) | ($57M) | ($16M) | ($13M) | ($580K) | Operating incomeOp. inc. |
| −108.7% | −313.3% | −235.2% | −90.0% | −3.1% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| ($17M) | ($48M) | $22M | $3M | $10M | Net incomeNet inc. |
| — | — | 0% | -0% | -0% | Effective tax rateTax rate |
| Cash flow & returns | |||||
| ($19M) | ($23M) | ($13M) | ($25M) | ($28M) | Operating cash flowOp. cash |
| $737K | $2M | $6K | $349K | $479K | DepreciationDeprec. |
| ($3M) | $23M | ($36M) | ($29M) | ($40M) | Working capital & otherWC & other |
| $320K | $308K | $11K | $153K | $73K | CapexCapex |
| 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | Capex / revenueCapex/rev |
| ($20M) | ($24M) | ($13M) | ($25M) | ($28M) | Owner earningsOwner earn. |
| −122.9% | −130.1% | −186.3% | −166.2% | −152.8% | Owner earnings marginOE mgn |
| ($20M) | ($24M) | ($13M) | ($25M) | ($28M) | Free cash flowFCF |
| −122.9% | −130.1% | −186.3% | −166.2% | −152.8% | Free cash flow marginFCF mgn |
| — | — | $0 | $2M | $2M | AcquisitionsAcquis. |
| -15% | — | -69% | -55% | -2% | ROICROIC |
| -25% | — | — | 24% | 64% | Return on equityROE |
| −25% | — | — | 24% | 64% | Retained to equityRetained/eq |
| Balance sheet | |||||
| $8M | $672K | $825K | $2M | $1M | Cash & investmentsCash+inv |
| $3M | $696K | $2M | $4M | $5M | ReceivablesReceiv. |
| $407K | — | — | — | $407K | InventoryInvent. |
| $5M | $4M | $10M | $8M | $8M | Accounts payablePayables |
| ($910K) | ($3M) | ($8M) | ($5M) | ($2M) | Operating working capitalOper. WC |
| $17M | $2M | $4M | $10M | $10M | Current assetsCur. assets |
| $17M | $214M | $46M | $29M | $23M | Current liabilitiesCur. liab. |
| 1.0× | 0.0× | 0.1× | 0.4× | 0.4× | Current ratioCurr. ratio |
| $11M | — | — | — | $11M | GoodwillGoodwill |
| $112M | $63M | $61M | $67M | $62M | Total assetsAssets |
| $33M | $30M | $33M | $14M | $16M | Total debtDebt |
| $25M | $29M | $32M | $12M | $15M | Net debt / (cash)Net debt |
| -15.6× | -50.9× | -8.4× | -4.0× | -0.3× | Interest coverageInt. cov. |
| $68M | ($57M) | ($9M) | $12M | $15M | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| — | 0.4% | 22.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | Stock comp / revenueSBC/rev |
| Per share | |||||
| — | 8.5M | 12.7M | 39.3M | 49.2M | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| — | $2.14 | $0.53 | $0.38 | $0.38 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| — | $-5.59 | $1.73 | $0.07 | $0.19 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| — | $-2.79 | $-0.99 | $-0.63 | $-0.58 | Owner earnings / shareOE/sh |
| — | $-2.79 | $-0.99 | $-0.63 | $-0.58 | Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh |
| — | $0.04 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh |
| — | $-6.71 | $-0.70 | $0.30 | $0.30 | Book value / shareBVPS |
The diluted share count moved ×1.49 into 2024 — shares issued, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
The diluted share count moved ×3.08 into 2025 — shares issued, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
| 3-yr | 5-yr | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue / share | −57.9%/yr (2-yr) | −57.9%/yr (2-yr) |
| Capital spending / share | −67.2%/yr (2-yr) | −67.2%/yr (2-yr) |
The record, charted
FY2022–2025Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.
Owner earnings vs. net income
Owner earningsNet incomeThe accountant's number, and the cash an owner can take; the gap is the tell.
Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.
In fiscal 2025 the business reported $3M of profit but ($25M) of owner earnings: $28M less than the profit line, taken out by capital spending and the timing of cash.
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported net income | $3M | $22M | ($48M) | ($17M) |
| Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back | +$349K | +$6K | +$2M | +$737K |
| Stock-based compensationreal costnon-cash, but a real cost | +$2M | +$1M | +$68K | — |
| Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items | −$29M | −$36M | +$23M | −$3M |
| Cash from operations | ($25M) | ($13M) | ($23M) | ($19M) |
| Capital expenditurecash put back in to keep running and to grow | −$153K | −$11K | −$308K | −$320K |
| Owner earnings | ($25M) | ($13M) | ($24M) | ($20M) |
| Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue | -166% | -186% | -130% | -123% |
Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the capital it must spend to hold its position . The cash-flow statement also adds stock comp back as non-cash, but it is a real cost paid in shares; counted as the expense it is (less $2M), owner earnings is nearer ($26M).
Much of fiscal 2025's profit didn't arrive as operating cash; it sits in “working capital & other” above. That can be a real inventory or timing swing, or profit that doesn't run through operating cash at all: a heavy tax year, equity-method earnings, or investment income booked through investing. For a year like this, owner earnings understates the cash earned; the full cash-flow statement carries the rest.
Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
Will it survive?
- Can it pay its interest? -4.0×Does not cover its interestOperating income ($13M) ÷ interest expense $3M
What this means
A full year of operating profit didn't cover the interest bill. This is the zombie zone: the business depends on refinancing, asset sales, or forbearance to service its debt.
- Net debt against an operating lossCash $2M − debt $14M
What this means
Netting $2M of cash and short-term investments against $14M of debt leaves $12M owed, with no operating profit this year to measure it against — understand that combination before anything else about the company. Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.
- Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
Is it a good business?
- Below average through the cycle3-yr median, range -69%–-15%; -55% latest = NOPAT ($13M) ÷ invested capital $24MIndustry peers: median -10%
What this means
The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 3 years (it ran -55% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.
- Owner-earnings margin -166%Consumes cash through the cycle4-yr median margin, range -186%–-123%; latest ($25M) = operating cash ($25M) − maintenance capex $153KIndustry peers: median 6%
What this means
What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's -166% of revenue this year, a -166% median across 4 years. Treating stock comp as the real expense it is (less $2M of SBC) leaves ($26M).
- Are earnings backed by cash? -8.67×Thinly cash-backedCash from ops ($25M) ÷ net income $3M
What this means
How much of reported profit showed up as operating cash. Above 1× is reassuring; well below suggests earnings lean on accruals. One year is noisy, growth and working-capital swings distort it, and this is operating cash, not free cash. Watch the multi-year trend.
How is the cash used?
- Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
- Investing or harvesting? 0.44×HarvestingCapex $153K ÷ depreciation $349K
What this means
Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.
Graham’s defensive tests · 0 of 3 met
Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.
- Adequate size MissRevenue ≥ $2B · $15M
What this means
Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.
- Strong liquidity MissCurrent ratio ≥ 2× · 0.36×
What this means
Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.
- Conservative debt MissDebt ≤ working capital · $14M vs ($18M) WC
What this means
Graham's rule that borrowings not exceed net current assets. Capital-heavy and buyback-heavy firms routinely fail it, read it next to interest coverage, not alone.
- Moderate price —P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
What this means
Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $-0.15/share (latest year $0.06), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $0.24/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.
Durability & moat, 2022–2025
Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.
- Profitable years 2 of 4
What this means
Lost money in 2 year(s), look at what happened there before trusting the average.
- Return on capital ≥ 15% 0 of 3 yrs
What this means
A moat shows up as a high return on invested capital that holds year after year, not one good vintage.
- Operating margin −211% → −163% (2-yr avg ends)
What this means
Through the cycle the operating margin widened — about −211% early to −163% lately, median −235% — pricing power intact or improving.
- Reinvestment, incremental ROIC returns capital
What this means
The capital base barely grew: this business returns cash through dividends and buybacks rather than reinvesting. Judge it on the cash returned, not on compounding.
- Worst year 2023 · −313.3% op. margin
What this means
Operations went underwater in 2023, understand why before trusting the good years.
Does AI threaten the moat?
Moderate contestabilityAI is likely to reshape costs and some products here without clearly contesting or sparing the core moat; how the company itself frames it is the tell.
The question is whether a moat the record shows as durable outlasts a technology that lowers the cost of part of what the firm sells. The durability is read in the record above, the filing's own framing of AI beside it; the industry label decides nothing on its own.
Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
Current Position
as of the latest quarter, Mar 31, 2026Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.
- Cash & short-term investments$1M
- Receivables$5M
- Inventory$407K
- Other current assets$3M
- Debt due within a year$9M
- Accounts payable$8M
- Other current liabilities$7M
From the company's latest filing.
Management, ownership & pay
read the proxy →From the proxy: how much of the business the people running it own, and how they are paid.
- Insider ownership2%
The stake all directors and executive officers hold together, per the 2026 proxy: skin in the game, the first thing Munger reads.
- Stock-based compensation$2M
The slice of the business handed to employees in shares this year, 11% of revenue. Buffett's oldest accounting fight: this is compensation, compensation is an expense, real whether or not the headline earnings admit it. One trap: the cash-flow statement adds SBC back, so the operating cash, and the owner earnings drawn from it, are flattered by exactly this amount; counted as the cost it is, what an owner keeps is lower.
Inverting the record
Invert: instead of why Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. is a good business, the question is what would make owning it a mistake, and whether those marks are in the record. Disconfirming tests across 2022–2025.
1 of the 3 tests turned up something to look into; the other 2 came back clean.
- Look hereDid receivables and inventory outpace sales?23% → 32% of sales
Receivables and inventory grew from $4M to $6M while revenue grew 16%: working capital is climbing faster than sales (23% of revenue then, 32% now). That can mean customers paying slower, stock building up, or revenue pulled forward. The filing's cash-flow and receivables notes say which.
- Did debt outgrow the business?
- Are "one-time" charges a yearly habit?
Each test is read from the filings and is noisy alone; a flag can mark a cyclical trough or a year of heavy investment as easily as a problem. The filing says which.
Peers, Entertainment & Studios
The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.
| Company | Revenue | Gross margin | Op. margin | ROIC | Owner earn. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DKNGDraftKings Inc. | $6.1B | 38% | -44.5% | -79% | -15% |
| STUBStubHub Holdings Inc. | $1.7B | — | 7.8% | -73% | 15% |
| ACELAccel Entertainment Inc. | $1.3B | — | 7.7% | 14% | 7% |
| RSIRush Street Interactive Inc. | $1.1B | 32% | -19.3% | — | -1% |
| OSWOneSpaWorld Holdings Limited | $961M | — | 7.2% | 12% | 6% |
| LLYVALiberty Live Holdings, Inc. | $382M | 19% | -13.5% | -1% | — |
| SEGSeaport Entertainment Group Inc. | $130M | — | -91.7% | -18% | — |
| FBYDFalcon's Beyond Global Inc. | $15M | — | -172.0% | -55% | -148% |
| Group median | — | — | -16.4% | -18% | 3% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFFalcon's Beyond Global Inc. is profitable, but owner earnings are negative this year because capital spending currently outruns operating cash, a build-out, so the owner-earnings reverse-DCF has no positive base to grow. We read the price from both ends instead: type a price to see the steady-state profitability it demands, then set the mature margin you would believe and weigh the two against each other. Nothing leaves your browser unless you enter it in your notebook.
Revenue, delivered−11%/yr’22→’25
Enter a price to run it.
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Two reads of one future. From your price: the owner earnings the company must reach, valued at a mature multiple and discounted back at your rate, expressed as the margin it implies on revenue grown at your rate. From your belief: the mature margin you would credit, set on the dial above. When the margin the price demands runs above the one you would believe, you are paying for a future taken on faith. For a deep cyclical at a trough, normalized through-cycle earnings are the better lens; this mode is for the genuinely unprofitable, and for the profitable business whose capital spending currently outruns its cash.
Manual order: ← FBRX its page in the Manual FCBC →
Industry order: ← DIS the Entertainment & Studios chapter FUBO →