Share count
197Mpeak FY2025
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GCMG, GCM Grosvenor Inc.
Capital Markets & Asset Management financial
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The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
Revenue · FY2025
$558M
+8.5% YoY · 5% 5-yr CAGR
Vital signs · TTM, with 5-yr average
Revenue $556M 5-yr avg $499M
Net margin 9.1% 5-yr avg 4.6%
Revenue $125M −0.8% vs yr-ago qtr
Operating margin 16.4% yr-ago 12.2%
Net income $18M yr-ago ($1M)
Net margin 14.2% yr-ago −0.9%
The business in brief
read the 10-K →What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- What moves the needle
- Assets under management and the fee rate on them. What decides it: net flows in or out, the market's move on the assets already there (the firm rises and falls with the indices it invests in), the drift toward cheaper passive products, and the operating leverage on a largely fixed cost base. On its own account, the filing leans hardest on pricing power & competition, set against the numbers in what the filing emphasizes, below.
- Is it a good business?
- Operating margin has been modest for a fee business (median 19%). It earns this on little capital, so return on equity has run near 168%, the leverage of a model that needs almost no plant to grow. A high return that does not fade can mark a moat, but whether the assets stay (net flows, not last year's market) is what the flow disclosures and the 10-K settle, not the multiple.
Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2018–2025
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2018’18 | 2019’19 | 2020’20 | 2021’21 | 2022’22 | 2023’23 | 2024’24 | 2025’25 | TTMTTMMar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | |||||||||
| $378M | $416M | $430M | $532M | $447M | $445M | $514M | $558M | $556M | RevenueRevenue |
| 19.8% | 20.4% | −10.0% | 20.6% | 18.0% | −2.7% | 14.3% | 23.9% | 24.9% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | Net marginNet mgn |
| $0 | $0 | $4M | $21M | $20M | $13M | $19M | $45M | $50M | Net incomeNet inc. |
| — | — | 53% | 34% | 33% | 38% | 42% | 22% | 20% | Effective tax rateTax rate |
| Cash flow & returns | |||||||||
| $116M | $92M | $67M | $178M | $216M | $89M | $145M | $179M | $198M | Owner earningsOwner earn. |
| Balance sheet | |||||||||
| — | $373M | $632M | $582M | $489M | $505M | $613M | $814M | $689M | Total assetsAssets |
| $68M | $80M | $198M | $96M | $85M | $44M | $89M | $242M | $164M | Cash & investmentsCash+inv |
| — | — | ($29M) | ($26M) | ($20M) | ($28M) | ($28M) | $27M | $25M | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| Per share | |||||||||
| 0K | 0K | 184M | 189M | 189M | 187M | 191M | 197M | 205M | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| — | — | $2.33 | $2.81 | $2.37 | $2.37 | $2.70 | $2.83 | $2.72 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| — | — | $0.02 | $0.11 | $0.11 | $0.07 | $0.10 | $0.23 | $0.25 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| — | — | $0.36 | $0.94 | $1.14 | $0.48 | $0.76 | $0.91 | $0.97 | Owner earnings / shareOE/sh |
| — | — | $-0.16 | $-0.14 | $-0.11 | $-0.15 | $-0.14 | $0.14 | $0.12 | Book value / shareBVPS |
Per-share growththe realized rate an owner's share compounded
| 7-yr | 5-yr | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue / share | +3.9%/yr (5-yr) | +3.9%/yr |
| Owner earnings / share | +20.1%/yr (5-yr) | +20.1%/yr |
| EPS | +59.9%/yr (5-yr) | +59.9%/yr |
| Capital spending / share | +43.4%/yr (5-yr) | +43.4%/yr |
The record, charted
FY2018–2025Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.
Revenue
$558Mlow FY2018
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
FY2025 10-K · source on SEC EDGAR →
Is it a good business?
- Operating margin 23.9%Solid fee marginOperating income $133M ÷ revenue $558MIndustry peers: median 25%
What this means
The heart of a asset manager: how much of each fee dollar survives the cost of running the business. Fees ride on assets under management, so the swing factors are net flows in or out and the market's move on the assets already there; the cost base is largely fixed, which lifts margins in a bull market and squeezes them in a bear one. A high margin held for years, through a market it does not control, is the operational mark of a real franchise.
- Net margin 8.1%SolidNet income $45M ÷ revenue $558M
What this means
What reaches the owner after tax and interest. For a capital-light fee business this should be a wide share of revenue; when it is thin despite a high operating margin, debt taken on for acquisitions is usually the reason, so read it next to the balance sheet.
- Return on equity 168%Very high (≥25%)Net income $45M ÷ equity $27MIndustry peers: median 29%
What this means
Because the business ties up little capital, a healthy fee stream throws off a high return on the equity behind it. Read it with the buyback record: returning capital lifts this ratio honestly, but heavy debt taken to do so can flatter it.
Does AI threaten the moat?
Moderate contestabilityAI is likely to reshape costs and some products here without clearly contesting or sparing the core moat; how the company itself frames it is the tell.
In its own filing Named as a competitive risk
Its FY2025 10-K names artificial intelligence as a competitive threat.
“Technological developments in artificial intelligence could disrupt the markets in which we operate and subject us to increased competition, legal and regulatory risks and compliance costs, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.…”
The question is whether a moat the record shows as durable outlasts a technology that lowers the cost of part of what the firm sells. The durability is read in the record above, the filing's own framing of AI beside it; the industry label decides nothing on its own.
Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
Management, ownership & pay
read the proxy →From the proxy: how much of the business the people running it own, and how they are paid, beside what the business earned for its owners in the same years.
| Fiscal year | Chief executive | Pay, as filed | “Actually paid” | Owner earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Mr. Sacks | $4.6M | $4.6M | $178M |
| 2022 | Mr. Sacks | $5.4M | $5.4M | $216M |
| 2023 | Mr. Sacks | $5.9M | $5.9M | $89M |
| 2024 | Mr. Sacks | $5.5M | $5.5M | $145M |
| 2025 | Mr. Sacks | $6.3M | $6.3M | $179M |
Both pay figures are the company’s own, from the pay-versus-performance table its proxy statement files. “As filed” is the Summary Compensation Table total: salary, bonus, and equity awards at their value on the day of grant. “Actually paid” is the SEC’s prescribed recalculation, which re-marks those equity awards to what they became as they vested; it can swing far above or below the filed figure in either direction, and negative years occur. Owner earnings are the whole business's, from the record above, for the same fiscal years.
- Insider ownership70.7%
The stake all directors and executive officers hold together, per the 2026 proxy: skin in the game, the first thing Munger reads.
What an owner would ask, FY2025
read the 10-K →- Which reported numbers are a judgment call?Management names Revenue recognition, Income taxes, Stock compensation as critical estimates
each rests partly on management's judgment; the filing's note sets out the assumptionsverify →
The questions the record and the charts do not answer on their own; each carries the figure and the place to look.
Peers, Capital Markets & Asset Management
The same industry, side by side on fee margins. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.
| Company | Revenue | Op. margin | Net margin | ROE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APAMArtisan Partners | $1.2B | 35.1% | 21.8% | 74% |
| VRTSVirtus Investment Partners Inc. | $853M | 20.3% | 14.4% | 14% |
| RILYBRC Group Holdings Inc. | $789M | 10.7% | 7.8% | 10% |
| HLNEHamilton Lane | $759M | 33.2% | 23.8% | 29% |
| AAMIAcadian Asset Management Inc. | $564M | 24.8% | 16.8% | 102% |
| GCMGGCM Grosvenor Inc. | $558M | 18.9% | 3.3% | 168% |
| CNSCohen & Steers | $556M | 38.3% | 28.4% | 39% |
| RPCRidgepost Capital Inc. | $297M | 21.9% | 6.6% | 5% |
| Group median | — | 23.4% | 15.6% | 34% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFType today's close and see the owner-earnings growth you'd have to believe to justify it, beside what GCM Grosvenor Inc. has delivered.
$
Through the cycle, GCM Grosvenor Inc. earns about $164M on its 29.5% median owner-earnings margin. This year’s 32.1% margin runs in line with that. Normalize, below, values the price on that through-cycle figure rather than the latest year.
Base
—
The assumptions
9.0% = the 4.55% 10-year Treasury (Jul 15, 2026) + 4.45 points of equity premium. The rate you require is yours to set.
Enter a price above to run it.
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Implied by the price—
Owner-earnings growth · ’21→’25−5%/yr
Owner-earnings growth · ’18→’25+6%/yr
Owner-earnings growth · ’18→’25+7%/yr
Owner-earnings yield—
What a growth belief costs, in multiples
The growth each return requires, at your price
P/E (3-yr earnings ’23–’25)—
P/B—
Graham’s price gate—
Graham capped the multiple at 15×; Buffett and Munger let that rule go: a wonderful business can deserve 50× if the thesis holds. The gate marks the bargain-hunter's floor.
Against a high-grade bond: Graham’s yardstick bond yield%
Prefilled with the 10-year Treasury (4.55%, as of Jul 15, 2026). Edit it for today’s exact figure, or a AAA corporate yield.
Graham measured a stock against the bond you could own instead, the heart of his margin of safety. Enter a price above to weigh the owner-earnings yield against this bond.
Owner-earnings yield—
High-grade bond yield—
Margin over the bond—
Free cash flow $191M on 61M shares outstanding (a weighted basic average, the only count this filer tags); net debt $199M. The if-converted diluted count is 205M, 236% above the shares outstanding: the dilution overhang (convertibles, options) a buyer inherits. The base is the latest year by default; Normalize values it on the through-cycle median owner-earnings margin (to avoid paying on a peak year). Net of stock comp treats option pay as the expense it is. Capex ($11M) runs well above depreciation ($4M), so this is a build-out; Steady-state swaps total capex for maintenance (≈ depreciation), lifting the base to about $198M, the cash it would throw off if it stopped expanding. The dials set the multiple a growth belief justifies; the price, and every dollar on this page, is yours.
Cite: Owner Scorecard, "GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG), the owner's record," https://ownerscorecard.com/c/GCMG, data as of 2026-07-09.
Manual order: ← GCBC its page in the Manual GCO →
Industry order: ← FWDI the Capital Markets & Asset Management chapter GDOT →