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MAR, Marriott International
Marriott rents out its name. It franchises, manages, and licenses hotels — along with residences and timeshares — under a stable of brands that run from budget to luxury, but it owns or leases almost none of the buildings itself. The real estate and the capital belong to third-party owners; Marriott collects fees for the brand, the reservation system, and the loyalty program, plus reimbursements for costs it lays out on those owners' behalf.
Consistent with our focus on franchising, management, and licensing, we own or lease very few of our lodging properties (less than one percent of our system).
We discuss our operations in the following reportable business segments: (1) U.S. & Canada, (2) Europe, Middle East & Africa ("EMEA"), (3) Greater China, and (4) Asia Pacific excluding China ("APEC").
The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
The business in brief
read the 10-K →What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- What it is
- Revenue is Reimbursements (73%), Fee Service (20%) and Owned, Leased and Other (6%).
- What moves the needle
- The test is whether the brand is a franchise or a bed is just a bed: do the brands and the loyalty program let Marriott charge owners a fee they keep paying, and fill rooms at a premium over a no-name hotel down the road? Because almost no capital sits in the buildings, returns can look high — but the whole model rests on attracting and holding the owners who supply the real estate, and the filing names that dependence plainly. Lodging is also cyclical and the balance sheet carries net debt: when travel stops, fees fall with occupancy and room rates while the interest does not. See the record below for the margins, returns, and leverage.
- Is it a good business?
- Return on capital has run in the teens (median 17%, above 15% in 6 of 9 years). Owner earnings agree: roughly 10% of revenue reaches owners as cash, consistently. Returns like these are solid but short of clear franchise economics; whether they hold is what the 10-K settles, not the multiple.
Drafted from the company's filings and reviewed by hand; every number is shown in full in the sections below.
Where the money comes from
read the 10-K →Reimbursements is 73% of revenue, with Fee Service the other meaningful line at 20%.
- Reimbursements73%$19.2B
- Fee Service20%$5.3B
- Owned, Leased and Other6%$1.7B
From the segment footnote of the company's own 10-K. Shares are of total revenue; the profit bar shows each segment's share of segment operating profit, before unallocated corporate costs.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2016–2025
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2016’16 | 2017’17 | 2018’18 | 2019’19 | 2020’20 | 2021’21 | 2022’22 | 2023’23 | 2024’24 | 2025’25 | TTMTTMMar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | |||||||||||
| $15.4B | $20.5B | $20.8B | $21.0B | $10.6B | $13.9B | $20.8B | $23.7B | $25.1B | $26.2B | $26.6B | RevenueRevenue |
| 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | SG&A / revenueSG&A/rev |
| $1.4B | $2.5B | $2.4B | $1.8B | $84M | $1.8B | $3.5B | $3.9B | $3.8B | $4.1B | $4.3B | Operating incomeOp. inc. |
| 9.2% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 0.8% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 16.0% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| $808M | $1.5B | $1.9B | $1.3B | ($267M) | $1.1B | $2.4B | $3.1B | $2.4B | $2.6B | $2.6B | Net incomeNet inc. |
| 35% | 51% | 19% | 20% | — | 7% | 24% | 9% | 25% | 23% | 26% | Effective tax rateTax rate |
| Cash flow & returns | |||||||||||
| $1.6B | $2.2B | $2.4B | $1.7B | $1.6B | $1.2B | $2.4B | $3.2B | $2.7B | $3.2B | $3.4B | Operating cash flowOp. cash |
| $157M | $231M | $256M | $346M | $322M | $138M | $114M | $122M | $128M | $145M | $145M | DepreciationDeprec. |
| $442M | $356M | $10M | ($121M) | $1.4B | ($242M) | ($301M) | ($240M) | $9M | $230M | $453M | Working capital & otherWC & other |
| $199M | $240M | $556M | $653M | $135M | $183M | $332M | $452M | $750M | $604M | $599M | CapexCapex |
| 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | Capex / revenueCapex/rev |
| $1.5B | $2.0B | $2.1B | $1.3B | $1.5B | $1.0B | $2.2B | $3.0B | $2.6B | $3.1B | $3.3B | Owner earningsOwner earn. |
| 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 14.2% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.3% | Owner earnings marginOE mgn |
| $1.4B | $2.0B | $1.8B | $1.0B | $1.5B | $994M | $2.0B | $2.7B | $2.0B | $2.6B | $2.8B | Free cash flowFCF |
| 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 14.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | Free cash flow marginFCF mgn |
| $2.4B | $0 | $0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | $0 | AcquisitionsAcquis. |
| $374M | $482M | $543M | $612M | $156M | $0 | $321M | $587M | $682M | $718M | $722M | Dividends paidDiv. paid |
| $568M | $3.0B | $2.9B | $2.3B | $150M | $0 | $2.6B | $4.0B | $3.8B | $3.3B | — | BuybacksBuybacks |
| 7% | 11% | 17% | 13% | — | 16% | 26% | 32% | 26% | 26% | 26% | ROICROIC |
| 16% | 41% | 86% | 181% | -62% | 78% | 415% | — | — | — | — | Return on equityROE |
| 8% | 27% | 61% | 94% | −98% | 78% | 359% | — | — | — | — | Retained to equityRetained/eq |
| Balance sheet | |||||||||||
| $858M | $383M | $316M | $225M | $877M | $1.4B | $507M | $338M | $396M | $358M | $454M | Cash & investmentsCash+inv |
| $687M | $783M | $767M | $720M | $527M | $726M | $746M | $738M | $763M | $814M | $763M | Accounts payablePayables |
| $3.4B | $2.7B | $2.7B | $3.1B | $2.8B | $3.6B | $3.3B | $3.3B | $3.5B | $3.6B | $3.9B | Current assetsCur. assets |
| $5.1B | $5.8B | $6.4B | $6.7B | $5.8B | $6.4B | $7.3B | $7.8B | $8.6B | $8.4B | $8.5B | Current liabilitiesCur. liab. |
| 0.7× | 0.5× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.6× | 0.5× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.5× | Current ratioCurr. ratio |
| $7.6B | $9.2B | $9.0B | $9.0B | $9.2B | $9.1B | $8.9B | $8.9B | $8.7B | $8.9B | $8.9B | GoodwillGoodwill |
| $24.1B | $23.8B | $23.7B | $25.1B | $24.7B | $25.6B | $24.8B | $25.7B | $26.2B | $27.5B | $27.9B | Total assetsAssets |
| $8.5B | $8.2B | $9.3B | $10.9B | $10.4B | $10.1B | $10.1B | $11.9B | $14.4B | $16.2B | $16.5B | Total debtDebt |
| $7.6B | $7.9B | $9.0B | $10.7B | $9.5B | $8.7B | $9.6B | $11.5B | $14.1B | $15.8B | $16.1B | Net debt / (cash)Net debt |
| 6.1× | 8.7× | 7.0× | 4.6× | 0.2× | 4.2× | 8.6× | 6.8× | 5.4× | 5.1× | 5.1× | Interest coverageInt. cov. |
| $5.1B | $3.6B | $2.2B | $703M | $430M | $1.4B | $568M | ($682M) | ($3.0B) | ($3.8B) | ($4.1B) | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | Stock comp / revenueSBC/rev |
| Per share | |||||||||||
| 296M | 380M | 354M | 336M | 326M | 329M | 326M | 303M | 285M | 274M | 267M | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| $52.10 | $53.84 | $58.61 | $62.51 | $32.45 | $42.08 | $63.76 | $78.29 | $88.01 | $95.71 | $99.61 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| $2.73 | $3.84 | $5.38 | $3.79 | $-0.82 | $3.34 | $7.24 | $10.18 | $8.33 | $9.51 | $9.69 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| $4.94 | $5.23 | $5.93 | $3.99 | $4.62 | $3.16 | $6.90 | $10.06 | $9.19 | $11.21 | $12.29 | Owner earnings / shareOE/sh |
| $4.80 | $5.23 | $5.08 | $3.08 | $4.62 | $3.02 | $6.23 | $8.97 | $7.01 | $9.53 | $10.58 | Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh |
| $1.26 | $1.27 | $1.53 | $1.82 | $0.48 | $0.00 | $0.99 | $1.94 | $2.39 | $2.62 | $2.71 | Dividends / shareDiv/sh |
| $0.67 | $0.63 | $1.57 | $1.95 | $0.41 | $0.56 | $1.02 | $1.49 | $2.63 | $2.21 | $2.25 | Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh |
| $17.32 | $9.43 | $6.28 | $2.10 | $1.32 | $4.29 | $1.74 | $-2.25 | $-10.49 | $-13.78 | $-15.34 | Book value / shareBVPS |
| 9-yr | 5-yr | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue / share | +7.0%/yr | +24.2%/yr |
| Owner earnings / share | +9.5%/yr | +19.4%/yr |
| EPS | +14.9%/yr | — |
| Dividends / share | +8.4%/yr | +40.5%/yr |
| Capital spending / share | +14.1%/yr | +39.7%/yr |
The record, charted
FY2016–2025Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.
Owner earnings vs. net income
Owner earningsNet incomeThe accountant's number, and the cash an owner can take; the gap is the tell.
Where the cash went
ReinvestBuybacksDividendsAcquisitionsRetainedBeyond op. cashEach year's outlays against its operating cash: the mix, and how it drifts. The hatched cap is spending beyond that year's operating cash — financed from the balance sheet or borrowing, not operations.
Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.
In fiscal 2025 the business earned $3.1B of owner earnings, the operating cash left after the $145M it takes just to hold its position. It put $459M more into growth; free cash flow, after that spending, was $2.6B.
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported net income | $2.6B | $2.4B | $3.1B | $2.4B | $1.1B |
| Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back | +$145M | +$128M | +$122M | +$114M | +$138M |
| Stock-based compensationreal costnon-cash, but a real cost | +$236M | +$237M | +$205M | +$192M | +$182M |
| Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items | +$230M | +$9M | −$240M | −$301M | −$242M |
| Cash from operations | $3.2B | $2.7B | $3.2B | $2.4B | $1.2B |
| Maintenance capital expenditurethe spending needed just to hold position and volume | −$145M | −$128M | −$122M | −$114M | −$138M |
| Owner earnings | $3.1B | $2.6B | $3.0B | $2.2B | $1.0B |
| Growth capital expenditurediscretionary; spent to get bigger, not to stand still | −$459M | −$622M | −$330M | −$218M | −$45M |
| Free cash flow | $2.6B | $2.0B | $2.7B | $2.0B | $994M |
| Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue | 12% | 10% | 13% | 11% | 7% |
Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position (here about $145M, roughly its depreciation, the rate its assets wear out). The other $459M of its capital spending is growth it chose, not upkeep it owed; charged only with the maintenance it must do, the business earns well more than the year's free cash flow shows. The cash-flow statement also adds stock comp back as non-cash, but it is a real cost paid in shares; counted as the expense it is (less $236M), owner earnings is nearer $2.8B.
Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
Will it survive?
- ComfortableOperating income $4.1B ÷ interest expense $809M
What this means
Operating profit covers interest with the kind of margin Graham wanted for a defensive holding. Necessary, not sufficient, it says solvent, not cheap.
- How heavy is the debt, net of cash? $15.8B · 3.8× operating profitMeaningful net debtCash $358M − debt $16.2B
What this means
Netting $358M of cash and short-term investments against $16.2B of debt leaves $15.8B owed, about 3.8× a year's operating profit (3.9× on the gross debt, before the cash). Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.
- Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
Is it a good business?
- High through the cycle9-yr median, range 7%–32%; 26% latest = NOPAT $3.2B ÷ invested capital $12.1BIndustry peers: median 9%
What this means
The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 9 years (it ran 26% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.
- Solid through the cycle10-yr median margin, range 6%–14%; latest $3.1B = operating cash $3.2B − maintenance capex $145MIndustry peers: median 11%
What this means
What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's 12% of revenue this year, a 10% median across 10 years. It chose to put $459M more into growth, so free cash flow this year was $2.6B — the gap is investment, not weakness. Treating stock comp as the real expense it is (less $236M of SBC) leaves $2.8B.
- Cash-backedCash from ops $3.2B ÷ net income $2.6B
What this means
How much of reported profit showed up as operating cash. Above 1× is reassuring; well below suggests earnings lean on accruals. One year is noisy, growth and working-capital swings distort it, and this is operating cash, not free cash. Watch the multi-year trend.
How is the cash used?
- Returned more than it generatedDividends + buybacks $4.0B ÷ Owner Earnings $3.1B
What this means
The company returned more than it generated: against $3.1B of Owner Earnings, $4.0B (131%) went back to shareholders, $718M dividends, $3.3B buybacks — the excess came from the balance sheet or borrowing, not the year's operations. Net of $236M stock comp, the real buyback was about $3.1B. Sustained, that pattern draws down cash or adds debt; the net-debt line above shows where it stands.
- Investing or harvesting? 4.17×ExpandingCapex $604M ÷ depreciation $145M
What this means
Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.
Graham’s defensive tests · 2 of 6 met
Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.
- Adequate size PassRevenue ≥ $2B · $26.2B
What this means
Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.
- Strong liquidity MissCurrent ratio ≥ 2× · 0.43×
What this means
Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.
- Conservative debt MissDebt ≤ working capital · $16.2B vs ($4.8B) WC
What this means
Graham's rule that borrowings not exceed net current assets. Capital-heavy and buyback-heavy firms routinely fail it, read it next to interest coverage, not alone.
- Earnings stability NearA profit every year (10-yr record) · 1 loss year
What this means
Graham wanted earnings in each of the past ten years, the stability a defensive owner leans on.
- Dividend record NearUninterrupted dividends · 9 of 10 yrs
What this means
An unbroken dividend was Graham's mark of durability. He wanted twenty years; the filings show about ten, and a single suspension breaks the streak. Non-payers, many fine modern compounders, fall outside his defensive net by design.
- Earnings growth PassEarnings +33% over the record · +93%
What this means
At least a third more earnings than a decade ago, averaging three years at each end. Net income (not per-share), so stock splits don't distort it, buybacks and dilution show up in the share-count line instead.
- Moderate price —P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
What this means
Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $10.19/share (latest year $9.86), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $-14.30/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.
Durability & moat, 2016–2025
Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.
- Profitable years 9 of 10
What this means
Lost money in 1 year(s), look at what happened there before trusting the average.
- Return on capital ≥ 15% 6 of 10 yrs
What this means
A moat shows up as a high return on invested capital that holds year after year, not one good vintage.
- Operating margin 11% → 16% (3-yr avg ends)
What this means
Through the cycle the operating margin widened — about 11% early to 16% lately, median 12% — pricing power intact or improving.
- Reinvestment, incremental ROIC returns capital
What this means
The capital base barely grew: this business returns cash through dividends and buybacks rather than reinvesting. Judge it on the cash returned, not on compounding.
- Owner earnings growth +6%/yr
What this means
Owner earnings grew about 6% a year over the record.
- Worst year 2020 · 0.8% op. margin
What this means
Stayed profitable even in its hardest year, the resilience that survives recessions.
- Share count −0.9%/yr
What this means
The share count is shrinking, buybacks are quietly growing your slice of the business.
- Dividend record rising
What this means
Paid and raised the dividend across the record, the continuity Graham prized.
- How management talks about it Owner’s terms
What this means
The record and the register agree: capital is compounding and the filing reasons in an owner’s terms — per-share value, return on capital, the long term — not a promoter’s.
Does AI threaten the moat?
Moderate contestabilityAI is likely to reshape costs and some products here without clearly contesting or sparing the core moat; how the company itself frames it is the tell.
Its FY2025 10-K names artificial intelligence as a competitive threat, in language that was not in the prior year's filing.
“In addition, the introduction of AI capabilities by existing and emerging travel intermediaries may change the way guests plan, book, and pay for travel, which may disrupt how our products and services are marketed and distributed, potentially eroding brand loyalty, increasing distribution costs, and negatively affecti…”
The question is whether a moat the record shows as durable outlasts a technology that lowers the cost of part of what the firm sells. The durability is read in the record above, the filing's own framing of AI beside it; the industry label decides nothing on its own.
Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
Current Position
as of the latest quarter, Mar 31, 2026Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.
- Cash & short-term investments$454M
- Inventory$11M
- Other current assets$3.4B
- Debt due within a year$755M
- Accounts payable$763M
- Other current liabilities$7.0B
From the company's latest filing.
Debt maturity
the debt note, SEC EDGAR →Not how much it owes, but when it falls due, and against what. The ladder the company files, beside cash on hand and a year's owner earnings.
Bars scaled to the largest single year; “later” is everything due after 2030, shown apart since it dwarfs the years.
Against what the business has and earns
Cash on hand as of Mar 31, 2026 plus a year’s owner earnings comes to $3.5B against the $1.2B due in the twelve months after the Dec 31, 2025 schedule: 2.9 times it.
Maturity schedule extracted from the company’s Dec 31, 2025 annual report and reconciled to the balance-sheet debt.
How the cash was used, 2016–2025
Over the record, the business generated $22.2B of operating cash; how management split it reads as a cash returner, paying most of what it earns straight back to owners.
- Reinvested$4.1B · 18%
- Dividends$4.5B · 20%
- Buybacks$22.4B · 101%
- Returned to owners$26.9B
132% of the owner earnings the business produced over the span, $4.5B as dividends and $22.4B as buybacks.
- Source of funding−$8.8B
Reinvestment and shareholder returns ran $8.8B beyond the operating cash the business generated, so the gap was financed off the balance sheet: debt rose from $8.5B to $16.5B.
- Average price paid for buybacks—
Buybacks ran $22.4B over the span, but the filings don't tag the share count needed to deduce the average price paid.
- Net change in share count−9.8%
The diluted count fell from 296M to 267M, so the buybacks outran the stock issued to staff.
- Dividend record$2.62/sh
Paid in 9 of the years on record, the per-share dividend growing about 8% a year. It was cut at least once along the way.
Buybacks are gross of stock issued to staff; the share-count line above is the net of that, the figure that decides whether owners gained. The average price paid blends a year of purchases (and any accelerated repurchase), so it is close, not exact. The record of where the cash went and on what terms.
Acquisitions & goodwill
from the balance sheet & the 10-year cash-flow recordGoodwill grows only when a company acquires and falls only when it concedes it overpaid. The size of that bet, the cash put into buying rather than building, and how much has already been written off.
None written down over the record; the goodwill is still carried at full cost. That is the deals holding their value on the books so far; whether they keep doing so is the test an owner watches, since the write-down, when it comes, is the admission the price was too high.
Goodwill, acquired intangibles and equity from the latest balance sheet; acquisition spend and write-downs summed across the 10-year record, from the company's own filings.
Management, ownership & pay
read the proxy →From the proxy: how much of the business the people running it own, and how they are paid, beside what the business earned for its owners in the same years.
| Fiscal year | Pay, as filed | “Actually paid” | Owner earnings |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $18.4M | $24.5M | $1.0B |
| 2021 | $12.3M | $12.8M | $1.0B |
| 2022 | $18.7M | $18.0M | $2.2B |
| 2023 | $22.7M | $55.5M | $3.0B |
| 2024 | $21.9M | $46.0M | $2.6B |
| 2025 | $23.0M | $39.5M | $3.1B |
Both pay figures are the company’s own, from the pay-versus-performance table its proxy statement files. “As filed” is the Summary Compensation Table total: salary, bonus, and equity awards at their value on the day of grant. “Actually paid” is the SEC’s prescribed recalculation, which re-marks those equity awards to what they became as they vested; it can swing far above or below the filed figure in either direction, and negative years occur. Owner earnings are the whole business's, from the record above, for the same fiscal years.
- Insider ownership11.4%
The stake all directors and executive officers hold together, per the 2026 proxy: skin in the game, the first thing Munger reads.
- Stock-based compensation$236M
The slice of the business handed to employees in shares this year, 1% of revenue, equal to 6% of operating profit. Buffett's oldest accounting fight: this is compensation, compensation is an expense, real whether or not the headline earnings admit it. One trap: the cash-flow statement adds SBC back, so the operating cash, and the owner earnings drawn from it, are flattered by exactly this amount; counted as the cost it is, what an owner keeps is lower.
Inverting the record
Invert: instead of why Marriott International is a good business, the question is what would make owning it a mistake, and whether those marks are in the record. Disconfirming tests across 2016–2025.
None of the 5 tests turned up a mark; each came back clean. A clean panel says only that these particular ways of being wrong are not written into the record.
- Is it less profitable than it was?
- Did the share count rise anyway?
- Did debt outgrow the business?
- Did reported profit become cash?
- Are "one-time" charges a yearly habit?
Each test is read from the filings and is noisy alone; a flag can mark a cyclical trough or a year of heavy investment as easily as a problem. The filing says which.
Peers, Hotels & Resorts
The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.
| Company | Revenue | Gross margin | Op. margin | ROIC | Owner earn. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MARMarriott International | $26.2B | — | 12.4% | 17% | 10% |
| HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | $12.0B | — | 17.5% | 20% | 15% |
| HHyatt Hotels Corporation | $7.1B | — | 8.6% | 7% | 6% |
| HGVHilton Grand Vacations Inc. Common Stock | $4.5B | — | 12.8% | 5% | 7% |
| BALYBally's Corporation | $2.5B | — | 5.7% | 5% | 2% |
| CHHChoice Hotels International | $1.6B | — | 28.9% | 30% | 20% |
| WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts | $1.4B | — | 25.7% | 12% | 18% |
| Group median | — | — | 12.8% | 12% | 10% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFType today's close and see the owner-earnings growth you'd have to believe to justify it, beside what Marriott International has delivered.
Through the cycle, Marriott International earns about $2.7B on its 10.3% median owner-earnings margin. This year’s 11.7% margin runs in line with that. Normalize, below, values the price on that through-cycle figure rather than the latest year.
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9.0% = the 4.55% 10-year Treasury (Jul 15, 2026) + 4.45 points of equity premium. The rate you require is yours to set.
Enter a price above to run it.
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Graham capped the multiple at 15×; Buffett and Munger let that rule go: a wonderful business can deserve 50× if the thesis holds. The gate marks the bargain-hunter's floor.
Prefilled with the 10-year Treasury (4.55%, as of Jul 15, 2026). Edit it for today’s exact figure, or a AAA corporate yield.
Graham measured a stock against the bond you could own instead, the heart of his margin of safety. Enter a price above to weigh the owner-earnings yield against this bond.
Free cash flow $2.8B on 264M shares outstanding, per the 10-Q cover, as of 2026-04-29; net debt $16.1B. The base is the latest year by default; Normalize values it on the through-cycle median owner-earnings margin (to avoid paying on a peak year). Net of stock comp treats option pay as the expense it is. Capex ($599M) runs well above depreciation ($145M), so this is a build-out; Steady-state swaps total capex for maintenance (≈ depreciation), lifting the base to about $3.3B, the cash it would throw off if it stopped expanding. The dials set the multiple a growth belief justifies; the price, and every dollar on this page, is yours.
Manual order: ← MANH its page in the Manual MARA →
Industry order: ← LVS the Hotels & Resorts chapter MCRI →