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PENN, PENN Entertainment Inc.
Revenue is led by Gaming (77%) and Other (13%), with 2 more lines behind.
The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
The business in brief
read the 10-K →What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- What it is
- A hotel and lodging business, earning on rooms filled and the brand that fills them.
- Situation
- Distress / turnaround. Thin interest coverage, or operating cash burned against real debt, across the record. The balance sheet carries this situation; the debt schedule sets the clock. Cyclical. Margins collapse and recover repeatedly across the record; a single year, good or bad, misstates the through-cycle earning power.
- What moves the needle
- Operating margin has run about 11% through the cycle, a solid margin the cost base and competition set as much as the price does. The margin is cyclical, swinging between −11% and 18% over the years, so the through-cycle figure carries more than any single year — and the balance sheet at the trough more than the peak. Read this kind of business on occupancy and revenue per available room, and the model. On its own account, the filing leans hardest on pricing power & competition, set against the numbers in what the filing emphasizes, below.
- Is it a good business?
- Return on capital has sat near the cost of capital (median 12%). By owner earnings: roughly 8% of revenue reaches owners as cash, consistently. The cycle and the balance sheet decide this one; the worst year tells more than the median, and the rest is in the 10-K.
Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.
Where the money comes from
read the 10-K →Gaming is 77% of revenue, with Other the other meaningful line at 13%.
- Gaming77%$5.3B
- Other13%$912M
- Food and beverage6%$446M
- Hotel4%$253M
From the segment footnote of the company's own 10-K. Shares are of total revenue; the profit bar shows each segment's share of segment operating profit, before unallocated corporate costs.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2016–2025
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2016’16 | 2017’17 | 2018’18 | 2019’19 | 2020’20 | 2021’21 | 2022’22 | 2023’23 | 2024’24 | 2025’25 | TTMTTMMar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | |||||||||||
| $3.2B | $3.3B | $3.6B | $5.3B | $3.6B | $5.9B | $6.4B | $6.4B | $6.6B | $7.0B | $7.1B | RevenueRevenue |
| 14% | 15% | 17% | 22% | 32% | 23% | 17% | 25% | 24% | 23% | 23% | SG&A / revenueSG&A/rev |
| $543M | $446M | $634M | $572M | ($410M) | $1.1B | $974M | ($690M) | $73M | ($674M) | ($619M) | Operating incomeOp. inc. |
| 16.9% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 10.8% | −11.5% | 17.9% | 15.2% | −10.8% | 1.1% | −9.7% | −8.8% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| $109M | $473M | $94M | $44M | ($670M) | $421M | $222M | ($490M) | ($312M) | ($843M) | ($957M) | Net incomeNet inc. |
| 9% | — | -4% | 49% | — | 22% | — | — | — | — | — | Effective tax rateTax rate |
| Cash flow & returns | |||||||||||
| $408M | $478M | $353M | $704M | $339M | $896M | $878M | $456M | $359M | $508M | $589M | Operating cash flowOp. cash |
| $271M | $267M | $269M | $414M | $367M | $345M | $568M | $435M | $434M | $447M | $456M | DepreciationDeprec. |
| $21M | ($271M) | ($22M) | $231M | $627M | $96M | $31M | $425M | $184M | $844M | $1.0B | Working capital & otherWC & other |
| $97M | $99M | $93M | $191M | $137M | $244M | $263M | $360M | $483M | $648M | $617M | CapexCapex |
| 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | Capex / revenueCapex/rev |
| $311M | $379M | $260M | $513M | $202M | $652M | $615M | $96M | ($123M) | $61M | $133M | Owner earningsOwner earn. |
| 9.7% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 1.5% | −1.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | Owner earnings marginOE mgn |
| $311M | $379M | $260M | $513M | $202M | $652M | $615M | $96M | ($123M) | ($140M) | ($28M) | Free cash flowFCF |
| 9.7% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 1.5% | −1.9% | −2.0% | −0.4% | Free cash flow marginFCF mgn |
| $84M | $128M | $1.9B | $1.4B | $3M | $878M | $0 | $315M | $0 | $0 | $0 | AcquisitionsAcquis. |
| $0 | $25M | $50M | $25M | $0 | $0 | $601M | $150M | $0 | $354M | — | BuybacksBuybacks |
| 75% | — | 23% | 8% | -10% | 16% | 20% | -11% | — | -13% | -12% | ROICROIC |
| — | — | 13% | 2% | -25% | 10% | 6% | -15% | -11% | -46% | -52% | Return on equityROE |
| — | — | 13% | 2% | −25% | 10% | 6% | −15% | −11% | −46% | −52% | Retained to equityRetained/eq |
| Balance sheet | |||||||||||
| $230M | $278M | $480M | $437M | $1.9B | $1.9B | $1.6B | $1.1B | $707M | $687M | $708M | Cash & investmentsCash+inv |
| $62M | $63M | $107M | $89M | $96M | $195M | $247M | $319M | $257M | $254M | $241M | ReceivablesReceiv. |
| $35M | $26M | $31M | $40M | $33M | $53M | $40M | $37M | $51M | $54M | $71M | Accounts payablePayables |
| $27M | $37M | $76M | $48M | $63M | $142M | $207M | $282M | $206M | $200M | $181M | Operating working capitalOper. WC |
| $399M | $401M | $678M | $643M | $2.1B | $2.2B | $2.0B | $1.7B | $1.2B | $1.2B | $1.2B | Current assetsCur. assets |
| $536M | $530M | $738M | $906M | $860M | $1.1B | $1.2B | $1.5B | $1.4B | $1.5B | $1.4B | Current liabilitiesCur. liab. |
| 0.7× | 0.8× | 0.9× | 0.7× | 2.4× | 2.0× | 1.7× | 1.1× | 0.8× | 0.8× | 0.8× | Current ratioCurr. ratio |
| $990M | $1.0B | $1.2B | $1.3B | $1.2B | $2.8B | $2.7B | $2.7B | $2.6B | $1.8B | $1.8B | GoodwillGoodwill |
| $5.0B | $5.2B | $11.0B | $14.2B | $14.7B | $16.9B | $17.5B | $16.1B | $15.3B | $14.3B | $14.1B | Total assetsAssets |
| $1.4B | $1.3B | $2.5B | $2.4B | $2.4B | $2.8B | $2.8B | $2.8B | $2.8B | $2.9B | $2.9B | Total debtDebt |
| $1.2B | $1.0B | $2.0B | $2.0B | $578M | $977M | $1.2B | $1.7B | $2.1B | $2.2B | $2.2B | Net debt / (cash)Net debt |
| 1.2× | 1.0× | 1.2× | 1.1× | -0.8× | 1.9× | 1.3× | -1.5× | 0.1× | -1.5× | -1.4× | Interest coverageInt. cov. |
| ($543M) | ($73M) | $731M | $1.9B | $2.7B | $4.1B | $3.6B | $3.2B | $2.9B | $1.8B | $1.8B | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | Stock comp / revenueSBC/rev |
| — | $18M | — | $88M | $113M | — | $37M | $30M | $12M | $832M | $832M | Goodwill written downGW imp. |
| Per share | |||||||||||
| 91.4M | 93.4M | 100M | 118M | 134M | 176M | 177M | 152M | 152M | 145M | 133M | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| $35.11 | $35.67 | $35.77 | $45.00 | $26.71 | $33.65 | $36.25 | $41.83 | $43.25 | $48.14 | $52.98 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| $1.20 | $5.07 | $0.93 | $0.37 | $-5.00 | $2.40 | $1.26 | $-3.22 | $-2.05 | $-5.83 | $-7.18 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| $3.40 | $4.05 | $2.59 | $4.36 | $1.51 | $3.72 | $3.48 | $0.63 | $-0.81 | $0.42 | $1.00 | Owner earnings / shareOE/sh |
| $3.40 | $4.05 | $2.59 | $4.36 | $1.51 | $3.72 | $3.48 | $0.63 | $-0.81 | $-0.96 | $-0.21 | Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh |
| $1.06 | $1.06 | $0.92 | $1.62 | $1.02 | $1.39 | $1.49 | $2.37 | $3.17 | $4.48 | $4.63 | Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh |
| $-5.94 | $-0.78 | $7.29 | $15.73 | $19.82 | $23.35 | $20.37 | $21.05 | $18.82 | $12.68 | $13.71 | Book value / shareBVPS |
| 9-yr | 5-yr | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue / share | +3.6%/yr | +12.5%/yr |
| Owner earnings / share | −20.7%/yr | −22.4%/yr |
| Capital spending / share | +17.3%/yr | +34.4%/yr |
| Book value / share | — | −8.5%/yr |
The record, charted
FY2016–2025Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.
Owner earnings vs. net income
Owner earningsNet incomeThe accountant's number, and the cash an owner can take; the gap is the tell.
Where the cash went
ReinvestBuybacksDividendsAcquisitionsRetainedBeyond op. cashEach year's outlays against its operating cash: the mix, and how it drifts. The hatched cap is spending beyond that year's operating cash — financed from the balance sheet or borrowing, not operations.
Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.
In fiscal 2025 the business earned $61M of owner earnings, the operating cash left after the $447M it takes just to hold its position. It put $201M more into growth; free cash flow, after that spending, was ($140M).
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported net income | ($843M) | ($312M) | ($490M) | $222M | $421M |
| Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back | +$447M | +$434M | +$435M | +$568M | +$345M |
| Stock-based compensationreal costnon-cash, but a real cost | +$61M | +$53M | +$86M | +$58M | +$35M |
| Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items | +$844M | +$184M | +$425M | +$31M | +$96M |
| Cash from operations | $508M | $359M | $456M | $878M | $896M |
| Maintenance capital expenditurethe spending needed just to hold position and volume | −$447M | −$483M | −$360M | −$263M | −$244M |
| Owner earnings | $61M | ($123M) | $96M | $615M | $652M |
| Growth capital expenditurediscretionary; spent to get bigger, not to stand still | −$201M | — | — | — | — |
| Free cash flow | ($140M) | ($123M) | $96M | $615M | $652M |
| Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue | 1% | -2% | 2% | 10% | 11% |
Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position (here about $447M, roughly its depreciation, the rate its assets wear out). The other $201M of its capital spending is growth it chose, not upkeep it owed; charged only with the maintenance it must do, the business earns well more than the year's free cash flow shows. The cash-flow statement also adds stock comp back as non-cash, but it is a real cost paid in shares; counted as the expense it is (less $61M), owner earnings is nearer $400K.
Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
Will it survive?
- Can it pay its interest? -1.5×Does not cover its interestOperating income ($674M) ÷ interest expense $448M
What this means
A full year of operating profit didn't cover the interest bill. This is the zombie zone: the business depends on refinancing, asset sales, or forbearance to service its debt.
- Net debt against an operating lossCash $687M − debt $2.9B
What this means
Netting $687M of cash and short-term investments against $2.9B of debt leaves $2.2B owed, with no operating profit this year to measure it against — understand that combination before anything else about the company. Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.
- Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
Is it a good business?
- Below average through the cycle8-yr median, range -13%–75%; -13% latest = NOPAT ($532M) ÷ invested capital $4.1BIndustry peers: median 10%
What this means
The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 8 years (it ran -13% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.
- Solid through the cycle10-yr median margin, range -2%–11%; latest $61M = operating cash $508M − maintenance capex $447MIndustry peers: median 8%
What this means
What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's 1% of revenue this year, a 7% median across 10 years. It chose to put $201M more into growth, so free cash flow this year was ($140M) — the gap is investment, not weakness. Treating stock comp as the real expense it is (less $61M of SBC) leaves $400K.
- Loss, but cash-generativeNet income ($843M) · cash from operations $508M
In the filing’s words And the filing leans heavily on adjusted, non-GAAP earnings — steering you off the GAAP figure just where the cash is not backing it. Read the reconciliation in the notes before taking the adjusted number.
What this means
The company reported a net loss, so a conversion ratio isn't meaningful. What matters then is whether operations still threw off cash, here, they did.
How is the cash used?
- Returned more than it generatedDividends + buybacks $354M ÷ Owner Earnings $61M
What this means
The company returned more than it generated: against $61M of Owner Earnings, $354M (578%) went back to shareholders, $0 dividends, $354M buybacks — the excess came from the balance sheet or borrowing, not the year's operations. Net of $61M stock comp, the real buyback was about $294M. Sustained, that pattern draws down cash or adds debt; the net-debt line above shows where it stands.
- Investing or harvesting? 1.45×ExpandingCapex $648M ÷ depreciation $447M
What this means
Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.
Graham’s defensive tests · 1 of 6 met
Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.
- Adequate size PassRevenue ≥ $2B · $7.0B
What this means
Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.
- Strong liquidity MissCurrent ratio ≥ 2× · 0.79×
What this means
Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.
- Conservative debt MissDebt ≤ working capital · $2.9B vs ($309M) WC
What this means
Graham's rule that borrowings not exceed net current assets. Capital-heavy and buyback-heavy firms routinely fail it, read it next to interest coverage, not alone.
- Earnings stability MissA profit every year (10-yr record) · 4 loss years
What this means
Graham wanted earnings in each of the past ten years, the stability a defensive owner leans on.
- Dividend record MissUninterrupted dividends · none paid
What this means
An unbroken dividend was Graham's mark of durability. He wanted twenty years; the filings show about ten, and a single suspension breaks the streak. Non-payers, many fine modern compounders, fall outside his defensive net by design.
- Earnings growth MissEarnings +33% over the record · −343%
What this means
At least a third more earnings than a decade ago, averaging three years at each end. Net income (not per-share), so stock splits don't distort it, buybacks and dilution show up in the share-count line instead.
- Moderate price —P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
What this means
Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $-4.10/share (latest year $-6.30), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $13.70/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.
Durability & moat, 2016–2025
Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.
- Profitable years 6 of 10
What this means
Lost money in 4 year(s), look at what happened there before trusting the average.
- Return on capital ≥ 15% 5 of 10 yrs
What this means
A moat shows up as a high return on invested capital that holds year after year, not one good vintage.
- Operating margin 16% → −6% (3-yr avg ends)
What this means
Through the cycle the operating margin slipped — about 16% early to −6% lately, median 11% — competition or costs are biting in.
- Reinvestment, incremental ROIC −26%
What this means
Reinvested capital came back at a negative incremental return over this window — the invested base grew while operating profit did not. The filings show where it went.
- Worst year 2020 · −11.5% op. margin
What this means
Operations went underwater in 2020, understand why before trusting the good years.
- Share count +5.2%/yr
What this means
The share count is rising, dilution works against you on a per-share basis.
Does AI threaten the moat?
Moderate contestabilityAI is likely to reshape costs and some products here without clearly contesting or sparing the core moat; how the company itself frames it is the tell.
Its FY2025 10-K names artificial intelligence as a competitive threat, in language that was not in the prior year's filing.
“We have begun using artificial intelligence, machine learning, data science and similar technologies in our business, and challenges with properly managing such technologies could result in reputational harm, competitive harm, and legal liability, and adversely affect our results of operations.…”
The question is whether a moat the record shows as durable outlasts a technology that lowers the cost of part of what the firm sells. The durability is read in the record above, the filing's own framing of AI beside it; the industry label decides nothing on its own.
Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
Current Position
as of the latest quarter, Mar 31, 2026Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.
- Cash & short-term investments$708M
- Receivables$241M
- Inventory$11M
- Other current assets$200M
- Debt due within a year$38M
- Accounts payable$71M
- Other current liabilities$1.3B
From the company's latest filing.
Debt maturity
the debt note, SEC EDGAR →Not how much it owes, but when it falls due, and against what. The ladder the company files, beside cash on hand and a year's owner earnings.
Bars scaled to the largest single year; “later” is everything due after 2030, shown apart since it dwarfs the years.
Against what the business has and earns
Cash on hand as of Mar 31, 2026 plus a year’s owner earnings comes to $769M against the $145M due in the twelve months after the Dec 31, 2025 schedule: 5.3 times it.
Maturity schedule extracted from the company’s Dec 31, 2025 annual report and reconciled to the total the table states.
Lease obligations
the lease note, SEC EDGAR →Debt by another name. What the business owes on the property, aircraft, stores and equipment it rents rather than owns is a fixed claim due on a schedule; added back to the debt, it is the true leverage. That ladder, operating and finance leases together, and what it adds to the debt on the page above.
Lease payments by year, scaled to the largest; “later” is everything beyond year five, shown apart. These are the contractual cash payments, before the interest the filing imputes back out to the balance-sheet liability.
True leverage: debt plus leases
Counting the leases the way Buffett does, the fixed claims on this business come to $8.9B, of which the leases are 68%, more than the debt itself. The lease wall above and the debt schedule together are the calendar of what must be paid, and when.
Lease ladder read from the ASC 842 tags in the company’s Dec 31, 2025 annual report and reconciled: the yearly buckets sum to the undiscounted total, which less the imputed interest equals the balance-sheet liability; a ladder that doesn’t tie out is withheld.
How the cash was used, 2016–2025
Over the record, the business generated $5.4B of operating cash; how management split it reads as a balanced allocator, splitting cash between the business, owners, and the balance sheet.
- Reinvested$2.6B · 49%
- Buybacks$1.2B · 22%
- Retained (debt / cash)$1.6B · 29%
- Returned to owners$1.2B
41% of the owner earnings the business produced over the span, $0 as dividends and $1.2B as buybacks.
- Source of fundingOperating cash
Operating cash covered reinvestment and returns; over the span debt rose $1.5B and cash and short-term investments rose $478M.
- Average price paid for buybacks$25.14
Across the years where the filing reports a share count, 48M shares were bought for $1.2B, about $25.14 each. Year to year the price paid ranged from $17.64 (2025) to $34.23 (2022), and 2022, near the top of that range, was also its heaviest buyback year ($601M).
- Net change in share count45.9%
The diluted count rose from 91M to 133M: issuance (stock pay, deals) outran any buybacks, so owners were diluted on net.
- Dividend record—
No dividend line was reported in the filing data over the span; the record here neither confirms nor rules out a payout.
Buybacks are gross of stock issued to staff; the share-count line above is the net of that, the figure that decides whether owners gained. The average price paid blends a year of purchases (and any accelerated repurchase), so it is close, not exact. The record of where the cash went and on what terms.
Acquisitions & goodwill
from the balance sheet & the 10-year cash-flow recordGoodwill grows only when a company acquires and falls only when it concedes it overpaid. The size of that bet, the cash put into buying rather than building, and how much has already been written off.
$1.1B written down across 7 years (2017, 2019, 2020, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025): goodwill the company has already conceded it overpaid for, charged against earnings. That is roughly 24% of the cash it put into acquisitions over the span. A write-down costs no cash (the cash went out when the deal was signed), but it is management marking its own past judgment to market.
Goodwill, acquired intangibles and equity from the latest balance sheet; acquisition spend and write-downs summed across the 10-year record, from the company's own filings.
Management, ownership & pay
read the proxy →From the proxy: how much of the business the people running it own, and how they are paid, beside what the business earned for its owners in the same years.
| Fiscal year | Chief executive | Pay, as filed | “Actually paid” | Owner earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Mr. Snowden | $65.9M | $8.0M | $652M |
| 2022 | Mr. Snowden | $14.1M | −$10.1M | $615M |
| 2023 | Mr. Snowden | $15.5M | $10.2M | $96M |
| 2024 | Mr. Snowden | $26.7M | $13.2M | ($123M) |
| 2025 | Mr. Snowden | $24.1M | $10.4M | $61M |
Both pay figures are the company’s own, from the pay-versus-performance table its proxy statement files. “As filed” is the Summary Compensation Table total: salary, bonus, and equity awards at their value on the day of grant. “Actually paid” is the SEC’s prescribed recalculation, which re-marks those equity awards to what they became as they vested; it can swing far above or below the filed figure in either direction, and negative years occur. Owner earnings are the whole business's, from the record above, for the same fiscal years.
- Stock-based compensation$61M
The slice of the business handed to employees in shares this year, 1% of revenue. Buffett's oldest accounting fight: this is compensation, compensation is an expense, real whether or not the headline earnings admit it. One trap: the cash-flow statement adds SBC back, so the operating cash, and the owner earnings drawn from it, are flattered by exactly this amount; counted as the cost it is, what an owner keeps is lower.
Inverting the record
Invert: instead of why PENN Entertainment Inc. is a good business, the question is what would make owning it a mistake, and whether those marks are in the record. Disconfirming tests across 2016–2025.
All 5 tests turned up something to look into. A record that trips every wire is one to understand slowly.
- Look hereIs it less profitable than it was?0.2% vs 9.4%
The owner-earnings margin averaged 9.4% early in the record and 0.2% across the last three years, and the latest year has not recovered. Ask the filing whether that is a structural drift or a cyclical trough — price, mix, cost, or a competitor — and whether it is permanent.
- Look hereDid the share count rise anyway?45.9%
Diluted shares grew 45.9% over 2016–2025, even as the company spent $1.2B on buybacks. The repurchases were outrun by issuance — to staff, in a raise, or in a deal — and the filing says which; owners' slice still shrank. Read the buyback line beside this one, not on its own.
- Look hereDid debt outgrow the business?$1.4B → $2.9B
Debt rose from $1.4B to $2.9B while owner earnings went from about $316M to $11M — about 4.5 years of owner earnings in debt then, about 262 now: measured against what the business earns, the balance sheet carries more debt than it did. Debt raised for buybacks or deals rather than growth is the kind that bites in a downturn.
- Look hereDid receivables and inventory outpace sales?2% → 3% of sales
Receivables and inventory grew from $62M to $241M while revenue grew 120%: working capital is climbing faster than sales (2% of revenue then, 3% now). That can mean customers paying slower, stock building up, or revenue pulled forward. The filing's cash-flow and receivables notes say which.
- Look hereAre "one-time" charges a yearly habit?8 of 10 years
Management took an impairment or write-down in 8 of the last 10 years, $3.3B in all. A charge taken almost every year is not one-time; it is the business — past deals coming due, and an admission the assets were worth less than what was paid. Munger's rule: when the "one-time" keeps happening, it is the business. Read it beside the goodwill the company still carries.
Each test is read from the filings and is noisy alone; a flag can mark a cyclical trough or a year of heavy investment as easily as a problem. The filing says which.
What an owner would ask, FY2025
read the 10-K →- Which reported numbers are a judgment call?Management names Acquisitions as critical estimates
each rests partly on management's judgment; the filing's note sets out the assumptionsverify →
The questions the record and the charts do not answer on their own; each carries the figure and the place to look.
Peers, Hotels & Resorts
The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.
| Company | Revenue | Gross margin | Op. margin | ROIC | Owner earn. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGMMGM Resorts International | $17.5B | — | 12.1% | 13% | 8% |
| LVSLas Vegas Sands Corp. | $13.0B | — | 21.9% | 16% | 16% |
| CZRCaesars Entertainment Inc. | $11.5B | — | 15.7% | 5% | 5% |
| WYNNWynn Resorts Limited | $7.1B | — | 12.4% | 6% | 8% |
| PENNPENN Entertainment Inc. | $7.0B | — | 12.1% | 12% | 8% |
| BYDBoyd Gaming | $4.1B | — | 16.3% | 14% | 13% |
| PKPark Hotels & Resorts | $2.5B | — | 13.0% | 4% | 8% |
| RRRRed Rock Resorts | $2.0B | — | 24.8% | — | 13% |
| Group median | — | — | 14.3% | 12% | 8% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFType today's close and see the owner-earnings growth you'd have to believe to justify it, beside what PENN Entertainment Inc. has delivered.
PENN Entertainment Inc.’s latest year shows negative owner earnings, the mark of a build-out: total capital spending outruns the cash the business throws off today. So the tool opens on the steady-state base (maintenance capex in place of the build-out spend), the cash it would earn at rest; clear the toggle below to read the latest year exactly as reported.
Through the cycle, PENN Entertainment Inc. earns about $587M on its 8.4% median owner-earnings margin. This year’s 0.9% margin runs below that; the reported figure may understate a lean year. Normalize, below, values the price on that through-cycle figure rather than the latest year.
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9.0% = the 4.55% 10-year Treasury (Jul 15, 2026) + 4.45 points of equity premium. The rate you require is yours to set.
Enter a price above to run it.
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Graham capped the multiple at 15×; Buffett and Munger let that rule go: a wonderful business can deserve 50× if the thesis holds. The gate marks the bargain-hunter's floor.
Prefilled with the 10-year Treasury (4.55%, as of Jul 15, 2026). Edit it for today’s exact figure, or a AAA corporate yield.
Graham measured a stock against the bond you could own instead, the heart of his margin of safety. Enter a price above to weigh the owner-earnings yield against this bond.
Free cash flow ($28M) on 134M shares outstanding, per the 10-Q cover, as of 2026-04-22; net debt $2.2B. The base opens on the steady-state figure (the latest year is negative on total capex mid-build-out); clear Steady-state to use the year as filed. Net of stock comp treats option pay as the expense it is. Capex ($617M) runs well above depreciation ($456M), so this is a build-out; Steady-state swaps total capex for maintenance (≈ depreciation), lifting the base to about $142M, the cash it would throw off if it stopped expanding. The dials set the multiple a growth belief justifies; the price, and every dollar on this page, is yours.
Manual order: ← PENG its page in the Manual PEP →
Industry order: ← OSW the Hotels & Resorts chapter PK →