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UHAL, U-Haul Holding
A capital-intensive business, run on heavy physical assets that must be kept working and earn a return above what they cost to maintain.
The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
The business in brief
read the 10-K →What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- Situation
- Capital build-out. Capital spending has surged to 414% of sales, today's earnings are charged less depreciation than tomorrow's will be. Cyclical. Margins collapse and recover repeatedly across the record; a single year, good or bad, misstates the through-cycle earning power.
- What moves the needle
- Gross margin has run about 96% and operating margin about 22% through the cycle, a wide spread between price and the cost of what it sells — whether that advantage is durable pricing power or a margin that can erode is the question the record is for. The margin is cyclical, swinging between 14% and 235% over the years, so the through-cycle figure carries more than any single year — and the balance sheet at the trough more than the peak. Capital spending runs about 58% of sales, well above depreciation, so the return earned on what it sinks into that plant weighs as much as the margin. On its own account, the filing leans hardest on concentrated dependence, set against the numbers in what the filing emphasizes, below.
- Is it a good business?
- Return on capital has sat near the cost of capital (median 8%). Owner earnings, the cash-based check, have been thin too. The cycle and the balance sheet decide this one; the worst year tells more than the median, and the rest is in the 10-K.
Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2017–2026
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2017’17 | 2018’18 | 2019’19 | 2020’20 | 2021’21 | 2022’22 | 2023’23 | 2024’24 | 2025’25 | 2026’26 | TTMTTMMar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | |||||||||||
| $3.4B | $3.6B | $3.8B | $4.0B | $4.5B | $699M | $746M | $714M | $735M | $761M | $761M | RevenueRevenue |
| 96% | 96% | 96% | 96% | 95% | — | — | — | — | 68% | 68% | Gross marginGross mgn |
| $743M | $765M | $621M | $540M | $961M | $1.6B | $1.4B | $978M | $716M | $433M | $433M | Operating incomeOp. inc. |
| 21.7% | 21.3% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 21.2% | 235.4% | 193.7% | 136.9% | 97.4% | 56.8% | 56.8% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| $398M | $791M | $371M | $442M | $611M | $1.1B | $924M | $629M | $367M | $83M | $83M | Net incomeNet inc. |
| 37% | — | 22% | — | 23% | 24% | 24% | 25% | 23% | 26% | 26% | Effective tax rateTax rate |
| Cash flow & returns | |||||||||||
| $1.1B | $938M | $976M | $1.1B | $1.5B | $1.9B | $1.7B | $1.5B | $1.5B | $1.8B | $1.8B | Operating cash flowOp. cash |
| $482M | $555M | $581M | $664M | $664M | $697M | $734M | $818M | $972M | $1.2B | $1.2B | DepreciationDeprec. |
| $180M | ($408M) | $24M | ($31M) | $261M | $125M | $71M | $6M | $115M | $528M | $528M | Working capital & otherWC & other |
| $1.4B | $1.4B | $1.9B | $2.3B | $1.4B | $2.1B | $2.7B | $3.0B | $3.5B | $3.2B | $3.2B | CapexCapex |
| 41.5% | 37.9% | 49.6% | 58.0% | 31.7% | 305.5% | 364.9% | 418.9% | 469.7% | 414.3% | 414.3% | Capex / revenueCapex/rev |
| ($360M) | ($426M) | ($894M) | ($1.2B) | $94M | ($190M) | ($994M) | ($1.5B) | ($2.0B) | ($1.4B) | ($1.4B) | Owner earningsOwner earn. |
| −10.5% | −11.8% | −23.7% | −31.0% | 2.1% | −27.2% | −133.2% | −215.6% | −271.8% | −178.6% | −178.6% | Owner earnings marginOE mgn |
| ($360M) | ($426M) | ($894M) | ($1.2B) | $94M | ($190M) | ($994M) | ($1.5B) | ($2.0B) | ($1.4B) | ($1.4B) | Free cash flowFCF |
| −10.5% | −11.8% | −23.7% | −31.0% | 2.1% | −27.2% | −133.2% | −215.6% | −271.8% | −178.6% | −178.6% | Free cash flow marginFCF mgn |
| $59M | $29M | $39M | $29M | $49M | $29M | $20M | $0 | — | — | $0 | Dividends paidDiv. paid |
| 9% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ROICROIC |
| 15% | 23% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 1% | Return on equityROE |
| 13% | 22% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 18% | 14% | 9% | — | — | 1% | Retained to equityRetained/eq |
| Balance sheet | |||||||||||
| $713M | $770M | $679M | $501M | $1.2B | $2.7B | $2.1B | $1.5B | $989M | $1.1B | $1.1B | Cash & investmentsCash+inv |
| $82M | $90M | $104M | $101M | $106M | $159M | $151M | $151M | $163M | $178M | $178M | InventoryInvent. |
| $82M | $90M | $104M | $101M | $106M | $159M | $151M | $151M | $163M | $178M | $178M | Operating working capitalOper. WC |
| $9.4B | $10.7B | $11.9B | $14.7B | $14.7B | $17.3B | $18.1B | $19.1B | $20.5B | $21.5B | $21.5B | Total assetsAssets |
| $3.3B | $3.5B | $4.2B | $4.7B | $4.7B | $6.1B | $6.1B | $6.3B | $7.2B | $8.1B | $8.1B | Total debtDebt |
| $2.5B | $2.8B | $3.5B | $4.1B | $3.5B | $3.3B | $4.1B | $4.8B | $6.2B | $7.0B | $7.0B | Net debt / (cash)Net debt |
| 6.6× | 6.0× | 4.4× | 3.4× | 5.9× | 9.8× | 6.5× | 3.8× | 2.4× | 1.2× | 1.2× | Interest coverageInt. cov. |
| $2.6B | $3.4B | $3.7B | $4.8B | $4.9B | $6.0B | $6.5B | $7.2B | $7.5B | $7.6B | $7.6B | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| Per share | |||||||||||
| 196M | 196M | 196M | 196M | 196M | 196M | — | 196M | 196M | 196M | 196M | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| $17.47 | $18.38 | $19.24 | $20.30 | $23.16 | $3.57 | — | $3.64 | $3.75 | $3.88 | $3.88 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| $2.03 | $4.04 | $1.89 | $2.25 | $3.12 | $5.73 | — | $3.21 | $1.87 | $0.42 | $0.42 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| $-1.84 | $-2.18 | $-4.57 | $-6.29 | $0.48 | $-0.97 | — | $-7.85 | $-10.19 | $-6.93 | $-6.93 | Owner earnings / shareOE/sh |
| $-1.84 | $-2.18 | $-4.57 | $-6.29 | $0.48 | $-0.97 | — | $-7.85 | $-10.19 | $-6.93 | $-6.93 | Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh |
| $0.30 | $0.15 | $0.20 | $0.15 | $0.25 | $0.15 | — | $0.00 | — | — | $0.00 | Dividends / shareDiv/sh |
| $7.25 | $6.96 | $9.54 | $11.78 | $7.35 | $10.90 | — | $15.26 | $17.61 | $16.09 | $16.09 | Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh |
| $13.38 | $17.40 | $18.85 | $24.72 | $25.09 | $30.36 | — | $36.58 | $38.24 | $38.82 | $38.82 | Book value / shareBVPS |
Share counts before 2024 are restated ×10 for a stock split, so per-share figures sit on one basis.
| 9-yr | 5-yr | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue / share | −15.4%/yr | −30.0%/yr |
| EPS | −16.0%/yr | −32.9%/yr |
| Capital spending / share | +9.3%/yr | +17.0%/yr |
| Book value / share | +12.6%/yr | +9.1%/yr |
The record, charted
FY2017–2026Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked. Share counts on the current split basis.
Owner earnings vs. net income
Owner earningsNet incomeThe accountant's number, and the cash an owner can take; the gap is the tell.
Where the cash went
ReinvestBuybacksDividendsAcquisitionsRetainedEach year's operating cash, by what management did with it: the mix, and how it drifts.
Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.
In fiscal 2026 the business reported $83M of profit but ($1.4B) of owner earnings: $1.4B less than the profit line, taken out by capital spending and the timing of cash.
| FY2026 | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported net income | $83M | $367M | $629M | $924M | $1.1B |
| Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back | +$1.2B | +$972M | +$818M | +$734M | +$697M |
| Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items | +$528M | +$115M | +$6M | +$71M | +$125M |
| Cash from operations | $1.8B | $1.5B | $1.5B | $1.7B | $1.9B |
| Capital expenditurecash put back in to keep running and to grow | −$3.2B | −$3.5B | −$3.0B | −$2.7B | −$2.1B |
| Owner earnings | ($1.4B) | ($2.0B) | ($1.5B) | ($994M) | ($190M) |
| Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue | -179% | -272% | -216% | -133% | -27% |
Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the capital it must spend to hold its position .
Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
Will it survive?
- ThinOperating income $433M ÷ interest expense $365M
What this means
Operating profit covers interest, but with little room. A bad year, a refinancing at higher rates, or a revenue wobble closes the gap fast.
- How heavy is the debt, net of cash? $7.0B · 16.2× operating profitHeavy net debtCash $1.1B + ST investments $16M − debt $8.1B
What this means
Netting $1.1B of cash and short-term investments against $8.1B of debt leaves $7.0B owed, about 16.2× a year's operating profit (18.8× on the gross debt, before the cash). Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.
- Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
Is it a good business?
- Below average through the cycle10-yr median, range 2%–13%; 2% latest = NOPAT $319M ÷ invested capital $14.6BIndustry peers: median 7%
What this means
The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 10 years (it ran 2% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.
- Consumes cash through the cycle10-yr median margin, range -272%–2%; latest ($1.4B) = operating cash $1.8B − maintenance capex $3.2BIndustry peers: median 9%
What this means
What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's -179% of revenue this year, a -31% median across 10 years.
- Are earnings backed by cash? 21.59×Cash-backedCash from ops $1.8B ÷ net income $83M
What this means
How much of reported profit showed up as operating cash. Above 1× is reassuring; well below suggests earnings lean on accruals. One year is noisy, growth and working-capital swings distort it, and this is operating cash, not free cash. Watch the multi-year trend.
How is the cash used?
- No surplus to allocate
What this means
The business didn't generate positive Owner Earnings this year, so any distributions came from the balance sheet or borrowing, not from operations.
- Investing or harvesting? 2.67×ExpandingCapex $3.2B ÷ depreciation $1.2B
What this means
Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.
Graham’s defensive tests · 1 of 4 met
Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.
- Adequate size MissRevenue ≥ $2B · $761M
What this means
Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.
- Strong liquidity —Current ratio ≥ 2× · —
What this means
Current assets / liabilities not in the data yet.
- Earnings stability PassA profit every year (10-yr record) · no losses
What this means
Graham wanted earnings in each of the past ten years, the stability a defensive owner leans on.
- Dividend record MissUninterrupted dividends · 7 of 10 yrs
What this means
An unbroken dividend was Graham's mark of durability. He wanted twenty years; the filings show about ten, and a single suspension breaks the streak. Non-payers, many fine modern compounders, fall outside his defensive net by design.
- Earnings growth MissEarnings +33% over the record · −31%
What this means
At least a third more earnings than a decade ago, averaging three years at each end. Net income (not per-share), so stock splits don't distort it, buybacks and dilution show up in the share-count line instead.
- Moderate price —P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
What this means
Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $1.83/share (latest year $0.42), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $38.82/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.
Durability & moat, 2017–2026
Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.
- Profitable years 10 of 10
What this means
Never lost money over the record, the earnings stability Graham insisted on.
- Return on capital ≥ 15% 0 of 10 yrs
What this means
A moat shows up as a high return on invested capital that holds year after year, not one good vintage.
- Operating margin 20% → 97% (3-yr avg ends)
What this means
Through the cycle the operating margin widened — about 20% early to 97% lately, median 22% — pricing power intact or improving.
- Reinvestment, incremental ROIC −1%
What this means
Reinvested capital came back at a negative incremental return over this window — the invested base grew while operating profit did not. The filings show where it went.
- Worst year 2020 · 13.6% op. margin
What this means
Stayed profitable even in its hardest year, the resilience that survives recessions.
- Dividend record paid
What this means
Paid a dividend in 7 of the years on record.
Does AI threaten the moat?
Moderate contestabilityAI is likely to reshape costs and some products here without clearly contesting or sparing the core moat; how the company itself frames it is the tell.
The question is whether a moat the record shows as durable outlasts a technology that lowers the cost of part of what the firm sells. The durability is read in the record above, the filing's own framing of AI beside it; the industry label decides nothing on its own.
Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
How the cash was used, 2017–2026
Over the record, the business generated $14.0B of operating cash; how management split it reads as a reinvestor, most operating cash is plowed back into the business.
- Reinvested$22.9B · 164%
- Dividends$255M · 2%
- Returned to owners$255M
$255M as dividends and $0 as buybacks.
- Source of funding−$9.2B
Reinvestment and shareholder returns ran $9.2B beyond the operating cash the business generated, so the gap was financed off the balance sheet: debt rose from $3.3B to $8.1B.
- Net change in share count0.1%
The diluted count barely moved (196M to 196M): buybacks roughly offset the stock issued to staff.
- Dividend record$0.00/sh
Paid in 7 of the years on record. It was cut at least once along the way.
- Return on what it retained−20%
Of the earnings it kept rather than paid out ($5.5B over the span), annual owner earnings (first three years vs last three) fell $1.1B, so each retained $1 gave back about 0.20 of yearly owner earnings. Buffett's test, run on owner earnings instead of market value.
Buybacks are gross of stock issued to staff; the share-count line above is the net of that, the figure that decides whether owners gained. The average price paid blends a year of purchases (and any accelerated repurchase), so it is close, not exact. The record of where the cash went and on what terms.
Inverting the record
Invert: instead of why U-Haul Holding is a good business, the question is what would make owning it a mistake, and whether those marks are in the record. Disconfirming tests across 2017–2026.
3 of the 5 tests turned up something to look into; the other 2 came back clean.
- Look hereIs it less profitable than it was?−52.8% vs −15.4%
The business ran at a loss early in the record (an owner-earnings margin of −15.4%) and the loss has widened to −52.8% across the last three years, with the latest year at −133.2%. Ask the filing where the widening sits — price, cost, or spending growing faster than revenue — and what would narrow it.
- Look hereDid debt outgrow the business?$3.3B → $8.1B
Debt rose from $3.3B to $8.1B while owner earnings went from about ($560M) to ($1.6B): the borrowing grew and the earnings that would carry it are not there now. Debt raised for buybacks or deals rather than growth is the kind that bites in a downturn.
- Look hereDid receivables and inventory outpace sales?2% → 23% of sales
Receivables and inventory grew from $82M to $178M while revenue grew −78%: working capital is climbing faster than sales (2% of revenue then, 23% now). That can mean customers paying slower, stock building up, or revenue pulled forward. The filing's cash-flow and receivables notes say which.
- Did the share count rise anyway?
- Did reported profit become cash?
Each test is read from the filings and is noisy alone; a flag can mark a cyclical trough or a year of heavy investment as easily as a problem. The filing says which.
Peers, Auto Dealers & Services
The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.
| Company | Revenue | Gross margin | Op. margin | ROIC | Owner earn. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RRyder System | $12.7B | 77% | 8.0% | 6% | 4% |
| DRVNDriven Brands Holdings Inc. | $1.9B | — | 11.4% | 5% | 9% |
| MNROMonro Inc. | $1.2B | — | 6.9% | 8% | 9% |
| MCWMister Car Wash | $1.1B | — | 19.0% | 8% | 16% |
| UHALU-Haul Holding | $761M | 96% | 39.3% | 8% | -29% |
| EVGOEVgo Inc. | $384M | -2% | -184.6% | — | -114% |
| Group median | — | 77% | 9.7% | 8% | 6% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFU-Haul Holding is profitable, but owner earnings are negative this year because capital spending currently outruns operating cash, a build-out, so the owner-earnings reverse-DCF has no positive base to grow. We read the price from both ends instead: type a price to see the steady-state profitability it demands, then set the mature margin you would believe and weigh the two against each other. Nothing leaves your browser unless you enter it in your notebook.
Revenue, delivered−22%/yr’21→’26
Enter a price to run it.
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Two reads of one future. From your price: the owner earnings the company must reach, valued at a mature multiple and discounted back at your rate, expressed as the margin it implies on revenue grown at your rate. From your belief: the mature margin you would credit, set on the dial above. When the margin the price demands runs above the one you would believe, you are paying for a future taken on faith. For a deep cyclical at a trough, normalized through-cycle earnings are the better lens; this mode is for the genuinely unprofitable, and for the profitable business whose capital spending currently outruns its cash.
Manual order: ← UGI its page in the Manual UHS →
Industry order: ← SDA the Auto Dealers & Services chapter YSXT →