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LTH, Life Time Group Holdings Inc.
We Are Life Time is a premier lifestyle and leisure brand offering premium health, fitness and wellness experiences to a community of nearly 1.6 million individual members, who together comprise nearly 873,000 memberships, as of December 31, 2025.
Our continuous commitment to members has resulted in strong brand loyalty and fueled our strong, long-term financial performance.
Our centers serve communities in both suburban and urban markets across North America.
The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
The business in brief
read the 10-K →What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- What it is
- Revenue is Membership (70%), In-Center (27%) and Other revenue (3%).
- Situation
- Cyclical. Margins collapse and recover repeatedly across the record; a single year, good or bad, misstates the through-cycle earning power.
- What moves the needle
- Gross margin has run about 47% and operating margin about 8.9% through the cycle, a spread the cycle sets more than the company does. The margin is cyclical, swinging between −38% and 16% over the years, so the through-cycle figure carries more than any single year — and the balance sheet at the trough more than the peak. Capital spending runs about 30% of sales, well above depreciation, so the return earned on what it sinks into that plant weighs as much as the margin. On its own account, the filing leans hardest on supplier & input dependence, set against the numbers in what the filing emphasizes, below.
- Is it a good business?
- Return on capital has rarely cleared the cost of capital (median 4%, above 15% in 0 of 7 years). By owner earnings: roughly 7% of revenue reaches owners as cash, though it swings, and customers and suppliers fund the business through negative working capital. The cycle and the balance sheet decide this one; the worst year tells more than the median, and the rest is in the 10-K.
Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.
Where the money comes from
read the 10-K →Membership is 70% of revenue, with In-Center the other meaningful line at 27%.
- Membership70%$2.1B
- In-Center27%$797M
- Other revenue3%$87M
From the segment footnote of the company's own 10-K. Shares are of total revenue; the profit bar shows each segment's share of segment operating profit, before unallocated corporate costs.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2019–2025
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2019’19 | 2020’20 | 2021’21 | 2022’22 | 2023’23 | 2024’24 | 2025’25 | TTMTTMMar 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||||
| $1.9B | $948M | $1.3B | $1.8B | $2.2B | $2.6B | $3.0B | $3.1B | RevenueRevenue |
| — | — | — | — | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | Gross marginGross mgn |
| 12% | 16% | 36% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | SG&A / revenueSG&A/rev |
| $168M | ($359M) | ($495M) | $111M | $225M | $357M | $481M | $508M | Operating incomeOp. inc. |
| 8.9% | −37.9% | −37.6% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 16.5% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| $30M | ($360M) | ($579M) | ($2M) | $76M | $156M | $374M | $386M | Net incomeNet inc. |
| 25% | — | — | — | 20% | 25% | 24% | 27% | Effective tax rateTax rate |
| Cash flow & returns | ||||||||
| $359M | ($96M) | ($20M) | $201M | $463M | $575M | $871M | $885M | Operating cash flowOp. cash |
| $220M | $248M | $235M | $229M | $244M | $275M | $296M | $306M | DepreciationDeprec. |
| $84M | $17M | ($10M) | ($63M) | $92M | $93M | $149M | $143M | Working capital & otherWC & other |
| $624M | $266M | $329M | $591M | $698M | $525M | $891M | $1.0B | CapexCapex |
| 32.8% | 28.0% | 25.0% | 32.4% | 31.5% | 20.0% | 29.8% | 32.8% | Capex / revenueCapex/rev |
| $138M | ($362M) | ($255M) | ($28M) | $219M | $300M | $574M | $579M | Owner earningsOwner earn. |
| 7.3% | −38.1% | −19.4% | −1.5% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 19.2% | 18.8% | Owner earnings marginOE mgn |
| ($265M) | ($362M) | ($349M) | ($390M) | ($235M) | $51M | ($21M) | ($124M) | Free cash flowFCF |
| −14.0% | −38.1% | −26.5% | −21.4% | −10.6% | 1.9% | −0.7% | −4.0% | Free cash flow marginFCF mgn |
| 7% | -8% | -10% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | ROICROIC |
| 2% | -24% | -28% | -0% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 12% | Return on equityROE |
| 2% | −24% | −28% | −0% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 12% | Retained to equityRetained/eq |
| Balance sheet | ||||||||
| $48M | $33M | $32M | $26M | $11M | $11M | $205M | $120M | Cash & investmentsCash+inv |
| — | $5M | $6M | $13M | $24M | $25M | $24M | $25M | ReceivablesReceiv. |
| — | $36M | $41M | $46M | $53M | $60M | $68M | $67M | InventoryInvent. |
| — | $54M | $71M | $74M | $81M | $88M | $90M | $92M | Accounts payablePayables |
| — | ($13M) | ($24M) | ($15M) | ($5M) | ($2M) | $1M | $311K | Operating working capitalOper. WC |
| — | $166M | $132M | $131M | $175M | $171M | $386M | $323M | Current assetsCur. assets |
| — | $443M | $406M | $457M | $557M | $520M | $610M | $609M | Current liabilitiesCur. liab. |
| — | 0.4× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.6× | 0.5× | Current ratioCurr. ratio |
| — | $1.2B | $1.2B | $1.2B | $1.2B | $1.2B | $1.2B | $1.2B | GoodwillGoodwill |
| — | $6.0B | $6.3B | $6.6B | $7.0B | $7.2B | $8.0B | $8.1B | Total assetsAssets |
| — | $2.3B | $1.8B | $1.8B | $1.9B | $1.5B | $1.5B | $1.5B | Total debtDebt |
| — | $2.2B | $1.8B | $1.8B | $1.9B | $1.5B | $1.3B | $1.4B | Net debt / (cash)Net debt |
| $1.8B | $1.5B | $2.1B | $2.1B | $2.3B | $2.6B | $3.1B | $3.2B | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| 1.3% | 0.0% | 25.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | Stock comp / revenueSBC/rev |
| Per share | ||||||||
| 139M | 145M | 155M | 194M | 204M | 211M | 225M | 227M | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| $13.63 | $6.53 | $8.48 | $9.42 | $10.87 | $12.41 | $13.28 | $13.53 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| $0.22 | $-2.48 | $-3.73 | $-0.01 | $0.37 | $0.74 | $1.66 | $1.70 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| $0.99 | $-2.49 | $-1.64 | $-0.14 | $1.07 | $1.42 | $2.55 | $2.55 | Owner earnings / shareOE/sh |
| $-1.90 | $-2.49 | $-2.24 | $-2.02 | $-1.15 | $0.24 | $-0.09 | $-0.54 | Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh |
| $4.48 | $1.83 | $2.12 | $3.05 | $3.42 | $2.48 | $3.95 | $4.44 | Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh |
| $12.55 | $10.21 | $13.45 | $10.97 | $11.05 | $12.36 | $13.86 | $14.15 | Book value / shareBVPS |
| 6-yr | 5-yr | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue / share | −0.4%/yr | +15.2%/yr |
| Owner earnings / share | +17.0%/yr | — |
| EPS | +40.5%/yr | — |
| Capital spending / share | −2.0%/yr | +16.7%/yr |
| Book value / share | +1.7%/yr | +6.3%/yr |
The record, charted
FY2019–2025Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.
Owner earnings vs. net income
Owner earningsNet incomeThe accountant's number, and the cash an owner can take; the gap is the tell.
Where the cash went
ReinvestBuybacksDividendsAcquisitionsRetainedBeyond op. cashEach year's outlays against its operating cash: the mix, and how it drifts. The hatched cap is spending beyond that year's operating cash — financed from the balance sheet or borrowing, not operations.
Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.
In fiscal 2025 the business earned $574M of owner earnings, the operating cash left after the $296M it takes just to hold its position. It put $595M more into growth; free cash flow, after that spending, was ($21M).
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported net income | $374M | $156M | $76M | ($2M) | ($579M) |
| Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back | +$296M | +$275M | +$244M | +$229M | +$235M |
| Stock-based compensationreal costnon-cash, but a real cost | +$52M | +$51M | +$50M | +$37M | +$334M |
| Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items | +$149M | +$93M | +$92M | −$63M | −$10M |
| Cash from operations | $871M | $575M | $463M | $201M | ($20M) |
| Maintenance capital expenditurethe spending needed just to hold position and volume | −$296M | −$275M | −$244M | −$229M | −$235M |
| Owner earnings | $574M | $300M | $219M | ($28M) | ($255M) |
| Growth capital expenditurediscretionary; spent to get bigger, not to stand still | −$595M | −$250M | −$454M | −$362M | −$94M |
| Free cash flow | ($21M) | $51M | ($235M) | ($390M) | ($349M) |
| Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue | 19% | 11% | 10% | -2% | -19% |
Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position (here about $296M, roughly its depreciation, the rate its assets wear out). The other $595M of its capital spending is growth it chose, not upkeep it owed; charged only with the maintenance it must do, the business earns well more than the year's free cash flow shows. The cash-flow statement also adds stock comp back as non-cash, but it is a real cost paid in shares; counted as the expense it is (less $52M), owner earnings is nearer $522M.
Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
Will it survive?
- Interest expense not tagged in the data
What this means
No usable interest-expense line was tagged in the filing data, but the balance sheet carries real net debt — so the interest burden here is unknown, not absent. Read the debt on the net-debt check below.
- How heavy is the debt, net of cash? $1.3B · 2.7× operating profitMeaningful net debtCash $205M − debt $1.5B
What this means
Netting $205M of cash and short-term investments against $1.5B of debt leaves $1.3B owed, about 2.7× a year's operating profit (3.1× on the gross debt, before the cash). Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.
- Negative, funded by othersDSO 3 + DIO 16 − DPO 21 days
What this means
Days cash is tied up between paying suppliers and collecting from customers. A negative cycle is a quiet moat: suppliers and customers fund the operation (Buffett's “float”), the company grows on other people's money.
Is it a good business?
- Below average through the cycle7-yr median, range -10%–8%; 8% latest = NOPAT $364M ÷ invested capital $4.4BIndustry peers: median 12%
What this means
The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 7 years (it ran 8% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.
- Solid through the cycle7-yr median margin, range -38%–19%; latest $574M = operating cash $871M − maintenance capex $296MIndustry peers: median 14%
What this means
What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's 19% of revenue this year, a 7% median across 7 years. It chose to put $595M more into growth, so free cash flow this year was ($21M) — the gap is investment, not weakness. Treating stock comp as the real expense it is (less $52M of SBC) leaves $522M.
- Cash-backedCash from ops $871M ÷ net income $374M
In the filing’s words The filing leans on adjusted, non-GAAP earnings, but the GAAP profit is itself cash-backed — the adjustments are not papering over a cash shortfall here.
What this means
How much of reported profit showed up as operating cash. Above 1× is reassuring; well below suggests earnings lean on accruals. One year is noisy, growth and working-capital swings distort it, and this is operating cash, not free cash. Watch the multi-year trend.
How is the cash used?
- Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
- Investing or harvesting? 3.01×ExpandingCapex $891M ÷ depreciation $296M
What this means
Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.
Graham’s defensive tests · 1 of 5 met
Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.
- Adequate size PassRevenue ≥ $2B · $3.0B
What this means
Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.
- Strong liquidity MissCurrent ratio ≥ 2× · 0.63×
What this means
Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.
- Conservative debt MissDebt ≤ working capital · $1.5B vs ($224M) WC
What this means
Graham's rule that borrowings not exceed net current assets. Capital-heavy and buyback-heavy firms routinely fail it, read it next to interest coverage, not alone.
- Earnings stability MissA profit every year (7-yr record) · 3 loss years
What this means
Graham wanted earnings in each of the past ten years, the stability a defensive owner leans on.
- Dividend record MissUninterrupted dividends · none paid
What this means
An unbroken dividend was Graham's mark of durability. He wanted twenty years; the filings show about ten, and a single suspension breaks the streak. Non-payers, many fine modern compounders, fall outside his defensive net by design.
- Earnings growth —Earnings +33% over the record · —
What this means
Earnings were negative early in the record, a growth rate isn't meaningful.
- Moderate price —P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
What this means
Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $0.91/share (latest year $1.68), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $14.04/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.
Durability & moat, 2019–2025
Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.
- Profitable years 4 of 7
What this means
Lost money in 3 year(s), look at what happened there before trusting the average.
- Return on capital ≥ 15% 0 of 6 yrs
What this means
A moat shows up as a high return on invested capital that holds year after year, not one good vintage.
- Operating margin −22% → 13% (3-yr avg ends)
In the filing’s words The record and the words agree: the margin widened and the filing attributes the gain to its own pricing, not volume alone.
What this means
Through the cycle the operating margin widened — about −22% early to 13% lately, median 9% — pricing power intact or improving.
- Reinvestment, incremental ROIC returns capital
What this means
The capital base barely grew: this business returns cash through dividends and buybacks rather than reinvesting. Judge it on the cash returned, not on compounding.
- Worst year 2020 · −37.9% op. margin
What this means
Operations went underwater in 2020, understand why before trusting the good years.
- Share count +8.3%/yr
What this means
The share count is rising, dilution works against you on a per-share basis.
Does AI threaten the moat?
Moderate contestabilityAI is likely to reshape costs and some products here without clearly contesting or sparing the core moat; how the company itself frames it is the tell.
Its FY2025 10-K names artificial intelligence as a competitive threat.
“Risks Relating to Our Techn ological Operations We rely on technology and if we are unable to adapt to significant and rapid technological change, including with respect to artificial intelligence, and deliver connected and digital experiences, we may not compete effectively and our business could be adversely affected…”
The question is whether a moat the record shows as durable outlasts a technology that lowers the cost of part of what the firm sells. The durability is read in the record above, the filing's own framing of AI beside it; the industry label decides nothing on its own.
Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
Current Position
as of the latest quarter, Mar 31, 2026Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.
- Cash & short-term investments$120M
- Receivables$25M
- Inventory$67M
- Other current assets$111M
- Debt due within a year$21M
- Accounts payable$92M
- Other current liabilities$496M
Its current ratio is below 1, which usually reads as strain; here it is likely structural strength. This business collects from customers before it pays suppliers (a negative cash-conversion cycle), so the balance sheet is funded by that float, the way Costco's and Amazon's are. The low ratio can be the edge, not the risk; the cash-conversion cycle and the debt due above say which.
From the company's latest filing.
Lease obligations
the lease note, SEC EDGAR →Debt by another name. What the business owes on the property, aircraft, stores and equipment it rents rather than owns is a fixed claim due on a schedule; added back to the debt, it is the true leverage. That ladder, operating and finance leases together, and what it adds to the debt on the page above.
Lease payments by year, scaled to the largest; “later” is everything beyond year five, shown apart. These are the contractual cash payments, before the interest the filing imputes back out to the balance-sheet liability.
True leverage: debt plus leases
Counting the leases the way Buffett does, the fixed claims on this business come to $4.2B, of which the leases are 64%, more than the debt itself. The lease wall above and the debt schedule together are the calendar of what must be paid, and when.
Lease ladder read from the ASC 842 tags in the company’s Dec 31, 2025 annual report and reconciled: the yearly buckets sum to the undiscounted total, which less the imputed interest equals the balance-sheet liability; a ladder that doesn’t tie out is withheld.
How the cash was used, 2019–2025
Over the record, the business generated $2.4B of operating cash; how management split it reads as a reinvestor, most operating cash is plowed back into the business.
- Reinvested$3.9B · 167%
- Source of funding−$1.6B
Reinvestment and shareholder returns ran $1.6B beyond the operating cash the business generated, so the gap was financed off the balance sheet.
- Net change in share count63.2%
The diluted count rose from 139M to 227M: issuance (stock pay, deals) outran any buybacks, so owners were diluted on net.
- Dividend record—
No dividend line was reported in the filing data over the span; the record here neither confirms nor rules out a payout.
Buybacks are gross of stock issued to staff; the share-count line above is the net of that, the figure that decides whether owners gained. The average price paid blends a year of purchases (and any accelerated repurchase), so it is close, not exact. The record of where the cash went and on what terms.
Management, ownership & pay
read the proxy →From the proxy: how much of the business the people running it own, and how they are paid, beside what the business earned for its owners in the same years.
| Fiscal year | Chief executive | Pay, as filed | “Actually paid” | Owner earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Bahram Akradi | $41.9M | $132.6M | ($255M) |
| 2022 | Bahram Akradi | $8.1M | $3.0M | ($28M) |
| 2023 | Bahram Akradi | $12.1M | $11.5M | $219M |
| 2024 | Bahram Akradi | $15.2M | $36.3M | $300M |
| 2025 | Bahram Akradi | $15.2M | $32.9M | $574M |
Both pay figures are the company’s own, from the pay-versus-performance table its proxy statement files. “As filed” is the Summary Compensation Table total: salary, bonus, and equity awards at their value on the day of grant. “Actually paid” is the SEC’s prescribed recalculation, which re-marks those equity awards to what they became as they vested; it can swing far above or below the filed figure in either direction, and negative years occur. Owner earnings are the whole business's, from the record above, for the same fiscal years.
- Insider ownership13.3%
The stake all directors and executive officers hold together, per the 2026 proxy: skin in the game, the first thing Munger reads.
- Stock-based compensation$52M
The slice of the business handed to employees in shares this year, 2% of revenue, equal to 11% of operating profit. Buffett's oldest accounting fight: this is compensation, compensation is an expense, real whether or not the headline earnings admit it. One trap: the cash-flow statement adds SBC back, so the operating cash, and the owner earnings drawn from it, are flattered by exactly this amount; counted as the cost it is, what an owner keeps is lower.
Inverting the record
Invert: instead of why Life Time Group Holdings Inc. is a good business, the question is what would make owning it a mistake, and whether those marks are in the record. Disconfirming tests across 2019–2025.
2 of the 3 tests turned up something to look into; the other 1 came back clean.
- Look hereDid the share count rise anyway?63.2%
Diluted shares grew 63.2% over 2019–2025. Owners were diluted on net; each share owns less of the business than it did. Read the buyback line beside this one, not on its own.
- Look hereAre "one-time" charges a yearly habit?7 of 7 years
Management took an impairment or write-down in 7 of the last 7 years, $87M in all. A charge taken almost every year is not one-time; it is the business — past deals coming due, and an admission the assets were worth less than what was paid. Munger's rule: when the "one-time" keeps happening, it is the business. Read it beside the goodwill the company still carries.
- Is it less profitable than it was?
Each test is read from the filings and is noisy alone; a flag can mark a cyclical trough or a year of heavy investment as easily as a problem. The filing says which.
What an owner would ask, FY2025
read the 10-K →- Which reported numbers are a judgment call?Management names Income taxes, Stock compensation as critical estimates
each rests partly on management's judgment; the filing's note sets out the assumptionsverify →
The questions the record and the charts do not answer on their own; each carries the figure and the place to look.
Peers, Hotels & Resorts
The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.
| Company | Revenue | Gross margin | Op. margin | ROIC | Owner earn. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FUNCedar Fair | $3.1B | 91% | 14.2% | -19% | 6% |
| LTHLife Time Group Holdings Inc. | $3.0B | 47% | 8.9% | 4% | 7% |
| MTNVail Resorts Inc. | $3.0B | — | 18.3% | 12% | 18% |
| CHDNChurchill Downs | $2.9B | — | 18.3% | 8% | 23% |
| PRKSUnited Parks & Resorts Inc. | $1.7B | — | 18.6% | 16% | 10% |
| PLNTPlanet Fitness | $1.3B | 81% | 28.6% | 16% | 20% |
| MSGSMadison Square Garden Sports Corp. | $1.0B | — | -3.4% | -3% | 7% |
| MSGEMadison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. | $863M | — | 12.6% | 13% | — |
| Group median | — | 81% | 16.3% | 10% | 10% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFType today's close and see the owner-earnings growth you'd have to believe to justify it, beside what Life Time Group Holdings Inc. has delivered.
Life Time Group Holdings Inc.’s latest year shows negative owner earnings, the mark of a build-out: total capital spending outruns the cash the business throws off today. So the tool opens on the steady-state base (maintenance capex in place of the build-out spend), the cash it would earn at rest; clear the toggle below to read the latest year exactly as reported.
Through the cycle, Life Time Group Holdings Inc. earns about $218M on its 7.3% median owner-earnings margin. This year’s 19.2% margin runs above that; the reported figure may flatter a peak you'd be paying on. Normalize, below, values the price on that through-cycle figure rather than the latest year. It comes pre-checked here for that reason, the same rule that already normalizes a trough; clear it to price the year as filed.
—
9.0% = the 4.55% 10-year Treasury (Jul 15, 2026) + 4.45 points of equity premium. The rate you require is yours to set.
Enter a price above to run it.
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Graham capped the multiple at 15×; Buffett and Munger let that rule go: a wonderful business can deserve 50× if the thesis holds. The gate marks the bargain-hunter's floor.
Prefilled with the 10-year Treasury (4.55%, as of Jul 15, 2026). Edit it for today’s exact figure, or a AAA corporate yield.
Graham measured a stock against the bond you could own instead, the heart of his margin of safety. Enter a price above to weigh the owner-earnings yield against this bond.
Free cash flow ($124M) on 223M shares outstanding, per the 10-Q cover, as of 2026-05-01; net debt $1.4B. The base opens on the through-cycle figure (the latest year sits above the record’s own median, and Graham’s averaging cuts both ways); clear Normalize to use the year as filed. Net of stock comp treats option pay as the expense it is. Capex ($1.0B) runs well above depreciation ($306M), so this is a build-out; Steady-state swaps total capex for maintenance (≈ depreciation), lifting the base to about $589M, the cash it would throw off if it stopped expanding. The dials set the multiple a growth belief justifies; the price, and every dollar on this page, is yours.
Manual order: ← LTC its page in the Manual LUCK →
Industry order: ← LIND the Hotels & Resorts chapter LVS →