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DBI, Designer Brands Inc.
Designer Brands Inc., originally founded as DSW Inc., is one of the world's largest designers, producers, and retailers of footwear and accessories.
The Retail segment operates the DSW Designer Shoe Warehouse ("DSW"), The Shoe Co., and Rubino banners through its direct-to-consumer stores and e-commerce sites.
The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
The business in brief
read the 10-K →What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- What it is
- Revenue is Retail (92%) and Brand Portfolio (8%).
- Situation
- Cyclical. Margins collapse and recover repeatedly across the record; a single year, good or bad, misstates the through-cycle earning power.
- What moves the needle
- Operating margin has run about 2.4% through the cycle, a thin margin, where volume, cost discipline and the price it gets all bear on the result. The operating margin has swung widely — from −26% to 7.4% over the years — so the through-cycle figure carries more than any single year, and the worst year more than the best. Inventory runs near 18% of sales, so how fast it turns back into cash — and the risk of writing it down when demand softens — sits alongside the margin. On its own account, the filing leans hardest on customer concentration, set against the numbers in what the filing emphasizes, below.
- Is it a good business?
- Return on capital has run in the teens (median 18%, above 15% in 3 of 6 years), though buybacks and expensed R&D and brands shrink the capital base, so the figure overstates the underlying economics. The steadier read is owner earnings: roughly 3% of revenue reaches owners as cash, consistently. Returns like these are solid but short of clear franchise economics; whether they hold is what the 10-K settles, not the multiple.
Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.
Where the money comes from
read the 10-K →Retail is 92% of revenue, with Brand Portfolio the other meaningful segment at 8%.
- Retail92%$2.7B
- Brand Portfolio8%$236M
From the segment footnote of the company's own 10-K. Shares are of total revenue; the profit bar shows each segment's share of segment operating profit, before unallocated corporate costs.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2017–2026
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2017’17 | 2018’18 | 2019’19 | 2020’20 | 2021’21 | 2022’22 | 2023’23 | 2024’24 | 2025’25 | 2026’26 | TTMTTMMay 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | |||||||||||
| $2.7B | $2.8B | $3.2B | $3.5B | $2.2B | $3.2B | $3.3B | $3.1B | $3.0B | $2.9B | $2.9B | RevenueRevenue |
| 29% | 28% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 31% | Gross marginGross mgn |
| 22% | 22% | 26% | 25% | 34% | 27% | 38% | 41% | 41% | 42% | 42% | SG&A / revenueSG&A/rev |
| $200M | $125M | $59M | $127M | ($586M) | $205M | $187M | $72M | $35M | $48M | $75M | Operating incomeOp. inc. |
| 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | −26.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| $124M | $67M | ($20M) | $94M | ($489M) | $154M | $163M | $29M | ($11M) | ($8M) | $11M | Net incomeNet inc. |
| 39% | 47% | — | 21% | — | 11% | -2% | 27% | — | — | 57% | Effective tax rateTax rate |
| Cash flow & returns | |||||||||||
| $213M | $191M | $175M | $197M | ($154M) | $171M | $201M | $162M | $82M | $110M | $108M | Operating cash flowOp. cash |
| $83M | $81M | $79M | $87M | $88M | $78M | $81M | $66M | $64M | $59M | $59M | DepreciationDeprec. |
| ($7M) | $28M | $99M | ($1M) | $227M | ($85M) | ($71M) | $38M | $10M | $40M | $20M | Working capital & otherWC & other |
| $88M | $56M | $65M | $78M | $31M | $33M | $55M | $55M | $51M | $32M | $34M | CapexCapex |
| 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | Capex / revenueCapex/rev |
| $125M | $135M | $110M | $119M | ($185M) | $138M | $146M | $107M | $31M | $78M | $74M | Owner earningsOwner earn. |
| 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | −8.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | Owner earnings marginOE mgn |
| $125M | $135M | $110M | $119M | ($185M) | $138M | $146M | $107M | $31M | $78M | $74M | Free cash flowFCF |
| 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | −8.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | Free cash flow marginFCF mgn |
| $60M | $0 | $199M | $0 | $0 | $0 | $19M | $127M | $16M | $0 | $0 | AcquisitionsAcquis. |
| $65M | $64M | $80M | $73M | $7M | $0 | $13M | $12M | $10M | $10M | $10M | Dividends paidDiv. paid |
| $50M | $9M | $48M | $142M | $0 | $0 | $148M | $102M | $69M | $0 | — | BuybacksBuybacks |
| — | — | — | 99% | -170% | 32% | 29% | 7% | — | 6% | 5% | ROICROIC |
| — | — | — | — | — | 37% | 38% | 8% | -4% | -3% | 4% | Return on equityROE |
| — | — | — | — | — | 37% | 34% | 5% | −8% | −6% | 0% | Retained to equityRetained/eq |
| Balance sheet | |||||||||||
| $209M | $301M | $169M | $112M | $60M | $73M | $59M | $49M | $45M | $51M | $126M | Cash & investmentsCash+inv |
| $18M | $19M | $69M | $89M | $196M | $200M | $78M | $84M | $50M | $59M | $78M | ReceivablesReceiv. |
| $500M | $502M | $645M | $633M | $473M | $586M | $606M | $571M | $600M | $564M | $587M | InventoryInvent. |
| $185M | $179M | $262M | $299M | $245M | $341M | $255M | $289M | $272M | $236M | $236M | Accounts payablePayables |
| $333M | $342M | $453M | $423M | $424M | $445M | $428M | $366M | $379M | $387M | $428M | Operating working capitalOper. WC |
| $759M | $871M | $955M | $901M | $781M | $914M | $790M | $777M | $735M | $708M | $764M | Current assetsCur. assets |
| $317M | $328M | $463M | $680M | $753M | $759M | $636M | $622M | $590M | $588M | $603M | Current liabilitiesCur. liab. |
| 2.4× | 2.7× | 2.1× | 1.3× | 1.0× | 1.2× | 1.2× | 1.2× | 1.2× | 1.2× | 1.3× | Current ratioCurr. ratio |
| $80M | $26M | $90M | $114M | $94M | $94M | $97M | $124M | $130M | $131M | $131M | GoodwillGoodwill |
| $1.4B | $1.4B | $1.6B | $2.5B | $2.0B | $2.0B | $2.0B | $2.1B | $2.0B | $1.9B | $2.0B | Total assetsAssets |
| — | $0 | $160M | $190M | $335M | $226M | $281M | $427M | $491M | $435M | $475M | Total debtDebt |
| — | ($301M) | ($9M) | $78M | $275M | $153M | $222M | $378M | $446M | $384M | $349M | Net debt / (cash)Net debt |
| 840.2× | 256.3× | 24.3× | 14.3× | -24.4× | 6.4× | 12.4× | 2.2× | 0.8× | — | 1.6× | Interest coverageInt. cov. |
| ($14M) | ($10M) | ($3M) | ($2M) | ($3M) | $412M | $433M | $359M | $278M | $282M | $281M | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | Stock comp / revenueSBC/rev |
| — | $54M | $42M | $8M | $154M | $2M | — | — | — | — | $5M | Goodwill written downGW imp. |
| Per share | |||||||||||
| 82.1M | 80.7M | 80.0M | 74.6M | 72.2M | 77.3M | 72.1M | 63.4M | 53.7M | 49.1M | 55.9M | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| $33.10 | $34.77 | $39.71 | $46.82 | $30.95 | $41.37 | $45.98 | $48.52 | $56.08 | $58.87 | $51.90 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| $1.51 | $0.84 | $-0.26 | $1.27 | $-6.77 | $2.00 | $2.26 | $0.46 | $-0.20 | $-0.17 | $0.19 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| $1.53 | $1.67 | $1.37 | $1.59 | $-2.56 | $1.79 | $2.03 | $1.69 | $0.58 | $1.59 | $1.32 | Owner earnings / shareOE/sh |
| $1.53 | $1.67 | $1.37 | $1.59 | $-2.56 | $1.79 | $2.03 | $1.69 | $0.58 | $1.59 | $1.32 | Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh |
| $0.79 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0.97 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $0.19 | $0.19 | $0.19 | $0.20 | $0.17 | Dividends / shareDiv/sh |
| $1.07 | $0.70 | $0.82 | $1.04 | $0.43 | $0.43 | $0.76 | $0.87 | $0.95 | $0.64 | $0.61 | Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh |
| $-0.17 | $-0.12 | $-0.03 | $-0.03 | $-0.05 | $5.34 | $6.00 | $5.67 | $5.19 | $5.75 | $5.02 | Book value / shareBVPS |
| 9-yr | 5-yr | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue / share | +6.6%/yr | +13.7%/yr |
| Owner earnings / share | +0.5%/yr | — |
| Dividends / share | −14.4%/yr | +14.6%/yr |
| Capital spending / share | −5.5%/yr | +8.3%/yr |
The record, charted
FY2017–2026Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.
Owner earnings vs. net income
Owner earningsNet incomeThe accountant's number, and the cash an owner can take; the gap is the tell.
Where the cash went
ReinvestBuybacksDividendsAcquisitionsRetainedBeyond op. cashEach year's outlays against its operating cash: the mix, and how it drifts. The hatched cap is spending beyond that year's operating cash — financed from the balance sheet or borrowing, not operations.
Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.
In fiscal 2026 the business turned a $8M loss into $78M of owner earnings: more cash than the profit line showed, after the non-cash charges and the capital it put back in.
| FY2026 | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported net income | ($8M) | ($11M) | $29M | $163M | $154M |
| Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back | +$59M | +$64M | +$66M | +$81M | +$78M |
| Stock-based compensationreal costnon-cash, but a real cost | +$19M | +$19M | +$29M | +$29M | +$24M |
| Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items | +$40M | +$10M | +$38M | −$71M | −$85M |
| Cash from operations | $110M | $82M | $162M | $201M | $171M |
| Capital expenditurecash put back in to keep running and to grow | −$32M | −$51M | −$55M | −$55M | −$33M |
| Owner earnings | $78M | $31M | $107M | $146M | $138M |
| Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue | 3% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% |
Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the capital it must spend to hold its position . The cash-flow statement also adds stock comp back as non-cash, but it is a real cost paid in shares; counted as the expense it is (less $19M), owner earnings is nearer $59M.
Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
Will it survive?
- ThinOperating income $48M ÷ interest expense $46M
What this means
Operating profit covers interest, but with little room. A bad year, a refinancing at higher rates, or a revenue wobble closes the gap fast.
- How heavy is the debt, net of cash? $384M · 8.0× operating profitHeavy net debtCash $51M − debt $435M
What this means
Netting $51M of cash and short-term investments against $435M of debt leaves $384M owed, about 8.0× a year's operating profit (9.1× on the gross debt, before the cash). Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.
- Long (60+ days)DSO 8 + DIO 102 − DPO 43 days
What this means
Days cash is tied up between paying suppliers and collecting from customers. Lower is better; a long cycle means growth itself eats cash.
Is it a good business?
- Below average through the cycle6-yr median, range -170%–99%; the latest year is left out — large non-operating charges put its operating line well above pretax profitIndustry peers: median 16%
What this means
The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 6 years, so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.
- Thin, recently turned positivelatest $78M = operating cash $110M − maintenance capex $32M; positive each of the last 3 years, after an earlier loss stretch (10-yr median 3%)Industry peers: median 5%
What this means
What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's 3% of revenue this year, a 3% median across 10 years. Treating stock comp as the real expense it is (less $19M of SBC) leaves $59M.
- Loss, but cash-generativeNet income ($8M) · cash from operations $110M
What this means
The company reported a net loss, so a conversion ratio isn't meaningful. What matters then is whether operations still threw off cash, here, they did.
How is the cash used?
- Reinvests most of itDividends + buybacks $10M ÷ Owner Earnings $78M
What this means
Of $78M Owner Earnings, $10M (12%) went back to shareholders, $10M dividends, $0 buybacks. Returning most of it is the mark of a mature business with little left to reinvest at a high return; reinvesting most could mean a long runway, or empire-building. The split doesn't say which; the return earned on it (see ROIC) does.
- Investing or harvesting? 0.53×HarvestingCapex $32M ÷ depreciation $59M
What this means
Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.
Graham’s defensive tests · 1 of 6 met
Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.
- Adequate size PassRevenue ≥ $2B · $2.9B
What this means
Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.
- Strong liquidity MissCurrent ratio ≥ 2× · 1.20×
What this means
Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.
- Conservative debt MissDebt ≤ working capital · $435M vs $120M WC
What this means
Graham's rule that borrowings not exceed net current assets. Capital-heavy and buyback-heavy firms routinely fail it, read it next to interest coverage, not alone.
- Earnings stability MissA profit every year (10-yr record) · 4 loss years
What this means
Graham wanted earnings in each of the past ten years, the stability a defensive owner leans on.
- Dividend record NearUninterrupted dividends · 9 of 10 yrs
What this means
An unbroken dividend was Graham's mark of durability. He wanted twenty years; the filings show about ten, and a single suspension breaks the streak. Non-payers, many fine modern compounders, fall outside his defensive net by design.
- Earnings growth MissEarnings +33% over the record · −94%
What this means
At least a third more earnings than a decade ago, averaging three years at each end. Net income (not per-share), so stock splits don't distort it, buybacks and dilution show up in the share-count line instead.
- Moderate price —P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
What this means
Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $0.07/share (latest year $-0.17), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $5.62/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.
Durability & moat, 2017–2026
Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.
- Profitable years 6 of 10
What this means
Lost money in 4 year(s), look at what happened there before trusting the average.
- Return on capital ≥ 15% 4 of 8 yrs
What this means
A moat shows up as a high return on invested capital that holds year after year, not one good vintage.
- Operating margin 5% → 2% (3-yr avg ends)
What this means
Through the cycle the operating margin slipped — about 5% early to 2% lately, median 2% — competition or costs are biting in.
- Reinvestment, incremental ROIC −6%
What this means
Reinvested capital came back at a negative incremental return over this window — the invested base grew while operating profit did not. The filings show where it went.
- Owner earnings growth −9%/yr
What this means
Owner earnings shrank about 9% a year over the record.
- Worst year 2021 · −26.2% op. margin
What this means
Operations went underwater in 2021, understand why before trusting the good years.
- Share count −5.5%/yr
What this means
The share count is shrinking, buybacks are quietly growing your slice of the business.
- Dividend record paid
What this means
Paid a dividend in 9 of the years on record.
Does AI threaten the moat?
Moderate contestabilityAI is likely to reshape costs and some products here without clearly contesting or sparing the core moat; how the company itself frames it is the tell.
Its FY2026 10-K names artificial intelligence as a competitive threat, in language that was not in the prior year's filing.
“Our use of artificial intelligence tools and other new technologies may subject us to significant competitive, legal, regulatory and other risks, and there can be no assurance that our use of such tools or technologies will enhance our business operations or result in a benefit to us.…”
The question is whether a moat the record shows as durable outlasts a technology that lowers the cost of part of what the firm sells. The durability is read in the record above, the filing's own framing of AI beside it; the industry label decides nothing on its own.
Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
Current Position
as of the latest quarter, May 2, 2026Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.
- Cash & short-term investments$50M
- Receivables$78M
- Inventory$587M
- Other current assets$50M
- Debt due within a year$7M
- Accounts payable$236M
- Other current liabilities$360M
From the company's latest filing.
Lease obligations
the lease note, SEC EDGAR →Debt by another name. What the business owes on the property, aircraft, stores and equipment it rents rather than owns is a fixed claim due on a schedule; added back to the debt, it is the true leverage. That ladder, operating and finance leases together, and what it adds to the debt on the page above.
Lease payments by year, scaled to the largest; “later” is everything beyond year five, shown apart. These are the contractual cash payments, before the interest the filing imputes back out to the balance-sheet liability.
True leverage: debt plus leases
Counting the leases the way Buffett does, the fixed claims on this business come to $1.2B, of which the leases are 65%, more than the debt itself. The lease wall above and the debt schedule together are the calendar of what must be paid, and when.
Lease ladder read from the ASC 842 tags in the company’s Jan 31, 2026 annual report and reconciled: the yearly buckets sum to the undiscounted total, which less the imputed interest equals the balance-sheet liability; a ladder that doesn’t tie out is withheld.
How the cash was used, 2017–2026
Over the record, the business generated $1.3B of operating cash; how management split it reads as a cash returner, paying most of what it earns straight back to owners.
- Reinvested$544M · 40%
- Dividends$334M · 25%
- Buybacks$567M · 42%
- Returned to owners$901M
112% of the owner earnings the business produced over the span, $334M as dividends and $567M as buybacks.
- Source of funding−$95M
Reinvestment and shareholder returns ran $95M beyond the operating cash the business generated, so the gap was financed off the balance sheet: cash and short-term investments drew down $159M.
- Average price paid for buybacks$12.47
Across the years where the filing reports a share count, 30M shares were bought for $369M, about $12.47 each. Year to year the price paid ranged from $6.63 (2025) to $23.77 (2019); its heaviest year, 2020, paid $19.95 ($142M).
- Net change in share count−31.9%
The diluted count fell from 82M to 56M, so the buybacks outran the stock issued to staff.
- Dividend record$0.20/sh
Paid in 9 of the years on record, the per-share dividend shrinking about 14% a year. It was cut at least once along the way.
Buybacks are gross of stock issued to staff; the share-count line above is the net of that, the figure that decides whether owners gained. The average price paid blends a year of purchases (and any accelerated repurchase), so it is close, not exact. The record of where the cash went and on what terms.
Acquisitions & goodwill
from the balance sheet & the 10-year cash-flow recordGoodwill grows only when a company acquires and falls only when it concedes it overpaid. The size of that bet, the cash put into buying rather than building, and how much has already been written off.
$259M written down across 5 years (2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022): goodwill the company has already conceded it overpaid for, charged against earnings. That is roughly 61% of the cash it put into acquisitions over the span. A write-down costs no cash (the cash went out when the deal was signed), but it is management marking its own past judgment to market.
Goodwill, acquired intangibles and equity from the latest balance sheet; acquisition spend and write-downs summed across the 10-year record, from the company's own filings.
Management, ownership & pay
read the proxy →From the proxy: how much of the business the people running it own, and how they are paid, beside what the business earned for its owners in the same years.
| Fiscal year | Chief executive | Pay, as filed | “Actually paid” | Owner earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | — | $9.7M | $11.9M | $138M |
| 2023 | — | $8.5M | $4.7M | $146M |
| 2024 | — | $5.7M | $5.0M | $107M |
| 2024 | — | $5.7M | $5.0M | $107M |
| 2025 | Roger Rawlins | $4.9M | −$989k | $31M |
| 2026 | Douglas Howe | $7.9M | $9.9M | $78M |
Both pay figures are the company’s own, from the pay-versus-performance table its proxy statement files. “As filed” is the Summary Compensation Table total: salary, bonus, and equity awards at their value on the day of grant. “Actually paid” is the SEC’s prescribed recalculation, which re-marks those equity awards to what they became as they vested; it can swing far above or below the filed figure in either direction, and negative years occur. Owner earnings are the whole business's, from the record above, for the same fiscal years. A dash under the name means the filing tags the figure without naming the officer.
- Insider ownership33%
The stake all directors and executive officers hold together, per the 2026 proxy: skin in the game, the first thing Munger reads.
- CEO pay ratio493:1
What the chief earns for every dollar the median employee makes, per the 2026 proxy. A high ratio alone settles nothing; some businesses are genuinely top-heavy in scarce skill. A runaway figure is where Buffett starts asking whether the board is doing its job.
- Stock-based compensation$19M
The slice of the business handed to employees in shares this year, 1% of revenue, equal to 40% of operating profit. Buffett's oldest accounting fight: this is compensation, compensation is an expense, real whether or not the headline earnings admit it. One trap: the cash-flow statement adds SBC back, so the operating cash, and the owner earnings drawn from it, are flattered by exactly this amount; counted as the cost it is, what an owner keeps is lower.
Inverting the record
Invert: instead of why Designer Brands Inc. is a good business, the question is what would make owning it a mistake, and whether those marks are in the record. Disconfirming tests across 2017–2026.
2 of the 5 tests turned up something to look into; the other 3 came back clean.
- Look hereIs it less profitable than it was?2.4% vs 4.3%
The owner-earnings margin averaged 4.3% early in the record and 2.4% across the last three years, and the latest year has not recovered. Ask the filing whether that is a structural drift or a cyclical trough — price, mix, cost, or a competitor — and whether it is permanent.
- Look hereAre "one-time" charges a yearly habit?9 of 10 years
Management took an impairment or write-down in 9 of the last 10 years, $562M in all. A charge taken almost every year is not one-time; it is the business — past deals coming due, and an admission the assets were worth less than what was paid. Munger's rule: when the "one-time" keeps happening, it is the business. Read it beside the goodwill the company still carries.
- Did the share count rise anyway?
- Did reported profit become cash?
- Did receivables and inventory outpace sales?
Each test is read from the filings and is noisy alone; a flag can mark a cyclical trough or a year of heavy investment as easily as a problem. The filing says which.
What an owner would ask, FY2026
read the 10-K →- How much of the revenue rides on one buyer?≈$1.1B · 38% of revenue on the largest customers (TTM)
“The Brand Portfolio segment has five customers that made up 38.0% of its segment net sales in 2025, excluding intersegment net sales, and the loss of any or all of these customers could have a material adverse effect on the Brand Portfolio segment.”verify →
The questions the record and the charts do not answer on their own; each carries the figure and the place to look.
Peers, Specialty Retail
The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.
| Company | Revenue | Gross margin | Op. margin | ROIC | Owner earn. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLFoot Locker | $8.0B | 32% | 7.3% | 17% | 6% |
| AEOAmerican Eagle | $5.5B | 37% | 6.7% | 21% | 5% |
| ANFAbercrombie & Fitch | $5.3B | 73% | 3.5% | 12% | 6% |
| HBIHanesbrands | $3.5B | 38% | 9.3% | 16% | 8% |
| DBIDesigner Brands Inc. | $2.9B | 30% | 3.0% | 18% | 3% |
| GCOGenesco Inc. | $2.4B | 48% | 3.6% | 6% | 4% |
| BOOTBoot Barn Holdings | $2.3B | 35% | 10.8% | 17% | 4% |
| SCVLShoe Carnival | $1.1B | 33% | 5.6% | 14% | 5% |
| Group median | — | 36% | 6.1% | 17% | 5% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFType today's close and see the owner-earnings growth you'd have to believe to justify it, beside what Designer Brands Inc. has delivered.
Through the cycle, Designer Brands Inc. earns about $101M on its 3.5% median owner-earnings margin. This year’s 2.7% margin runs below that; the reported figure may understate a lean year. Normalize, below, values the price on that through-cycle figure rather than the latest year.
—
9.0% = the 4.55% 10-year Treasury (Jul 15, 2026) + 4.45 points of equity premium. The rate you require is yours to set.
Enter a price above to run it.
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Graham capped the multiple at 15×; Buffett and Munger let that rule go: a wonderful business can deserve 50× if the thesis holds. The gate marks the bargain-hunter's floor.
Prefilled with the 10-year Treasury (4.55%, as of Jul 15, 2026). Edit it for today’s exact figure, or a AAA corporate yield.
Graham measured a stock against the bond you could own instead, the heart of his margin of safety. Enter a price above to weigh the owner-earnings yield against this bond.
Owner earnings $74M on 50M shares outstanding (a weighted basic average, the only count this filer tags); net debt $349M. The if-converted diluted count is 56M, 11% above the shares outstanding: the dilution overhang (convertibles, options) a buyer inherits. The base is the latest year by default; Normalize values it on the through-cycle median owner-earnings margin (to avoid paying on a peak year). Net of stock comp treats option pay as the expense it is. The dials set the multiple a growth belief justifies; the price, and every dollar on this page, is yours.
Manual order: ← DBD its page in the Manual DBRG →
Industry order: ← CTRN the Specialty Retail chapter DKS →