Share count
794Kpeak FY2021
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GDHG, Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd.
An asset-light business: the value sits in intellectual property and people, not plant, so the question is how durable the advantage is, not how high the margin.
The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
Revenue · FY2025
$15M
−31.5% YoY · −21% 4-yr CAGR
Vital signs · TTM, with 5-yr average
Revenue $15M 5-yr avg $30M
The business in brief
read the 10-K →What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- Situation
- Cyclical. Margins collapse and recover repeatedly across the record; a single year, good or bad, misstates the through-cycle earning power. Net current asset value. Current assets alone exceed every liability combined, and the surplus is most of the balance sheet: the shape Graham called a net-net.
- What moves the needle
- Gross margin has run about 61% and operating margin about 34% through the cycle, a wide spread between price and the cost of what it sells — whether that advantage is durable pricing power or a margin that can erode is the question the record is for. The margin is cyclical, swinging between −44% and 51% over the years, so the through-cycle figure carries more than any single year — and the balance sheet at the trough more than the peak. On its own account, the filing leans hardest on cyclicality & demand, set against the numbers in what the filing emphasizes, below.
- Is it a good business?
- Return on capital has sat near the cost of capital (median 11%). Owner earnings, the cash-based check, have been thin too. The cycle and the balance sheet decide this one; the worst year tells more than the median, and the rest is in the 10-K.
Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2021–2025
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2021’21 | 2022’22 | 2023’23 | 2024’24 | 2025’25 | TTMTTMSep 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||
| $39M | $42M | $32M | $22M | $15M | $15M | RevenueRevenue |
| 70% | 72% | 61% | 45% | 50% | 50% | Gross marginGross mgn |
| $19M | $21M | $11M | ($19K) | ($7M) | ($7M) | Operating incomeOp. inc. |
| 48.6% | 50.7% | 33.7% | −0.1% | −44.5% | −44.5% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| $14M | $14M | $7M | ($2M) | ($9M) | ($9M) | Net incomeNet inc. |
| 26% | 31% | 39% | — | — | — | Effective tax rateTax rate |
| Cash flow & returns | ||||||
| ($5M) | $19M | ($19M) | ($3M) | $19M | $19M | Operating cash flowOp. cash |
| $3M | $3M | $3M | $4M | $3M | $4M | DepreciationDeprec. |
| ($22M) | $1M | ($29M) | ($5M) | $24M | $24M | Working capital & otherWC & other |
| $905K | $275K | $8M | $76K | — | $76K | CapexCapex |
| 2.4% | 0.7% | 24.9% | 0.3% | — | 0.5% | Capex / revenueCapex/rev |
| ($6M) | $19M | ($27M) | ($3M) | — | $19M | Owner earningsOwner earn. |
| −15.2% | 44.4% | −85.7% | −13.8% | — | 123.5% | Owner earnings marginOE mgn |
| ($6M) | $19M | ($27M) | ($3M) | — | $19M | Free cash flowFCF |
| −15.2% | 44.4% | −85.7% | −13.8% | — | 123.5% | Free cash flow marginFCF mgn |
| 35% | 54% | 11% | -0% | -6% | -6% | ROICROIC |
| 34% | 29% | 11% | -2% | -5% | -5% | Return on equityROE |
| 34% | 29% | 11% | −2% | −5% | −5% | Retained to equityRetained/eq |
| Balance sheet | ||||||
| — | $22M | $246K | $20M | $86M | $86M | Cash & investmentsCash+inv |
| — | — | $4M | $670K | — | $670K | Accounts payablePayables |
| — | $24M | $15M | $61M | $110M | $110M | Current assetsCur. assets |
| — | $16M | $15M | $6M | $4M | $4M | Current liabilitiesCur. liab. |
| — | 1.5× | 1.0× | 10.4× | 25.0× | 25.0× | Current ratioCurr. ratio |
| — | $73M | $82M | $99M | $191M | $191M | Total assetsAssets |
| — | ($22M) | ($246K) | ($20M) | ($86M) | ($86M) | Net debt / (cash)Net debt |
| 4084.7× | 3439.3× | 1785.2× | — | — | -1131.3× | Interest coverageInt. cov. |
| $40M | $50M | $61M | $84M | $181M | $181M | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| Per share | ||||||
| 100M | 1.0M | 3K | 7K | 794K | 794K | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| $0.39 | $41.79 | $11729.45 | $3266.05 | $19.26 | $19.26 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| $0.14 | $14.33 | $2416.82 | $-262.73 | $-10.83 | $-10.83 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| $-0.06 | $18.54 | $-10056.57 | $-451.49 | — | $23.79 | Owner earnings / shareOE/sh |
| $-0.06 | $18.54 | $-10056.57 | $-451.49 | — | $23.79 | Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh |
| $0.01 | $0.28 | $2919.06 | $11.04 | — | $0.10 | Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh |
| $0.40 | $49.61 | $22527.95 | $12242.71 | $227.58 | $227.58 | Book value / shareBVPS |
The diluted share count moved ×1/100 into 2022 — shares retired, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
The diluted share count moved ×1/369 into 2023 — shares retired, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
The diluted share count moved ×2.52 into 2024 — shares issued, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
The diluted share count moved ×116.09 into 2025 — shares issued, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
Per-share growththe realized rate an owner's share compounded
| 4-yr | 5-yr | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue / share | +165.9%/yr | +165.9%/yr (4-yr) |
| Capital spending / share | +968.5%/yr (3-yr) | +968.5%/yr (3-yr) |
| Book value / share | +389.0%/yr | +389.0%/yr (4-yr) |
The record, charted
FY2021–2025Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.
ROIC
−6%low FY2025
Gross margin
50%low FY2024
Owner earnings vs. net income
Owner earningsNet incomeThe accountant's number, and the cash an owner can take; the gap is the tell.
($3M)owner earningsvs.($2M)net incomelow FY2023
Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.
In fiscal 2024 the business reported a $2M loss but ($3M) of owner earnings: $1M less than the profit line, taken out by capital spending and the timing of cash.
| FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported net income | ($2M) | $7M | $14M | $14M |
| Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back | +$4M | +$3M | +$3M | +$3M |
| Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items | −$5M | −$29M | +$1M | −$22M |
| Cash from operations | ($3M) | ($19M) | $19M | ($5M) |
| Capital expenditurecash put back in to keep running and to grow | −$76K | −$8M | −$275K | −$905K |
| Owner earnings | ($3M) | ($27M) | $19M | ($6M) |
| Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue | -14% | -86% | 44% | -15% |
Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the capital it must spend to hold its position .
Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
FY2025 20-F · source on SEC EDGAR →
Will it survive?
- Can it pay its interest? -1131.3×Does not cover its interestOperating income ($7M) ÷ interest expense $6K
What this means
A full year of operating profit didn't cover the interest bill. This is the zombie zone: the business depends on refinancing, asset sales, or forbearance to service its debt.
- Net cash, debt-freeCash $86M − debt $0
What this means
Cash and short-term investments exceed every dollar of debt by $86M, on net the company owes nothing, and can act from strength when others can't. Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.
- Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
Is it a good business?
- Not enough dataIndustry peers: median -5%
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
- Positive this year, negative across the cyclelatest $19M = operating cash $19M − maintenance capex $76K (positive this year), after an earlier loss stretch (4-yr median -15%)Industry peers: median -3%
What this means
What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's 124% of revenue this year, a -15% median across 4 years.
- Loss, but cash-generativeNet income ($9M) · cash from operations $19M
What this means
The company reported a net loss, so a conversion ratio isn't meaningful. What matters then is whether operations still threw off cash, here, they did.
How is the cash used?
- Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
- Investing or harvesting? 0.02×HarvestingCapex $76K ÷ depreciation $4M
What this means
Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.
Graham’s defensive tests · 1 of 4 met
Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.
- Adequate size MissRevenue ≥ $2B · $15M
What this means
Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.
- Strong liquidity PassCurrent ratio ≥ 2× · 25.01×
What this means
Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.
- Earnings stability MissA profit every year (5-yr record) · 2 loss years
What this means
Graham wanted earnings in each of the past ten years, the stability a defensive owner leans on.
- Dividend record MissUninterrupted dividends · none paid
What this means
An unbroken dividend was Graham's mark of durability. He wanted twenty years; the filings show about ten, and a single suspension breaks the streak. Non-payers, many fine modern compounders, fall outside his defensive net by design.
- Moderate price —P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
What this means
Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $-1.61/share (latest year $-10.83), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $227.58/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.
Durability & moat, 2021–2025
Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.
- Profitable years 3 of 5
What this means
Lost money in 2 year(s), look at what happened there before trusting the average.
- Operating margin 50% → −22% (2-yr avg ends)
What this means
Through the cycle the operating margin slipped — about 50% early to −22% lately, median 34% — competition or costs are biting in.
- Worst year 2025 · −44.5% op. margin
What this means
Operations went underwater in 2025, understand why before trusting the good years.
Does AI threaten the moat?
Moderate contestabilityAI is likely to reshape costs and some products here without clearly contesting or sparing the core moat; how the company itself frames it is the tell.
The question is whether a moat the record shows as durable outlasts a technology that lowers the cost of part of what the firm sells. The durability is read in the record above, the filing's own framing of AI beside it; the industry label decides nothing on its own.
Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
Current Position
as of fiscal year-end, Sep 30, 2025Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.
Current assets$110M
- Cash & short-term investments$86M
- Other current assets$24M
Current liabilities$4M
- Accounts payable$670K
- Other current liabilities$4M
Current ratio25.01×all current assets ÷ what's due · Graham looked for 2×
Quick ratio25.01×stricter: inventory excluded
Cash ratio19.53×strictest: cash alone against what's due
Working capital$106Mthe cushion left after near-term bills
Deeper floors
Tangible book value$181Mequity stripped of goodwill & intangibles
Net current asset value$99MGraham's net-net: current assets less all liabilities
Debt incl. operating leases$584K$584K of it operating leases
From the company's latest filing.
Peers, nearest by economic model
No close industry peers in the catalog yet, so these are the nearest by economic model (asset-light compounder), compared on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.
| Company | Revenue | Gross margin | Op. margin | ROIC | Owner earn. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LPTHLightPath Technologies Inc. | $37M | 35% | -4.8% | -5% | -0% |
| SBETSharplink Inc. | $28M | 31% | -294.4% | -308% | -117% |
| QXLQuantum X Labs Inc. | $27M | 95% | -9.4% | -2% | 3% |
| NVECNVE Corporation | $26M | 79% | 61.3% | 21% | 52% |
| QBTSD-Wave Quantum Inc. | $25M | 68% | -724.6% | -1142% | -582% |
| GEGGLGreat Elm Group, Inc. | $16M | 93% | -46.5% | -12% | -3% |
| GDHGGolden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. | $15M | 61% | 33.7% | 11% | -15% |
| NXTTNext Technology Holding Inc. | $12M | 59% | -24.0% | -1% | -29% |
| Group median | — | 64% | -16.7% | -3% | -9% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFEnter the home-market price, not the US ADR quote. Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. reports in USD, and every figure here (owner earnings, book value, the share count) is on that ordinary-share basis. Enter the price on the same basis: the local-exchange quote per ordinary share. A US ADR price in dollars bundles the ADR-to-ordinary ratio, so it will not reconcile with these figures and would throw the multiple off.
Type today's close and see the owner-earnings growth you'd have to believe to justify it, beside what Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. has delivered.
$
Base
—
The assumptions
9.0% = the 4.55% 10-year Treasury (Jul 15, 2026) + 4.45 points of equity premium. The rate you require is yours to set.
Enter a price above to run it.
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Implied by the price—
Owner-earnings growth, delivered—
Owner-earnings growth, delivered—
Owner-earnings yield—
What a growth belief costs, in multiples
The growth each return requires, at your price
P/E (3-yr earnings ’23–’25)—
P/B—
Graham’s price gate—
Graham capped the multiple at 15×; Buffett and Munger let that rule go: a wonderful business can deserve 50× if the thesis holds. The gate marks the bargain-hunter's floor.
Against a high-grade bond: Graham’s yardstick bond yield%
Prefilled with the 10-year Treasury (4.55%, as of Jul 15, 2026). Edit it for today’s exact figure, or a AAA corporate yield.
Graham measured a stock against the bond you could own instead, the heart of his margin of safety. Enter a price above to weigh the owner-earnings yield against this bond.
Owner-earnings yield—
High-grade bond yield—
Margin over the bond—
Owner earnings $19M on 1M shares outstanding (a weighted average, the only count this filer tags); net cash $86M. The base is the latest year by default; Normalize values it on the through-cycle median owner-earnings margin (to avoid paying on a peak year). Net of stock comp treats option pay as the expense it is. The dials set the multiple a growth belief justifies; the price, and every dollar on this page, is yours.
Cite: Owner Scorecard, "Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (GDHG), the owner's record," https://ownerscorecard.com/c/GDHG, data as of 2026-07-09.
Manual order: ← GDEV its page in the Manual GDS →
Industry order: ← GAMB the Casinos & Gaming chapter GENI →