← All companies ← GDS Manual GFI → ← GDHG Casinos & Gaming MSGE →
GENI, Genius Sports Limited
Genius is a B2B provider of scalable, technology-led products and services to the sports, sports betting and sports media industries.
The Legend Acquisition is expected to accelerate our strategic and financial objectives, supercharge fan monetization, and help build a fully integrated sports and gaming media network for our customers.
Genius is a fast-growing business with significant scale, distribution and an expanding addressable market and opportunity. 31 Genius' mission is to be the operating system of modern sport, powering the global ecosystem that connects sports, betting and media with every fan around the globe.
The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
The business in brief
read the 10-K →What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- What it is
- Revenue is Betting Technology Content and Services (70%), Media Technology Content and Services (22%) and Sports Technology and Services (8%).
- Situation
- Unprofitable. No sustained operating profit across the record; an earnings multiple has nothing to rest on. What the record does show is revenue, the gross-margin trajectory, and the burn against the cash on hand.
- What moves the needle
- Operating margin has run around −23% through the cycle on a 22% gross margin, the operating line deeply negative — so the lever is the path to a margin at all: revenue growth against the cost curve and the cash runway, not the level of a margin that isn't there yet. On its own account, the filing leans hardest on pricing power & competition, set against the numbers in what the filing emphasizes, below.
- Is it a good business?
- Return on capital has rarely cleared the cost of capital (median −27%, above 15% in 0 of 5 years). Owner earnings, the cash-based check, have been thin too. This is price-taker territory, where the balance sheet and the cycle matter more than any multiple; the rest is in the 10-K.
Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.
Where the money comes from
read the 20-F →Betting Technology Content And Services is 70% of revenue, with Media Technology Content And Services the other meaningful line at 22%.
- Betting Technology Content And Services70%$472M
- Media Technology Content And Services22%$144M
- Sports Technology And Services8%$53M
From the segment footnote of the company's own 20-F. Shares are of total revenue; the profit bar shows each segment's share of segment operating profit, before unallocated corporate costs.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2019–2025
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2019’19 | 2020’20 | 2021’21 | 2022’22 | 2023’23 | 2024’24 | 2025’25 | TTMTTMDec 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | ||||||||
| $115M | $150M | $263M | $341M | $413M | $511M | $669M | $669M | RevenueRevenue |
| 22% | 24% | −81% | 1% | 17% | 25% | 23% | 23% | Gross marginGross mgn |
| ($36M) | ($21M) | ($573M) | ($183M) | ($74M) | ($59M) | ($151M) | ($151M) | Operating incomeOp. inc. |
| −31.6% | −14.0% | −218.2% | −53.6% | −18.0% | −11.5% | −22.6% | −22.6% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| ($40M) | ($30M) | ($593M) | ($182M) | ($86M) | ($63M) | ($112M) | ($112M) | Net incomeNet inc. |
| Cash flow & returns | ||||||||
| $2M | $17M | ($63M) | ($3M) | $15M | $82M | $86M | $86M | Operating cash flowOp. cash |
| $28M | $35M | $59M | $69M | $77M | $73M | $71M | $71M | DepreciationDeprec. |
| $15M | $12M | $470M | $110M | $23M | $72M | $127M | $127M | Working capital & otherWC & other |
| $3M | $1M | $6M | $6M | $4M | $12M | $22M | $22M | CapexCapex |
| 2.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | Capex / revenueCapex/rev |
| ($725K) | $16M | ($70M) | ($9M) | $11M | $70M | $65M | $65M | Owner earningsOwner earn. |
| −0.6% | 10.4% | −26.5% | −2.8% | 2.7% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | Owner earnings marginOE mgn |
| ($725K) | $16M | ($70M) | ($9M) | $11M | $70M | $65M | $65M | Free cash flowFCF |
| −0.6% | 10.4% | −26.5% | −2.8% | 2.7% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | Free cash flow marginFCF mgn |
| — | — | -94% | -31% | -12% | -10% | -27% | -27% | ROICROIC |
| — | — | -84% | -31% | -15% | -11% | -15% | -15% | Return on equityROE |
| — | — | −84% | −31% | −15% | −11% | −15% | −15% | Retained to equityRetained/eq |
| Balance sheet | ||||||||
| $8M | $12M | $222M | $123M | $100M | $110M | $281M | $281M | Cash & investmentsCash+inv |
| $18M | $25M | $49M | $33M | $71M | $85M | $130M | $130M | ReceivablesReceiv. |
| $281K | $384K | $530K | $283K | $347K | $482K | $284K | $284K | InventoryInvent. |
| $13M | $10M | $20M | $33M | $57M | $37M | $112M | $112M | Accounts payablePayables |
| $5M | $15M | $29M | $540K | $14M | $49M | $18M | $18M | Operating working capitalOper. WC |
| $39M | $61M | $325M | $237M | $245M | $289M | $550M | $550M | Current assetsCur. assets |
| $55M | $85M | $153M | $171M | $183M | $202M | $353M | $353M | Current liabilitiesCur. liab. |
| 0.7× | 0.7× | 2.1× | 1.4× | 1.3× | 1.4× | 1.6× | 1.6× | Current ratioCurr. ratio |
| $193M | $201M | $101M | $310M | $326M | $326M | $338M | $338M | GoodwillGoodwill |
| $375M | $391M | $887M | $773M | $776M | $792M | $1.1B | $1.1B | Total assetsAssets |
| $73M | $93M | $88K | $14M | $8M | $38K | — | $38K | Total debtDebt |
| $65M | $81M | ($222M) | ($108M) | ($93M) | ($110M) | — | ($281M) | Net debt / (cash)Net debt |
| ($81M) | ($139M) | $706M | $577M | $573M | $572M | $724M | $724M | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| Per share | ||||||||
| 68.4M | 70.0M | 151M | 199M | 226M | 230M | 255M | 1.9M | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| $1.68 | $2.14 | $1.74 | $1.71 | $1.83 | $2.23 | $2.63 | $357.36 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| $-0.59 | $-0.43 | $-3.93 | $-0.91 | $-0.38 | $-0.27 | $-0.44 | $-59.56 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| $-0.01 | $0.22 | $-0.46 | $-0.05 | $0.05 | $0.30 | $0.25 | $34.45 | Owner earnings / shareOE/sh |
| $-0.01 | $0.22 | $-0.46 | $-0.05 | $0.05 | $0.30 | $0.25 | $34.45 | Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh |
| $0.05 | $0.02 | $0.04 | $0.03 | $0.02 | $0.05 | $0.09 | $11.66 | Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh |
| $-1.19 | $-1.99 | $4.68 | $2.90 | $2.54 | $2.49 | $2.84 | $386.71 | Book value / shareBVPS |
The diluted share count moved ×2.15 into 2021 — shares issued, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
The diluted share count moved ×1/135.99 into TTM — shares retired, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
| 6-yr | 5-yr | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue / share | +7.8%/yr | +4.2%/yr |
| Owner earnings / share | — | +2.6%/yr |
| Capital spending / share | +10.5%/yr | +32.6%/yr |
The record, charted
FY2019–2025Each measure over its full record; the current point and the worst year marked.
Owner earnings vs. net income
Owner earningsNet incomeThe accountant's number, and the cash an owner can take; the gap is the tell.
Where the cash went
ReinvestBuybacksDividendsAcquisitionsRetainedEach year's operating cash, by what management did with it: the mix, and how it drifts.
Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.
In fiscal 2025 the business turned a $112M loss into $65M of owner earnings: more cash than the profit line showed, after the non-cash charges and the capital it put back in.
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported net income | ($112M) | ($63M) | ($86M) | ($182M) | ($593M) |
| Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back | +$71M | +$73M | +$77M | +$69M | +$59M |
| Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items | +$127M | +$72M | +$23M | +$110M | +$470M |
| Cash from operations | $86M | $82M | $15M | ($3M) | ($63M) |
| Capital expenditurecash put back in to keep running and to grow | −$22M | −$12M | −$4M | −$6M | −$6M |
| Owner earnings | $65M | $70M | $11M | ($9M) | ($70M) |
| Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue | 10% | 14% | 3% | -3% | -27% |
Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the capital it must spend to hold its position .
Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
Will it survive?
- No meaningful interest burdenLittle or no interest expense reported
What this means
Little or no interest expense reported, the business isn't leaning on lenders to operate.
- Net cashCash $281M − debt $38K
What this means
Cash and short-term investments exceed every dollar of debt by $281M, on net the company owes nothing, and can act from strength when others can't. Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.
- Negative, funded by othersDSO 71 + DIO 0 − DPO 79 days
What this means
Days cash is tied up between paying suppliers and collecting from customers. A negative cycle is a quiet moat: suppliers and customers fund the operation (Buffett's “float”), the company grows on other people's money.
Is it a good business?
- Below average through the cycle5-yr median, range -94%–-10%; -27% latest = NOPAT ($120M) ÷ invested capital $444MIndustry peers: median -10%
What this means
The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 5 years (it ran -27% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.
- Solid, recently turned positivelatest $65M = operating cash $86M − maintenance capex $22M; positive each of the last 3 years, after an earlier loss stretch (7-yr median 3%)Industry peers: median 6%
What this means
What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's 10% of revenue this year, a 3% median across 7 years.
- Loss, but cash-generativeNet income ($112M) · cash from operations $86M
What this means
The company reported a net loss, so a conversion ratio isn't meaningful. What matters then is whether operations still threw off cash, here, they did.
How is the cash used?
- Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
- Investing or harvesting? 0.31×HarvestingCapex $22M ÷ depreciation $71M
What this means
Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.
Graham’s defensive tests · 1 of 5 met
Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.
- Adequate size MissRevenue ≥ $2B · $669M
What this means
Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.
- Strong liquidity NearCurrent ratio ≥ 2× · 1.56×
What this means
Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.
- Conservative debt PassDebt ≤ working capital · $38K vs $197M WC
What this means
Graham's rule that borrowings not exceed net current assets. Capital-heavy and buyback-heavy firms routinely fail it, read it next to interest coverage, not alone.
- Earnings stability MissA profit every year (7-yr record) · 7 loss years
What this means
Graham wanted earnings in each of the past ten years, the stability a defensive owner leans on.
- Dividend record MissUninterrupted dividends · none paid
What this means
An unbroken dividend was Graham's mark of durability. He wanted twenty years; the filings show about ten, and a single suspension breaks the streak. Non-payers, many fine modern compounders, fall outside his defensive net by design.
- Earnings growth —Earnings +33% over the record · —
What this means
Earnings were negative early in the record, a growth rate isn't meaningful.
- Moderate price —P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
What this means
Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $-0.34/share (latest year $-0.44), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $2.84/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.
Durability & moat, 2019–2025
Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.
- Profitable years 0 of 7
What this means
Lost money in 7 year(s), look at what happened there before trusting the average.
- Return on capital ≥ 15% 0 of 4 yrs
What this means
A moat shows up as a high return on invested capital that holds year after year, not one good vintage.
- Operating margin −88% → −17% (3-yr avg ends)
What this means
Through the cycle the operating margin widened — about −88% early to −17% lately, median −23% — pricing power intact or improving.
- Reinvestment, incremental ROIC returns capital
What this means
The capital base barely grew: this business returns cash through dividends and buybacks rather than reinvesting. Judge it on the cash returned, not on compounding.
- Owner earnings growth +44%/yr
What this means
Owner earnings grew about 44% a year over the record.
- Worst year 2021 · −218.2% op. margin
What this means
Operations went underwater in 2021, understand why before trusting the good years.
Does AI threaten the moat?
Moderate contestabilityAI is likely to reshape costs and some products here without clearly contesting or sparing the core moat; how the company itself frames it is the tell.
Its FY2025 10-K names artificial intelligence as a competitive threat, in language that was not in the prior year's filing.
“Sensitive information, including confidential, proprietary, competitive or personal data, may be 13 unintentionally disclosed or exposed through the use of third-party AI tools or services, and AI-enabled features that process personal data may reveal additional sensitive information in their outputs.…”
The question is whether a moat the record shows as durable outlasts a technology that lowers the cost of part of what the firm sells. The durability is read in the record above, the filing's own framing of AI beside it; the industry label decides nothing on its own.
Read from the filing's own risk factors, paired with the industry's structure under its SIC code; the durability is read above, the price below.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
Current Position
as of fiscal year-end, Dec 31, 2025Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.
- Cash & short-term investments$281M
- Receivables$130M
- Inventory$284K
- Other current assets$139M
- Debt due within a year$19K
- Accounts payable$112M
- Other current liabilities$241M
From the company's latest filing.
How the cash was used, 2019–2025
Over the record, the business generated $136M of operating cash; how management split it reads as a deleverager, a meaningful share of cash went to paying down debt.
- Reinvested$55M · 40%
- Retained (debt / cash)$81M · 60%
- Source of fundingOperating cash
Operating cash covered reinvestment and returns; over the span debt fell $73M and cash and short-term investments rose $272M.
- Net change in share count−97.3%
The diluted count fell from 68M to 2M, so the buybacks outran the stock issued to staff.
- Dividend record—
No dividend line was reported in the filing data over the span; the record here neither confirms nor rules out a payout.
Buybacks are gross of stock issued to staff; the share-count line above is the net of that, the figure that decides whether owners gained. The average price paid blends a year of purchases (and any accelerated repurchase), so it is close, not exact. The record of where the cash went and on what terms.
Acquisitions & goodwill
from the balance sheet & the 7-year cash-flow recordGoodwill grows only when a company acquires and falls only when it concedes it overpaid. The size of that bet, the cash put into buying rather than building, and how much has already been written off.
None written down over the record; the goodwill is still carried at full cost. That is the deals holding their value on the books so far; whether they keep doing so is the test an owner watches, since the write-down, when it comes, is the admission the price was too high.
Goodwill, acquired intangibles and equity from the latest balance sheet; acquisition spend and write-downs summed across the 7-year record, from the company's own filings.
Inverting the record
Invert: instead of why Genius Sports Limited is a good business, the question is what would make owning it a mistake, and whether those marks are in the record. Disconfirming tests across 2019–2025.
None of the 4 tests turned up a mark; each came back clean. A clean panel says only that these particular ways of being wrong are not written into the record.
- Is it less profitable than it was?
- Did the share count rise anyway?
- Did debt outgrow the business?
- Did receivables and inventory outpace sales?
Each test is read from the filings and is noisy alone; a flag can mark a cyclical trough or a year of heavy investment as easily as a problem. The filing says which.
Peers, Casinos & Gaming
The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each figure is a through-cycle median, so a peak or trough year can’t distort it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each against.
| Company | Revenue | Gross margin | Op. margin | ROIC | Owner earn. margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DKNGDraftKings Inc. | $6.1B | 38% | -44.5% | -79% | -15% |
| STUBStubHub Holdings Inc. | $1.7B | — | 7.8% | -73% | 15% |
| ACELAccel Entertainment Inc. | $1.3B | — | 7.7% | 14% | 7% |
| RSIRush Street Interactive Inc. | $1.1B | 32% | -19.3% | — | -1% |
| OSWOneSpaWorld Holdings Limited | $961M | — | 7.2% | 12% | 6% |
| GENIGenius Sports Limited | $669M | 22% | -22.6% | -27% | 3% |
| LLYVALiberty Live Holdings, Inc. | $382M | 19% | -13.5% | -1% | — |
| SEGSeaport Entertainment Group Inc. | $130M | — | -91.7% | -18% | — |
| Group median | — | 27% | -16.4% | -18% | 4% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFEnter the home-market price, not the US ADR quote. Genius Sports Limited reports in USD, and every figure here (owner earnings, book value, the share count) is on that ordinary-share basis. Enter the price on the same basis: the local-exchange quote per ordinary share. A US ADR price in dollars bundles the ADR-to-ordinary ratio, so it will not reconcile with these figures and would throw the multiple off.
Type today's close and see the owner-earnings growth you'd have to believe to justify it, beside what Genius Sports Limited has delivered.
Genius Sports Limited’s latest year runs above its own through-cycle margin — the reported figure may flatter a peak. So the tool opens on the through-cycle base, Graham’s averaging cutting both ways; clear the toggle below to read the latest year exactly as reported.
Through the cycle, Genius Sports Limited earns about $18M on its 2.7% median owner-earnings margin. This year’s 9.6% margin runs above that; the reported figure may flatter a peak you'd be paying on. Normalize, below, values the price on that through-cycle figure rather than the latest year. It comes pre-checked here for that reason, the same rule that already normalizes a trough; clear it to price the year as filed.
—
9.0% = the 4.55% 10-year Treasury (Jul 15, 2026) + 4.45 points of equity premium. The rate you require is yours to set.
Enter a price above to run it.
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Graham capped the multiple at 15×; Buffett and Munger let that rule go: a wonderful business can deserve 50× if the thesis holds. The gate marks the bargain-hunter's floor.
Prefilled with the 10-year Treasury (4.55%, as of Jul 15, 2026). Edit it for today’s exact figure, or a AAA corporate yield.
Graham measured a stock against the bond you could own instead, the heart of his margin of safety. Enter a price above to weigh the owner-earnings yield against this bond.
Owner earnings $65M on 255M shares outstanding (a weighted average, the only count this filer tags); net cash $281M. The base opens on the through-cycle figure (the latest year sits above the record’s own median, and Graham’s averaging cuts both ways); clear Normalize to use the year as filed. Net of stock comp treats option pay as the expense it is. The dials set the multiple a growth belief justifies; the price, and every dollar on this page, is yours.
Manual order: ← GDS its page in the Manual GFI →
Industry order: ← GDHG the Casinos & Gaming chapter MSGE →